Today's Large Cap Stocks Pulse
Kraft Heinz appears vastly undervalued despite market share losses
Three independent valuation models peg Kraft Heinz’s intrinsic equity value between $51 billion and $54 billion, far above its current $28 billion market capitalization. The company, however, is losing U.S. market share and its earnings are under pressure, making free‑cash‑flow forecasts uncertain.
Market Update: TFC, BK, FAST, MAN, PEP, USB, CFG, DOW
U.S. equity markets posted solid gains on Friday, with the S&P 500 up roughly 1.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbing about 2%, and the Nasdaq Composite advancing around 1.5%. Investor focus sharpened on earnings reports as the Middle East conflict de‑escalated; Iran declared the Strait of Hormuz fully open and a cease‑fire holds between Israel and Lebanon. Consumer Discretionary led sector performance, rising over 3%, followed by Industrials at +2.15% and Information Technology at +1.81%. The broader rally reflects both earnings optimism and reduced geopolitical risk.
Nasdaq 100 Forward P/E Drops Below Long‑Term Averages
This will actually blow your mind. The Nasdaq 100 Forward P/E is now ~22.4x, below its 10-year average (22.9x) and well under the 5-year average (24.7x). Trailing valuation multiples are higher, but so are earnings growth estimates.
UnitedHealth Group: Poised To Challenge The $360 Resistance
UnitedHealth Group is positioned for a strong margin rebound, with first‑quarter 2026 earnings per share forecast at $6.62 and net margin climbing to 5.53%. The company’s strategic repricing, AI‑enabled cost efficiencies, and a 2.48% increase in Medicare Advantage rates underpin...
Greg Abel Concentrates 79% of Berkshire's $318B Portfolio in Ten Stocks
Greg Abel, Berkshire Hathaway's new CEO, has allocated $251 billion—79% of the conglomerate's $318 billion investment portfolio—to just ten stocks, led by Apple and American Express. The move revives a long‑standing concentration strategy and forces wealth managers to reassess risk exposure for...
Travelers Posts $1.7B Q1 Profit, Boosts Dividend and Share Buybacks
Travelers Companies posted a $1.7 billion core profit for Q1 2026, lifted its dividend by 14% to $1.25 per share and returned over $2.2 billion to shareholders. The results were driven by $1.2 billion underwriting income, lower catastrophe losses and a 9% rise...
Why Netflix Stock Fell 11.8% Friday Morning
Netflix reported a strong first‑quarter performance, with revenue rising 16.2% to $12.25 billion and EPS jumping 86% to $1.23, boosted by a $2.8 billion merger‑termination fee from Paramount Skydance. Despite the beat, the company kept full‑year guidance unchanged, disappointing investors who hoped for...
Netflix Stock Eyes Worst Day Since October After Earnings
Netflix stock plunged 9.2% to $97.87 after the streaming giant issued weak guidance and announced co‑founder Reed Hastings will depart in June. The company still posted a solid Q1 beat with earnings of $1.23 per share on $12.3 billion revenue, but...
Shanghai Electric Reports Strong 2025 Performance, New Orders Hit Record High
Shanghai Electric reported a strong 2025 performance, with revenue climbing 9.0% to RMB 126.68 billion (about $18.6 billion) and net profit surging 60.4% to RMB 1.206 billion (roughly $176.9 million). New orders reached a record RMB 172.81 billion ($25.35 billion), up 12.5% year‑on‑year, driven by growth...
Netflix's EPS Beat Fueled by Breakup Fee, Not Growth
Netflix 'crushed' earnings last night: $1.23 EPS vs $0.76 expected, a 60% beat. Revenue $12.25B, up 16% year over year. The stock is down 10% today at $97. Why? Because the beat was fake. $2.8B of that EPS came from...
Wall Street Offers some Clues for Private Markets
Wall Street’s Q1 earnings highlighted robust bank profits while private‑credit markets faced heightened redemption pressure. BlackRock capped redemptions on its HPS Corporate Lending Fund at 5% after a 9% NAV outflow, and Goldman Sachs narrowly avoided a similar cap with...
