Broadcom Undervalued AI Play Targets $460
Check in – Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) Recommendation: STRONG BUY Price: $342.58 Intrinsic Fair Value: ~$450 (anchored on 25–27x 2026E EPS ~$17.51) 12-Month Price Target: $440–$460 (Base, +28–34%) Current Signal: TACTICAL BUY Entry Zone: $325–$335 (50-DMA support pullback) Fair Pricing: AVGO trades at 19.7x forward EPS amid 57% guided growth; PEG ~0.42x is elite for AI exposure. Q1 beat + $100B+ 2027 AI chip trajectory demand re-rating to 25x+; consensus ~$435 target implies solid upside.
AI Giant Issues $25B Debt to Boost Stock
The AI poster child is issuing $25B in debt to buy back its own stock. Not to invest in AI. Not to acquire capabilities. To support the share price. That's the strategy. $CRM
Banks Show Earnings
10K @ banks: growth in NII and fees plus positive operating leverage w lower criticized assets, continued share buyback and potential V gains for some. Importantly loans to NDFIs are 17% and diversified by borrower+ tech sector is less than...
HLEND’s Tiny AUM Impact Doesn’t Justify BlackRock Dip
The negative spin from the media and doomers on HLEND affecting $BLK stock price is actually really stupid for a couple of reasons: "Hlend didn’t need to draw down on any liquidity to pay for the 5% redemption. It had more...
Buy DIS on Dips: Parks Expansion Drives Cash Flow
Macro: Disney reshuffles; Thomas Mazloum named Chair of Disney Experiences as D’Amaro becomes CEO. Risk: parks/cruise execution, capex. Trade: buy DIS on dips—parks expansion underpins cash flow. 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Oracle Delivers Solid Quarter Despite Ongoing Doubts
$ORCL did the business this quarter. Won’t eliminate the haters nor guarantee its debt but its doing what it needs to do.
Bank of America Projects Strong 7% NII Growth
$BAC conference notes no change to solid fundamentals: 1Q expects NII 7% y/y growth, WM DD, IB up 10% with loan growth "out of the gate strong" led by commercial & above H.8 data.
Market Already Priced the Rally; Right‑tail Calls Unchanged
SPX is up 100 handles since Friday close. 10 Delta "right tail" 3 month calls are unchanged. The right tail was more than fully priced. If you are congratulating yourself for "calling" a taco/war cessation or whatever....
NVIDIA’s $120B Earnings Make Now Ideal Entry
NVIDIA makes $120 billion in net income a year. The stock is down from its highs. One week before the most watched event in AI — GTC 2026 — this may be the best entry point in over a year....
Large‑Cap Valuations at Historic Premium Over Small‑Mid Caps
The large-cap valuation premium is still near historical extremes. Large caps are trading at a ~28–36% premium to small and mid caps. That’s historically wide outside of the late-1990s tech bubble. The chart tracks forward P/E ratios for three indices: * Red: S&P 500...
Lumentum Joins S&P 500, Remains Momentum Buy
Lumentum graduating from mid-cap status into the big leagues with inclusion into the S&P 500. Stock is part of our momentum buy list and continues to act well technically (long) $LITE https://t.co/DTkN238w42
AVGO's AI Surge Forces Target Revision to $310
I've been saying $AVGO is overvalued for months. Last week's earnings proved me wrong. $8.4B AI revenue. 77% gross margin. Q2 guide +140%. I take my words back. Updated my BuyTrigger to $310. But the war isn't stopping tomorrow. No rush, darling. Let...
Tech Stocks, Oracle Earnings, and AI Ghost Trade Overhang
Look forward to discussing tech stocks, Oracle’s key earnings, and the AI Ghost Trade still an overhang on oversold software names on @CNBCClosingBell at 3:10 pm with @ScottWapnerCNBC from @FutureProof_HQ in Miami @CNBC @CNBCtech 🏆🔥🍿🎯🐂☀️
BioNTech Founders' Exit Needed as Sales Plunge
This morning's BioNTech news strikes me as very odd. Certainly, founder Ugur Sahin and Ozlem Tureci shouldn't feel compelled to run the company forever, and they may not be the right people to manage both the continued decline of Covid-19...
Berkshire Targets Major Operating Ratio Boost for UNP, BNSF
Operating Ratio comparison for UNP and BNSF Greg Abel, 2025 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter: "The gap to the industry’s best remains too wide... We will be disappointed if we do not deliver a substantial [operating ratio] improvement over the next few...
