AUD/USD Flat Amid US Dollar Strength, RBA Minutes Eyed
The Australian dollar held near 0.7072 against the U.S. dollar on Monday as a firmer greenback limited upside. The pair slipped from three‑year highs of 0.7147 after U.S. CPI showed inflation easing to 2.4% and unemployment edging down to 4.3%, prompting traders to reassess the Fed’s rate‑cut timeline. Futures now price more than 50 basis points of Fed cuts in 2026, with the first cut expected in June, while the Reserve Bank of Australia lifted its cash rate to 3.85% and its minutes are due Tuesday.
Plus500 CEO, CFO, CMO to Sell 1.5M Shares
Plus500’s chief executive, chief financial officer and chief marketing officer announced the sale of 1,500,000 ordinary shares, representing roughly 2.14% of the company’s issued capital. The transaction will be executed on the secondary market through Goldman Sachs International, with Panmure...
RBI Issues Draft Norms for Reporting on Forex Derivative Transactions Involving Rupee
The Reserve Bank of India released draft norms requiring Authorised Dealer Category‑I banks to report all rupee‑denominated foreign‑exchange derivative transactions undertaken by their related parties worldwide. This follows earlier steps that mandated primary dealers and banks to disclose rupee interest‑rate...
India’s Game-Changing Digital Money Model
India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI) has become the world’s largest real‑time payments network, handling billions of free transactions daily. Built on a public, open‑source infrastructure managed by the National Payments Corporation of India, UPI lets banks, fintechs and merchants interoperate...
EUREP Expansion and the Euro – Going Global
The European Central Bank announced that, from the third quarter of 2026, it will expand its EUREP euro repo facility to a global €50 billion line available to any central bank that meets AML and sanctions criteria. The repo offers euro...
Forex Today: Japanese GDP Data Underwhelms
Japan’s Q4 GDP expanded only 0.1% YoY, well below the 0.4% consensus, nudging the economy away from a technical recession but dampening reflation hopes. The weak data erased much of the yen’s recent 3% rally sparked by the new government’s...
India's Forex Reserves Drop $6.7 Billion to $717 Billion, Gold Reserves Dip, Reveals RBI Data
India's foreign exchange reserves slipped by $6.7 billion to $717.064 billion in the week ending 6 February, after a record high of $723.774 billion the week before. The decline was driven mainly by a $14.208 billion drop in gold reserves, which fell to $123.476 billion, while...
ECB Enhances Repo Facility for Central Banks
On 14 February 2026, the ECB’s Governing Council approved an overhaul of the Eurosystem repo facility for central banks (EUREP). The revised framework introduces standing access for a broad set of non‑euro‑area central banks, provided they meet anti‑money‑laundering and sanctions...
US Supreme Court Says Next Friday Will Be a Decision Day
The U.S. Supreme Court announced three decision days—Feb. 20, 24, and 25—when it will issue opinions, though it has not disclosed which cases will be decided. Lawmakers in the House have voted against new tariffs and the Senate is expected...
Fed's Goolsbee Sees Encouraging and Concerning Parts of the CPI Report
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee highlighted a mixed CPI report, noting a modest 0.2% month‑over‑month rise in headline inflation and a steady 2.5% year‑over‑year rate. While core inflation matched expectations, services inflation remains elevated, keeping overall inflation around 3% and...
Stable Money Leads Gold & Silver ETF Surge on ONDC as Investors Turn to Safe, Regulated Products
Stable Money reported record transaction volumes in gold and silver ETFs as Indian investors gravitate toward SEBI‑regulated products amid near‑record precious‑metal prices. The platform now handles over 95% of mutual‑fund trades on the Open Network for Digital Commerce (ONDC), reflecting...
THINK Ahead: Green Shoots or Just Weeds? What This Week’s Data Signals
Economists spot early signs of recovery in the US labor market, with private payrolls accelerating, yet underlying job quality remains thin. The Federal Reserve is expected to deliver two 25‑basis‑point cuts, likely in June and September, as inflation stays modest....