NDX's 12‑Day Rally Hits Rare 14.7% Surge
"NDX has now rallied for 12 consecutive sessions for a whopping +14.7% ... Since 1983, we’ve only seen seven other comparable streaks… forward returns were strong." -GS Morgan
PepsiCo’s Snack Price Cuts Spark Volume Gains and Higher Return Rates
PepsiCo announced that its decision to lower snack prices lifted both revenue and profit in the latest quarter, with volume growth indicating shoppers are returning after a period of price‑sensitivity. The move, part of a broader affordability strategy, aims to...
S&P 500 Futures Reach Record High on Middle East Truce Optimism, Lifting Derivatives Market
S&P 500 futures climbed 0.1% to a fresh record amid optimism over a renewed Middle East truce, sparking a surge in futures and options trading. Analysts warn positioning remains uneven despite the rally, highlighting the delicate balance between geopolitical relief...
Microsoft Shares Jump Over 4% on Strong Earnings and AI Outlook
Microsoft Corp. closed the day up more than 4% after reporting earnings that beat expectations and projecting robust growth for its Azure cloud and Copilot AI services. A KeyBanc survey showing 85% of tech executives planning higher Azure spend helped...
Alstom Posts €19.2bn Sales, EU Grants €20m for Ghana Rail Upgrade
Alstom SA announced preliminary sales of €19.2 billion (about $20.7 billion) for fiscal 2025‑26, up from €18.5 billion last year. The French rail‑equipment maker also features prominently in a €20 million (≈$21.6 million) EU grant to modernise Ghana’s signalling system, underscoring its global reach and...
Netflix Q1 Solid, Stock Dip Overreacts to News
My Thoughts on $NFLX The Q1 results are generally solid, although revenue growth has slightly slowed to +16.2%, which is still a strong growth rate. The stock dropped 9.6% after the earnings report, and in my view, this is an overreaction...
Here Are Friday's Biggest Analyst Calls: Nvidia, Apple, Netflix, JPMorgan, Affirm, UnitedHealth, WeRide & More
Wall Street analysts issued a flurry of high‑profile calls on Friday, with Bank of America reiterating Apple as a buy and Nvidia as Outperform at a $265 price target, while Morgan Stanley named UnitedHealth and Affirm as top picks. Mizuho...
Why Netflix Tanked Despite Big EPS Beat, Outlook Ahead
Netflix posted a 16% YoY revenue rise to $12.25 billion and an 86% EPS jump to $1.23, driven largely by a $2.8 billion termination fee from the failed Warner Bros. Discovery deal. Ex‑fee, EPS would have missed estimates, and the stock slipped about 10%...
Apple Defies China Smartphone Slump, up 20% Year‑over‑year
Good news for $AAPL March quarter: China iPhone likely up 20% y/y vs expectations of up 15%. This is based on today’s Counterpoint data that I believe is directionally accurate. They report while total smartphone shipments in China declined...
Pernod Ricard Sees First Signs of Recovery in a Year of Decline
Pernod Ricard reported a steep sales decline, with Q4 net revenue dropping 14.6% to €1.945 billion (about $2.12 billion) and organic growth barely positive at 0.1%. Over the first nine months, total revenue fell 14.8% to €7.199 billion (roughly $7.85 billion), a 4.4% organic...
Schwab Adds 1.3 Million New Brokerage Accounts in Q1, Boosting Assets to $11.8 Trillion
Charles Schwab announced that 1.3 million new brokerage accounts were opened in the first quarter of 2026, a 10% increase year‑over‑year. The surge added $158 billion of net new assets, pushing total client assets to $11.8 trillion. The growth underpins record revenue and...
PepsiCo Beats Q1 Estimates as Price Cuts Spark U.S. Snack Demand
PepsiCo reported first‑quarter earnings of $1.61 per share, topping the $1.55 consensus, and revenue that exceeded Wall Street estimates. The beat was anchored by price cuts on key snack brands that revived U.S. demand and a return to volume growth...
Netflix Q1 2026 Earnings Beat Profit but Stock Slides on Cautious Outlook
Netflix reported first‑quarter 2026 earnings with net income of $5.28 billion and revenue up 16% to $12.25 billion, beating analysts' estimates. The streaming giant’s stock fell after it kept full‑year guidance below market expectations, underscoring investor concern over future growth.
