Business Social Media and Updates

Rate‑Hike Odds Surge, Triggering Massive Market Unwind
SocialMar 31, 2026

Rate‑Hike Odds Surge, Triggering Massive Market Unwind

January: everyone positioned for rate cuts. Now: hike odds above 50%. That's the largest positioning reversal in years — and the mechanics of unwinding a crowded consensus take months, not weeks. Every hot inflation print, every hawkish Fed signal triggers another exit from...

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Rate‑cut Bets Collapse, Biggest Positioning Reversal in Years
SocialMar 31, 2026

Rate‑cut Bets Collapse, Biggest Positioning Reversal in Years

January: everyone was long rate cuts. Now: hike odds >50%. That's not a rotation. That's the largest positioning reversal in years — and the unwind isn't finished. $SPY -3.4%. $QQQ -4.2%. The price tells you where we are in that unwind. --- https://t.co/mDbRSIwQT2

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Growth Metrics Can Be Deceptive; Watch These Danger Signs
SocialMar 31, 2026

Growth Metrics Can Be Deceptive; Watch These Danger Signs

7 danger signs that tell you if your growth is real: > CAC above 30% of AOV: margin gone before order ships > CPM above $15 sustained: losing the auction > New customer rate below 50%: reacquiring who you already have > Frequency...

By Kody Nordquist
Iran and Russia Profit as Oil Prices Surge Amid War
SocialMar 31, 2026

Iran and Russia Profit as Oil Prices Surge Amid War

A month into this war: Iran is still exporting oil & to more customers Iran is making more money for its oil because prices are up Iran has effectively installed a tollbooth to enter and exit the Persian Gulf Russia is making more...

By Ellen Wald
Management's Complex Systems, Low Margins, No Excuse
SocialMar 31, 2026

Management's Complex Systems, Low Margins, No Excuse

Management is *so* hard... you need to create like 50 different systems, make sure they keep running ~perfectly month after month, then deal with the exceptions to ~all of them that randomly crop up, all w very low revenue per...

By Moses Kagan
26North Buys Intermedia, Securing AI-Driven Cloud Scale
SocialMar 31, 2026

26North Buys Intermedia, Securing AI-Driven Cloud Scale

26North to Acquire Leading Cloud Communications Firm Intermedia The acquisition agreement between 26North Partners LP and Intermedia Intelligent Communications might look like another private equity move in a crowded communications market, but the dynamics here run deeper. For one, Intermedia has...

By Rich Tehrani
Fed Pledges Policy Actions to Sustain Low Inflation Expectations
SocialMar 31, 2026

Fed Pledges Policy Actions to Sustain Low Inflation Expectations

Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmid: Inflation expectations have been low because the central bank has previously acted to make sure inflation will stay low. "It is now our job to follow through with policy actions that validate those expectations."

By Nick Timiraos
Mativ's 95¢ Pricing Ranks Among Deepest US Lev Discounts
SocialMar 31, 2026

Mativ's 95¢ Pricing Ranks Among Deepest US Lev Discounts

Mativ priced at 95 cents. Only 2 US lev loans have priced at deeper discounts this year.

By JunkBondInvestor
Choose Builder or Investor: No Sidelines in 2026
SocialMar 31, 2026

Choose Builder or Investor: No Sidelines in 2026

Wealth creation has never been more attainable than in 2026. Right now everyone has two choices: 1) Be the builder - use the tools like Claude code and codex. Find problems, build apps, help with ai migration 2) Be the investor...

By Nicole DeTommaso
Proprietary Data Becomes Your Ultimate Sales Moat
SocialMar 31, 2026

Proprietary Data Becomes Your Ultimate Sales Moat

From Efficiency to Alpha: Why Your Proprietary Data is the New Sales Moat by @Timothy_Hughes https://t.co/oltKnEjdJz @DLAIgnite #SocialSelling #DigitalSelling #Sales #SalesTips #SalesLeader #Salesforce #Marketing #Leadership #ArtificialIntelligence #Technology #Innovation #Tech #TechNews

By Tim Hughes
January Job Surge Was Cherry‑picked; February Shows Decline
SocialMar 31, 2026

January Job Surge Was Cherry‑picked; February Shows Decline

Recently, the January surge in US manufacturing job openings was cited as evidence of US tariff success. Today's JOLTS report shows a significant retreat in February. Alas, the perils of cherrypicking. https://t.co/iGuSwqceO5

By Scott Lincicome
Culture, Not Strategy, Holds Your Business Back
SocialMar 31, 2026

Culture, Not Strategy, Holds Your Business Back

Your Strategy Is NOT the Problem - @MarketCulture Blog https://t.co/uMKTN60GYS Your CULTURE is. And if you’re a senior leader right now, that’s either the most uncomfortable truth you’ve read today or the most liberating. #culture https://t.co/NVe8Z8kLAF

By Annette Franz
California's Middle East Oil Imports Drop Below 30%
SocialMar 31, 2026

California's Middle East Oil Imports Drop Below 30%

"Previously"?? Like in 2015? In 2025, less than 30% of oil imported into CA was from the Middle East. It's been less than 50% of imports since at least 2017.

