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Tuesday recap
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Tuesday recap
Look forward to discussing tech stocks, Oracle’s key earnings, and the AI Ghost Trade still an overhang on oversold software names on @CNBCClosingBell at 3:10 pm with @ScottWapnerCNBC from @FutureProof_HQ in Miami @CNBC @CNBCtech 🏆🔥🍿🎯🐂☀️
This morning's BioNTech news strikes me as very odd. Certainly, founder Ugur Sahin and Ozlem Tureci shouldn't feel compelled to run the company forever, and they may not be the right people to manage both the continued decline of Covid-19...
Operating Ratio comparison for UNP and BNSF Greg Abel, 2025 Berkshire Hathaway Shareholder Letter: "The gap to the industry’s best remains too wide... We will be disappointed if we do not deliver a substantial [operating ratio] improvement over the next few...
Flows did a 180 yesterday and went FULL risk-on with $12b flooding into trading crowd favorites $SPY $QQQ $HYG et al.. while $VOO (the tortoise in the wealth creation race) doing its half a bil a day regardless of the...
Ray Wang makes the case for investing in tech https://t.co/Xc0L0HR1qL @FoxBusiness @cvpayne @rwang0 of @constellationr discusses @Broadcom's quarter, mega-cap buys, stock-based compensation and more on 'Making Money.' https://t.co/R7sDw6EAZn
$NYFANG was the first mega-cap index to crack; it peaked back in November. But it's also the first to bounce, leading since late February, while the others haven't. https://t.co/im29c9GnlA
Broadcom $AVGO just surpassed Meta $META in market cap. Which would you rather own here @ramahluwalia? https://t.co/ZmgmD0NMMq
$VRT was added to the S&P 500 after the close last Friday. Chart courtesy of @marketsurge @IBDinvestors #IBDPartner https://t.co/nBBYFdAKO8
$MSFT - After almost hitting its 200 week MA last week we had a bullish reversal this week so I don't expect it to hit the 200 week MA anymore in March. An intermediate term low is probably in but...
Only two sectors green on March 6th: Consumer Staples (+0.4%) and Energy (+0.2%). Tech -2.1%. Discretionary -1.8%. Financials -1.3%. When people buy Cheerios and oil but sell everything else, you're not in a growth scare. You're in a survival trade. https://t.co/8RrBLVWIBN
GS equity sentiment still near the flat line.. can't take much signal from that https://t.co/ySSxmcNywv
Goldman sticking with a 7600 YE SPX target... I give it 4 weeks before we start seeing estimate cuts across the street https://t.co/DsTzT8zbEO
S&P 500 sector valuations... Industrials a nosebleed 26x P/E Staples same as Info Tech https://t.co/p5OdBIqFE8
Russell 2000 down 2.3%. Small caps are the canary. They need cheap credit, domestic demand, and labor stability. They have none of those right now. If you're waiting for small cap leadership to confirm a bull market, you'll be waiting a while. https://t.co/mDOKLhcosE
Nvidia ties CEO Huang’s $4M bonus to FY2027 revenue milestones. Macro: AI-driven revenue surge. Key factors: record FY26 sales, China export limits, TSMC shift to Vera Rubin. Risk: geopolitical export curbs. Trading insight: accumulate NVDA on meaningful pullbacks. — Viktor...
⚠️US private credit stocks are under PRESSURE: Blue Owl stock is down -50% in 12 months, dropping below its $10 listing price from 2021. Meanwhile, Blackstone's $82 billion private credit fund saw -$1.7 billion in net OUTFLOWS over the last month👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-private-credit-stocks-are-under-heavy-pressure
Busy week with mixed data but still growth in the US (Atlanta Fed 2.1% - some weather, some not) and pretty negative sentiment which are long term opportunities. Did some buying this week. $NFLX $TGT $PANW Great...
New filing for a Lindy Effect ETF.. which will only hold companies that are over 50yrs old. Some other ones incl Insurance ETF (haven't seen one of those in a long time). New issuer I believe too. https://t.co/c1L9kTa7hU
SPY is 2.4% from its all-time high. In the middle of a war. With oil spiking. With yields surging. The market hasn't priced in the worst case. It hasn't even priced in the base case. That's the scariest part. https://t.co/d7MxjrSyrG
Roche, Zealand shares fall on ‘undifferentiated’ obesity drug results https://t.co/5pSR2vcHBD by @Lilah_Alvarado $RHHBY $ZEAL $LLY $NVO #obesity
The $SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point for 8 straight days and 13/14. 3 1/2 hours left to do it again...
this chart from Anthropic on AI and job displacement is basically the HALO trade visualized (the bet that physical economy stocks are the safe haven from AI disruption, coined by @Downtown) Construction, agriculture, transportation: barely touched. Computer & math, office &...
On March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 set a closing low of 676.53. Today, it's trading at 6,765.3
Sometimes we make it harder than it has to be. $avgo had a good response to earnings yesterday. We discussed in 8:50 call u can buy vs gap pivot of $323. It only hit $327...
