Headline Inflation Cools, Core CPI Accelerates in January
Wall Street expects a cooler month for headline inflation but a hotter month for core in January Headline CPI: 0.26% m/m, 2.5% y/y (down from 0.31% m/m and 2.7% y/y in December) Core CPI: 0.34% m/m, 2.5% y/y (core m/m accelerating from 0.24% in Dec, but y/y ticking down from 2.6%) Worth noting the atypically wide range on core CPI forecasts (from 0.25 to 0.42), suggesting more uncertainty about turn-of-the-year effects, with tariff passthru adding another layer of fog.
Global Wealth Shift: US Cuts, Overseas Gains Ahead
A Massive Global Wealth Transfer Is Coming Americans will consume less, the rest of the world more. Capital is flowing overseas. This isn’t a crisis, it’s a wealth transfer — and there are winners if you know where to look. PeterSchiff #Economy...
Dollar Regime Flip: Strong Data Now Weaken Currency
Something big is going on with the Dollar. In the past decade, strong data have pushed the Dollar up, but that isn't what happened yesterday. We're going back to the regime that prevailed before, whereby strong data push the Dollar...
FX Market Consolidates After Strong January Jobs Data
Consolidation Featured after Yesterday's Big FX Moves: The general tone in the foreign exchange market is one of consolidation after yesterday’s stronger than expected January jobs data injected volatility into dollar trading. The news stream is light… https://t.co/TEyGQAuZOx https://t.co/b9kn9ngrdN
EU Parliament Backs Digital Euro to Curb US Payment Dominance
Post-Trump assault on Greenland, the EU parliament delivers a big win for the digital euro as it wins 420-158 backing in EU Parliament straw poll The digital euro couldn't have better timing as the EU looks to the digital euro...
UAE's First Dirham‑Backed Stablecoin Unlocks Trillion‑Dollar On‑Chain Potential
The UAE just launched its first regulated stablecoin. DDSC --> backed 1:1 by UAE Dirham, initiated by IHC ($240B cap) and First Abu Dhabi Bank ($330B assets). That's a great step forward and that's why this chart has continuously been doing well....
Dedollarisation Isn't Driving Yields Lower, Media Misleads
Is Dedollarisation driving bond yields lower or is social media pushing the wrong story? A deep dive into dollar strength, Fed policy, gold, and global trade dynamics. Full breakdown inside 👉️ : https://t.co/qdYNFtTIhV https://t.co/rMDnvdP14u
USDCNH and USDHKD Show Strong Inverse Correlation
The correlation between the USDCNH and USDHKD is the most intense and consistent inverted I've seen since the former (theoretically) 'floated'. What's going on there? https://t.co/KsfLfKWwTf
Argentine Peso Rallies, USDARS Breaks 100‑Day SMA Streak
In case you haven't been keeping tabs, the Argentine Peso has been gaining some traction recently. $USDARS has taken out some recent support and ended a 1,689 (trading) day streak above the 100-day SMA https://t.co/Vq0kH5UKHg
NFP Beat Trims Fed Rate Cut Expectations by 8‑12bps
In the wake of this morning's NFPs beat and downtick in the unemployment, Fed Funds futures have shaved off ~8bps worth of expected cuts through 2026 - was as much as 12bps. Someone is going to be surprised if this continues:...
USD/JPY Suffers Biggest Weekly Loss Since 2024
Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Faces Largest Weekly Loss Since 2024– Key Support in Focus https://t.co/HjgrEM3kjP $USDJPY Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/nQQ6innM0G
Yen Carry Trade Holds; USD Weakens, Markets Rise
Yen Carry Trade Is Not Unwinding Like You Think $USDJPY $FXY $QQQ $DXY Japan & China’s pressure on Treasury sales are weakening the USD, supporting equities + metals overall, without triggering a disruptive yen carry trade unwind. https://t.co/m6Mu3FpuRf
Unveiling 2026 Prop Trading Roadmap and Upcoming Announcements
Great conversations at @iFXEXPO diving into the 2026 Prop Trading roadmap - with a few hints about big announcements coming from @the5erstrading @FundedNext @IC_Funded Apparently I was “grilling” them (according to the audience)😄… or just asking questions everyone’s thinking? https://t.co/GEGDCIAXIG
What a Schwab Brain Scan Reveals About Traders
Charles Schwab scanned my brain… and this is what they found 👀 Inside the Mind of a Trader | Kathy Lien https://t.co/7k3G7EUtU5 via @YouTube
Argentina's 32% Inflation Signals Milei Must Dollarize
Argentina’s January inflation came in at a RED HOT 32.4%/yr. Pres. Milei’s monetary model is not working. MILEI MUST DOLLARIZE NOW. https://t.co/MLSKqYfys7
Dollar Stabilizes Post‑NFP; CPI Sets Next Direction
US Dollar Technical Forecast: USD Stabilizes After NFP – CPI to Decide the Next Move https://t.co/xwnZkIUN3I $DXY Weekly Chart https://t.co/Cp7VSktXM6
USDJPY Plunges 2.5% in Three Days, Reversal Uncertain
$USDJPY is down over -2.5% over the past three days. One of the biggest drops in the past year and a half. Doesn't mean it has to stall and reverse though... https://t.co/LRjhnctyzL
USD Strength Shifts EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY, GBP/JPY Post‑NFP
Today's Opening Bell A look at the USD crosses post-NFP with on-the-fly analysis on EUR/AUD, EUR/JPY and GBP/JPY https://t.co/Tu1RqyYsZf
NFPs Surge Past Forecasts, yet 2025 Revisions Cut Million
#NFPs beat expectations by the most in 10 months - a 130K vs 40K expected. That said, revisions aggregated through 2025 have lowered the year's total by over 1 million https://t.co/p1pkqEWC57
January Jobs Spark Rate‑cut Doubts Despite Solid Hires
Analytically, the January U.S. jobs report supports competing views. The market reaction, however, was clear: traders have sharply dialed back expectations for a June rate cut. The big beat on January job creation, paired with a dip in the unemployment rate...