By Ari Peskoe
Own Ignored Platforms for Cheap First‑mover Advantage
SocialMar 31, 2026

Own Ignored Platforms for Cheap First‑mover Advantage

Every platform your competitors ignore is a channel you can own for almost nothing. YouTube. Reddit. Niche newsletters. Podcast circuits. First mover advantage is still real.

By Ross Simmonds
Onboarding Reveals How Terrible Most Teams Are
SocialMar 31, 2026

Onboarding Reveals How Terrible Most Teams Are

I think this warrants an entire chapter in my book - Most teams are pretty terrible. Agree with @clairevo this is one of the first places you want to focus in onboarding as a tech leader, you will...

By Meg Bear
Authentic Authority Boosts Agency Revenue to $100K+
SocialMar 31, 2026

Authentic Authority Boosts Agency Revenue to $100K+

$100K+ booked for the year already. It’s only March. When they first joined, a result like that felt hard to believe. Here’s what we actually worked on together. We didn’t work on their website. We didn’t work on finding more clients. We worked...

By Dan Mall
AI Turns Companies Into Solo Startups, Redefining Hiring
SocialMar 31, 2026

AI Turns Companies Into Solo Startups, Redefining Hiring

The Rise of the One-Person AI Startup: China’s Experiment and the Evolution of Hiring in the US Talent Market https://t.co/RuSZhkDbBC AI is compressing companies into solo startups. China is accelerating this shift while top talent goes independent and becomes harder...

By Jim Stroud
Sticky Inflation Pushes Rate Cuts to Q3/Q4
SocialMar 31, 2026

Sticky Inflation Pushes Rate Cuts to Q3/Q4

Well, the good news in all of this, assuming it's actually coming to a close, is it hasn't lasted long enough to do material impact to the labor market. The bad news is we probably locked in stickier inflation which...

By Cullen Roche
Close Deals Thursday Afternoon for Smooth Implementation
SocialMar 31, 2026

Close Deals Thursday Afternoon for Smooth Implementation

Founders: The best close timing is Thursday afternoon. Friday deals risk weekend second thoughts. Monday deals compete with weekly firefighting. Thursday gives you time to handle paperwork and kick off implementation before the weekend.

By Pete Kazanjy
Gold Surges as War De‑escalation Rumors Emerge
SocialMar 31, 2026

Gold Surges as War De‑escalation Rumors Emerge

Gold rallies on rumors of a potential off-ramp in a war. Markets never cease to surprise me…🤣🤣

By Harris Kupperman (Kuppy)
Operational Leaders Outperform Charismatic Icons with Rigorous, Empowering Formula
SocialMar 31, 2026

Operational Leaders Outperform Charismatic Icons with Rigorous, Empowering Formula

When people think of great business leaders... They usually think of someone like Steve Jobs or Richard Branson. But I’ve studied 100’s of managers as we grew our company from $0 to $1B+ And the most effective leaders were more operational...

By Scot Chisholm
Prioritize Effectiveness First, Optimize Efficiency Later
SocialMar 31, 2026

Prioritize Effectiveness First, Optimize Efficiency Later

First, be effective. Then be efficient. A lot of startup founders worry about the second before the first. If you're a well-funded startup, be effective first. We can always optimize for efficiency later. But Lord help you if you...

By Dave Kellogg
TikTok Teams with Cameo for Creator Video Requests
SocialMar 31, 2026

TikTok Teams with Cameo for Creator Video Requests

This could get interesting 👀 TikTok partnered with Cameo — which means creators can offer personalized videos directly within the app It's a new revenue stream for creators and a new way to interact with your favorite TikTok creators for fans https://newsroom.tiktok.com/tiktok-partners-with-cameo-to-unlock-new-monetization-opportunities-for-creators?lang=en

By Lia Haberman
Oil $100 Baseline Becomes Permanent After Iran Threat
SocialMar 31, 2026

Oil $100 Baseline Becomes Permanent After Iran Threat

WTI pre-market: $101.84. Brent: $108. Up 47% for the quarter. Iran is demanding sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz — the chokepoint for 20% of global oil supply. That's not a negotiating position. It's a line in the sand with no realistic...