US Inflation Details Offer Room for Deeper Fed Rate Cuts
U.S. consumer price inflation in January eased to 0.2% month‑on‑month, with core CPI matching expectations at 0.3% and both headline and core year‑on‑year rates falling to four‑year lows of 2.4% and 2.5%. Goods prices excluding food and energy were flat,...
EUR/GBP Bounces From Daily Lows as Eurozone GDP Supports the Euro
Eurozone preliminary GDP showed a 0.3 % QoQ rise in Q4 2025, matching expectations and nudging annual growth to 1.4 %. The United Kingdom posted a weaker 0.1 % QoQ increase, missing forecasts and pulling annual growth to 1 %. The data lifted the...
US January CPI +2.4% Y/Y vs +2.5% Expected
U.S. consumer price index for January rose 2.4% year‑over‑year, missing the 2.5% consensus, while month‑over‑month inflation eased to 0.2% against an expected 0.3%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, held steady at 2.5% y/y and 0.3% m/m, in line...
US CPI Data Expected to Show a Mild Decline in Inflation in January
U.S. consumer price index data for January showed annual inflation easing to 2.4% from 2.7% in December, missing the 2.5% market forecast. Monthly CPI rose 0.2% and core CPI remained at 2.5% year‑over‑year, matching expectations. The softer headline number nudged...
Silver Price Forecasts: XAG/USD Fails to Find Acceptance Above $79.00
Silver (XAG/USD) slipped to $77.35 on Friday, unable to sustain a breakout above the $79 resistance level. The metal is trapped below the 50‑period SMA at $81, reinforcing a bearish technical bias. A firm US Dollar Index and cautious market...
USD/CAD: Sideways Range with Tariff Risks – Rabobank
Rabobank analysts Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence project the USD/CAD pair to remain largely sideways throughout 2026, confined to a 1.36‑1.41 band. The outlook is driven by persistent US‑Canada trade tensions, a looming USMCA review, and a weakening U.S. dollar...
Polish Disinflation Continues Despite Upside Surprise in January CPI
Poland’s January flash CPI showed headline inflation at 2.2% YoY, modestly above the 1.9% consensus but still under the NBP’s 2.5% ± 1‑point target. The decline was driven by a 7.1% drop in gasoline prices, while food prices held steady at 2.4%...
OANDA Japan Changes Maximum Open Position Size for XAU/USD
OANDA Japan announced on February 13, 2026 that it is reducing the maximum open position size for the XAU/USD pair from 10,000 units (100 lots) to 3,000 units (30 lots). The broker cited unusually volatile price movements in the precious‑metals...
VM Vita Markets and HTFX (EU) Have Their Cyprus Investors Compensation Fund Membership Withdrawn
CySEC announced the withdrawal of Investors Compensation Fund membership for VM Vita Markets Ltd and HTFX (EU) Ltd after revoking their Cyprus Investment Firm licences. The regulator clarified that covered clients retain the right to compensation for transactions executed before...
US Dollar Credit Supply: Primary Market Shows Strong Start to 2026
US dollar primary market began 2026 with robust corporate issuance, totaling $56 bn in January, driven largely by technology, media and telecom (TMT) firms contributing $24 bn. Banks led the financial sector, printing $134 bn of senior non‑preferred bonds, a $20 bn year‑to‑date increase...
Rupee Closes Nearly Flat, Modest Depreciation Bias Lingers
India’s rupee ended Friday essentially unchanged, closing at 90.6350 per dollar, a slight dip from the prior session. The currency faced pressure from weak domestic equities, elevated interbank dollar demand, and maturing non‑deliverable forward contracts, while the Reserve Bank of...
We’re Trimming Our 2026 Romania Growth Forecast After a Bumpy End to 2025
Romania’s economy entered recession in early 2024 and posted a 1.9% quarterly contraction in Q4 2025, the steepest drop since 2012. Revised data also turned Q1 2025 growth negative, prompting analysts to slash the 2026 GDP outlook from 1.4% to 0.6%. The...
