Hawkeye360 IPO Jumps to $34
Signals-intel satelite fleet operator @hawkeye360 listed at $26 on @NYSE IPO May 7, opened at $33.80 and closed at $34 with a market cap of $3.17B. https://t.co/DDXHxVbqYD
DraftKings Keeps FY2026 Revenue and EBITDA Guidance
DraftKings maintains fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance range of $6.5 billion to $6.9 billion and fiscal year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $700 million to $900 million, per Q1 earnings release
Bear Cave Alert Triggers 50% Drop in Planet Fitness Stock
Today is a great reminder to read and support The Bear Cave newsletter As early as January 2023, The Bear Cave raised serious concerns about billing fraud, oversaturation, and consumer churn at Planet Fitness $PLNT is down ~31% today on...
Peloton's Subscriptions Surge 33% CAGR to $1.6B
Over the past six years (Q3 FY20 - Q3 FY26), Peloton's TTM subscription revenues have increased from $304 million to $1,647 million (~33% CAGR) https://t.co/6eNOMmyfus
Peloton Posts Modest Revenue Growth, Signals Turnaround
Peloton is making progress, growing revenue by 1% year over year. We’ve got a lot of work going on with R&D,” CEO says. “The stuff will come in the existing modalities first. We feel great about not just our present,...
Shake Shack Plummets 20% Despite “Best Ideas” Hype
Shake Shack ($SHAK) -$19 (or -20%) after its EPS release this morning. One of @CNBCFastMoney panelist's favorite stocks ("Best Ideas in the Market)... the panelist will not admit a mistkae he will not be contrite because its a "long term...
Freshworks Secures Biggest Deals Yet, Displacing Competitors
.@Freshworks starts landing bigger deals in Q1 https://t.co/uQ98NuwqMg Freshworks reported strong first quarter results and said it landed the two largest deals in its history due to competitor displacements.
Flat Guidance Crushes Growth Stock Valuations Despite Earnings Beat
What is a "sell on beat" and why does it happen? Look at $SOFI last week. They crushed Q1 revenue estimates. They beat member growth estimates. Stock drops 15%. Markets do not care about what you just did. They care about what you will...
AppLovin Q1 Revenue Jumps 59%, Net Income Surges 67%
AppLovin $APP released its Q1 2026 earnings: revenue of $1.842 BN (+59% y/y), Net Income from continuing operations of $1.206 BN (+67% y/y), Q2 revenue guidance of $1.915 BN - $1.945 BN.
Bumble's Q1 Woes Mask 30% Earnings Yield
I wrote an update on Bumble after Q1. Still a messy setup: users are down, the stock is hated, and the new loan is expensive. But bumble remains highly cash generative and I get to a near 30% owner earnings...
AI Cuts Freshworks Workforce, Pressures Margins
AI-driven shift: Freshworks cuts 11% (~500) as automation writes >50% of code; shares -8% AH. Macro: AI compresses legacy software demand. Risk: margin pressure, disruptive AI entrants. Trade: trim FRSH longs; watch Q2. ⚠️ — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights:...
Super Micro Shares Jump 19% After Revenue Doubles
JUST IN: Super Micro's stock rises 19% after beating guidance as revenue more than doubles.
Lattice to Buy AMI for $1.65B, Targeting $200M 2026 Revenue
News: @latticesemi announced its agreement to acquire @ami_bios, aka American Megatrands, for $1.65b ($1b cash, $650m stock). AMI is expected to revenue $200m in 2026. Official PR: https://t.co/UUXittYx9j The whole Megatrends vs Megatrands debacle from @Patrick1Kennedy: https://t.co/n6IiHQsGg0
Duol's Q1 Growth Slows, Guidance Cut
My thoughts on $DUOL Q1 2026 Revenue growth—and essentially growth across all metrics—is slowing significantly. QoQ revenue growth slowed to +3.2%, and next quarter growth is expected to be even slower. If we extrapolate this pace, the company is currently growing...
Grab Posts 19% Revenue Rise, Margin Expansion
$GRAB: Profitable growth keeps compounding — Q1 revenue +19%, operating margin +550 bps, net margin +1,540 bps Grab delivered strong quarter. Revenue grew 18.6% YoY to $906M, with gross profit up 19.6% and gross margin expanding to 44%. SG&A fell to 23%...