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Iran's Hormuz Claim Locks in Permanent War Premium
SocialMar 31, 2026

Iran's Hormuz Claim Locks in Permanent War Premium

$CL WTI pre-market: $101.84. $BNO Brent: $108. Iran demanding sovereignty over the Strait of Hormuz. That's not a negotiating position. It's a non-starter — and everyone knows it. The war premium is permanent until proven otherwise. --- https://t.co/DwGuXTrsgJ

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
Russia's 2024 Growth Outlook Cut to 0.8%
SocialMar 31, 2026

Russia's 2024 Growth Outlook Cut to 0.8%

MOSCOW, March 31 (Reuters) - The Russian economy will grow by 0.8% this year, down from a forecast of 1% a month ago, according to a Reuters poll of 16 analysts on Tuesday, echoing an earlier government announcement that the...

By Guy Faulconbridge
VC Funding Turns Founders Into Investor‑Driven Time‑Sinks
SocialMar 31, 2026

VC Funding Turns Founders Into Investor‑Driven Time‑Sinks

Average day in the life of a VC backed founder: > wake up at 5am to “optimize” > check burn rate before checking texts > spend morning prepping board deck instead of building product > get on call with investor who's...

By Adam Robinson
Retention Beats Acquisition: Build Loyalty for Sustainable Profit
SocialMar 31, 2026

Retention Beats Acquisition: Build Loyalty for Sustainable Profit

Most businesses chase new customers. Growth-driven businesses build retention at every step of the customer journey. From first touch to brand ambassador, each stage has a clear goal. Acquisition fills the top line, retention drives profit and stability. Are you chasing numbers, or building...

By Ask Dr. Brown
AAdvantage Worth Four Times American Airlines
SocialMar 31, 2026

AAdvantage Worth Four Times American Airlines

New Report Says AAdvantage Is Worth 4X More Than American Airlines — Airlines Are Really Credit Cards With Wings - View from the Wing https://t.co/8VEJPwB5ph

By Gary Leff
US Banks' NDFI Exposure
SocialMar 31, 2026

US Banks' NDFI Exposure

U.S. banks' loan exposure to NDFIs has grown to $1.4 trillion or about 11% of total balances, according to Moody's. That growth has been led by lending to private credit, which rose 7.5% QoQ (as of Dec. 31). Moody's says...

By Leslie Picker
Sysco's Pending Restaurant Depot Deal Sparks Industry Debate
SocialMar 31, 2026

Sysco's Pending Restaurant Depot Deal Sparks Industry Debate

Some additional thoughts on the Sysco acquisition of Restaurant Depot (which still needs to get regulatory approval.) Here's a short thread but I'm curious what people in the #restaurant industry think about this deal? 1/10

By David Henkes
ChatGPT Drives 3× Shopify Conversion Before Integration
SocialMar 31, 2026

ChatGPT Drives 3× Shopify Conversion Before Integration

ChatGPT referrals to our client Shopify stores were virtually nonexistent in March 2025. By December, one store hit 2,183 sessions from ChatGPT with 140 orders. That's a 6.4% conversion rate, roughly 3x the typical Shopify average. These are high-intent visitors....

By Kurt Elster
BAT Converts Debt to Equity, Now Holds 40% of CWEB
SocialMar 31, 2026

BAT Converts Debt to Equity, Now Holds 40% of CWEB

$MSOS @thestreetpro Apropos to the possibility of takeover optionality in cannabis stocks mentioned in my previous post: https://t.co/PAAYQbNLtA In the first real precedent of tobacco companies taking an equity stake in cannabis - $BAT has elected to convert its debenture into...

By Doug Kass
NFX Fuels $1.25B Q1 Growth Across Sectors
SocialMar 31, 2026

NFX Fuels $1.25B Q1 Growth Across Sectors

It was a very busy Q1 2026 for many companies in the @NFX portfolio 🚀 Across AI infrastructure, space, security, tech bio, fintech, and consumer — we’ve seen a wave of financings + M&A from companies where we led the seed...

By Pete Flint
Secure Hybrid Self‑Managed and Managed MCP Server Setup
SocialMar 31, 2026

Secure Hybrid Self‑Managed and Managed MCP Server Setup

You could use a mix of self-managed and managed MCP servers. Here's an example of using both, and securing them in a production-ready way. https://t.co/reHeaq6QEV https://t.co/5pLxHwGKWv

By Richard Seroter
Mateschitz’s Betrayal Turned Thai Tonic Into $80B Empire
SocialMar 31, 2026

Mateschitz’s Betrayal Turned Thai Tonic Into $80B Empire

In 1984, Dietrich Mateschitz orchestrated the coldest betrayal in business history… He erased the real founder and stole the Redbull empire. Then, through pure greed and deception, he turned a Thai tonic into an $80B monster. This is how Red Bull really started...

