
On balance, Bitcoin can take a couple of months to bottom even after a sharp decline. A couple of things to watch: MSTR has tended to lead Bitcoin at key turning points. IBIT — the largest Bitcoin ETF with roughly $69B in assets — has seen about $2.7B in outflows over the past 21 days. I’d like to see those fund flows stabilize and shift positive for a reliable bottom.

For swing traders, there's a time and place; this ain't it. If you are concerned about a rip-your-face rally on a resolution, then buy $SPY. Intraday volatility is high. Yesterday, the $IWM was up $7 from the lows but still $3...

So @ARKInvest did a larger amount of trading today in their ETFs than i typically notice. Particularly large moves in $ARKG but also a lot of trading in $ARKK. $ARKG added over 1% in $BNTX and $LLY while selling...

$VXUS international ETF clean hold on 20sma weekly, again, clean line in sand for your radar and natural stop for swings under that line. https://t.co/RWEeeRI0sD

Precious metals are down today. This means a generational shift in the money flow. With all the war talk the money usually moves first and then we see the news. This is 100% signaling something:

$SPY - The part that's tough for me is the defensive tilt that's taken place this year in the S&P 500. It's easier to "ignore" these days as "event driven" etc. when that isn't the case but with $XLK, $XLF,...

Intriguing, $ACWI (and $28b old dog ETF I rarely think about) saw record volume today. Maybe bc it fell 2%, which is bad but not Code Red.. my guess is a model rotated out of it. We've seen a lot...

there are 23 stocks in the $QQQ that are +4%+ from their intraday lows... https://t.co/SGN4Kt6jhn
Yes. Pretty amazing that $spy reclaimed $675 to relieve some pressure. Now it’s $682+ to manage

New study update: Adding bitcoin to a 60/40 portfolio has increased cumulative and risk-adjusted returns in 100% of three-year holding periods. The win rate over two years is 93%! Updated study from @Bitwise with data through year-end 2025. Link and details...

The rock solid complacent trends like $GLD, $EEM, and $ACWX all getting flushed today as the dollar rips another day https://t.co/f6LhWCRZLV

that's a mighty big surge of utilities $XLU vs. S&P 500 $SPX in the past 4-weeks (middle panel) - it's a bearish condition for the #betarotation model and if you haven't read their analysis @charliebilello @leadlagreport - i'd say you...

$QQQ gap below the level. We were "supposed to" see follow through higher today or a hold. A gap down is negative. Still below the 21ema. See how we close https://t.co/2PaRAvRI6S
Hey Friends. Been digging through the $KORU Docs. With Kospi and MSCI Korea 25/50 down sharply overnight this thing is looking like a down 30% day. As far as I can tell its NAV and Rebalance timing is...

seeing the S&P 500 $SPX % stocks at 52-week highs increase again... remember sector rotation is a healthy thing and if you're going to be negative on stocks, you'd better show me the equal-weighted index is bearish (hint: it's not)......
📉 KORU -31% — bearish macro ETF collapsing as risk assets sell off — Korea 📉 MDB -27% — MongoDB stock down on earnings/guide disappointment. 📉 MAIA -24% — biotech off after weak data/metrics. 📉 SGRY -24% — surgery partner stock sold post...
Back in the day, Goldman Sachs was the premier Wall Street bad guy. The investment bank attracted endless scrutiny of the supposedly conflicting and asymmetric arrangements that powered its broker dealer operations. Key among these were its primary dealer arrangements....
Kharg Island is a 'choke point' for Iran's oil exports, says VanEck Funds CEO https://t.co/rI4JYhLG71

Last week we looked at names that might be added in this month's S&P 500 rebalance. The announcement will come after Friday's close. Here are some of the top eligible names and their projected weights as of last week and...

$USO 3rd-best day since March 2022... multi-year high close... remember when everyone hated this ETF? More from me on @stockcharts: https://t.co/2c4CuouCWe https://t.co/r8CEDMAgDm

60/40 ETF getting slapped around today, though.. $AOR -0.55%.. boomers will be up in arms https://t.co/VDifb3Gz9N

We remain long of Oil in $BNO terms and short of the US Consumer via $XLY https://t.co/wvSfyWS2xT

Here is a very normal chart that we shouldn't debate or scrutinize in any way. https://t.co/2F9rD46Rcq
People actually sold $SPY , bought $TLT and Bought $GLD and bought $USO on the open. Who the heck are these people?
Lots of chatter on ETFs being seeded via 351. Makes sense-we've seen a large increase in activity (and press e.g., @justinaknope @denitsa_tsekova). Here is an older article that talks about the top 10 ways to screw these up. https://t.co/pcyPnnrYtg Note: Economic substance...
Back Shorting SPY Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash -9 handles (a big rally from the lows of -70 handles) I am back shorting (SPY) calls. By Doug Kass Mar 2, 2026 11:21 AM EST @guyadami @dougkass

Russell 1000 $IWB as has been the case every single day in 2026, we're seeing more highs than lows... https://t.co/3E04oJLnNX

$SHLD hit 80 this morning, last week's ETF buy...and another options flow signal that a strike on Iran was imminent https://t.co/X4FCStX2RJ

Geopolitical shocks feel scary… but history says bottoms come faster than you think. Avg S&P drawdown: -4.6% Avg time to bottom: 19 days Avg recovery: 40 days 6–12 months later? Mostly positive.

