ISM Manufacturing Employment Signals Lower 2026 Recession Risk
The Polymarket recession odds for 2026 are 36%. I believe that is an overestimation. Consider the employment component of ISM Manufacturing. It bottomed nine reports ago, at 43.4, and is on the mend. This index often breaks below 40 for recessions; today it is 48.7. https://t.co/i3GOSGFORM
Pairwise ELO Rankings Streamline Awards and Performance Reviews
So many judging tasks could be improved by aggregating partial orderings, and in the limit, just ordering pairs. The annual Libertarian Futurist Society novel awards discussion is starting, and while I would like to participate on some level, there is no...
Enterprise Domain Management Requires Strict Renewal and Security Processes
Hive mind - how do large enterprises manage their domains? I'd love to talk to some IT leaders - what processes ensure https://t.co/VFOQyhfres or https://t.co/kuiRO5DwUb or https://t.co/N7kgQgrxQy doesn't expire, or get socially engineered into a redirect or transfer?
From Idea to 1.5M: HYROX’s Rapid Global Rise
HYROX has gone from concept to 1.5M participants globally in less than a decade. So how was it created and what's been the secret to its success? At SportsPro London, CEO & Co-Founder Christian Toetzke will join me on stage to break...
China's Oil Supply Half Threatened by Hormuz Slowdown
Just FYI, with reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz (it cannot be objectively assessed as fully closed), China risks losing roughly 40 to 50 percent of its oil imports, which come from Gulf producers whose exports transit the Strait,...
Dexter Lawrence Eyeing $82M, Three-Year Extension
Assuming an extension is involved, Dexter Lawrence currently projects toward a 3 year, $82M contract according to Spotrac's model.
Invest in Sports Heads to San Francisco May 6
Reminder: Sportico is bringing Invest in Sports to San Francisco May 6. Great lineup of speakers, including: @warriors owner Joe Lacob @AcrewCapital's Theresia Gouw @SacramentoKings owner Vivek Ranadive @ThornsFC/@theportlandfire owner Alex Bhathal https://t.co/BtKMcy5za7
One Leader Turned Microsoft From Crisis to $3 Trillion
In 2014, Microsoft was imploding. Their $7.2B Nokia purchase was a disaster. Windows 8 was failing. Their culture was toxic. Until they hired ONE man who would transform Microsoft into a $3 TRILLION empire... Here's the full story:
Gated Content Is Dead in the AI Era
The invisible vendor: Why gated content is a death sentence in the age of AI by @Timothy_Hughes https://t.co/61e0ibAVS3 @DLAIgnite #SocialSelling #DigitalSelling #Sales #SalesTips #SalesLeader #SalesEnablement #Marketing #MarketingStrategy #MarketingSuccess https://t.co/O8It1o0eFv
Charge More Now, Profit From Tomorrow’s Features
Founders: The best pricing defense is future value: 'Yes, we cost more today. But in 12 months when you need [upcoming feature], you'll thank yourself for choosing the platform that's investing in innovation.' Sell tomorrow's product today.
Iranian Rial Gains 9% Amid US-Israeli Conflict, Media Silent
Since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran 5 weeks ago, the Iranian rial as APPRECIATED by 9% against the USD. THE WESTERN MEDIA (READ: PROPGANDA MACHINE) REMAINS SILENT ON THIS INCONVENIENT FACT. https://t.co/9n42ihPYE9
Marketing Skills v1.6 Adds Community, Intel, and Growth Tools
Marketing Skills v1.6.0 is out. What shipped: 🆕 /community-marketing — build and leverage online communities for product growth. Strategy principles, platform selection (Discord, Slack, Circle, Reddit), launch playbooks, ambassador programs, and health metrics. 🛠️ SparkToro — audience research and behavioral intelligence. Discover where...
U.S. Petroleum Exports Hit Record, Reaching New Markets
U.S. weekly petroleum product exports surged to a record 7.9 mb/d for the week ending March 27, according to EIA. While weekly figures are volatile, multiple sources have reported U.S. product exports increasing to Asia, Africa and other areas. Trade...
AI Eases Building; Moat Lies in Expertise and Trust
RT If everyone can build with AI, why buy? Because the new moat isn't code. It's context, domain expertise, and earned customer trust. #CIO #DigitalTransformation @Star_CIO https://t.co/QCJX9x5Zwh
Great CEOs Act as Parents, Not Babysitters
The difference between a great CEO and one who isn’t is that one understands they’re a “parent”, while the other thinks they’re a “babysitter.”
