TMTB Mid-Day Wrap
The mid‑day wrap notes that the QQQ index added 20 basis points as investors hoped for a de‑escalation of the Iran crisis, with President Trump pushing the deadline to Tuesday night. In the internet sector, Netflix (NFLX) remained flat after Goldman Sachs upgraded the stock to Buy, citing sustained subscriber growth, ARPU expansion, and scaling ad revenue. The firm projects roughly 250 basis points of margin expansion and strong free‑cash‑flow conversion of 70‑75%. Analysts see the stock trading in a $90‑$110 range, with a target near $100.
Nelson, JPMorgan Take 2nd Shot at Selling LES Rental
Nelson Management and JPMorgan are marketing the 19‑story, 256‑unit Two Bridges building at 275 South Street for over $180 million, leveraging a 30‑year Article XI tax abatement that caps property taxes at 5 percent of income through 2055. The asset, purchased for $115 million...
Tesla Drops to New Lows; I’ve Stopped Promoting It
Some ask me why I don’t talk much about $TSLA anymore. It moved to the bottom of the “go to list” months ago. Maybe those who love to short stocks in Down trends are having success here. Now,...
Analyst Says Ziprecruiter Stock Is a “Sell”
ZipRecruiter (ZIP) has seen its share price tumble about two‑thirds since the start of 2024, prompting an analyst to label the stock a "Sell." The rating stems from mounting secular headwinds, including aggressive competition from AI‑powered hiring platforms and waning...
Disney's Parks Power Fuels Profit, Yet Risks Stagnation
Over the past decade, Disney’s Parks & Cruises division has jumped from 18% to 57% of DIS operating profit. The combined TV, Sports and Film Studio operating profit fell from 70% to 25% (32% if include streaming). Parks & Cruises still...
DOL Proposes 'Safe Harbors' For Fiduciaries Sailing Into 'Alts' In 401(k) Plans, but Morningstar Says It May Not Be Safe...
The U.S. Department of Labor has issued a proposed rule creating six “safe harbors” that would shield 401(k) fiduciaries who add alternative assets such as private equity, real estate, commodities, and digital assets to retirement plans. The framework aims to...
ADG 4/6: Wait-and-See-Change
BlackRock has filed with the SEC to launch a Nasdaq‑100 ETF under the ticker IQQ, likely charging a 12‑basis‑point fee that undercuts Invesco’s QQQ, which carries an 18‑bps charge and manages about $375 billion. Invesco’s shares dropped more than 5% after...
India’s Coffee Exports Hit a Record High of $2.13 Billion in 2025-26 Fiscal
India’s coffee exports surged to a record $2.13 billion in FY 2025‑26, a 17% increase over the prior year. Export volumes rose 4.65% to 4.07 lakh tonnes, while the average price per tonne jumped 17% to roughly $5,600. The growth was driven by...
Godrej Consumer Sees 6–9% Cost Surge, Guides for Steady Growth
Godrej Consumer Products Ltd (GCPL) forecast a 6‑9% rise in input costs driven by crude‑linked commodity inflation, but still projects steady double‑digit revenue growth for FY26. The company plans to counter price pressures through a mix of pricing actions, cost‑efficiency...
Treasury Picks BNY, Robinhood for Trump Accounts Rollout
The U.S. Treasury announced a partnership with The Bank of New York Mellon and Robinhood to launch the “Trump accounts” retirement‑savings program for newborns. Each child born between 2025 and 2028 will receive a $1,000 seed funded by tax dollars,...
FROM OIL SHOCKS TO SOLAR BOOMS: The Push for Energy Security Drives Greater Solar Adoption, Strait of Hormuz Chaos Accelerates...
The latest Middle East flare‑up, especially threats to the Strait of Hormuz, is reigniting concerns over oil supply reliability. Governments and investors are accelerating domestic solar projects as a hedge against future fossil‑fuel disruptions. Because photovoltaic panels are the single...
Diversify: Blend Growth, Value, and Income Stocks
Barron’s Top 10 Stocks for 2026 👀 From growth names like AMZN to income plays like BMY & XOM—this list shows one thing: There’s no “one-size-fits-all” portfolio. Mix growth + value + income.