Friday's Playbook: Oil Surging. Bearish Signals Across the Mag 7. See How We’re Positioning. https://t.co/Ab25axAjJe via @hedgeye
$BIDU pulled back to its 200 WMA and holding support Interesting to see ARK doing the smart thing here and adding on this support Golden Cross about to take place on the weekly chart too... Price is at $119 Mean Reversion Zone above...
CHART OF THE DAY: We Are Pressing Our Shorts Into Their Covers https://t.co/6ATbUtxX8X via @hedgeye
Long-term inflation expectations have fallen to the lowest since April, based on 5-year 5-year forward breakeven rates. Yields on 10-year Treasuries seem to be trading on a different dynamic. https://t.co/hStpU22gbY
SPY getting crushed taking out yesterday lows, as noted yesterday, worst breadth seen in a long-time and warned of more cracks likely in the labor market which we saw today, also felt nobody wanted to hold this market into the...
Dow down 785 points on March 5. Worst week since October. Oil at $81. Yields rising. VIX spiking. And somehow, everyone's still debating whether this is a "healthy pullback." There is nothing healthy about a supply chain in cardiac arrest. https://t.co/t59DwX0YJy
$SPX :6775 is active support, then the lows of the week at 6710. Jobs report at 8:30 could change the picture — the street is modeling ~+55k, and in-line or a little stronger would be better than a miss. https://t.co/qIBCw3h3lN
March is like October's little brother, but he does average a positive SPX return... BofA https://t.co/jFaPf9gsOb
Just this week… *Morgan Stanley* names *BNY* as a custodian for spot btc ETF Kraken gains access to *Fed* payment system US President says *tradfi banks* need to make good deal w/ crypto industry *NYSE* owner ICE invests in crypto exchange OKX See...
$AAPL broke down under minor triangle support today, & always important to monitor the "Generals" when they show meaningful strength or weakness @IBDinvestors @marketsurge While SPX and QQQ have proven range-bound in recent months, the action has proven...
Marvell $MRVL is one of our top candidates to potentially be added to the S&P 500 this month. Strong earnings today and it popped 15% after market. S&P 500 rebalance announcement will be tomorrow after close. https://t.co/lZz8qTXoSU
Brutal day, the S&P 500 has wiped out around $800 billion in market cap, falling 1.4%. The Dow Jones is having its worst day of 2026, down over 2% 📉 Meanwhile the VIX (volatility index) is up 17% and is now...
🚨Investors are hedging against a market crash at a record pace: Combined put open interest in credit ETFs, $HYG, $LQD, $JNK, and $BKLN, plus call open interest in the Treasury ETF, $TLT, is up to a record 15.9 million contracts. This has...
Morgan Stanley was at the center of the tech universe this week. Dario Amodei and Sam Altman on the Pentagon drama and competition. Jensen Huang and Satya Nadella on where AI goes next. Going live in ~an hour with the...
Oracle Plans Thousands of Job Cuts in Face of AI Cash Crunch “In September @Oracle disclosed in a filing it was planning its largest-ever restructuring, which will cost as much as $1.6B in the current fiscal year ending May, incl severance...
ADDITION BY SUBTRACTION: What happens when you take the MSCI EM Index and start kicking out autocratic countries with low freedom scores (eg China, Russia) and use that excess budget to load up on freer countries? You crush the benchmark....
“The firms are using repo-like loans from one particular investment bank to mask debt, the letter says.” https://t.co/YLQH5cPi6f
Boston Scientific $BSX -34.1% from highs... another contestant on the 52-week new lows list... https://t.co/MCT33YSBqJ
S&P 600 up 9% YTD. S&P 500 flat. Tech lagging. Energy leading. Value crushing growth. This isn't a head fake. This is a regime change. The small-cap rotation is real and it's getting started. https://t.co/AYVusIGbRd
✍️ Longform links: a look at a potential SpaceX IPO, the long-term health impacts of Covid, and how the iPod changed our relationship with music. https://t.co/6bSrheJuzD image: https://t.co/vMSvzVUcJK https://t.co/8bTwTklNAR
You may not remember when $META was at $87 It got the full blown $AMD treatment Zuck had ‘wrecked’ the company because of his Metaverse plans But what people failed to consider was their enormous FCF Price recovered and ran to $736 +840% This is where...
My thoughts on $VEEV Revenue growth has remained around +16% YoY over the last four quarters. Veeva beat its own Q4 revenue guidance by 3.2%, and if it similarly beats the forecast next quarter, growth could accelerate to +16.7%. Subscription services non-GAAP...
Tech started doing better. $qqq reclaimed $594 area on Tuesday to relieve pressure and hit $612 yesterday. A digestion day above $607-$609 would be constructive https://t.co/CakJqjZ5sf
#HSP upgrading guidance by 4% after winning contract with #BBY and one with #DRAX . ShareScope showing fwd Dividend Yield 5.2% rising to 5.3%. Nice Uptrend. I don't hold.
#AV. Results look good. £350m share Buyback programme. ShareScope has fwd p/e 12.1 falling to 11.3 and fwd Divvy 5.8% rising to the 6.2% (remember Buybacks on top).
The problem isn’t the stocks, it’s their weight. These two lines contain the same exact stocks. #Mag7Diet $RSP $SPY https://t.co/OXqmQXkEkc
