Tesla Is Down Sharply in 2026. JPMorgan Sees the Stock Falling Another 60%
Tesla’s shares have slumped sharply in 2026 as JPMorgan reiterated an underweight stance and kept a $145 price target, implying about a 60% decline from the latest close. The bank cut its 2026 earnings‑per‑share forecast to $1.80, below consensus, after the automaker delivered roughly 358,000 vehicles in Q1, missing the 370,000 expected. While JPMorgan acknowledges Tesla’s differentiated model and technology, it warns that expansion into lower‑priced, high‑volume segments heightens execution and competitive risks. The outlook contrasts with the broader analyst community, where most still rate the stock positively despite a 20% YTD drop.
Turn Your HSA Into a Tax‑Free Compounding Machine
91% of people use their HSA wrong. Here is how to turn this account into a tax free compounding machine. 👇
Saudi Oil Price Surge Signals Phase Three Economic Fallout
From the Bloomberg article on “Saudi Arabia rais[ing] the price of its main oil grade to Asia to a record high premium.” This price development coincides with more Asian governments worrying about physical energy supplies—marking part of what I’ve termed "Phase...
Trading The Shit Show: April 2026 Market Update
The author highlights that his 26‑stock watchlist is beating the S&P 500 by roughly 7.7%, while macro forces are diverging. The escalating Iran‑Israel conflict is driving oil price spikes, inflating CPI expectations, raising bond yields and compressing equity multiples. Simultaneously, the...
Monthly MACD/PPO Red Bars Signal Upcoming Trouble
Chart referred to by @StocktonKatie on a recent @excessreturnpod. Monthly $SPX with percent price oscillator (PPO). Katie used MACD. I prefer PPO over long time periods, but same message. Nothing bad happens until monthly MACD/PPO is red. First red bars...
Stick to Quality: 27 Years of Market‑Beating Returns
Francois Rochon has beaten the market over the past 27 years He built his edge by staying within his circle, focusing on quality businesses that grow above the rate of the market, and avoiding terrible businesses with poor economics Learn more about...
US Blames Mexico for Self-Inflicted Wound in Trade
The U.S. Trade Representative released its annual Non‑Tariff Measures report, dramatically expanding the section on Mexico, the United States’ biggest commercial partner. The report reiterates long‑standing grievances—an opaque regulatory system and caps on foreign investment in the energy sector—framing them...
Vol‑Control Funds Keep Selling as RV Spread Doubles
At the start of the year 1M RV was printing 8-9%. It has more than doubled. Vol-control funds are required by mandate to keep cutting equity exposure until that spread closes. Wouldn't be surprised to see this "unwind" a little...
America’s Currency Is the Global South’s Problem
The article argues that although the U.S. dollar’s share of global foreign reserves has been slipping since its 2001 peak, the decline is incremental, ensuring the greenback’s dominance for the foreseeable future. Nations in the Global South cannot simply wait...
4 Trade Ideas for Aflac: Bonus Idea
Aflac (NYSE:AFL) is emerging from a recent pullback, with the price climbing above the $110.50 resistance level. Technical gauges show the RSI moving into bullish territory while the MACD remains negative but trending upward. The stock’s short interest is modest...
BlackRock Files to Challenge Invesco’s Nasdaq 100 ETF Monopoly
BlackRock has filed with the SEC to launch an iShares Nasdaq 100 ETF, ticker IQQ, marking its first pure Nasdaq 100 product in the U.S. market. The move challenges Invesco’s long‑standing dominance of the index, which currently powers the $374 billion QQQ Trust...
Oil Peaks and Market Bottoms - Lessons From 1990
U.S. equity indexes snapped a five‑week losing streak on Friday, with all three major benchmarks turning positive as investors priced in a possible reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. The Nasdaq posted its largest intraday reversal since April 2025 after...
Hope for a U.S.-Iran Deal, Apple's Anniversary, OpenAI's Podcast Deal and More in Morning Squawk
Investors are eyeing a potential 45‑day U.S.–Iran cease‑fire as oil prices wobble, while Apple celebrates its 50th anniversary amid AI and supply‑chain pressures. OpenAI announced the acquisition of the TBPN tech podcast, signaling a push into media content. Meanwhile, Chinese...