Is Passive Real Estate Income Really Passive? What I Learned
The author recounts how a seemingly passive rental property turned into a costly eviction nightmare, eroding both cash flow and emotional wellbeing. Legal fees, lost rent, and repairs resulted in thousands of dollars of losses, underscoring that landlord duties are...
Wheels Fleet Lease Funding 2026-1 LLC: Presale Report
DBRS (Morningstar DBRS) issued provisional credit ratings for the note classes of Wheels Fleet Lease Funding 2026‑1 LLC. The senior A‑1 tranche received an (P) R‑1 (high) rating, while the A‑2‑I, A‑2‑II and A‑3 tranches were assigned (P) AAA. The subordinate...
Regression to Trend: S&P Composite 184% Above Trend in March
Regression analysis shows the inflation‑adjusted S&P Composite Index sitting 184% above its long‑term trend as of March 2026, far exceeding the historical average annual growth of 2.01% since 1871. The index has remained above trend for nearly three decades, with only...
Buffett’s Tax‑Free Self‑Investment Advice Fuels Surge in Dividend‑ETF Picks
Warren Buffett’s recent remark that self‑investment is the only investment not taxed has ignited fresh coverage, prompting wealth advisers to champion dividend‑focused ETFs as a tax‑efficient way to generate passive income. The Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (SCHD) – yielding...
Oil Palm Price Breaches ₹23,000-Mark in Telangana
Telangana’s fresh fruit bunch (FFB) price rose to ₹23,005 per tonne, surpassing the ₹23,000 mark after the state government added ₹1,459 per tonne (about $18). The increase is intended to encourage farmers to expand oil‑palm cultivation. Simultaneously, Chief Minister A Revanth Reddy...
Realtor.com Finds Surge in Home Price Cuts Across Texas, Florida, Arizona
Realtor.com’s February 2026 analysis reveals that price cuts appeared on one in five active listings across nine major metros, with Texas, Florida and Arizona leading the trend. Elevated mortgage rates, rising insurance premiums and higher property taxes are forcing sellers...
Seagate Stock Jumps 7% on Unexpected Surge, Sparking Momentum Trades
Seagate Technology shares surged 7.2% to $468.61 on Monday despite no company announcement, prompting a wave of short‑term buying. The move came on thin volume and has ignited interest among momentum traders watching AI‑related memory stocks.
Buffett’s ‘But Not in This Market’ Warning Signals Overvaluation Fears
In a recent CNBC interview, Warren Buffett warned that Berkshire Hathaway would not add more Apple shares “in this market,” a remark that many investors see as a confirmation that the broader equity market is overvalued. The comment follows Berkshire’s...
6 Frugal Travel Tips From Frequent Flyers
Frequent flyers share six practical ways to trim the hidden expenses of air travel, from avoiding checked‑bag fees to cutting airport parking costs. They advise packing only a carry‑on, parking at remote lots or using rideshares, and bringing your own...
Commodity QIS: Hidden Engine of Systematic Returns
Commodity QIS: An Under-Appreciated Source of Systematic Returns? (S7E29) In this episode I speak with Faheem Osman, Managing Director and Global Head of QIS Structuring at Macquarie Group. Faheem has spent nearly two decades inside major investment banks — first at Citi,...
Wealthy New Yorkers Flee to Florida, Opting to Rent Over Buying as Luxury Market Booms
A wave of affluent New Yorkers has poured into South Florida, delivering $20.65 billion in adjusted gross income between 2019‑2023. Despite earnings averaging $178,000, many are renting, with the share of $100k+ households renting rising to 24% in 2024. The trend...
Should Couples Combine Finances? What Works In Marriage
Couples face the recurring question of whether to combine their finances or keep them separate. The article outlines three primary models—fully combined, fully separate, and a hybrid system that mixes joint and individual accounts. It argues that a hybrid approach...
US Stocks: National Healthcare Properties Moves Closer to Public Markets with US IPO Filing
National Healthcare Properties filed a confidential U.S. IPO prospectus, positioning the senior‑housing and healthcare REIT for a Nasdaq debut under the ticker NHP. The filing follows the $966 million Janus Living IPO and reflects a broader resurgence of REIT offerings amid...
