This Week’s Deep-Value Landscape: Acquirer’s Multiple Large-Cap Screen
The Acquirer’s Multiple® Large‑Cap screen highlights a persistent valuation gap where capital‑intensive cyclicals, commodity‑linked firms, and financials trade at deep discounts despite solid operating income and free‑cash‑flow generation. Energy giants like Equinor and Petrobras, steel producer ArcelorMittal, and banks such as Synchrony and BNY Mellon showcase low multiples and high cash‑yield but remain priced for downside narratives. Share buybacks dominate capital returns, yet market sentiment favors growth and credit‑stress stories over tangible earnings power. This disconnect creates a fertile landscape for disciplined value investors seeking long‑term alpha.
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) rose 1 % as a broad tech rally unfolded, led by semiconductors and supported by gains in internet and software stocks. Short‑covering in non‑profitable, heavily shorted tech names amplified the move, indicating traders are re‑entering positions after...
Earnings Options Trades With SpotGamma
SpotGamma outlines a systematic approach to trading earnings options, using implied‑move and volatility metrics. For CRM and NVDA, implied moves are 8% and 5% respectively, with CRM showing a high IV rank of +90 indicating expensive options. The platform projects...
Where Is Money Flowing Today?
Finviz’s latest treemap visualizes today’s capital flows across four major sectors. Technology stocks dominate the green area, registering the strongest percentage gains, while consumer‑cyclical firms display a mixed green‑red pattern. Healthcare appears largely stable, with modest green pockets, and financials...
WHAT'S GOING ON UNDER THE COVERS?
The article "WHAT'S GOING ON UNDER THE COVERS?" teases an investigative look at hidden dynamics shaping today’s market landscape. It promises visual data, likely through the featured graphic, to uncover trends that aren’t immediately visible. While the full text isn’t...
American Tower Reports 8% Rise in Q4 Revenue
American Tower posted a 7.5% increase in fourth‑quarter 2025 revenue, reaching $2.74 billion, while property revenue rose 7.6% to $2.67 billion. Tenant billings grew organically by $109 million, a 5.9% rise. Adjusted funds from operations per share climbed 8.2%, marking high single‑digit growth....
Bill Ackman’s Big Pivot: Why Pershing Square Bet $2 Billion on Meta—And Walked Away From Hilton:
Bill Ackman's Pershing Square disclosed a roughly $2 billion, 10%‑of‑capital stake in Meta Platforms while exiting its long‑held investment in Hilton Worldwide. The move reflects a shift from a fully priced, mature hotel compounder to what Ackman sees as undervalued AI‑enabled...
Top Superinvestors Are Buying Linde Plc (LIN)
Recent 13F filings show several top hedge funds and institutional managers expanding their stakes in Linde plc, underscoring confidence in the industrial gases leader. AQR Capital more than doubled its holding to roughly 430,000 shares, while Point72 and Gotham also...
Apple’s App Store Growth Is Reaccelerating
Apple’s App Store revenue accelerated in February, posting a 9% year‑over‑year increase, according to Morgan Stanley. The growth represents a 230‑basis‑point acceleration from January and puts quarter‑to‑date revenue up 7.5%, just shy of the firm’s 8% March‑quarter forecast. The boost...
TMTB: Buyside Bogeys for the Week (DOCN, WDAY, CRM, SNOW, NVDA, INTU, CRWV, DELL)
The TMT Breakout newsletter flagged a slate of tech stocks as buyside "bogeys" for the week, highlighting DOCN, WDAY, CRM, SNOW, NVDA, INTU, CRWV and DELL. Nvidia’s earnings season remains the focal point, with its laterals shifting sharply and setting...
TMTB Morning Wrap
OpenAI disclosed it now targets roughly $600 billion in compute spend through 2030, a revision from the earlier $1.4 trillion infrastructure commitment that blended CAPEX and OPEX. The company’s push for additional AI‑compute power is hampered by the stalled Stargate joint venture...
FRPT: Thinking Long Term To Beat Wall Street
Freshpet reported Q4 2025 earnings, with shares slipping nearly 4% as Wall Street focuses on slowing sales growth. The company highlighted an expanding pet‑parent market, now 36 million households, and its 4% share of the $38 billion dog‑food sector. Core “MVP” customers—2.4 million...
Are the Money Center Banks a Buy?
Bank equities fell in January after Q4 2025 earnings, despite solid results, as investors booked profits from a rally that began in October. Citigroup emerged as the top performer among the five major depositories, but the broader money‑center segment faces heightened...