International Equities Back in Focus as Market Leadership Shifts
AllianceBernstein’s recent due‑diligence session highlighted a dramatic shift in equity markets, with the MSCI EAFE index gaining 32% in 2025, outpacing the S&P 500’s 18% rise. International stocks continue to trade at roughly a 30% discount to U.S. equities on a...
US Bonds Steady as Traders Bet War Uncertainty Keeps Fed on Hold
Bond traders entered the week betting the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates on hold, leaving two‑year Treasury yields near 3.86% and 10‑year yields around 4.34%. The market’s steadiness reflects lingering uncertainty from the Iran‑U.S. conflict, especially after President Trump...
Tarbox Family Office Inc. Cuts Stake in Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF $VIG
Tarbox Family Office reduced its Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG) stake by 40.5% in the fourth quarter, selling 5,068 shares and now holding 7,457 shares worth roughly $1.64 million. Other advisors increased positions, with Leo Wealth adding $8.47 million and Walkner Condon...
BMI Ups Global Diesel Price Forecast
BMI analysts at Fitch raised the 2026 global diesel price forecast to $111 per barrel, a 25 percent increase from the prior $89 estimate, citing an extended U.S.–Iran conflict that tightens Strait of Hormuz flows. The conflict, now projected to last...
RA Capital Boosts Wave Stake Amid Clinical Setback
🚨Here is an interesting report from this week’s @barronsonline regarding a major investment made in $WVE by RA Capital - despite Wave’s recent disappointing clinical readout of its obesity candidate $WVE-007 🧵👇. According to the report RA Capital has raised...
Oil Smugglers, Hoarders in Thailand Worsen Supply Crisis as Anutin Warns of Tough Times
Thai Prime Minister Anutin Charnvirakul warned that the nation’s fuel crisis will deepen as diesel prices surged to a record 50 baht per litre (about $1.54). Justice Minister Rutthaphon Naowarat said roughly 57‑58 million litres of oil appear to have...
Talk Your Book: Income and Momentum
The latest Compound Media podcast examined two distinct income‑focused strategies. Motley Fool Asset Management explained its rules‑based momentum approach, using the MFMO ETF to layer momentum on a high‑quality stock universe while managing turnover and downside risk. Eaton Vance discussed...
Backtested Bollinger Bands Trading Strategy
The article outlines a backtested Bollinger Bands strategy applied to the S&P 500, using a 1.5‑standard‑deviation lower band to trigger long entries and a strength‑based exit rule. Over 561 trades the system produced an average gain of 0.52% per trade,...
Singapore Fuel Prices Surge, Threatening Shipping Operations
singapore shipping fuel market going off the chart—this is shipping fuel shortage live. at that price, shippers will defer orders, park their ships and either wait till the war is over or go out of business.
OIL PRICE WATCH: Diesel Hikes on April 7 Near P20/Liter
Philippine oil majors announced diesel price hikes of roughly P20 per liter (≈ $0.36) effective April 7, with Shell Pilipinas leading at P19.80, followed by Petron, Seaoil and Jetti. Gasoline and kerosene prices also rose double‑digit, ranging from P4.90 to P5.90 and P8.10 to...
PSEi Falls Below 6,000 as War Fears Rattle Markets
The Philippine Stock Exchange Index slipped below the 6,000 mark, closing at 5,948.33 after a 0.84% decline driven by heightened Middle East war concerns. Trading activity stalled, with net‑value turnover dropping to roughly $78 million, well under the year‑to‑date average of...
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Using Your 401(k) for a Down Payment Could Cost Your Retirement Savings More Than You Think
A Trump administration official has floated a policy that would let Americans withdraw 401(k) funds for home‑down payments without the usual 10% early‑withdrawal penalty. While the proposal aims to ease entry into a market where mortgage rates exceed 6% and...