Risk-On Surge Floods SPY, QQQ, HYG; VOO Steady
Flows did a 180 yesterday and went FULL risk-on with $12b flooding into trading crowd favorites $SPY $QQQ $HYG et al.. while $VOO (the tortoise in the wealth creation race) doing its half a bil a day regardless of the...
Tech Investment Gains Spotlighted in Broadcom Analysis
Ray Wang makes the case for investing in tech https://t.co/Xc0L0HR1qL @FoxBusiness @cvpayne @rwang0 of @constellationr discusses @Broadcom's quarter, mega-cap buys, stock-based compensation and more on 'Making Money.' https://t.co/R7sDw6EAZn
NYFANG Leads Mega-Cap Recovery After November Crash
$NYFANG was the first mega-cap index to crack; it peaked back in November. But it's also the first to bounce, leading since late February, while the others haven't. https://t.co/im29c9GnlA
Broadcom Overtakes Meta in Market Capitalization
Broadcom $AVGO just surpassed Meta $META in market cap. Which would you rather own here @ramahluwalia? https://t.co/ZmgmD0NMMq
VRT Joins S&P 500 After Friday Close
$VRT was added to the S&P 500 after the close last Friday. Chart courtesy of @marketsurge @IBDinvestors #IBDPartner https://t.co/nBBYFdAKO8
Microsoft's Bullish Reversal Likely Avoids 200‑week MA
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
Only Staples and Energy Up: Survival Trade, Not Growth Scare
Only two sectors green on March 6th: Consumer Staples (+0.4%) and Energy (+0.2%). Tech -2.1%. Discretionary -1.8%. Financials -1.3%. When people buy Cheerios and oil but sell everything else, you're not in a growth scare. You're in a survival trade. https://t.co/8RrBLVWIBN
Goldman Sachs Equity Sentiment Remains Flat, Offering Little Guidance
GS equity sentiment still near the flat line.. can't take much signal from that https://t.co/ySSxmcNywv
Goldman Holds 7600 SPX Target, Cuts Loom
Goldman sticking with a 7600 YE SPX target... I give it 4 weeks before we start seeing estimate cuts across the street https://t.co/DsTzT8zbEO
Industrials Overvalued at 26x P/E, Staples Match Tech
S&P 500 sector valuations... Industrials a nosebleed 26x P/E Staples same as Info Tech https://t.co/p5OdBIqFE8
Small‑cap Slump Signals Delayed Bull Market Confirmation
Russell 2000 down 2.3%. Small caps are the canary. They need cheap credit, domestic demand, and labor stability. They have none of those right now. If you're waiting for small cap leadership to confirm a bull market, you'll be waiting a while. https://t.co/mDOKLhcosE
NVDA Bonus Linked to FY27 Revenue, Buy on Pullbacks
Nvidia ties CEO Huang’s $4M bonus to FY2027 revenue milestones. Macro: AI-driven revenue surge. Key factors: record FY26 sales, China export limits, TSMC shift to Vera Rubin. Risk: geopolitical export curbs. Trading insight: accumulate NVDA on meaningful pullbacks. — Viktor...
US Private Credit Stocks Face Massive Outflows and Declines
⚠️US private credit stocks are under PRESSURE: Blue Owl stock is down -50% in 12 months, dropping below its $10 listing price from 2021. Meanwhile, Blackstone's $82 billion private credit fund saw -$1.7 billion in net OUTFLOWS over the last month👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-private-credit-stocks-are-under-heavy-pressure
Mixed Data, US Growth, Buying Opportunities Amid Sentiment
Busy week with mixed data but still growth in the US (Atlanta Fed 2.1% - some weather, some not) and pretty negative sentiment which are long term opportunities. Did some buying this week. $NFLX $TGT $PANW Great...
New Lindy Effect ETF Targets 50‑Year‑Old Companies
New filing for a Lindy Effect ETF.. which will only hold companies that are over 50yrs old. Some other ones incl Insurance ETF (haven't seen one of those in a long time). New issuer I believe too. https://t.co/c1L9kTa7hU
Market Ignoring Looming Risks as SPY Nears Peak
SPY is 2.4% from its all-time high. In the middle of a war. With oil spiking. With yields surging. The market hasn't priced in the worst case. It hasn't even priced in the base case. That's the scariest part. https://t.co/d7MxjrSyrG
Roche, Zealand Stocks Tumble After Bland Obesity Drug Data
Roche, Zealand shares fall on ‘undifferentiated’ obesity drug results https://t.co/5pSR2vcHBD by @Lilah_Alvarado $RHHBY $ZEAL $LLY $NVO #obesity
S&P 500 Closes Above Midpoint
The $SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point for 8 straight days and 13/14. 3 1/2 hours left to do it again...