Japanese Broker Rakuten Securities to Change MT4 Login Method to Enhance Security
Rakuten Securities will overhaul the MetaTrader 4 login process. Beginning Saturday, February 28 2025, the broker will issue random passwords for its MT4, MT4 Securities CFD and MT4 Commodity CFD accounts. After Saturday, February 28 2026, direct MT4 logins will be permanently disabled, requiring traders...
Poland’s Economy Expanded by 4%YoY in the Final Quarter of 2025
Poland’s economy posted a 4.0% year‑on‑year increase in the fourth quarter of 2025, outpacing the 3.8% growth recorded in Q3. Quarterly expansion accelerated to 1.0% from 0.9% in the prior period, driven primarily by a surge in private consumption that...
Turkey’s Current Account Deficit Remains on a Widening Track
Turkey posted a December current‑account deficit of $7.3 bn, well above the $5.3 bn forecast, pushing the 12‑month rolling deficit to $25.2 bn (about 1.8 % of GDP). The gap widened mainly because the trade balance slipped to a $‑7.4 bn deficit and primary‑income balances...
Dollar Rises Against Dong on Black Market
The Vietnamese dollar rose 0.5% on the black market to VND 26,547 per U.S. dollar, while the official Vietcombank rate stayed at VND 26,160. The State Bank of Vietnam trimmed its reference rate marginally to VND 25,049. Globally, the greenback is set for...
Rates Spark: Dutch Pension Funds May Prepare Early for 2027 Transitions
Almost €1 trillion of Dutch pension assets are slated to transition by 2027, but early hedge rebalancing has already begun. Smaller funds moved interest‑rate hedges in December 2025, while larger players like PMT and PFZW are timing their flows for the first...
Pascal St-Jean to Assume Role of Coincheck Group CEO
Monex Group announced that Pascal St‑Jean, currently Coincheck’s Chief Growth Officer and CEO of 3iQ Corp, will assume the roles of CEO, President and Executive Director of Coincheck Group effective immediately. Gary Simanson, the incumbent CEO, will resign by March 31, 2026....
Asia Week Ahead: Key Growth Data From Japan
Japan is set to publish key macro data next week, including Q4 2025 GDP, export figures, and inflation. Analysts forecast a modest 0.3% quarter‑on‑quarter GDP rebound after a 0.6% contraction, driven by recovering construction and strong semiconductor exports. Inflation is expected...
Appointment to the Monetary Policy Board
The Reserve Bank of Australia announced that Professor Bruce Preston has been appointed to the Monetary Policy Board, effective immediately. Preston brings a distinguished academic record and extensive experience in public‑policy economics. Governor Michele Bullock also thanked outgoing board member...
MacroVoices #519 Alex Gurevich: The Next Perfect Trade
Alex Gurevich joins Erik Townsend and Patrick Ceresna on MacroVoices to outline his outlook for fixed‑income markets and the broader macro environment. He argues that the Federal Reserve will keep a restrictive policy stance into 2026, keeping inflation pressures in...
Release: Market Participants Survey
On November 9 2026 the Bank of Canada published its quarterly Market Participants Survey, a systematic outreach to a broad cross‑section of financial‑market actors. The survey solicits expectations on key macro‑economic indicators such as inflation, growth, and exchange rates, as well as...
Publication: Summary of Deliberations
The Bank of Canada released a detailed Summary of Deliberations outlining the Governing Council’s discussion of the monetary‑policy decision announced two weeks earlier. The document highlights the Council’s assessment of inflation trends, labour‑market tightness, and the domestic growth outlook. It...
Publication: Summary of Deliberations
The Bank of Canada’s Governing Council released a detailed summary of its monetary‑policy deliberations for the decision announced two weeks ago. The Council kept the policy interest rate steady at 4.75%, citing modest progress toward its 2% inflation target. Officials...
Interest Rate Announcement
On December 9, 2026 the Bank of Canada will release its next overnight rate target, one of eight scheduled policy announcements each year. The press release will outline the economic factors shaping the decision, including inflation trends, labour market conditions, and global...
