US Reportedly Considering Sweeping New Chip Export Controls
U.S. Commerce Department is drafting rules that would require government approval for any export of AI‑focused semiconductors such as those made by AMD and Nvidia. The proposal differentiates review intensity based on order size, with small shipments getting a basic check and large deals involving the buyer’s government. The draft reverses the Biden‑era AI diffusion rule that the Trump administration rescinded in May, signaling tighter export oversight. Analysts warn the measures could hamper U.S. chip firms and drive global AI customers toward alternative suppliers.
Patience Beats Premature Entries: Trade With Smart Money Precision
99% of traders enter too early. Smart money waits for the precision entry. Price taps the order block, liquidity is taken, and the reaction begins. This is the difference between emotional trading and strategic trading. If you understand SMC and ICT concepts, the...
Chris Davis on Navigating AI & Index Concentration
Chris Davis warned advisors that soaring valuations and mega‑cap concentration mask hidden risk, urging a shift from short‑term market calls to durable working assumptions. He outlined a five‑category AI framework—platform winners, enablers, users, indifferent firms, and the walking dead—to guide...
Three Kinds of Fed-Treasury Accords
Peter Conti‑Brown outlines three separate Fed‑Treasury accords: one freeing the Treasury from setting monetary policy, a second keeping the Fed out of partisan politics, and a third enhancing collaboration on public‑debt management. He traces the historic 1951 Accord that granted...
LIT: Lithium And Battery Technology Remains Bullish (Downgrade)
Analyst Andrew Hecht downgraded the Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF (LIT) from buy to hold after a pronounced rally from its April 2025 lows. He cites continued volatility but notes a bullish longer‑term chart and an anticipated lithium supply...
The Suze Orman Rule You Should Probably Break
Suze Orman advises cutting up all credit cards when you’re in debt to force reliance on cash and stop accruing high‑interest balances. The article argues that this blanket rule can backfire, as eliminating cards may damage credit scores, erase rewards,...
Blend of Tape Reading and Experience Guides QQQ Entry
"Steve, did you get long QQQ at 602.50 based on the tape or was it 20+ years of experience" --student at weekly review "It was a little bit of both. Earlier in the week there was a large opening drive from...
FNDA: Small Value ETF Beating The Benchmark But Lagging Some Peers
The Schwab Fundamental US Small Company ETF (FNDA) uses the RAFI fundamental weighting to deliver diversified small‑cap exposure with a value tilt and solid dividend growth. Since its inception, FNDA has beaten the Russell 2000 benchmark in both raw return and...
CNRL Says It Will Delay $8-Billion Mine Expansion Until Carbon Pricing Rules Are Clear
Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. announced it will postpone its $8.25 billion Jackpine mine expansion in northern Alberta until federal and provincial carbon‑pricing and methane‑regulation frameworks are clarified. The delay will shave $310 million from CNRL’s 2026 capital budget and pushes back engineering...
US Urges Oil Shift to Pressure China, Russia
"I know I said last April that 'as the debtor country, America has all the leverage v. China'...& I know we are actively trying to choke out both you AND Russia...but could you buy less oil from Russia & more...
Leverage Kills: Margin Calls Trigger Violent Unwind
Korean retail investors had record margin debt. Bought the AI chip story with 30-40% down payments. Then oil spiked. Margin calls hit. Forced selling cascaded. This is the disposition effect in reverse. When everyone holds losers too long, the unwind is violent. The lesson:...
Windward Daily Brief March 5: Conflict Reaches Indian Ocean as Hormuz Remains Shut
The Strait of Hormuz remained effectively shut on March 4, with only five vessels recorded, while traffic through Bab el‑Mandeb surged to 23 crossings, outpacing recent averages. Suez Canal activity fell to 23 transits, below trend levels, and diversions around the...
Top 5 Stocks to Watch: March 2026
The S&P 500 E‑Mini futures are down 1.54% year‑to‑date, trading in a sideways pattern with support around $6,700 and resistance near $6,950. Traders are advised to watch for a break below $6,700 or a rally toward $6,950 and $7,000, which could signal...
Leverage Broadcom Guidance Beat and Nvidia OpenAI Strategy
Broadcom posted a fiscal Q1 earnings beat with $2.05 EPS and $19.31 billion revenue, then raised Q2 guidance to about $22 billion, surpassing analyst forecasts. Nvidia announced a $30 billion investment in OpenAI, likely its last pre‑IPO funding, reinforcing its hardware dominance in...
VOE Seems Best In Its Peers As Mid Cap Value Is Outshining In 2026
The Vanguard Mid‑Cap Value Index Fund ETF (VOE) is outpacing both large‑cap and peer mid‑cap funds in 2026, driven by a broad value‑sector rally. Its portfolio leans toward stable, upper‑mid‑cap industrials, financials and utilities, delivering a low 0.05% expense ratio...