E-Commerce Stocks Rally as Supreme Court Strikes Down Trump Tariffs
The episode examines the Supreme Court's 6-3 decision that invalidated most of former President Trump's global tariffs, a move that instantly lifted e‑commerce stocks such as Amazon, Wayfair, Etsy, Shopify, eBay and Pinduoduo. The hosts explain how the tariffs, imposed...
MARKET CALL: A Loopy Stock Market
The equal‑weight S&P 500 has surged to fresh record levels this year, while the market‑weight index remains stuck near 7,000. The divergence reflects a broad rotation from AI‑focused high‑tech stocks to lower‑tech, physical‑asset sectors such as energy, industrials, and materials. Rising...
The Bear Cave #314
In this episode, The Bear Cave highlights a wave of new activist reports targeting Sterling Infrastructure, Nova Minerals, and Carvana, exposing alleged accounting inflation, data integrity issues, and opaque loan sales. The show also notes recent high‑profile CFO resignations at...
Who’s The Biggest In 3D Printing, February 22, 2026
The weekly Fabbaloo leaderboard shows the public 3D‑printing sector valued at $15.9 billion, with Farsoon and Bright Laser holding the top spots at $4.6 billion and $4.1 billion respectively. Chinese firms were flat due to the Lunar New Year holiday, while Xometry added...
Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm - 22 February 2026
In this week’s S&P 500 ChartStorm, Callum Thomas highlights a continued bullish rotation across the market while noting that tech stocks remain under pressure. He points to AI-driven spillovers boosting commodities and presents newspaper stocks as a vivid case study of...
CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned
Hedge funds have deepened their net short position in 10‑year Treasury futures, pushing the short to 877.9k contracts and driving the 10‑year yield up to 4.09% after the Supreme Court struck down Trump’s blanket tariffs. At the same time, the...
Could the “Lag 7” Crater the Economy and Market?
The so‑called "Magnificent Seven" mega‑cap stocks have broken a critical support level and are now testing the 200‑day moving average. Their relative performance chart is forming an inverted saucer top, a pattern often seen before sharper declines. Analysts warn that...
Rotation Investor SPX500 – Ranking Table
TrendInvestorPro offers a subscriber‑only Rotation Investor SPX500 ranking table, showcasing systematic trading strategies and next‑level setups for the S&P 500 index. The page emphasizes exclusive access to trend signals, momentum scores, and market‑timing models for stocks and ETFs. Users must log...
Airbus Takes $500M Hit as A220 Ramp Slows
Airbus recorded a $500 million impairment on its A220 program as the aircraft’s production ramp slowed and order growth lagged expectations. The write‑down reflects weaker cash‑flow projections and higher unit costs, casting doubt on the A220’s earnings contribution. CEO Guillaume Faury remains...
Research Review | 20 February 2026 | Forecasting Returns
Recent academic research sharpens the tools investors use to forecast long‑term returns and market risk. Rui Ma et al. show that a market‑cap‑weighted Component CAPE ratio aligns prices and earnings, delivering out‑of‑sample R² above 50 %. Javier Estrada confirms that valuation multiples...
If The ‘Smart Money’ Is A Contrarian Indicator, It’s Time To Sell
Recent data show institutional investors have poured a record $158 billion into U.S. equities during the last quarter, even as inflation remains above target and the Federal Reserve signals further rate hikes. The article argues that when the so‑called “smart money”...
Problems at Yelp (YELP)
The episode dissects Yelp’s deteriorating business model, highlighting a sharp slowdown in revenue growth and a recent year‑over‑year decline driven by weaker ad clicks and economic uncertainty. It argues that a toxic sales culture, high‑pressure outbound tactics, and a disgruntled...
Warren Buffett: Beware The Investment Activity That Produces Applause
In this episode, Warren Buffett’s 2008 shareholder letter is dissected to highlight timeless investment principles amid market turbulence. Buffett stresses that pessimism, not euphoria, should guide investors, urging disciplined valuation, liquidity, and patience during downturns while warning against chasing applause...
Ed Wachenheim: Homebuilders, Cyclicals & GM Trim Explained
In this episode, Ed Wachenheim of Greenhaven Associates discusses his $6.1‑$6.2 billion equity portfolio, which remains heavily concentrated in cyclical and housing‑related stocks such as General Motors, Lennar, Toll Brothers, PulteGroup and D.R. Horton. He explains recent trims—most notably a 34%...
Fed Minutes Suggest Willingness To Hike If Inflation Not Tamed
The Federal Reserve’s February 2026 FOMC minutes reveal that most participants remain uneasy about inflation, which is still above the central bank’s 2% target. The minutes signal a willingness to raise rates again if price pressures are not curbed, underscoring...
