BofA Survey Turns Ultra‑Bearish on Dollar, Go Long
The BofA fund manager survey has never been this bearish on the dollar. It is time to bite your lip and start being a lonely dollar long. I have a sample size of one here, arguably a sample size of two, so roast me in the comments if you so please. But when you get surveys doing stuff like this on 13-14 years of monthlies, get some guts.
Oil Service Stocks Decouple From Oil
$DSPX $OIH the miracle of dispersion/factor and narrative herding- OIH, oil service companies (and XLE) have stopped caring about the price of oil https://t.co/KSEm3I1wDU
SPX and QQQ Stuck in Range, Trade Until Breakout
both $SPX and $QQQ sit in a chop chop range. The nimble can trade the range until clarity arrives.
XLK Tests $140 Support, Vulnerable After Churning
$XLK Daily. Contrast recent churning along $140 support for tech ETF vs. previous V-shaped (arrows) bounced off dips. Leaning down against it, vulnerable https://t.co/YjcqDeoMNZ
2026 Marks Second-Strongest Equal-Weight Outperformance Since 1990
2026 has so far seen the second strongest relative performance for equal weight versus cap weight since 1990 That timing didn’t suck. https://t.co/zuhbqozekK
Chinese Investors Surge Gold ETF Holdings by 52%
The Chinese are buying gold ETFs like HOT CAKES. According to the World Gold Council, China’s gold ETF holdings rose from 188.8 tonnes at the end of August 2025 to 286.3 tonnes by the end of January, a 52% increase. BUY GOLD,...
XLV's Quiet Consolidation Sets Up Defensive Rotation Play
Healthcare ETF $XLV has been quietly consolidating to kick off 2026. If we see more defensive rotation, this is the kind of structure that could benefit. (disclosure: long) https://t.co/keFGRkr7dy
Small‑cap Value Poised for Violent Surge Post‑tech Dominance
Russell 2000 $IWM slightly ahead of Nasdaq $QQQ since 2000 and now ahead year-on-year. But the path was dramatic. From 2000–2006 → Small caps crushed tech after the dot-com bust Since 2006, small caps have underperformed large-cap growth for two decades, and severely...
Follow a Disciplined Buy‑sell Ladder for Steady Growth
1. Price drops 5% → Hold 2. Price drops 15% → Add 10% 3. Price drops 25% → Add 25% 4. Price rises 5% → Hold 5. Price rises 15% → Hold 6. Price rises 25% → Sell 10% 7. Price rises 35% → Sell 20% 8....
Volatility Crush Signals March Put Flies; KRE Short
$KRE from my Feb 13th morning note: "So, when vol gets crushed, it’s time to reload put flies for March. And, to tie this all in, a nice trade for all of the above are some KRE negative deltas, because...
QQQ May Hold $605 or Slip to Lower Range
$qqq channel intact. Will today be easy and hold $605ish. Or back to low end of the box and range https://t.co/6H9MUXu9Oo
IQMM's $17B Debut Driven by ProShares, Not Organic
Wild, the $17b that $IQMM took in on its first day of trading has it leading 1D, 1W and 1M flows instantly and is now 2nd in YTD. ProShares lined up all their funds and bought IQMM for each's cash...
Tariff Shock Sparks Bitcoin Drop, Metals Rally
Last weeks tariff news still has ripples reverberating through. While the volatility hit Bitcoin as yesterday saw 65k fall through. $NVO comes up short in a head to head trial with $LLY while the Gold and Silver trade looking like...
Weekly Market Signals Beat SPX Six Weeks Straight
The Weekly Market Signals have outperformed $SPX for 6 weeks. +3.3% YTD (no leverage). https://t.co/WO1W4p4jFI $SPY $TLT $GLD $DBC $VEU $IEF $UUP
New Signals for Bonus Momentum-Mean Reversion Strategy
Bonus momentum and mean-reversion switching strategy update and new signals. https://t.co/ubChitFCXs $SPY $TLT $GLD $TLT
Invest $5 Daily, Turn $5k Into $100k
Over the last 784 days, l've invested $5/day in $VGT to show that you don't need a lot of money to start investing. These purchases made me over $800 so far. Balance is at $4.8k. It will grow to $100k in...
AI Security Tool Triggers Sharp Drop in US Cyber Stocks
‼️US Cybersecurity stocks are getting CRUSHED by AI fears: CrowdStrike fell -8.0% on Friday, Cloudflare -8.1%, Okta -9.2%, and SailPoint -9.4% after Anthropic unveiled a new Claude AI security tool that scans codebases for vulnerabilities and suggests patches. The Cybersecurity ETF, $BUG,...