Berkshire Hathaway's Cash Dwarfs All Major Sports Leagues
If you add up the value of all the teams in the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL, Berkshire Hathaway has more than double that sitting in cash right now.
Pitch Annually: Grants Reveal Your Business Reality
Applying for Grants is a great exercise that forces you look at your Business as an actual business. It opens your eyes to your operations and financials that most people avoid, because they’re bringing in revenue. I recommend pitching your...
Brand Loyalty Can Force Google to Rank You
This site does almost zero SEO. You know what it has? • 20% of traffic is branded/navigational (people looking for this site) • It sells its own popular products • Loyal fan base If you can force Google to rank you because...
Trump Demands Free Oil Flow Through Hormuz in Deal
US President Donald Trump says that “part of the deal is we want free traffic of oil” via the Strait of Hormuz. (In reference to the current US-Iran talks via regional intermediaries)
Consistent Framework Prevents Misreading Tariff Shock Data
Operating from an intellectually and internally consistent framework for how a policy shock like tariffs should affect the economy will help guard against misleading interpretations of the data. https://t.co/GgMqA3UftP https://t.co/cP8F1ngAEQ
McDonald’s CEO on Viral Bite, Social Media Strategy
For my latest interview, I talked with McDonald’s CEO Chris Kempczinski about that viral bite and his strategy around social media and the menu. Link below 👇 https://t.co/LxAI0L4FD0
Authenticity Beats Corporate Facades: People Love Real Humans
Want people to love your brand? People love people, not companies. What if you tried honesty and your own personality? Some will hate it… but some will love you 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 of it. More: https://t.co/WMsL8dje4p
South Africa’s Inflation Plummets, SARB Swings Rates Aggressively
South Africa's inflation peaked at around 7.8% in mid 2022 and fell to a cycle low of around 2.7% in March 2025. The SARB responded with one of its most aggressive hiking cycles in recent history, taking the repo rate...
US Deficits Projected Near 7% of GDP by 2026
PIMCO: .. US budget deficits likely “grow to ~7% of GDP for 2026. Even if the amount of the supplemental request were halved to $100bn, deficits could grow to ~6.6% ..” https://t.co/fVC6QpbqzB
A‑Players Quit for Hidden Reasons, Not Just Money
A-players don’t just “quit.” As a founder in the trenches for 20+ years, I’ve seen my fair share of A-players come and go. Most assume that star employees leave because of compensation or career advancement reasons. For some, yes, but for...
Now Is Prime Time for Fresh Private Credit Capital
Quite the opportune time to be putting fresh capital to work in private credit. https://t.co/JSc6jmY0Rb
Deal Market Paused Amid Post‑Easter Lull, War Threat
Deal market seems to be on hold: Easter in the rearview and massive war escalation possibly ahead.
YouTube Expands AI Likeness Detection, Backs NO FAKES Act
At @YouTube, we're expanding our automated likeness detection technology to help prominent figures manage unauthorized AI-generated replicas. We’re also proud to work alongside Congress in support of the NO FAKES Act to establish a federal property right that protects your...
Buyers Want Understanding, Not Over‑Explaining Expertise
The smartest rep I ever hired was the worst closer. He had an MBA and knew every feature of the product. But buyers do not want to be impressed. They want to be understood. Have you seen someone lose a deal by overexplaining? https://t.co/poW3ijd493
Google Trusts Site, Driving Massive Post‑update Rankings
https://t.co/g44C5uqw6b seems... trusted by Google. :) Massive gains with the December 2025 broad core update. I'm seeing this when analyzing a client's situation btw. They are everywhere when checking important queries for that client... https://t.co/YDIijP80Sf
Tariffs Mostly Shifted to Foreign Exporters, Not Consumers
Fun paper from Fed/Georgetown economists: A chunk of what was thought to be price increases driven by 2018-19 tariffs is attributable to smaller purchase orders due to tariffs. Their conclusion: tariffs were primarily borne by foreign exporters. https://t.co/wxoheNJ8PO
Focus on One Visible Product; Timing and Margins Win
How to launch an 8 figure ecom product the right way in 2026: 1. If nobody can see your product being used in public (or in a day in the life reel), it won't spread. 2. One product, one obsession. Don’t diversify...