AI Threatens Office and Finance Jobs, Spares Manual Sectors
this chart from Anthropic on AI and job displacement is basically the HALO trade visualized (the bet that physical economy stocks are the safe haven from AI disruption, coined by @Downtown) Construction, agriculture, transportation: barely touched. Computer & math, office &...
S&P 500 Multiplies Tenfold Since 2009 Low
On March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 set a closing low of 676.53. Today, it's trading at 6,765.3
Simple Tactical Trade on AVGO Earnings Yields 2.4% Gain
Sometimes we make it harder than it has to be. $avgo had a good response to earnings yesterday. We discussed in 8:50 call u can buy vs gap pivot of $323. It only hit $327...
Oil Rises While Mag 7 Shows Bearish Signals
Friday's Playbook: Oil Surging. Bearish Signals Across the Mag 7. See How We’re Positioning. https://t.co/Ab25axAjJe via @hedgeye
BIDU Near 200‑WMA Support, ARK Buys
$BIDU pulled back to its 200 WMA and holding support Interesting to see ARK doing the smart thing here and adding on this support Golden Cross about to take place on the weekly chart too... Price is at $119 Mean Reversion Zone above...
Short Sellers Squeezed, Forced to Cover Positions Rapidly
CHART OF THE DAY: We Are Pressing Our Shorts Into Their Covers https://t.co/6ATbUtxX8X via @hedgeye
Long-Term Inflation Expectations Hit April Low, Treasury Yields Diverge
Long-term inflation expectations have fallen to the lowest since April, based on 5-year 5-year forward breakeven rates. Yields on 10-year Treasuries seem to be trading on a different dynamic. https://t.co/hStpU22gbY
SPY Plummets Amid Weak Breadth, Labor Cracks, Iran Tension
SPY getting crushed taking out yesterday lows, as noted yesterday, worst breadth seen in a long-time and warned of more cracks likely in the labor market which we saw today, also felt nobody wanted to hold this market into the...
Dow Plunges as Supply Chain Enters Cardiac Arrest
Dow down 785 points on March 5. Worst week since October. Oil at $81. Yields rising. VIX spiking. And somehow, everyone's still debating whether this is a "healthy pullback." There is nothing healthy about a supply chain in cardiac arrest. https://t.co/t59DwX0YJy
S&P Holds Support; Jobs Data Could Shift Momentum
$SPX :6775 is active support, then the lows of the week at 6710. Jobs report at 8:30 could change the picture — the street is modeling ~+55k, and in-line or a little stronger would be better than a miss. https://t.co/qIBCw3h3lN
March Beats October, Delivers Positive S&P Return
March is like October's little brother, but he does average a positive SPX return... BofA https://t.co/jFaPf9gsOb
Wall Street Embraces Crypto: Banks, Exchanges, and Regulators Converge
Just this week… *Morgan Stanley* names *BNY* as a custodian for spot btc ETF Kraken gains access to *Fed* payment system US President says *tradfi banks* need to make good deal w/ crypto industry *NYSE* owner ICE invests in crypto exchange OKX See...
Apple Dips Below Triangle; Watch MAG 7 Recovery
$AAPL broke down under minor triangle support today, & always important to monitor the "Generals" when they show meaningful strength or weakness @IBDinvestors @marketsurge While SPX and QQQ have proven range-bound in recent months, the action has proven...
Marvell's Strong Earnings Boost S&P 500 Inclusion Odds
Marvell $MRVL is one of our top candidates to potentially be added to the S&P 500 this month. Strong earnings today and it popped 15% after market. S&P 500 rebalance announcement will be tomorrow after close. https://t.co/lZz8qTXoSU
Markets Tumble $800B as Volatility Surges 70%
Brutal day, the S&P 500 has wiped out around $800 billion in market cap, falling 1.4%. The Dow Jones is having its worst day of 2026, down over 2% 📉 Meanwhile the VIX (volatility index) is up 17% and is now...
Record Hedge Activity Signals Unprecedented Investor Fear
🚨Investors are hedging against a market crash at a record pace: Combined put open interest in credit ETFs, $HYG, $LQD, $JNK, and $BKLN, plus call open interest in the Treasury ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 15.9 million contracts. This has...
Morgan Stanley Leads Wall Street's Tech Outlook Discussion
Morgan Stanley was at the center of the tech universe this week. Dario Amodei and Sam Altman on the Pentagon drama and competition. Jensen Huang and Satya Nadella on where AI goes next. Going live in ~an hour with the...