T‑Bills Yield Over 3%—Skip Low‑Rate Savings
The national average savings account interest is 0.39%. Yet T-bills are paying ~3.6% and no state/local taxes. Can buy them from TreasuryDirect or your broker. Or Treasury ETF (e.g $VBIL) or Treasury MMF (e.g $VUSXX) pay ~3.64%. Don't let your savings earn pennies.
Bitcoin 40% Undervalued Amid Strong ETF Inflows
According to the Bitwise model, Bitcoin currently looks noticeably “cheaper than usual” - by about 40%. The idea is simple: if you look at how much money has flowed into #BTC exchange-traded funds since the beginning of 2024, the price...
BTC Poised for 65‑70K Range, Bullish on 72K Break
BULL CASE: ETF inflows sustain, 72K breaks, CLARITY Act passes, whales' 236K BTC accumulation since December proves prescient. BEAR CASE: Tariff uncertainty persists, institutions keep distributing into retail buying, 65,600 USD breaks and opens a path to 60K. MY CALL: Range-bound between...
ETF/ETP Trading Volume Halves in Weekly Pullback
The ETF/ETP market closed this week with a significant pullback from last weeks performance. A total of 3.837 million units valued at ₦547.380 million were traded across 5,252 deals this week. This represents a notable decline compared to the previous week (ended...
Surge in 4x ETF Filings Stuns SEC Approval Process
More 4x ETF filings. This filing was from @DirexionLETFs. Some crypto, some sectors. I'm still not sure how any of these filings get through the SEC but i guess time will well https://t.co/TLPn8sailv
ProShares Shifts $17B to IQMM for Cash Management
Mystery solved via Ben re the $17b in $IQMM on Day One. The call is coming from inside the house, literally, ProShares own funds are all now using IQMM now for their cash positions. Big time BYOA and not as...
MFs Adding ETF Share Classes Will Trigger Massive Drainage
Prepping for presentation I found this slide from last year, it's a bit strong but I stand by it re what will be the main impact of MFs adding on ETF share classes (which should kick off in next few...
Korea Call Delivers Near‑double EWY Gains Since August
Since our bullish call on Korea last August… EWY +99.27% SPY +7.78% Money counting time. https://t.co/EKTw9HANNh
VanEck Launches $WARP Space ETF, Joins UFO Rivals
NEW: @vaneck_us files for a space ETF. Will have an awesome ticker -- $WARP. This will compete on some level with a handful of products like $UFO, $ARKX & $UFOD https://t.co/POFTNx77Nb
Coinbase Secures Over 80% of US ETF Assets
Coinbase custodies 80%+ of the U.S. BTC and ETH ETF assets, and saw a peak of $31B inflows from ETFs in 2025. Proud to be the chosen partner for many ETF providers, including some of the largest financial institutions and goverments,...
Even on a Log Scale, Growth Still Accelerates
You may look at this and think “meh” initially. Then you look again and realize its a log plot anddddd it’s still bending upwards… 🤯
New Low-Cost, Tax-Efficient Benchmark ETF Arrives June 30
There has been near zero coverage in the endowment and foundation world about there now being a low-cost, tax-efficient investable benchmark ETF. June 30th can't come soon enough...
SCOTUS Tariff Ruling Sparks Volatile XRT Intraday Swings
Markets can be tricky... SCOTUS tariffs ruling giveth...then taketh away... SPDR S&P Retail ETF intraday...upside volatility...that has been slowly eroded in the last 45 min...now trading where it was before announcement. Let's see how things shake out by closing bell 🤔 $XRT https://t.co/d2XrrhSSlC
Two US Spot SUI ETFs Launch with Staking
For those that missed it earlier this week. We now have two spot SUI ETFs with staking in the US. $SUIS from @CanaryFunds and $GSUI from @Grayscale. They both launched as ETFs on 2/18 https://t.co/fPEHSnq8Iu
Current Feb Mirrors Century‑Long SPY Performance Trends
$SPX.X $SPY Feb performance by day 100 years overlaid on MTD action of SPY https://t.co/x1W4uABOCj
ETF Fees Halt Decline as Higher‑cost Products Gain Traction
The race to zero has hit a wall as the asset weighted average ETF fee has finally stopped its descent and even reversed a bit (this chart is one of the scariest, albeit slow moving ones for Wall St, equiv...
BDC's Wind‑down Follows Its Disclosed Liquidity Plan
To be clear, the fund being referenced is *not* an interval fund, it is a BDC. This may seem like splitting hairs because they are both lumped together as evergreen/semi-liquid fund structures, but there are important distinctions - much in the...