St. Louis Fed Spread Hit 3.11% on June 1 2023
Always remember that the spreads are quoted differently depending on who you're quoting mortgage rates with. The St. Louis Fed spread's recent high was June 1, 2023, at 3.11% https://t.co/sraBmi3n5u
31 Conferences to Share Women’s Tournament Revenue Over Three Years
Here's what each of the 31 @NCAA DI conferences will make in units from this year's women's basketball tournament. Payments spread across three years, starting in 2027. 📈: @Sportico, @LevAkabas https://t.co/AH6zhbWGun
Warm Intros: The Genius Shortcut to VC Hiring
I recently saw a VC job posting with an unusual requirement. To be considered, you HAD to find a way to get a warm intro to someone on the team. My first reaction was that's not fair. My second reaction was -...
Now Is the Cheapest, Easiest Era to Launch a Startup
Best time in history to start a business - ~0 startup costs - can find any info you need w/ google/AI - connect w/ already-successful people on X w/ a DM - can hire employees all across the world for cheap - infinite scale...
Valuation Hype Blinds Investors; Fundamentals Still Matter
Startuping is hard. Bolt, the one-click checkout turned financial “super app," raised nearly $1B, and hit an $11B valuation. Now it's cut a third of its staff, struggling to pay contractors, and its app has 5,000 downloads with mostly one-star reviews. Capital...
AI, Values, and Trust: Rebuilding College Sports Media
Wrote a little bit this morning about AI in media and college sports administration...as well as values, service, and how to get fans (and readers) to trust you again. https://t.co/3aG47EVBNr
HR Demands Impossible Experience for Brand‑new Tech
The Evil HR Lady when you don’t have 5 years of experience with a technology that’s only been out for one year
WNBA Expansion Fees Dwarfed by $300M+ Team Valuations
Banger @WNBA scoop here from @kbadenhausen. The league's three expansion teams are paying $250M fees, but they're already raising at much higher valuations. Detroit - $325M Cleveland - $290M Also, Will Smith is an investor in Philadelphia. https://t.co/VB2gTICRjE
Markets Rise on Deal Hopes, Energy Pressure Relief
Why are markets rallying despite Trump's threats? 1. They think deal in imminent 2.They think US will take the Strait of Hormuz either way pressure on energy comes down.
WNBA Governors Vote on High‑Priced Expansion in CLE, DET, PHI
SCOOP: NBA & WNBA governors are finally voting this week on W expansion in CLE, DET & PHI, per memo sent to teams. Cleveland ($290M) & Detroit ($325M) have raised $ at higher prices than $250M expansion. W team governor...
Weekly US Inflation Updates Vs. Fed Forecasts Begin
Tomorrow, with mtks back to full liquidity, we will start a run of US inflation updates for the week. We start with the NY Fed's Consumer Inflation Expectations reading, then Thursday we have the Fed's preferred PCE deflator and Friday...
Building AI Tools for Viral UGC Marketing
As you know, coding now is not a problem. So... I'm going deep into UGC and MARKETING. Build tools to help me build viral content for Instagram/TikTok. Showing progress on real use-cases, what works and what doesn’t. The project is a...
Semrush Data Shows Unusual Turkey Traffic Spike Anomaly
OK, let's talk turkey. No really, I mean the country. :) Semrush data looks very wonky for the country. Every site I'm checking surged through the roof for Turkey, but not for other countries. There must be some type of...
Zimbabwe Aims for Upper‑middle‑income Status by 2030
Zimbabwe is a middle income country… that’s why Vision 2030 is about becoming an UPPER MIDDLE INCOME ECONOMY… Of course you can be poor as an individual due to your own circumstances, but don’t drag the whole country into your...
Your First HR Hire Drives Smarter Startup Scaling
That First HR Hire Is Key To Unlocking Smarter Scaling For #Startups @Forbes https://t.co/DD8U7zUxr8 #HCM #HRM #HumanResources #HRTech #CHRO #FutureofHR
Houthis Grip Bab Al-Mandeb, Threaten Global Shipping
The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is the gateway into the Red Sea, en route to the Suez Canal. Houthis CONTROL THE STRAIT. Ships avoid the strait because of danger & punishing insurance rates. If Trump escalates in Iran, the Houthis will squeeze the chokepoint...
Twitch‑Minecraft Sponsorship Opens to Partners and Affiliates
Twitch and Minecraft are teaming up for a major campaign. Twitch Partners and Affiliates can access a Minecraft Sponsorship (the first time Affiliates are eligible). Partner offers are good (~$1+/CCV/Hour). Affiliate offers are okay. > https://dashboard.twitch.tv/monetization/sponsorships
Oil Spike Triggers Biggest Monthly Inflation Rise Since 2022
We just saw largest monthly inflation increase since 2022. Most people still don't realize exactly why this happened and what the implications are. It starts with oil. Oil is the backbone of the global economy, so when it spikes, the impact doesn’t stay...