OVV Hits 52‑Week High, Buy on Pullback
Macro: OVV 52-wk high $62.60; 1y +76.8%. Drivers: $3bn Anadarko sale to pay debt, upgraded PTs, stronger production/cashflow. Risk: May 11 earnings, oil-price exposure. Trade: buy on pullback to $58. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Sofi's Strong Earnings, 16% Drop Reveal Massive Undervaluation
$SOFI just reported a stellar earnings report, yet the market went mad, and the stock fell 16%. So I created a new 2030 Valuation Model. 👇 In this report, I expand on why I have made Sofi one of my largest holdings...
Strong Fundamentals, but Underlying Issues Keep SOFI Down
Before you buy the $SOFI dip - read this Beat revenue. Beat EPS. Doubled customers. Stock down intraday and 3 PT cuts in one day The dip looks tempting...but the reason it dropped is also still there
Spirit's Debt Crisis Undermined Value, Merger Might Have Helped
Was Spirit Airlines Roomba-ed®? Did debt levels make Spirit walking dead? Would the JetBlue merger have made the end less painful for employees of Spirit and Spirit shareholders/debt holders? Did Spirit have any pricing power? Anyone. Anyone. Bueller?...
XHR Q1 Beats, Guidance Raised; Initiate Long
Macro: XHR Q1 RevPAR +7.4%, EBITDA +17.9%, guidance raised. Drivers: Sunbelt luxury mix, accretive capex. Risk: 4.8x leverage. Trade: initiate long on pullbacks to $15.75. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Starcloud Eyes $2.2B Valuation Amid SpaceX Interest
Starcloud in Talks for $2.2 Billion Valuation as SpaceX Stirs Interest — The Information https://t.co/x8wmuzDcmW
Joby Aviation Profits without Selling eVTOLs
Day 15 of 30: How $JOBY Joby Aviation actually makes money (which one should I do next?) Most people think it's an eVTOL company that flies passengers It's not. Not yet. Their first commercial eVTOL flight is in Dubai later this year So how does...
Premium Brands Holds 75% Upside Potential
This morning, Alta Fox published a press release and full thesis deck on $PBH CN (Premium Brands Holdings), a business we believe is significantly undervalued with 75%+ upside in our base case. The materials outline our investment thesis and highlight...
Insider Buying Signals Confidence Amid Q1 Decline
Ugly 1Q2026 numbers from United Tractors UNTR IJ. Komatsu sales volumes -20% YoY. But Astra insiders are buying. Coal prices have risen recently. And I think the coming El Niño will be positive for volumes from 3Q2026 onwards.
HOOD Misses
$HOOD Q1 EARNINGS down -6% everyone • Revenue $1.07B vs Est. $1.14B ❌ • EPS $0.38 vs Est. $0.39 ❌ • Net Income $346M vs Est. $354M ❌ • Total Platform Assets: $307B (+39% YoY) ✅ • Gold Subscribers: 4.3M (+36% YoY) ✅ • ARPU:...
Tech's “Cats and Dogs” Rally to New Recovery Highs
Even the “cats and dogs” within the tech space are stirring again, making new recovery highs last week as they rallied out of a holding pattern. https://t.co/YVhrMqi5WA
Early Research Spotlights Celestica’s 35x Stock Surge
Celestica $CLS an AI winner so many probably still do not follow Shares have risen to $400 from $11.50 in 2023. I caught onto it August 2023 around $22/share Nothing beats fundamental research for growing your wealth as an investor And nothing...
Easter, Not Trends, Drove Fleeting Box Office Surge
Early in this month the box office quarter to date was running ahead of any year in history. Apes posited a massive and permanent return to box office glory. Box office is now running behind even last year. $AMC made a...
Avis Budget Group's $CAR Surges 500% in Short Squeeze
Impressive short squeeze in the wild: Avis Budget Group. $CAR is up over 500% over the past month and short volume volatility exceptionally elevated: https://t.co/1tCAmuSfgr
CVNA Spikes, First Keltner Channel
CVNA....zero to 60 in...(!) First close back above KC is an exit when in an overall trading range. https://t.co/AHlHgChU24
Onto's Rigaku Stake Raises Valuation Risk, Trim Suggested
Onto buys 27% of Rigaku for $710M, bolstering X‑ray/CD‑SAXS tie‑up; strong cash but 105x P/E flags valuation risk. Trading insight: trim ONTO on strength; watch execution. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
From $125k Loan to $12B Franchise Empire
Jersey Mike’s founder Peter Cancro sold majority of sub chain to Blackstone for $8B in 2024. In 2025, Wingstop's former CEO took top job and has filed to go public. Details on Cancro skipping college and turning $125k loan into...