Energy and Materials Surge as Tech Falters in 2026
This is a pretty cool chart to show your investment committee. A classic stock price-to-corporate profits image that reveals extended conditions reminiscent of the turn of the century. If this chart has any prescience, we should remember that the leaders...
Consumer Staples Lead 2026 with Record‑Breaking 13% Jump
The consumer staples sector is off to its best start to a calendar year BY FAR. $XLP is up 13.3% so far in 2026. Next best year is 2013 at 7.8%.
Beginner's Guide: All 11 SPDR S&P 500 Sector ETFs
📊 If you are a beginner and want to learn the key Sector ETFs to track. Below is a good starting point. Here is the full suite of SPDR S&P 500 Sector ETFs from State Street: $XLK – Technology $XLC – Communication Services $XLY...
Trade the Range Now, Skip Breakout Expectations
📺 STOP WAITING FOR THE BREAKOUT, TRADE THE RANGE FOR NOW Get today's newsletter: https://t.co/Rqp84Wg39F My core message to everyone today: stop expecting big follow-through and start trading the range that’s actually in front of you. That’s the environment right now: quick pushes,...
Simple, Low‑cost ETFs Outpace Fancy Strategies
I'll say it 1,000 times... Simple > complicated. A few low-cost ETFs, consistent contributions, and patience beat most “fancy” strategies. Boring plans quietly build six-figure accounts.
Big Tech Lagged S&P; Past Winners Not Guaranteed
S&P 500 is up 77% over the last 5 years. These tech stocks didn't beat it: Amazon: +27% Netflix: +46% And these stocks got destroyed: Nike: -55% Disney: -42% PayPal: -86% Shopify: -18% Past winners aren't always future winners.
ETF Inflows Double Historic Pace in First Six Weeks
Here's ETF flows for the first six weeks of the year historically. This year is off to the best start almost by double. One reason is growing depth of cash vacuum cleaners. VOO, SPYM hoovering as always but there's already...
Oil's High Risk Premium Clashes With Market Near-Highs
Oil has a big risk premium in it in terms of vol and skew. Meanwhile SPUs, IWM, VXUS all near ATHs Feels like a tense contradiction. https://t.co/6lmCdFZUnm
Glick Forecasts QQQ All‑time Highs, Remains Short
Glick's Picks Prediction: New All-time highs coming for the QQQs this year. But Kenny Glick @HitTheBidRadio is Short right now. See what will change his mind LIVE on The Morning Show @StockMktTV Here's the link: https://t.co/C495u7NDBU https://t.co/Wr4Es0KkTd
EW Tech Beats S&P 500 Amid Ongoing Rotation
Despite the YTD losses in the Tech sector, the EW Tech sector (the avg Tech stock) is outperforming the S&P 500 this year. Plenty of Tech names to own that remain in an uptrend as a market rotation continues to...
Lyons Share Daily Pre‑Market Outlook for 2/18/2025
(PREMIUM) The Lyons Share Daily Pre-Market Outlook & Charts videos for 2/18/2025 are up: https://t.co/vi4S276f8t… Among markets covered: $RFV $QQQ $RSP $SPY $VIX $XLU $IGV $XLP $XLE $GDX $SIL $EWU $EWW $DXY $GLD $SLV $PLTM $PALL $EMB
New QQQ Tactics and Sell Rules for Trade
$qqq gave many ways to tactically adjust yesterday around a few key pivots. Now u can use some sell rules to manage the trade https://t.co/qldCOKB0UE
Buffett's Final 13F Shows Massive Cash, Net Stock Sales
dividendology_yt 🚨 Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway recently released their latest Form 13F. With Buffett retiring at the end of 2025, this document reveals the LAST moves Buffett made before he stepped down. I spent hours reviewing it, and found 10 key takeaways for...
BlackRock Seeds iShares Staked Ethereum Trust with $100K
BIG: BlackRock affiliate purchases 4,000 seed shares of the iShares Staked Ethereum Trust for $100K, providing initial capital for upcoming staked ETH ETF (ticker: ETHB) Source: The Block https://t.co/etT8T4zhjU
Chinese Capital Sneaks Into Bitcoin via Offshore IBIT Vehicle
Something caught my eye in the latest 13F filings. The biggest new entrant into IBIT, from a brand new entity, is something called Laurore Ltd. No website. No press. No footprint. The only public information is that the filer's name is...
Google Updates Top Holdings with New Stocks
Googles Top holdings was just updated $ASTS $PL $RVMD $ARM $FRSH Other notable names : $PATH $OSCR $GTLB $TEM