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[Ending Soon] Chase IHG Rewards Premier Card 175,000 Points Signup Bonus
Chase is promoting a limited‑time 175,000‑point sign‑up bonus for the IHG Rewards Premier Card, triggered by $5,000 of spend within the first three months. The card carries a $99 annual fee and delivers 26x points on IHG hotel purchases, 5x...
Beef Prices Spur Senate Drive to Split Meat Giants
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer introduced legislation that would require meatpackers to process only a single type of protein and impose tighter limits on beef market concentration. The bill also restores FTC antitrust authority over meatpacking and targets foreign‑owned firms...
Nexstar Moves Forward With TEGNA Tender Offer Following FCC Visit
Nexstar Media Group announced a cash tender offer to repurchase its 5% senior notes due 2029, a move directly tied to the pending acquisition of TEGNA. The offer, managed by BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, and Goldman Sachs, will remain open...
Loomis Sayles Core Plus Full Discretion: A Differentiated Approach
Loomis Sayles introduced its Core Plus Full Discretion strategy as a response to the 2022 yield reset that ended a long low‑rate era. The approach diverges from traditional domestic core fixed‑income by employing active, discretionary management to capture income and total‑return opportunities....
Centre May Extend Sector & Sponsored Schemes Beyond April 1 Amid Ongoing Review
The Indian government is likely to let central sector and centrally‑sponsored schemes run in their existing format beyond April 1, as ministries have not finished a comprehensive review tied to the Sixteenth Finance Commission. The evaluation, which includes third‑party reports, aims...
Financial Education: The Overlooked Employee Benefit Companies Need
Most jobs will offer things like health benefits, retirement plans, and gym discounts upfront. But one benefit that doesn’t get talked about enough is financial education. If you think your company could benefit from something like this, feel free to pass...
Consus Ag Consulting Afternoon Wrap Up
Futures opened strongly on Thursday, driven by robust corn export data and concerns over dry soils across the U.S. Plains, before turning mixed by mid‑day. Grain contracts gained further support from a firm global market and speculation that planting delays...
Office REITs May Be The Best Value In The Market
Bloomberg’s Thomas Kennedy says the office market bottom is in, citing rising software engineer postings and booming San Francisco office space. Office REITs have fallen 40‑60% since 2020, creating deep valuation gaps across BXP, KRC, CUZ and HIW. Current pricing shows...
Markets Tumble $800B as Volatility Surges 70%
Brutal day, the S&P 500 has wiped out around $800 billion in market cap, falling 1.4%. The Dow Jones is having its worst day of 2026, down over 2% 📉 Meanwhile the VIX (volatility index) is up 17% and is now...
Annual Inflation in Uzbekistan Ticks up 0.1pp to 7.3% in February
Uzbekistan’s annual inflation ticked up to 7.3% in February, a modest 0.1 percentage‑point rise from January and still 2.8 points below the 10.1% recorded a year earlier. Monthly inflation eased to 0.6% month‑on‑month, while core inflation rose to 0.5% month‑on‑month, pushing...
Gold Daily, Weekly & GoldBugs
Trader Ashraf Laidi posted intraday gold analysis to a WhatsApp group on March 4, 2026, highlighting the GoldBugs Ratio (GBR) as a contrarian indicator for XAUUSD. The GBR chart showed a trend‑line resistance at 6.0, implying that as long as the level...
French Delegation Explores Investment Opportunities at Kalumbila Multi-Facility Economic Zone
A high‑level French embassy delegation toured Zambia’s Kalumbila Multi‑Facility Economic Zone to assess investment prospects in the country’s mining supply chain. Hosted by First Quantum Minerals, the visit highlighted the zone’s 5,000‑hectare footprint, fiscal incentives and ready infrastructure. Kalumbila MFEZ’s...
States Struggle to Get a Grip on Growth of Prediction Markets
Prediction‑market trading is booming, with 2025 activity surpassing $44 billion and state officials racing to regulate the sector. The CFTC, under Michael Selig, argues federal jurisdiction, while dozens of states file lawsuits claiming gambling violations. Florida’s bond finance chief Ben Watkins...
Defensive Victory: AXP Put Options Surge on AI Job Disruption Fears
Bearish traders bought 5,000 AXP 330‑strike puts on Feb. 10, netting over 800% returns as the stock tumbled 16% from $365 to $305. A viral X post warning of AI‑driven white‑collar job losses triggered a 7.5% single‑day plunge on Feb. 23, while...
Record Hedge Activity Signals Unprecedented Investor Fear
🚨Investors are hedging against a market crash at a record pace: Combined put open interest in credit ETFs, $HYG, $LQD, $JNK, and $BKLN, plus call open interest in the Treasury ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 15.9 million contracts. This has...
Dollar Rises, Treasuries Fall: Safety Flight Redefined
"The US Dollar may still have moved up after the war started, but the price of US Treasuries went down. Flight-to-safety and flight-to-quality aren’t what they used to be."