Bonus momentum and mean-reversion switching strategy update and new signals. $SPY $TLT $GLD $TLT Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/KwWAobjSkn

Weekly Market Report: Weekend Wars. Strategic allocation +7.7% YTD, Tactical allocation +4.3% YTD. More details and some free access in the link in reply below. 👇 $SPY $VEU $GLD $TLT https://t.co/gZFEG6wHe1
🚨 UPDATE: On February 2nd I told you to buy OIH and XLE. Since then: OIH: +14% XLE: +10% Crude oil: 7-month highs And in my opinion, we’re just getting started. Here’s why I’m not selling yet:

$QQQ @marketsurge #IBDPartner Such a clear chart of massive breakout and then massive base. Price smack middle of channel now with 200sma 587 as key support https://t.co/g4AzAXM9aK

Monthly hybrid allocation signals +2.6% in February, versus a loss of 0.9% for $SPY ETF. YTD +6.8% versus 0.6% for SPY ETF. Sharpe ratio is 1.73 since Jan 2020 vs. 0.88 for SPY. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/307eeSFnzN

Software ETF $IGV tagged 52 week-year lows and then reversed hard by Friday. We break down what it means for the sector, how it fits into the broader tape, and a few ideas we’re watching to kick off March. 📺 Watch...
The Stock Market Right Now The sexy are messy - $XLK $XLY $XLF The boring are beautiful - $XLV $XLB $XLE $XLP $XLI

$TLT - Closed the month above the yearly pivot at 88.18. The next upside target is the 1st yearly resistance at 93.07. The 2nd yearly resistance is 98.98. It looks bullish at the moment but you never know how high...

Equal-weighted SPX is holding up despite the Software/Mag 7 decline now spreading to NVDA and to Banks. Resilient... but Financials have been drubbed this year. Here's @IBDinvestors @marketsurge new charts of $KBWB Banks- https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm I discuss Financials & when i...
February... Silver $SLV: +13% Energy $XLE: +10% Gold $GLD: +9% International Developed $VEA: +6% EM $IEMG: +6% Oil $USO: +3% Bonds $AGG: +2% S&P 500 $SPY: -1% Nasdaq 100 $QQQ: -2% Financials $XLF: -4% Mag 7 $MAGS: -7% Software $IGV: -10% Bitcoin $IBIT: -22% Fartcoin $FART: -31%
JPM: Software (IGV) — Sentiment +10% | Net flows +1.5z | ETF volume +4z (1yr lookback) Semis (SMH) — Sentiment -7% | Net flows -0.3z | ETF volume +1z I call that "green shoots" and made for a great $NFLX long, $NVDA short...

International vs US small caps.. nice rounded bottom favoring $VSS Same return back to late 2016 https://t.co/mkK1YD3ZSt

Related to the $GS post, subset of selling in XLF in the last 30 days. https://t.co/iuSWLKwbpm

The majority of S&P 500 sector ETFs were +5.7% or more in February @Koyfincharts https://t.co/003sR1VAW7

Story of the month.. 8/11 S&P 500 sector ETFs up today.. Financials, Tech, Discretionary down @Koyfincharts https://t.co/9XD507Xfoo

Gold $GLD just another record monthly high.. by a mile. 7-month winning streak... +9% in February https://t.co/K0ucOz3DnD
Seasonality is a historical tendency and not a guarantee. Feb is statistically a bad month for the $QQQ and this one looks to add to the stat on the negative side.
Passive has been tough to beat -for sure—but 20 years ago I did a study “What Happened to the Original Stocks in the S&P 500 index” and the recent experience is far from unique. The committee members are human still.
6 of the 11 S&P sectors are green right now in this moment of time. $XLU $XLP $XLV $XLRE $XLC $XLB. $XLE flat the others red

Strong inflows have been observed in spot #BTC ETFs for 3 consecutive days - according to SoSoValue. https://t.co/aMS6a1BS9V

MSCI index rebalance TODAY Cherry picking $INTC has 5.5M shares to buy for the MSCI tonite a notable "few" sells $GOOG $META https://t.co/OEKl7nD5AW