Stock Movers: Soleno, Tyson, Applied Opto (Podcast)
Soleno Therapeutics (SLNO) jumped up to 32% in pre‑market trading after the Financial Times reported that Neurocrine is in advanced talks to acquire the biotech for a price in the low‑to‑mid $50s per share, valuing the company at more than...
BlackRock Targets Invesco's QQQ Monopoly with New ETF
SHOCK: BlackRock is planning a Nasdaq 100 ETF in direct challenge to Invesco’s monopoly w $QQQ(M). Big boy product battle for a unique index, that’s not beta, not tech but it crushes everything. Big variable will be fee. My early...
Ask an Advisor: Can I Invest in a Real Estate Project Within My Roth IRA? Will the Future Growth and...
A self‑directed Roth IRA can be used to fund a commercial real‑estate build, but only if the property title is transferred to the IRA. The investor must avoid any prohibited transactions with disqualified persons, meaning they cannot lend to themselves,...
A New Partnership Is Making Homeownership an Employee Benefit
Foyer, a dedicated home‑ownership savings app, has teamed with Nayya’s AI‑driven benefits platform to launch a workplace perk that helps employees save for a first‑home down payment, improve credit, and navigate the buying process. The offering functions like a 401(k)...
Moody’s Raises Ryder’s Debt Level that Had Been in Place Since COVID
Moody’s upgraded Ryder System’s senior unsecured debt rating to Baa1 from Baa2, restoring the pre‑pandemic level first set in 2020. The agency cited the company’s successful shift toward logistics and dedicated transport, which now represent about 60% of revenue, reducing...
US-Listed ETF Inflows Cool in March as Geopolitical Risks Reshape Investor Playbook
US-listed ETF inflows slowed sharply in March, totaling $104 billion—about 40% below the six‑month average. The dip reflects heightened geopolitical tension and rising yields, prompting investors toward defensive sectors such as energy, utilities, and defence, while technology and emerging‑market funds saw...
Crude‑Gold Ratio Hits Historic Peak, Signals 2026 Reversal
Worthy Reversion Spark? Stocks vs. Gold, GDP, Crude Mean reversion can be profound when it's from historical extremes, and the relationship between crude oil and gold may suggest a reverse wealth effect that defines 2026. The roughly 86x January high in...
Weekly Safety Checklist Guides New Buying Decisions
a weekly glance at our "Is It Safe for New Buying?" checklist... $TSX $QQQ $SPX $IWM https://t.co/yLHZnEqQGw
Acuity Brands Stock Is Dropping—Here's Why That Might Be Good News
Acuity Brands (AYI) saw its shares slip to $268.15 as revenue growth disappoints, yet analysts still see a valuation gap, with price targets averaging $369. The company’s strong cash flow supports sustainable dividends and buybacks that have already reduced the...
Ceasefire Triggers Oil Drop, Dollar Decline, EM Rally
A ceasefire is coming. Two things will get repriced quickly when that happens. Oil futures will tumble and the Dollar will fall sharply. The latter is up on safe haven inflows to the US. All those inflows will unwind very...
US Hormuz Deadline Extended, Markets Shift to Dollar, Oil
Cease-Fire Hopes Blunt US Ultimatum: The US deadline on Tehran for re-opening the Strait of Hormuz has subtly shifted until tomorrow. The holiday-thinned market initially bought dollars and oil and took risk off in response to the continued attacks and…...
Goldman Sachs BDC: Downside Risks Remain If NAV Growth Doesn't Improve
Goldman Sachs BDC (GSBD) remains a hold as it trades at a record 28.6% discount to net asset value, reflecting persistent headwinds from high interest rates and sluggish new investment activity. Despite a lofty 15.8% dividend yield that is still...
