Commodities Social Media and Updates

Refineries Drowning in Silver Scrap, Bearish Outlook
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Refineries Drowning in Silver Scrap, Bearish Outlook

Why @BergMilton is bearish silver: refineries are OVERWHELMED with silver scrap, EVEN MORE than in 2011 (prior speculative peak). Well sourced from "largest smelter in New York" Apple🔊https://t.co/bNqmCOVqMV Spotify📽️https://t.co/mnN6Dn02hi https://t.co/ng04tObLMG

By Jack Farley
2026 Poised for Mining Breakout as Silver Strengthens
SocialFeb 11, 2026

2026 Poised for Mining Breakout as Silver Strengthens

Gold stocks ripped in 2025… and the crowd still isn’t here yet. That’s the setup. In my @CSE_News TV chat, I break down why 2026 could be when developers + explorers finally get their moment—and why silver strength matters. Watch: https://t.co/NwTnRuwApf https://t.co/LU31dyl7sv

By Jeff Clark
December Corn Down 3%, November Soy up 4%
SocialFeb 11, 2026

December Corn Down 3%, November Soy up 4%

🇺🇸After 8 of 19 February trading sessions, December corn is averaging 3% below last year's U.S. insurance price and November soybeans are averaging 4% higher. https://t.co/hSmhgukFMi

By Karen Braun
January Outages Cut 3 Million Barrels Daily, 18‑month High
SocialFeb 11, 2026

January Outages Cut 3 Million Barrels Daily, 18‑month High

CHART OF THE DAY: If anything characterised January was oil outages: Kazakhstan, Venezuela, and the US (due to weather), plus several others. In total, it adds to nearly 3m b/d, highest in about 18 months, according to the @EIAgov https://t.co/Gb7hmQGvLw

By Javier Blas
Ethanol Output Rebounds to February High Amid Mild Weather
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Ethanol Output Rebounds to February High Amid Mild Weather

🇺🇸U.S. ethanol production in the first week of February popped right back up to the pre-arctic blast levels, totaling 1.11M bpd, a February best. U.S. temperatures have been unseasonably mild this week, and that should largely continue through the rest of...

By Karen Braun
Ohio’s Commercial Power Use Overtakes Residential, Fueled by Data Centers
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Ohio’s Commercial Power Use Overtakes Residential, Fueled by Data Centers

The commercial sector is now the largest electricity consumer in Ohio, driven by data center expansions. Commercial electricity sales surpassed residential sales for the first time on a twelve-month moving average basis in August 2025 and now account for 35%...

By T. Mason Hamilton
US Backs Coal Revival as Indonesia Slashes Output
SocialFeb 11, 2026

US Backs Coal Revival as Indonesia Slashes Output

Two major coal developments in the last 24 hours. 1. White House announcing purchases and support to revive the industry 2. Indonesia just ordered the world's largest nickel mine to sharply cut output. They are also looking to cut coal production by...

By Quinn Thompson
USD Soft, JPY Squeeze Persists, Oil Spikes on Iran Tension
SocialFeb 11, 2026

USD Soft, JPY Squeeze Persists, Oil Spikes on Iran Tension

$USD is soft ahead of the delayed jobs report. Japanese markets were closed for a national holiday, but the dramatic short squeeze of $JPY continued. WTI is up ~2% as the US-Iran confrontation seems near a climax. ...

By Marc Chandler
Mild Chinese Winter Cuts Heating Demand by up to 6%
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Mild Chinese Winter Cuts Heating Demand by up to 6%

CHINA’s winter has been relatively mild so far, limiting gas consumption and imports. Heating demand in the North China metro-region including Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei (home to 109 million people and accounting for 9% of GDP) has been about 2%...