Morningstar DBRS Confirms Credit Ratings on All Classes of CSAIL 2015-C1 Commercial Mortgage Trust
Morningstar DBRS confirmed the credit ratings for all classes of the CSAIL 2015‑C1 Commercial Mortgage Trust, assigning AA (low) to Class B and X‑B, A (low) to Class C, CCC to Classes D and X‑D, and C to Classes E,...
Tom Steyer’s Private‑Prison Past Sparks Hedge‑Fund Scrutiny Ahead of California Governor Race
Tom Steyer, the billionaire founder of Farallon Capital, is confronting renewed attacks over his hedge fund’s historic stake in CoreCivic, the private‑prison operator now housing undocumented immigrants. The controversy has intensified as the June 2 primary approaches, forcing Steyer to...
Hormuz Oil Flows Remain Severely Reduced, Markets Underestimate Recovery
Hormuz flows aren't coming back to normal despite what you hear, says @CroftHelima Transit will be a fraction of pre-war levels because Iran’s leverage depends on keeping energy markets tight. And even after a deal, the road back is long. Markets are...
Ukrainian Drone Strikes Halt Russian Oil Exports as Odesa Strike Kills Three
Ukrainian long‑range drones knocked out Russia’s Novorossiysk Black Sea terminal and Baltic ports Ust‑Luga and Primorsk, halting roughly 20% of Moscow’s crude exports and costing the Kremlin an estimated $1 bn. At the same time, a Russian missile strike on Odesa...
Milwaukee Weighs $500‑plus Million Public Hotel to Boost Baird Center
Milwaukee’s Wisconsin Center District is reviewing a proposal for a 650‑room, publicly financed hotel attached to the Baird Center, aiming to close its hotel‑room gap with rivals. The plan mirrors Columbus, Ohio’s publicly owned Hilton expansion, which lifted nearby room...
Intel Boosts Fab 9 and Fab 11X Spending with $500M CHIPS Act Grant and Billions of Internal Capital
Intel announced a major increase in capital spending for its Fab 9 and Fab 11X facilities, tapping a $500 million CHIPS Act grant and billions of internal cash. The move underpins a push to scale advanced chip packaging, a business the...
Low Prices Aren’t Guarantees: Avoid Cheap Stock Traps
Learn why a low stock price doesn’t automatically mean a good investment in this engaging topic inspired by Peter Lynch. This idea focuses on the dangers of “cheap stocks” and how they can still fall to zero, making it essential...
GameStop Mulls $15‑$46 B Acquisition to Revive Retail Business
GameStop announced it is evaluating a "transformational" acquisition that could cost between $15 billion and $46 billion. With more than $9 billion in cash and $4 billion in debt, the retailer is weighing targets such as Best Buy, Sirius XM and eBay to halt a multi‑year...
REIT Sells Alexandria Hilton To Prior Owner For Half Of 2018 Price
Ashford Hospitality Trust sold the 252‑room Hilton Alexandria Old Town to Lodging Capital Partners for $58 million, roughly half the $111 million it paid in 2018. The transaction included repayment of a $32.5 million loan and generated a non‑recurring loss, with the REIT...
Foxconn Q1 Revenue Jumps 30% on AI Demand, Flags Middle East Volatility
Foxconn posted a 29.7% year‑on‑year revenue increase to T$2.13 trillion ($66.6 bn) in Q1 2026, powered by surging AI‑related orders. The company cautioned that volatile Middle‑East geopolitics could pressure future growth.
TRACE Flags Ceiling as S&P Rally Stalls at 6,650
Market rips, TRACE flags the ceiling. On March 23, the S&P’s sharp rally in the morning stalled out at heavy resistance near SPX 6,650. TRACE + HIRO showed dealer selling taking hold, and the market faded lower. Join us April 9th...
Private Credit Market Nears Size of High‑Yield Bonds
Learned alot from the annual shareholder letter from Jamie Dimon on tailwinds/headwinds to economy including perspective on Private Credit. PC Mkt is $1.8T, HY Bond Mket is $1.5T, Bank Syndicated Leverage Loan Mkt $1.7T. Total IG Bond Mkt...
