
Private markets are entering 2026 with a selective normalization after years of excess capital raising and soft performance. Buyout activity is rebounding as deal values rise, valuations ease, and GP‑led continuations now account for 35% of exits. Venture capital remains concentrated, with AI‑related deals absorbing roughly two‑thirds of new capital while fundraising contracts. Real assets show a split picture, as energy‑security themes revive oil and gas fundraising while real‑estate sectors stabilize around high‑interest‑rate pressures.
NAR: Existing-Home Sales Increased to 4.09 million SAAR in February Median House Prices Increased 0.3% Year-over-Year https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/nar-existing-home-sales-increased-836

Marex warns that a three‑month shutdown of the Strait of Hormuz would erode the average current‑account balance of Gulf states by 3.8% of GDP. Bahrain, lacking alternative export routes, would see its surplus flip to a 3.2% deficit, while Saudi...

Single‑family acquisition, development and construction (AD&C) loan stock slipped 1.5% in Q4 2025, reaching $456.3 billion despite two Fed rate cuts. While overall AD&C volume fell, 1‑4‑family residential construction loans rose 1.7% year‑over‑year, marking a second consecutive YoY gain. Nonaccrual and...
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced it will condition passage through the Strait of Hormuz on Arab or European nations expelling U.S. and Israeli ambassadors, while simultaneously barring oil exports to the United States and its allies. The move signals...
Oxford Lane Capital Corp.'s common equity has slumped sharply, yet its OXLCI baby bonds remain resilient. The bonds carry an 8.75% coupon, delivering a yield‑to‑maturity near 8%, and are backed by coverage ratios above 340%, far exceeding the 300% regulatory...

Colombian right‑wing primaries saw Paloma Valencia capture over 5.5 million votes, eclipsing both Ivan Cepeda and Abelardo de la Espriella. De la Espriella’s early lead proved a prediction‑market bubble lacking grassroots support, and his momentum may soon fade. The governing Pacto Histórico secured legislative majorities...

Albert O. Hirschman's 1945 work *National Power and the Structure of Foreign Trade* was largely ignored when published, but its analysis of how states engineer trade for strategic advantage is resurfacing amid today’s intensifying geoeconomic conflict. The book argued that...
Amazon filed a preliminary prospectus to raise between $37 billion and $42 billion in a mixed‑currency bond offering, the largest since its $15 billion sale in November. The proceeds are earmarked for Amazon’s aggressive AI push, including massive data‑center construction and a recently...

Morningstar DBRS assigned a stable A rating to the $10.8 million mortgage loan for 516 Northwestern Associates, secured by a 135,324‑sq‑ft office‑lab‑classroom building on Purdue University’s West Lafayette campus. The loan carries a 4.14% interest rate, matures in November 2039, and...

If you know where the dollar is going, you know where global liquidity is going. $DXY just bounced hard off 96.65 multi-year support and is pressing into the $100 resistance zone. Momentum is improving with higher lows and rising RSI. Today’s pullback looks...

Oil prices surged to historic highs amid Iran‑related tensions, prompting trader Nishant Pant to propose a bearish play on the United States Oil Fund (USO). Pant recommends a $1‑wide at‑the‑money bear put spread with a 35‑50 day expiration to capture...
Wall Street analysts adjusted ratings for three semiconductor‑related stocks this week. Bank of America moved Qualcomm (QCOM) to Underperform with a $145 price target, citing mature smartphone demand and the loss of Apple business. Truist kept its Buy rating on...
India’s fiscal‑deficit ratios have been revised upward for FY 2022‑23 to FY 2024‑25 after the government adopted a 2022‑23 GDP base year. The new series shows deficits of 6.7 % in 2022‑23, 5.7 % in 2023‑24 and 4.9 % in 2024‑25, compared with earlier estimates...