By John Kemp
Venezuelan Crude Stuck, Limited Shipments to Europe, India
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Venezuelan Crude Stuck, Limited Shipments to Europe, India

🇻🇪It seems the trading houses that bought the Venezuelan crude from the Trump administration are having trouble marketing the oil globally. Most of the oil is sent to the US. Here in the map, three tankers are going to Europe...

By Anas Alhajji
Trump's Choice on Iran Deal Drives Oil Risk Premium
SocialFeb 11, 2026

Trump's Choice on Iran Deal Drives Oil Risk Premium

A high-stakes meeting indeed. If Trump yields to Netanyahu's demand to push for a comprehensive deal covering Iran's ballistic missiles programme and support for regional proxies, possible outcomes: -- Drawn-out negotiations under the looming shadow of military action -- Higher chances of a...

By Vandana Hari
Growth Slows, Yields Rise—Short Treasury Duration
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Growth Slows, Yields Rise—Short Treasury Duration

Macro: growth softens, yields rise. Key: sticky CPI, Fed tightening, tight labor. Risks: stagflation, policy error. Trade: short US Treasury duration as real yields climb. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov

By Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA
U.S. Grants License to Revive Venezuela's Oil Production
SocialFeb 10, 2026

U.S. Grants License to Revive Venezuela's Oil Production

OIL MARKET: Washington issues a new general license to allow oilfield-service companies to work in Venezuela — it’s a crucial step to boost oil output in the Latin American country. https://t.co/ozdDE2MiMZ

By Javier Blas
US Canadian Crude Imports Plateau; Midwest Saturated, Gulf Pressure Wanes
SocialFeb 10, 2026

US Canadian Crude Imports Plateau; Midwest Saturated, Gulf Pressure Wanes

🇨🇦🛢️🇺🇸 US Canadian crude imports by importing region and crude grade quality Total US plateauing/rolling over Midwest still key Canadian market, but entirely saturated USGC was the pressure valve, but fell back when TMX opened (first went to West Coast, now increasingly China)...

By Rory Johnston
Import Prices Rise Slightly, Showing Tariffs Not Absorbed
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Import Prices Rise Slightly, Showing Tariffs Not Absorbed

Another month of US import price data shows - again - that foreigners aren't broadly eating Trump's tariffs (bc if they were, prices would have collapsed this year - instead they're up slightly) https://t.co/Dwv9hRwxO1 https://t.co/pF66RuUWjN

By Scott Lincicome
Gold Nears Breakout: From Panic to Directional Pause
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Gold Nears Breakout: From Panic to Directional Pause

Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD From Panic to Pause- Breakout to Decide Direction https://t.co/e2vca3B4h2 $XAUUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/BsGu6wpKlh

By Michael Boutros
Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Climax Top Signals Bear Market for Precious Metals

OUT NOW - @BergMilton on: - clear sign of "climax top" in gold & silver - why he expects a precious metals bear market - S&P 500, Bitcoin, Software + Korean stocks & more Apple🔊https://t.co/bNqmCOVqMV Spotify📽️https://t.co/mnN6Dn02hi 1/3 https://t.co/U3F0Pxojhy

By Jack Farley
Western Canadian Refineries Thrive, Ontario Slows, East Rebounds
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Western Canadian Refineries Thrive, Ontario Slows, East Rebounds

🇨🇦🏭⛽️ Canadian refineries are running strong in the West, have seen operations slip faster than seasonally normal in Ontario, and have had a bouncing start to the year in Quebec & Eastern Canada. https://t.co/CY8K1qOKIh

By Rory Johnston
US Refineries Pivot From Canadian to Venezuelan Heavy Crude
SocialFeb 10, 2026

US Refineries Pivot From Canadian to Venezuelan Heavy Crude

US refinery heavy crude sourcing from Canada (red) vs Venezuela (pink), compared to refinery capacity (blue) 2010 on the left, 2024 on the right https://t.co/nKOX5T7tGn

By Rory Johnston
Gulf Coast Refineries Boost Capacity, Replace Imports with Shale Oil
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Gulf Coast Refineries Boost Capacity, Replace Imports with Shale Oil