Higher Oil Prices Mask Saudi’s Net Loss
Do NOT be fooled by those calculations. They are statistically biased and ignore many factors. The net is a loss. Will cover the details in today's Daily Energy Report. https://t.co/pVftS4kIhA
Prioritize Data, Plan for Every Scenario
The Bottom? - What to look for / focus on the data. - Have a process and plan for all conditions... 🔗Post in profile Good luck to all this week. https://t.co/Ie0gTW3rlG
Singapore Stocks Rise Amid Mixed Regional Showing; STI up 0.5%
Singapore’s benchmark Straits Times Index rose 0.5% to 4,972.40 points on Monday, buoyed by a 3.1% gain in Yangzijiang Shipbuilding, which closed at S$3.95 (≈$2.92). The iEdge Singapore Next 50 outperformed, climbing 1.3% as Pan‑United surged 5.6% to S$1.71 (≈$1.26). Overall...
Cease‑fire Hopes Lift Market, but Negotiators Remain Doubtful
Hope of a cease-fire between US/Israel and Iran has captured the imaginations of the holiday-thinned market today. The negotiators themselves reported are not optimistic. $USD gave back earlier gains and is posting a possible outside down day. See https://t.co/Km1zBLaVJG...
PSLF Strategy in 2026: New Employer Rule, RAP Plan, and Parent PLUS Changes
The episode breaks down upcoming changes to Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) that will take effect in 2026, focusing on four eligibility pillars: loan type, repayment plan, employer status, and payment certification. Key updates include the retirement of the SAVE...
Record 6% of 401(k) Participants Took Hardship Withdrawals in 2025, Vanguard Reports
Vanguard’s 2025 retirement report shows a record 6% of plan participants made 401(k) hardship withdrawals, up 20% from the previous year. The average withdrawal was $1,900, while average account balances grew 13% to $167,970. Experts warn the trend could erode...
Trump Sets Tuesday Deadline to Reopen Strait of Hormuz as Jet Fuel Prices Double
President Donald Trump gave Iran a Tuesday 8 p.m. ET deadline to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a move that comes as jet fuel prices have more than doubled to $4.57 per gallon. The deadline has already triggered a wave of...
Novo Nordisk: Downgrading To 'Sell' As GLP-1 Pipeline Faces Many Risks
Novo Nordisk was downgraded from Buy to Sell as its GLP‑1 pipeline encounters multiple headwinds. The CagriSema obesity candidate failed to prove non‑inferior weight loss against Eli Lilly’s tirzepatide in the REDEFINE‑4 trial, dampening pipeline momentum. Meanwhile, the oral Wegovy launch is...
Insider Sales at EverCommerce and Liquidia Total $2.76 Million, Prompting Trader Scrutiny
EverCommerce President Matthew Feierstein sold 20,000 shares for about $229,000 and Liquidia Chairman Stephen Bloch sold 70,234 shares worth roughly $2.53 million. Both filings were made via SEC Form 4 and suggest routine portfolio adjustments rather than a shift in confidence, but...
VinFast Sells 3,520 EVs in a Day, Eyes $500 M India Plant to Scale Operations
VinFast moved 3,520 electric vehicles in a single 24‑hour window in Vietnam, proving its production‑logistics coordination. The company is now backing a $500 million, 150,000‑vehicle‑per‑year plant in Tamil Nadu, India, to replicate the tempo for export to right‑hand‑drive markets. Executives say the...
India's Metal & Mining Sector Set for Earnings Recovery Despite Geopolitical Headwinds: Report
India’s metal and mining sector is poised for a near‑term earnings rebound, driven by stronger domestic steel demand and rising commodity prices. A sharp recovery in steel prices since December 2025 is expected to lift ferrous margins in Q4 FY26, while...
UBS Analysis Shows Real Estate Can Cut Income Taxes and Estate Taxes in One Move
UBS Wealth Management released a new analysis that demonstrates how income‑producing real estate can simultaneously reduce an investor’s annual income‑tax bill and shrink the estate‑tax liability for heirs. The report highlights depreciation deductions, passive‑income treatment and structuring tools such as...
S&P Short‑Range Oscillator Nears Neutral After Oversold Stretch
The S&P Short Range Oscillator is approaching neutral after being oversold for several days -0.52% vs. -1.53%. $SPY @jimcramer @tomkeene @lisaabramowicz1 @ferrotv @business @SquawkCNBC @BeckyQuick @carlquintanilla @pisani