By Early Startup Days
Iran Oil Shock Spikes US Inflation Expectations to 2025 Highs
SocialMar 31, 2026

Iran Oil Shock Spikes US Inflation Expectations to 2025 Highs

"Unsurprisingly given the Iran war oil shock, consumers’ average and median 12-month inflation expectations surged in March to levels last seen in August 2025, when US consumers awaited more tariff announcements from the US federal government." - The Conference Board...

By Sam Ro
Answer Engines Shift SEO Focus to Quality Demand
SocialMar 31, 2026

Answer Engines Shift SEO Focus to Quality Demand

Traffic loss isn’t the full story as answer engines create higher-value demand, forcing CMOs to rethink SEO fundamentals, measurement, and investment priorities. https://t.co/xdLGNGD0iz via @sejournal

By Tom Pick
Solo CEOs Become Bottlenecks, Stalling Business Growth
SocialMar 31, 2026

Solo CEOs Become Bottlenecks, Stalling Business Growth

When you're the entire engine of your business: - content depends on your energy. - sales depend on your presence. - decisions depend on your availability. an Engine CEO will always be the bottleneck. growth creates chaos when the brand...

By Matt Gray
Self‑Serving Listicles May Violate FTC Regulations
SocialMar 31, 2026

Self‑Serving Listicles May Violate FTC Regulations

Self-serving listicles... not only embarrassing for companies to implement, but could also be against FTC rules. Not saying the FTC is going to do anything about it, but they could. Beware.

By Glenn Gabe
Airlines Split on Jet Fuel Shortage Outlook
SocialMar 31, 2026

Airlines Split on Jet Fuel Shortage Outlook

In Europe… - Air France-KLM CEO: "drawing up scenarios" on jet fuel shortage, airports in SE Asia considered at highest risk so far - easyJet CEO, last week: “I’m confident for a week or two that we’re all good. I’m...

By Alex Macheras
Valuation Is a Narrative, Not Just Numbers
SocialMar 31, 2026

Valuation Is a Narrative, Not Just Numbers

"Valuation is a story" Great thoughts on Allbirds from @ProfPaulNary who I encourage you to follow for his thoughtful insights on the M&A space.

By Peter Atwater
Hershey CEO Sees No Spending Drop Amid Gas Hikes
SocialMar 31, 2026

Hershey CEO Sees No Spending Drop Amid Gas Hikes

The Hershey CEO told us he’s seen no impact on consumer spending in recent weeks at convenience stores or other places as a result of higher gas prices. @SquawkStreet

By Sara Eisen
Align Spend with High‑Intent Funnel to Accelerate Deals
SocialMar 31, 2026

Align Spend with High‑Intent Funnel to Accelerate Deals

Here’s an exercise worth doing. Open your funnel and map where budget actually goes: - early research - mid-funnel nurture - in-market buyers Then line it up against pipeline this quarter. A lot of investment sits far from a buying...

By devbasu
Burt Rutan’s TED Talk Sparked Boom’s Mission
SocialMar 31, 2026

Burt Rutan’s TED Talk Sparked Boom’s Mission

This 2004 TED talk by Burt Rutan was part of my inspiration for starting Boom. I remember showing this to friends in ~2010 and saying someone needed to do something about the problems Burt called out….

By Blake Scholl
Marpipe's Gen AI Automates Ad Creation Across All SKUs
SocialMar 31, 2026

Marpipe's Gen AI Automates Ad Creation Across All SKUs

Marpipe just collapsed a full creative workflow into minutes. Gen AI is now live inside their product catalog interface. Choose your model, generate enriched ad variants, and it auto-applies to every SKU at once. No exports. No copy-paste. No creative bottleneck.

By Hasan Toor
Fewer Healthcare Ads Boost Click-Through Rates
SocialMar 31, 2026

Fewer Healthcare Ads Boost Click-Through Rates

More ads ≠ more engagement. In healthcare, showing fewer ads often improves click-through rates. Rob Janes on why restraint performs better. 👇 https://t.co/fRLfOxUi5k @ad_butler #BrandTrust #HITsm

By Colin Hung
US‑Israel War Choice Triggers Iran Closing Hormuz
SocialMar 31, 2026

US‑Israel War Choice Triggers Iran Closing Hormuz

Forget the Western propaganda and spin. The US and Israel engaged in a war of choice against Iran. Iran counterattacks and shuts the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s 8 important chokepoints. DAMAGED PARTIES THROUGHOUT THE WORLD SHOULD SEND A BILL TO TRUMP...

By Steve Hanke
Is Safety Truly a Core Value or Just Assumed?
SocialMar 31, 2026

Is Safety Truly a Core Value or Just Assumed?

When You Don't Live Your Corporate Values... https://t.co/6itpemlaHK “Safety” is a favorite #corevalue among certain industries. Is it inherent in those industries where it’s paramount to success? Should it just be intuitive (and not stated) in terms of how they...

By Annette Franz