Navigating February OPEX: Fixed Expiration Day: Key Market Levels, Volatility Dynamics, and Single Stock Opportunities for Traders
SpotGamma’s February OPEX briefing outlines the fixed‑expiration day’s critical market levels, volatility shifts, and actionable single‑stock ideas for options traders. The analysis pinpoints key support and resistance zones across the S&P 500, highlights a projected VIX dip to 17‑18, and flags...
‘No Landing’ Is Back In A Big Way
‘No landing’ has emerged as the prevailing global macro outlook, suggesting the economy will remain in a state of indefinite uncertainty rather than a clear recession or recovery. The author points to persistent inflation, aggressive AI investment, and AI‑induced job...
Intel: Fiscal 4Q25 and FY25 Financial Results
Intel reported FY 2025 revenue of $52.9 billion, essentially flat year‑over‑year, while Q4 revenue slipped 4% to $13.7 billion. GAAP earnings per share were a loss of $0.12 in the quarter, but non‑GAAP EPS turned positive at $0.15, and full‑year GAAP EPS remained...
Dispersion Trade ‘Cash-In’ Risks Index Vol Spike
A historic surge in dispersion across large‑cap U.S. equities has pushed the one‑month change in average S&P 500 constituent values to unprecedented levels. The spike stems from a confluence of early‑year sector rotation, the AI disruption theme, and divergent earnings outcomes....
S&P 500 Concentration: The Scare Story That's Costing Investors Money
New research by Mark Kritzman and David Turkington shows that despite recent headlines about the S&P 500’s rising concentration, the index’s current concentration is within historical norms. Using almost a century of data, they find that strategies that reduced equity exposure...
The Great Valuation Rotation Of The Roaring 2020s
Since the pandemic, large‑cap stocks have outpaced mid‑ and small‑cap peers, but that dynamic shifted late last year as investors flagged riskier earnings and stretched valuations for the S&P 500. Meanwhile, SMidCap earnings have begun to climb while their valuations...
This Week’s Deep-Value Landscape: Acquirer’s Multiple Large-Cap Screen
The episode reviews the Acquirer’s Multiple® Large‑Cap screen, highlighting that capital‑intensive cyclicals, discounted financials, and legacy industrials are trading far below the cash they generate. Energy giants like Equinor and Petrobras, financials such as Synchrony and BNY Mellon, and steel producer...
Top Superinvestors Are Buying Cal-Maine Foods Inc. (CALM)
The episode reviews recent 13F filings that show several top institutional investors, including Bridgewater, Gotham, Fisher, AQR, GMO, Pzena, and newcomer Bill Miller, increasing or initiating stakes in Cal-Maine Foods, the largest U.S. egg producer. The analysts cite Cal-Maine’s defensive...
‘Magnificent’ Mega-Cap Margins Mask ‘Surging’ C-Suite Expense Angst
The S&P 500’s mega‑cap companies posted record‑high profit margins in Q4 2025, driven by strong pricing power and cost efficiencies. However, the earnings releases also revealed a sharp rise in C‑suite compensation and related overhead, outpacing earnings growth. Analysts note...
Update: Casio (6952 JP)
Casio (6952 JP) is entering a turnaround phase, now trading at a 1.0× enterprise‑value‑to‑sales multiple. The valuation suggests the market sees modest growth potential after recent operational improvements. Management has outlined cost‑cutting measures, new product launches in the G‑Shock line, and...
WATCH YOUR BIDS (S2026 E03)
In this episode, Goldman Sachs discusses the growing pains in the quantitative investing space, while Carlyle warns that AI exposure has become oversized across many portfolios. Scott Bessent revisits his earlier stance on Warsh’s balance sheet reduction, indicating a potential...
MAG7 FREE CASH FLOW COLLAPSE
The episode examines the recent collapse in free cash flow among the MAG7—Microsoft, Apple, Google (Alphabet), Amazon, and Meta—highlighting how their once robust cash generation has sharply deteriorated. It explores the drivers behind this decline, including macroeconomic headwinds, higher capital...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The episode reviews a rough day for tech stocks, with the QQQ index up modestly while most internet and software names slump amid an accelerating AI narrative. Host Citrini describes an "AI Disruption Discount" hitting vertical SaaS, ad platforms, and...
Amazon: 2026 Update
The author has refreshed his proprietary Amazon valuation model using the company’s latest 10‑K filing, projecting financial performance through 2026. The update incorporates recent trends in e‑commerce, cloud services, and advertising revenue streams. Detailed assumptions and calculations are hosted behind...
Talk Your Book: The Three A’s of the U.S. Economy
The latest "Talk Your Book" episode breaks down the three A’s shaping the U.S. economy—asset prices, artificial intelligence, and the affluent consumer. It highlights a widening market breadth and offers a framework for valuing the world’s largest firms. The discussion...