US Gulf Coast refineries (PADD3) have continued to grow distillation capacity while dramatically shrinking imports, displacing imported light and medium crudes with domestic light tight oil from the Shale Patch https://t.co/6EezXrbiQL

By Rory Johnston
USDA Cuts Global Corn, Wheat Stocks; Soy up on Brazil
SocialFeb 10, 2026

USDA Cuts Global Corn, Wheat Stocks; Soy up on Brazil

USDA's estimates for global corn and wheat ending stocks come in below expectations/last month (ending wheat's run of surging each month as harvests surpassed predictions). Soy stocks are up on a massive 180 mmt Brazilian crop. https://t.co/kM88lO1Zbq

By Karen Braun
Bitcoin Faces Downside Risk; Gold Remains Strong
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Bitcoin Faces Downside Risk; Gold Remains Strong

Technical analysis made simple with Kevin Wadsworth of Northstar & Bad Charts. We break down his case for more downside risk (bitcoin to bottom in Q3/Q4?) and the Capital Rotation Event: why many assets look bearish while gold holds strong....

By Natalie Brunell
USDA Lifts Brazil 2025/26 Soybean Forecast to 180 Mt
SocialFeb 10, 2026

USDA Lifts Brazil 2025/26 Soybean Forecast to 180 Mt

USDA pushes Brazil's 2025/26 soybean harvest to 180 million metric tons. No changes to corn or to Argentina's crops. https://t.co/D2KarYYtVJ

By Karen Braun
USDA Lifts Corn Export Outlook, Cuts Ending Stocks
SocialFeb 10, 2026

USDA Lifts Corn Export Outlook, Cuts Ending Stocks

U.S. corn ending stocks decrease from last month as USDA bumps exports to 3.3 billion bushels. Minimal/no changes in wheat and beans. https://t.co/FpMZKyhSPO

By Karen Braun
Gold and Silver Bull Market Persists, Keep Cash Ready
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Gold and Silver Bull Market Persists, Keep Cash Ready

I had a great chat with Peter Spina @goldseek at #VRIC. We covered why this still looks like a real gold/silver bull market, why I keep cash ready, and where early-stage opportunity is hiding. Full interview 👇

By Jeff Clark
Permian Wells Surge 13% as Crews Work Smarter
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Permian Wells Surge 13% as Crews Work Smarter

The frac spread count measures the number of completion crews actively fracturing a well. In the Permian, the frac spread count averaged ~100 crews in 2025, 3% higher than the 2024 average. Yet operators completed a total of ~6,800 wells,...

By T. Mason Hamilton
Brent Futures Steepen Backwardation, WTI Weakens
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Brent Futures Steepen Backwardation, WTI Weakens

The Brent (white) and WTI (blue) futures curves are telling rhyming but importantly different stories right now Both have a backwardated front, depressed belly into contango past 2027 But Brent curve seeing steepening prompt backwardation (70c/bbl now) while WTI weakening (20c) https://t.co/5ZyF18ZPDO

By Rory Johnston
Analysts Anticipate Stable US/World Stocks, Brazil Crop Gains
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Analysts Anticipate Stable US/World Stocks, Brazil Crop Gains

All trade estimates for USDA's supply & demand report due Tuesday at 11 am CT. On average, analysts don't expect major changes to U.S. and world stocks, though Brazil's corn and soybean crops could increase. U.S. demand will also be...

By Karen Braun
BP Finally Admits Debt Exceeds $50 Billion, Not $22 Billion
SocialFeb 10, 2026

BP Finally Admits Debt Exceeds $50 Billion, Not $22 Billion

Regular readers know we at @Opinion had flagged BP had far more debt than the company's prefered metric (~$22 bn). Look at net debt + hybrids + leases + off-balance sheet items and it's >$50 bn. Now, BP acknowledges the issue...