Netflix Points to Partnerships, Pricing and Advertising Growth in Latest Results
Netflix highlighted that distribution partnerships, disciplined pricing, and a fast‑growing ad‑supported tier are fueling its global expansion. New bundling deals with Mercado Libre in Mexico and Brazil have deepened market penetration. Recent price hikes in Spain were well received overall,...
Netflix Slides 9% After Guidance Cut, Despite Bull Consensus
"Group Stink" has a foul odor on Fin TV... and cheerleading has a place on the floors of athletic events and not in the business media. After the close $NFLX reduced guidance and the shares fell by about nine percent (-$10). In...
Ericsson Q1-2026 Revenue Dips 10% to SEK 49.3 Bn: Sales Trends Highlight Growth in India, Japan, and EMEA
Ericsson posted Q1 2026 revenue of SEK 49.3 billion (≈ $5.4 billion), a 10% year‑on‑year decline from SEK 55 billion despite 6% organic sales growth, as currency headwinds and weak North‑American spending weighed. Networks revenue fell 8% to SEK 32.9 billion, Cloud Software and Services dropped 9% to SEK 11.8 billion,...
A Diamond Quality Entry in DIA ETF, or Is It Time to Get Out?
The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA) is trading at $496.98, up 2.34% after a sharp V‑bottom rebound in early April. With $43.41 billion in assets under management, the fund’s dividend yield sits near 1.4% and is projected to accelerate...
Prosus Offloads 4.5% of Delivery Hero to Uber for €270-Million
Prosus, the Naspers‑controlled tech investor, is selling a 4.5% stake in German food‑delivery platform Delivery Hero to Uber for roughly €270 million (about $292 million). The transaction values the shares at €20 each, a 22% premium to the recent average price, and will...
Netflix Q1 Beats Estimates, Margin Gains Surge
$NFLX Q1'26 Results: ↗️$12.250B rev (+16.2% YoY, +1.7% QoQ) beat est by 0.7% ↗️GM (51.9%, +1.9 PPs YoY) ↗️EBIT Margin (32.3%, +0.6 PPs YoY) ↗️FCF Margin (41.6%, +16.3 PPs YoY)🟢 ↗️Net Margin (43.1%, +15.7 PPs YoY)🟢 ↗️EPS $1.23 beat est by 61.8%🟢 Regional Breakdown UCAN ↘️$5.245B rev (+13.6%...
SPY Climbs 12.55% in 13 Days, Prediction Holds
That's now 12.55% for $SPY over the last 13 days, just like everyone thought after the bell on March 30th.
U.S. Stocks Hit Record Highs on Cease‑Fire Hopes, S&P 500 Reaches 7,039
U.S. equities surged to fresh all‑time highs on Thursday, with the S&P 500 topping 7,038.57 and the Nasdaq 100 hitting 26,359. The rally was driven by President Donald Trump's announcement of a 10‑day cease‑fire between Israel and Lebanon and strong...
Nasdaq 100 Posts 13th Straight Gain, Rare Since 2013
With the gap higher on the open, the Nasdaq 100 is on pace for its 13th straight session's advance. Last time we had a move comparable to this consistency was July 2013. Haven't really seen runs like these (consistency) historically where...
Airlines Index Jumps 7.2%, Biggest Rise Since April 8
JUST IN: The S&P 500 Airlines Index surged 7.2%, marking its largest increase since April 8.
Hang Seng Index Gains Third Day as Tech Stocks Lead 0.67% Rise
The Hang Seng Index opened 175 points, or 0.67%, higher at 26,122, marking its third consecutive day of gains. Large‑cap technology shares such as Alibaba and JD.com led the rally, while the Hang Seng Tech Index outperformed the broader market...
New Activist Targets PayPal, SG May Swap Buyer
Paypal $PYPL -- Big call out of Gordon Haskett (Bilson) saying they believe there is a new big activist in Paypal $PYPL Paypal has caught our attention and we see some signs in the Q1...
Short-Term Overbought After V Bottoms, New Highs Bullish
very (short-term) overbought after "V" bottoms... but let's not lose sight of the fact that new highs are bullish... $SPX $QQQ https://t.co/7M5QwcbrXV
ASX Slides 0.3% as China Housing Slump and Rate‑hike Fears Hit Banks
The ASX 200 slipped 23.7 points (0.26%) to 8,955 on Thursday, pressured by a robust Australian jobs report that revived expectations of further RBA tightening and by fresh data showing a deepening slump in China's housing market. The decline stood...