US Natgas Storage Falls by 132 Bcf
The U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a 132 billion‑cubic‑foot draw in natural‑gas storage for the week ending Feb. 27, bringing net working inventories down to 1,886 bcf. This decline reflects heightened heating demand and robust LNG export activity as winter deepens. The reduced...
Live Market Recap: SPX, QQQ Rally at 5pm ET
We're going LIVE today at 5pm ET / 2pm ET for our daily market recap show, CHART THIS with Dave Keller. Excited to break down the latest charts and market observations as $SPX and $QQQ rallied hard into the...
Probabilistic GDOT Analysis Shows Inevitable Math Outcomes
Just published a writeup on $GDOT, the math is inevitable. (I am being playful, the math is probabilistic. DYODD, see disclaimers in my post, linked below:) https://t.co/ZjGJRg0ROs
The Ousting of Peru’s President Points to a Deeper Crisis
Peru’s interim president José Jerí was censured and removed by Congress after just four months, amid ethical scandals, and succeeded by José María Balcázar. His ouster comes less than two months before a historic April 12 election featuring a record...
Florida Condos Diverge: $60K Loss vs 11% Gain
Florida condo owners lost $60,000 in equity in one year. Orlando condo owners gained 11%. Same state. Same year. I break down exactly why — and what happens next. https://t.co/fY7zpTVEkE
Iran War Day 6: Energy Crises, Regime Splits, Ukraine Links
The Iran War - Day 6: Energy Disruption, Regime Fragmentation, and Ukraine You are watching a full preview of Peter's coverage of the Iran War. Join our Analyst Tier on Patreon to access daily videos and analysis of...
Beef.com Plans Digital Platform to Connect Ranchers with Pricing and Payments
Beef.com is building a digital infrastructure platform to link cattle producers directly with real‑time pricing data, transaction routing and settlement services. The system will feature a Beef Index for verified price discovery, a digital settlement layer to accelerate payments, provenance...
USD Breakout Tested at January High Ahead of NFP
US Dollar Short-term Outlook: USD Breakout Faces Major Test at January High- NFP on Tap https://t.co/ww8j824xfZ $DXY Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/7sX9giMwmH
Chicago Investor Secures Third Multifamily Property in Year
In long-term bet, Chicago investor buys third multifamily property in city in less than a year https://t.co/6uKHH6SzQR
PYZ: A Hold Despite Its Concentrated Portfolio Of Inflation Beneficiaries Prone To Deep Drawdowns
PYZ is an Invesco Dorsey Wright Basic Materials Momentum ETF that concentrates on metals, mining and chemicals, aiming to capture inflation‑benefiting stocks with strong price momentum. While the fund has delivered impressive year‑to‑date returns, it has lagged broader material ETFs...
US Homebuilding Follows Demand, Halts at 120K Units
As a country, we simply don't ever build on a supply-first model; we only build based on our demand curve. This is why the builders pause when total completed units for sale just hit 120K, for decades https://t.co/S6RwyAA3hO
Oil Spike Highlights Renewables' Growing Competitive Edge
The Middle East conflict is stress testing global energy. Bloomberg sees oil at $108 in a severe escalation. We have seen this before. The difference now is that solar and batteries are more cost competitive. Every fossil fuel spike strengthens the...
MoSPI to Launch New Surveys, Boost High-Frequency Economic Indicators: Saurabh Garg
The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI) has completed base‑year revisions for the CPI and GDP and is now turning to high‑frequency economic indicators. A trial Index of Services Production (ISP) will be released in 2026, supported by a...
Sudan's Pound Plummets 28%, Ranks 6th Worst Globally
On this week's Hanke's #CurrencyWatchlist, the Sudanese pound ranks as the WORLD'S 6TH WORST CURRENCY. The pound has depreciated by 28% over the past year. https://t.co/6WS2fKoH6r
No Ships in Hormuz Strait: Explained Why
Why Are There No Ships in the Strait of Hormuz | March 5, 2026, Update Video: https://t.co/tcPFyfGeV8 https://t.co/Wgk4B6EEIp
Homeowners Cling to Low Rates, yet Many Still Move
Given this situation, millions of Americans could afford and even need to move, but they stay in homes they no longer want because they do not want to lose their low mortgage rates. Yet each quarter, people have given up...
ES_F Weekly Hits 1.618 Extension, AVWAP at 6460
$ES_F bigger picture, weekly, still amazing topped right at the 1.618 extension, the 1.382 sits at lower value edge now, 6682.5, below that it gets real thin back to 6125 with AVWAP off 2025 low at 6460 important too https://t.co/dOkIMQUPwK
Novo Nordisk and Weightwatchers Extend Collaboration to Germany
Novo Nordisk expands partnership with Weightwatchers to Germany. Dream team. Love to see it. $NVO $WW
Employment and Retail Sales Reports Drop Tomorrow at 8:30 AM
Economic calendar shows we have the employment report and retail sales report at 8:30AM tomorrow.