By Javier Blas
Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Debt Monetization Fears
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Debt Monetization Fears

Gold is back above $5,000. The rise in gold is one manifestation of the debasement trade, which is about markets seeking safe havens from debt monetization. Big thanks to @DavidWestin from @BloombergTV for all the right questions and a great...

By Robin Brooks
BP's Looney and Auchincloss Tenure a Board‑Enabled Disaster
SocialFeb 10, 2026

BP's Looney and Auchincloss Tenure a Board‑Enabled Disaster

Further thought on BP: Today proves, if ever there was a need of further proof, what a disaster the tenure of Bernard Looney and Murray Auchincloss were for the UK oil major. (...all permited / encouraged by a weak board...)

By Javier Blas
BP Halts $750M Quarterly Buyback Over Mounting Debt
SocialFeb 10, 2026

BP Halts $750M Quarterly Buyback Over Mounting Debt

In view of BP's announcement this morning it's cancelling its $750-million-a-quarter share buyback, let me re-publish yesterday's @Opinion note arguing the British oil major couldn't afford it anymore. It comes down to debt -- lots of debt. https://t.co/23vNRD4Nsw

By Javier Blas
China May Smash Coal Output Record if Imports Fall
SocialFeb 10, 2026

China May Smash Coal Output Record if Imports Fall

Will China's coal production hit another record this year? 🇨🇳🪨 China’s main coal industry body warns that imports may fall if Indonesia moves to restrict shipments They see production hitting a record 4.86 billion tons in 2026, but could go higher if...

By Stephen Stapczynski
Russian Tankers Route to Singapore Despite Sanctions, China Shift
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Russian Tankers Route to Singapore Despite Sanctions, China Shift

Russian oil tankers list Singapore as destination amid sanctions and shift to China, LSEG data shows https://t.co/1md44bH813

By Guy Faulconbridge
Seventh Sanctioned Russian LNG Tanker Navigates Red Sea
SocialFeb 10, 2026

Seventh Sanctioned Russian LNG Tanker Navigates Red Sea

⛄️⛄️⛄️Sanctions? What sanctions? Where are you going, Zarya? This is going to be the 7th LNG carrier passing the Red Sea carrying Russian LNG. This is a sanctioned tanker carrying LNG from the sanctioned Arctic LNG 2. Map from @Kpler

By Anas Alhajji
India Shuns Urals, China Gets Cheaper Russian Oil
SocialFeb 10, 2026

India Shuns Urals, China Gets Cheaper Russian Oil

🇮🇳Indian refiners' reluctance to take Russian Urals crude shipments is pushing these discounted cargoes toward buyers like China & others, making them even cheaper in those markets—while the Indian refiners turn to replacement crudes at international prices. An Urals cargo...

By Anas Alhajji
Mexico’s Refineries Hit Highest Crude Processing Since 2014
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Mexico’s Refineries Hit Highest Crude Processing Since 2014

🇲🇽🏭 Mexican refineries are processing more crude right now than any time since 2014. Thanks most obviously to the start-up of the Dos Bocas refinery, but helped along by high utilization across other large facilities. https://t.co/wEpnmiM8He

By Rory Johnston
Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Reckless Fiscal Policy
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Reckless Fiscal Policy

Gold is back above $5,000. The rally in precious metals is reckless and crazy, but so is global fiscal policy. At some point over the past 20 years, policy makers who believe in keeping public debt stable stopped existing. Makes...