Wall Street Stays Bullish on Netflix Despite Weaker Outlook
Wall Street Remains Mostly Bullish on Netflix Stock Despite Softer Q2 Forecast https://t.co/OXVbMgUNu1 via @variety
Netflix Slides 8% as Hastings Exits, Growth Doubts Rise
$NFLX dropped 8% after hours: Reed Hastings announced his departure. Guidance disappointed. When the architect of a business exits at all-time market highs, the market asks — is the easy growth behind us? https://t.co/PEVEHLTezO
S&P 500, Nasdaq Edge up From Records with Middle East Hopes, Corporate Earnings in Focus
U.S. equities nudged higher on Thursday as a 10‑day cease‑fire between Israel and Lebanon eased geopolitical tension. The S&P 500 rose 0.09% to 7,029.41 and the Nasdaq gained 0.08% to 24,034, both hovering near record levels set the day before. Market...
Only 4% of S&P Stocks at Highs, Unchanged.
a lot of convo about so few stocks hitting highs vs. the market at highs... only ~4.2% of $SPX stocks at 52-week highs but wasn't very different a year ago either after the "V" bottom... https://t.co/DnQETcdNbm
Netflix Shares Tumble over 10% on Muted 2026 Outlook
Netflix shares are down more than 10% after the company didn’t forecast a big jump in earnings for 2026. https://t.co/a0WNdW74jd
Citigroup Beats Q1 2026 EPS Estimates, Raises Dividend, Spurs Analyst Upgrades
Citigroup reported first‑quarter 2026 earnings that topped consensus forecasts by $0.43 per share and announced a $0.60 quarterly dividend, an annualized $2.40 payout. The results triggered a wave of analyst upgrades and higher price targets, while an insider sold nearly...
S&P 500 Posts 7.9% Gain, 6th Best April Since 195
As we noted at the start of the month, things lined up for a big April, but this is even better than we could have imaged. S&P 500 currently up 7.9%, making it the 6th best April since 1950. https://t.co/jJIHkuF3eb
Crossing 7,000 Is Headline, Not Profit Driver
$SPY closes at 7,041 — the S&P 500 has never touched 7,000 before April 16, 2026. Round-number breakouts generate headlines. They don't generate returns. The question isn't whether we crossed 7,000. It's what you do the morning after. https://t.co/Bpn2GfpB2E
Bridgewater Adds 15,968 Shares of Dimensional International High Profitability ETF to Portfolio
Bridgewater Advisors Inc. bought 15,968 shares of the Dimensional International High Profitability ETF (DIHP), a move that may reshape macro‑hedge fund positioning. The purchase, announced on April 15, 2026, adds a sizable exposure to non‑U.S. large‑cap equities selected for higher...
Heavyweights Near 52‑Week Highs After Long Consolidation
S&P 500 constituents within 5% of 52w highs that haven’t had one in 50 sessions. This is basically your bull case: quite a few heavyweights here that have spent a long time consolidating. https://t.co/MznH2PfRs7
Wall Street Goes All‑In on Bitcoin ETFs
Look at these headlines from past 24hrs… Goldman Sachs launching btc-related ETF. Morgan Stanley’s most successful ETF launch ever is btc ETF. Charles Schwab rolling out direct spot crypto trading. New York Stock Exchange all in on crypto. Wall Street has literally arrived. https://t.co/VI4u6O8vPz
Pepsi Says Price Cuts and Wellness Push Are Bringing Back Customers — and the Stock Surges
PepsiCo announced that its 15% snack‑price cuts and a wave of wellness‑focused products have helped lure price‑sensitive shoppers back to its brands. First‑quarter sales jumped 8.5% to $19.44 billion, with adjusted earnings per share rising 9% to $1.61, beating analyst forecasts....
AMD Has ‘Indispensable Assets’ — Powering the Stock Toward Its Best Run in Two Decades
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) saw its shares climb 7.8% to $278.26, extending a 12‑day rally that has lifted the stock 41%—its longest streak since 2005. The surge is driven by growing investor confidence in AMD’s server‑CPU business, which is benefitting...