Balanced Price Range ( BPR) 📊 Balanced Price Range📊 How to Identify📊 What's make BPR High Probability📊 Bullish BPR📊 Bearish BPR📊

Morningstar DBRS assigned an A (low) rating with a Stable trend to a 4.14% mortgage loan due July 1, 2038, financing Miracle Mile Properties' Glenwood Apartments in Reseda, California. The 237‑unit, garden‑style property is valued at $12.4 million, yielding a loan‑to‑value...
Geopolitical tension in the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a dramatic spike in spot LNG charter rates, soaring 600% to about $300,000 per day, the highest since the 2022 gas crisis. Analysts estimate a potential 20% reduction in global LNG...
A big income jump doesn’t automatically create financial progress. One person I spoke with is jumping from six to seven figures in one year. Lifestyle should grow as your life grows. But it should be intentional. Without a plan, spending quietly expands alongside...

The article reminds readers that the 2025 Flexible Spending Account deadline is March 15, after which unused pretax dollars are forfeited. It offers a curated list of 63 FSA‑eligible products, spanning everyday medical supplies, skincare, oral care, and high‑tech wellness gadgets....

A new January 2026 study by McInnis, Silva and Yu shows that while free cash flow predicts short‑term cash generation, earnings become the superior predictor of cash flows over 9‑20‑year horizons. The researchers attribute this reversal to investment accruals, which...

Saudi Arabia has replaced veteran investment minister Khalid Al‑Falih with former HSBC banker Fahad Al‑Saif amid mounting pressure to boost foreign capital. Foreign direct investment last year accounted for just 2.1% of GDP, far short of Vision 2030 targets, while government...

This is the chart the 401k conversation should start with. Non-traded BDC redemption requests blowing past the 5% redemption limit. Trajectory straight up. And the industry's next move is to open these products to retirement accounts.
Asian equities rallied after President Trump’s Iran remarks, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index breaking back above 25,000. The surge was led by a wave of OpenClaw adoption, as Tencent unveiled its WorkBuddy AI agent and Alibaba launched HiClaw, sending...
SmartAsset’s 2026 study ranks 40 states by median retirement savings in tax‑advantaged accounts. Massachusetts tops the list with $150,000 median savings and a 74.8% account‑holding rate, while Mississippi sits at the bottom with $35,000 and only 41.8% participation. Maryland leads...

U.S. Ambassador Leo Brent Bozell III highlighted that more than 500 American companies operate in South Africa, collectively employing around 250,000 people. He emphasized the strong presence of tech giants such as Microsoft, Amazon Web Services, Google and Visa, which...
The USD/CHF pair slipped below its 100‑hour and 200‑hour moving averages, turning the short‑term bias bearish. During the Asian‑Pacific session the price briefly crossed the 200‑hour MA but stalled in a resistance zone between 0.7785 and 0.7793, allowing sellers to...

HDFC Securities maintains a Buy on Ambuja Cements, setting a revised target price of ₹680 per share, down from ₹700, while the stock trades at ₹462.30. Management highlighted healthy demand momentum and a recovering cement price environment, alongside ongoing plant‑infrastructure...
For Traders, a Prague‑based retail prop trading firm, announced the beta launch of its Prediction Markets trading platform. The beta runs as a free monthly competition ending on April 9, 2026, allowing participants to trade on event outcomes. The firm says the...

Hounslow Council unveiled the Golden Mile London regeneration programme, a 15‑year, £7.5 billion initiative. The plan calls for 14,000 new homes and aims to generate 25,000 jobs in creative, digital and technology sectors along the 4 km stretch between Heathrow and central...
Canadian canola exports are heavily dependent on the United States, with 78% of oil shipments projected for 2025 and 66% of meal exports in 2024. The joint review of the Canada‑U.S‑Mexico Agreement (CUSMA) begins July 1, and the U.S. is conducting...
Harbor Multi‑Asset Explorer ETF posted a 2.74% NAV return in Q4 2025, contributing to an impressive 18.56% total return for the year. The fund’s performance was anchored by broad S&P 500 exposure, especially strong Health Care stocks, and was bolstered by gold...
This morning's BioNTech news strikes me as very odd. Certainly, founder Ugur Sahin and Ozlem Tureci shouldn't feel compelled to run the company forever, and they may not be the right people to manage both the continued decline of Covid-19...