By Robin Brooks
Brazil's Corn, Soybean Harvests Expected to Rise; Argentina Steady
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Brazil's Corn, Soybean Harvests Expected to Rise; Argentina Steady

🇧🇷Analysts are expecting upside to Brazil's corn and soybean harvests in USDA's report on Tuesday. 🇦🇷Argentina's crops, on average, are not predicted to move much from the January forecast. https://t.co/D3Jg3BAIYv

By Karen Braun
Canadian Oil Output Hits Record, Boosting Continental Production
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Canadian Oil Output Hits Record, Boosting Continental Production

📊 Fresh N. American Oil Data 📊 Continental petroleum output hits fresh high-water mark with Canadian supply reaching all-time highs amidst a bounceback in oilsands activity, offsetting flat-ish production in the US and Mexico Check out the Full report: https://t.co/7Xk7El7r1l

By Rory Johnston
Wheat Export Inspections Outpace USDA Target by 61 M Bushels
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Wheat Export Inspections Outpace USDA Target by 61 M Bushels

Marketing year to date #wheat export inspections exceed the seasonal pace needed to hit USDA's target by 61 million bushels, up from 56 million bushels the previous week. #oatt

By Arlan Suderman
LNG Tightens Longer as Qatar, US Delays Stall Supply
SocialFeb 9, 2026

LNG Tightens Longer as Qatar, US Delays Stall Supply

Global LNG market is at risk of being tighter for longer 🚢 ⚠️ 🇶🇦 Qatar is pushing back start of its massive expansion to end 2026 🇺🇸 Golden Pass plant in the US delayed to at least March Supply chain bottlenecks threaten...

By Stephen Stapczynski
US Corn, Wheat Inspections Beat Forecasts; Beans Headed to China
SocialFeb 9, 2026

US Corn, Wheat Inspections Beat Forecasts; Beans Headed to China

🇺🇸U.S. corn & wheat export inspections exceeded all trade estimates last week. Two-thirds of the week's inspected bean cargoes were destined for China, predominantly out of the Gulf. https://t.co/e3b34Q6I3g

By Karen Braun
Corn and Soybean Export Inspections Top Weekly Totals
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Corn and Soybean Export Inspections Top Weekly Totals

Export inspections for the week ending Feb. 5 (mln bu) #corn 51.5, grain sorghum 4.9, #soybeans 41.7, #wheat 21.3 #oatt

By Arlan Suderman
Permian Operators Complete 3,600 Wells via Simul Frac
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Permian Operators Complete 3,600 Wells via Simul Frac

U.S. operators in the Permian region of Texas and New Mexico completed ~3,600 wells in 2025 using simultaneous hydraulic fracturing (simul frac), a technique that minimizes completion crew time on well pad sites by completing two wells simultaneously. https://t.co/FxdE8jlBs7 Well completion occurs...

By T. Mason Hamilton
Cuba's Fuel Shortage Forces Airport Closures and Hotel Shutdowns
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Cuba's Fuel Shortage Forces Airport Closures and Hotel Shutdowns

Cuba is running out of oil. The island warned airlines that they wouldn't be able to re-fuel at its 9 major airports from Tuesday for at least one month. The Communist government has closed international hotels to save fuel, too. In...

By Javier Blas
USDA Confirms 264
SocialFeb 9, 2026

USDA Confirms 264

USDA confirms the sale of 264,000 tons of U.S. soybeans for delivery to China in 2025/26.

By Karen Braun
2020 Model Predicted No Oil Peak; Experts Now Retreat
SocialFeb 9, 2026

2020 Model Predicted No Oil Peak; Experts Now Retreat

🚨Today's news vs my prediction 5 years ago: 👔My model to 2050 showed no peak in oil demand. That was in 2020. 🪶Many have retreated from their "peak demand" predictions. The latest is from Vitol: 🐼Vitol Pushes...

By Anas Alhajji
Trump Tariff Keeps India From Returning to Venezuelan Oil
SocialFeb 9, 2026

Trump Tariff Keeps India From Returning to Venezuelan Oil

🔴 Here is something to think about: 🇮🇳 If President Trump had not imposed the additional 25% tariff on India for importing Russian oil—and with Venezuelan crude now becoming available—would Indian refineries resume buying Venezuelan oil, as they did in the...

By Anas Alhajji