Geopolitical Tension Over Potential U.S.-Iran Conflict Fuels Market Volatility
U.S. stock futures edged higher amid a volatile backdrop of escalating U.S.-Iran rhetoric and cease‑fire talks. S&P 500 futures rose 0.1% and Nasdaq futures 0.4% while oil slipped to $110 a barrel, reflecting investors’ nervousness over a possible conflict.
How the Strait of Hormuz Shapes Global Goods Flow
We did an awesome interview on the physical layout and flow of goods resulting from the Strait of Hormuz, with @mercoglianos. Listen here. https://t.co/jmVFr6LS8L
Weightwatchers Leverages GLP‑1
Weightwatchers now at a market cap of $120m, with: • $160m cash • $110m adj. EBITDA guidance for 2026 • some 80% growth in its GLP-1 business GLP-1 transition couldn’t be any better as Novo Nordisk is going all in on telehealth distribution, with...
Turkmengaz Signs $‑$ Contract with Chinese Firm to Build New Galkynysh Gas Facility
Turkmengaz State Concern announced a contract with a Chinese partner to design, construct and equip a new gas production facility at the Galkynysh field. The deal marks a major push to expand Turkmenistan’s gas output amid regional energy tensions, including...
Greek Shipping Stocks Shine Despite Governance Reputation
I asked @ed_fin about the shipping industry's reputation for "governance issues" He went in-depth about Greek shipping and its "adventurous governance..." but there are two Greek shipping stocks he thinks are actually very good https://t.co/qUjYx8adg2 https://t.co/KgHyDZaVTT
Dow Breaks Channel Resistance, Lacks Momentum Amid Thin Liquidity
The Dow has moved through the resistance of the past 6-week descending trend channel, but it hasn't really gained traction on the break. Thinned liquidity has undermined any productivity from the break itself. Currently stuck between a very narrow 200 and...
Middle‑East Conflict Boosts Oil, Lifts Tokyo and Seoul Stocks as Asian Markets Split
Rising geopolitical risk from the Middle East war lifted crude to a flat $111.61 per barrel and spurred a 1.6% rise in Japan's Nikkei and a 2.2% jump in South Korea's KOSPI. Tokyo and Seoul were the only Asian markets...
CZR Range Tightens, Poised for Near‑term Upswing
The range is tightening in $CZR and looks like it could be getting ready to continue higher in the near term. No position for me yet, worst case stop would go below last weeks low ⬆️ chart from @marketsurge https://t.co/9Ts5Gt7uts
US Energy Independence Is a Myth Amid Global Shocks
Just read a wild JPMorgan note on the current energy + war situation. Here are the spiciest takes 🧵 “US energy independence” is basically a myth. Even as a net exporter, the US is still getting hit by global price shocks—sometimes worse...
China's Ag‑Tech Firms Deploy Data‑Driven Greenhouses to 40+ Countries
Lisente Agricultural Technology shipped steel frames for data‑enabled greenhouses to Uzbekistan, marking its 270th project across more than 40 nations. The push leverages AI‑driven irrigation, temperature control and real‑time monitoring, signaling a new wave of Chinese big‑data agriculture abroad.
Tax‑Smart Strategies Outperform Pure Stock‑Picking Returns
If you are solely focused on generating better returns through stock picking and/or market timing, you are leaving a TON OF MONEY on the table. Get smarter about the many ways you can substantially improve your net, after-tax, total returns...
Proximity's Edge: What Really Gives Fund Managers Advantage
Mutual fund managers have long been thought to benefit from being close to the companies they follow. But what exactly creates that edge? Better public information, faster internal communication or something more human? by @ebasilico https://t.co/OmOz0vddDJ https://t.co/W9P6uPA4aO
Morningstar DBRS Confirms Credit Ratings on Three J.G. Wentworth Transactions
Morningstar DBRS confirmed the credit ratings for every class of securities in three J.G. Wentworth asset‑backed securitizations. The agency highlighted robust credit enhancement, the strong credit profile of annuity providers, and a track record of zero defaults to date. Ratings...