downtrends on all 4-time frames for technology $XLK vs. S&P 500 $SPX... top right: 8/20EMA top left: 20EMA/50SMA bottom left: 50/200SMA bottom right: 13/34-week EMA https://t.co/886pewnn9R
Wall Street’s tail‑risk hedges have surged as the Iran‑Israel conflict wiped roughly $6 trillion from global equities and pushed oil above $100 per barrel. Leveraged VIX ETFs such as UVIX and UVXY jumped 30% and 20% respectively in March, while long‑expiry...
The income tax system in the U.S. is structured around the principle that folks in high tax brackets pay more than people in low ones. The Social Security payroll tax, however, works differently. https://t.co/KpaXo2Ptou

$MSFT Daily. Software sector has been a trendy bottom call the last two weeks. But no firm evidence yet, with $3 trillion Microsoft sporting pedestrian bounce https://t.co/YBzR4iFcQQ
Research by Connamara Technologies and Acuiti shows that 47% of traditional derivatives exchanges are actively considering launching prediction markets, though only 5% have made a firm commitment. Respondents identified market‑design complexity, system integration, and post‑trade settlement as the top technical...

Spot VIX is lower but VX futures are higher. WTF? Well, the March contract is moving closer to expiration so the gap to spot needs to start shrinking. Futures will have a hard time unless and until spot drops a...

Today @IEA hosted a G7 Energy Ministers Meeting, chaired by Minister Roland Lescure of France, on the current oil & gas market situation We will hold an extraordinary meeting of IEA Member governments later today to assess market conditions My statement: https://t.co/ViR4Zc4Mhv...
Toronto’s rental market continued its decline in February, with average asking rents slipping to $2,030 for the 17th month in a row, a trend analysts attribute to broader affordability constraints beyond simple supply‑and‑demand dynamics. Meanwhile, Premier Doug Ford is weighing...
Look forward to discussing tech stocks, Oracle’s key earnings, and the AI Ghost Trade still an overhang on oversold software names on @CNBCClosingBell at 3:10 pm with @ScottWapnerCNBC from @FutureProof_HQ in Miami @CNBC @CNBCtech 🏆🔥🍿🎯🐂☀️

Yesterday was day 8 of the war. The national average of gas prices is up 54 cents (18%) since it started. Prices were up 6 cents yesterday. https://t.co/gCWn8VQcNz
February home sales see small rebound, but supply growth is 'sluggish' https://t.co/lU7RWyXYsP @nardotrealtor #realestate #realestateinvesting #housing
Senior Loans ETF (BKLN) buyer 7500 Oct. 19/16 put spreads, been a play on credit worries
1.29 million total inventory in 2026 4,000,000 in 2007 It's 2026, the 4th year after the big sales crash in 2022. Stop dancing with a ghost 🫡
So we can move along from this 2-month period Last month's report was a holiday softness; the rebound should be discounted as well, and just forget these last two months and follow the trend that has been since mid-June

🔬 Research links: building quant models, the proper use of AI, and a look at two defensive strategies. https://t.co/Dgs1We8thJ chart: https://t.co/zEEeAwtzS4 https://t.co/8FlBmkGAR6

🔴2026 high VWAP 🔵YTD VWAP 🟢MTD VWAP -------- 2025 close A lot of reasons to continue to be cautious $SPY $QQQ $SMH $IWM https://t.co/DkfU8D5ejP
Just remember, this is the final existing home sales report that has some of the snow variable in it; our forward-looking data looks fine for the last 3 weeks https://t.co/JtXKhBSDDM
From @Cboe: Monday's option volume of 72.4M contracts was 5% above recent average levels, with calls leading puts 8 to 7. Among the 500 most liquid single stocks, 30-day IV was higher for 256 and lower for 199.