Global Real Estate Set to Be Rewired by Digital Dollars
Digital stablecoins are being positioned as an operating system for global real‑estate finance. Projects like TransactionCOIN aim to replace wire transfers with instant, blockchain‑settled payments for deposits, closings, and rent. By compressing settlement cycles from weeks to minutes, stablecoins could...
Could a BRICS Currency Work?
The article probes the feasibility of a shared BRICS currency aimed at challenging the US dollar’s global dominance. While mainstream economists have long dismissed the concept, the bloc is actively seeking new settlement rails to lessen dollar dependence. Structural hurdles—including...
Piero Cipollone: Europe and Monetary Sovereignty
In a February 2026 speech, ECB Executive Board member Piero Cipollone warned that Europe’s monetary sovereignty is threatened by growing dependencies on foreign payment systems and digital assets. He argued that control over the euro, both in cash and digital...
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What To Expect From Friday's Report On Inflation
Economists expect the January Consumer Price Index to rise 2.5% year‑over‑year, a dip from December’s 2.7% and the lowest headline inflation since May 2021. Core CPI, which strips out food and energy, is also projected at 2.5%, matching the lowest...
Lower Unemployment Rate Supports Longer Pause for Fed
January’s jobs report showed 130,000 new positions, nearly double expectations, and a unemployment rate drop to 4.3%, down from 4.5% in January. The stronger labor market has pushed back market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s next rate cut from June...
ECB Appoints Thomas Broeng Jorgensen as Director General Specialised Institutions and Less Significant Institutions
The European Central Bank appointed Thomas Broeng Jorgensen as Director General for Specialised Institutions and Less Significant Institutions, effective 1 March 2026. In this role he will directly supervise specialised banks and coordinate the oversight of less‑significant banks through national supervisors. Jorgensen succeeds Patrick Amis,...
China Lets Yuan Rise to Strongest Level in Years as De-Dollarisation Trend Grows
China’s central bank set the yuan’s daily fixing at 6.9438 per dollar, the strongest level in 33 months, as the currency continued to appreciate. Offshore trading pushed the yuan to 6.909 per dollar, reflecting a broader rotation out of US...
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What Is World Liberty Financial? What to Know About The Trump Family's Crypto Firm
World Liberty Financial, the Trump family’s crypto venture, has applied for a national banking charter and launched WLFI Markets, a DeFi platform that lets users borrow and earn points using its USD 1 stablecoin and WLFI token. The WLFI token, which...
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Trump Expects An Economic Miracle From The New Fed Chair
President Donald Trump urged his Fed chair pick, Kevin Warsh, to deliver 15% annual GDP growth, a target rarely achieved outside wartime. The president’s demand follows criticism of current chair Jerome Powell and calls for aggressive rate cuts. Economists note...
Is a Dollar Vibe Shift Under Way?
The Atlantic Council’s GeoEconomics Center podcast explores whether a sustained dollar depreciation is emerging. Host Dan McDowell explains how a weaker greenback could reshape U.S. trade balances, investment flows, and national‑security calculations. The discussion highlights potential benefits for exporters alongside higher...
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What Is, and Isn’t Working in This Market
Investors pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average past the 50,000 mark for the first time, even as volatility surged. Despite the icy winds of market turbulence, many are still buying the dip, signaling stubborn optimism. Paul Hickey of Bespoke Investment...
Dollar Look Past Soft US Data, 10-Year Yield Dips
The U.S. dollar stayed firm in early trade despite flat retail sales, while the 10‑year Treasury yield slipped back below 4.2%. Market participants are largely ignoring the consumption miss, focusing instead on tomorrow’s delayed non‑farm payrolls as the primary driver...
Luis De Guindos: Interview with Econostream Media
ECB Vice‑President Luis de Guindos told Econostream that inflation has fallen to 1.7% headline and core inflation is edging toward the 2% target, while the euro‑area economy is proving more resilient than expected. He highlighted downside risks from geopolitical flashpoints and...