Lumentum to Triple Revenue as Photonics Limits AI Speed
Lumentum is expected to 3x its revenue by 2028. Photonics & the speed data is transferred is the real Ai bottleneck $LITE
GraniteShares' YieldBOOST ETFs Offer Weekly Distributions Over 100%
GraniteShares just announced weekly distributions for its YieldBOOST ETFs — some with distribution rates above 100%. Read here: https://t.co/Q5x1XPNPAg @WillRhind @GraniteShares
Robinhood's Massive Revenue, Profit, and Diversified Business
Everyone sold $HOOD on crypto. Here's what they missed: $4.47B revenue (+52%) $1.88B net income (42% margin) Rule of 40: 108 — Hyper-Elite 11 revenue streams over $100M each 4.2M Gold subscribers (+58%) Trump Accounts: govt contract for 25M families This isn't a trading app anymore. Full breakdown: https://open.substack.com/pub/dralexkoh/p/hood-deep-dive-i-called-this-stock
Small‑mid Caps Poised to Reclaim Premium over Large Caps
Smalls and mids still trading at a big discount to large. Recovered a some of the discount but traded at a premium to large for most of the decade. Got to this level in 2022 before falling back. Question is...
Duolingo Could Match Its Valuation with 100M Paid Users
"I think there is a very real scenario where Duolingo delivers on its super tutor-in-your-pocket vision and 100 million global paid subs at $100/year and 30% FCF margins results in $3 billion annual FCF vs. the current enterprise value of...
J.B. Hunt Q1 Earnings Surge on Cost Cuts, Volume Gains
New blog post - J. B. Hunt Q1 Earnings Boost By Cost Initiatives & Higher Volumes https://t.co/sGDzdAk30f Nothing fancy - I figured I'd mostly share quotes that I found interesting and also a few bits from Stifel's Bruce Chan's note on...
Spirit Airlines May Cease Flights This Week, Sell Assets
Spirit Airlines Could Stop Flying This Week And Sell Off Its Assets - View from the Wing https://t.co/145CNkriZg
EasyJet Predicts Larger H1 Loss Amid Middle East Conflict
EasyJet warns of bigger first-half loss, lower bookings as Middle East war upends business https://t.co/FeDiVpr1tN
IONQ Rallies Post‑catalyst Gap, Based in College Park
$IONQ extremely strong follow through after the catalyst gap yesterday. I just realized they are based in College Park MD. https://t.co/gg9uX9E79T
Avis Shares Quadruple as Two Owners Hold 108%
Short Squeeze: Avis Stock Has Quadrupled In A Month — Two Owners Control 108% Of The Stock - View from the Wing https://t.co/JFyOZttcKq
Buy Northwestern on Dips Despite Stretched Valuation
Macro: NorthWestern hits 52‑wk high on strong EPS, revenue beat and 26% 12m total return. Key: 21-yr dividend streak, Black Hills merger. Risk: stretched valuation. Insight: buy on weakness. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Sweetgreen IPO Jumps 77%, Hits $6 B Valuation
WSJ, Nov 2021: "Sweetgreen shares jumped 77% in their debut. Shares of the salad chain closed at $49.50, valuing $SG at more than $6 billion." https://t.co/4nAeKtz5q0
Lucid Jumps 12% as PIF, Uber Pour $750M
Lucid shares +12% in premarket. Saydi PIF + Uber investing another combined $750 million $LCID
Powerful Malaysian Tycoon Controls Key Assets, Still Unknown
One man controls Malaysia’s rice supply, national car, biggest port operator, and a major gas utility. His company is quietly preparing for a $7 billion listing. Yet, he remains a mystery to the average Malaysian.
Identify Top SMID-Cap Needing Better Governance
Semi-regular post: what is the highest quality SMID-cap you have come across which would benefit from improved governance/strategy?
FMKT Gains 1.8% as Deregulation ETF Leads
Today's close: The Free Markets ETF ( $FMKT ) at $21.27, climbing 1.79% since yesterday. Looking for opportunity in regulatory change? $FMKT is the pioneer ETF exclusively investing in companies we believe are positioned to benefit from deregulation. https://t.co/oO1zGkqC4s
Mid‑Cap Stocks Surge, Outperform SPY Since Nov 2025
Mid caps outperformed $SPY over the last twelve months. A big recovery after the November 2025 relative low. https://t.co/258f75ybSl
CRDO Rebound Yields 25% Quick Gain After Option Flow
$CRDO great move last week, strong early again Bought back into it at 101 4/2 w/ option flow signals, quick 25% https://t.co/o56plm9HkF