Investors Dismiss Threat, Doubt USMCA Termination
"The market isn't taking this latest threat seriously at all," said Adam Button, chief currency analyst at investingLive, adding that investors doubt that the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement, a continental trade pact, will be discontinued ... I'll say it...
Strong Payrolls Fail to Boost Dollar, Correlation Shifts
Tepid response of the Dollar to a big upside surprise in payrolls. The whisper number for consensus was weak, so this was a solid beat, yet USD is barely able to rise. We're on our way to the correlation switch...
Strong January Jobs, Lower Unemployment Boost USD Despite Cut Expectations
Jan jobs data better than expected and benchmark revision more or less in line. Unemployment rate ticks lower. $USD jump sold into quickly. Mkt still pricing in around two cuts this year.
US Adds 130k Jobs, Unemployment Slips to 4.3%
NEW US JOBS DATA: Non-farm Payrolls: +130k Unemployment Rate: 4.3% (-0.1%) Prime Age (25-54) Employment-Population Ratio: 80.9% (+0.2%) Average Hourly Earnings: +0.4% Annual Benchmark Revisions: -898k
January Jobs Surge 130K, Beating Forecasts, Unemployment Dips
January Non-Farm Payrolls print at 130K vs expected 66K - previously 48K Unemployment holds ticks lower to 4.3% #NFP
BIS Chief Meets ECB to Discuss Current Economic Trends
Glad to welcome @BIS_org General Manager Pablo Hernández de Cos back to the @ecb today. We had a good discussion on the latest economic developments. https://t.co/NiOrDgbMRV
NFP Moved Ahead to Dodge Friday the 13th CPI Clash
Overheard "We preferred to release NFP today instead of Friday beause Friday is #Friday13th". CPI is on Friday.
USD Soft, JPY Squeeze Persists, Oil Spikes on Iran Tension
$USD is soft ahead of the delayed jobs report. Japanese markets were closed for a national holiday, but the dramatic short squeeze of $JPY continued. WTI is up ~2% as the US-Iran confrontation seems near a climax. ...
NEC Director Predicts Slightly Lower Jobs, NFP May Miss Forecast
https://t.co/k2T7oPbMh8 In an interview with CNBC on Monday (February 9, 2026), Kevin Hassett, the Director of the National Economic Council, advised markets to expect "slightly smaller job numbers" in the coming months. These remarks, have led many to speculate that the January...
Nigeria's Inflation Surge Linked to Excess Money Supply
Nigeria’s inflation rate is DOUBLE NGA’s inflation target at 15.29%/yr. Nigeria’s money supply is growing at 15.19%/yr, ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~11.83%-14.83%/yr, a rate consistent with Nigeria’s 6%-9%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/367h7H4ytf
Markets Await Jobs Data to Gauge Fed Cut Prospects
Will stock markets find enough to like in US jobs data? It’s all about Fed interest rate cut expectations. #Jobs #NFP #StockMarket #Dollar #Fed #Macro #Trading https://t.co/UBCpyuHxhZ
NFP Outlook: Expectation Management Raises 23K vs 15K
#NFP tomorrow. After yesterday's verbal managing of expectations from Hassett and Miran. Will NFP hit 23K ? 15K ?
MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin Bet Costs More Than Gold
Did MicroStrategy Make a Bad Bet on Bitcoin? Bitcoin made the headlines, but MicroStrategy’s numbers? Not so pretty. I’d have preferred gold, silver, or even interest-bearing cash. Opportunity cost matters — don’t get caught chasing hype. Bitcoin #PeterSchiff #CryptoNews #Investing #GoldVsBitcoin #FinanceTalk...
Gold Nears Breakout: From Panic to Directional Pause
Gold Price Short-term Outlook: XAU/USD From Panic to Pause- Breakout to Decide Direction https://t.co/e2vca3B4h2 $XAUUSD Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/BsGu6wpKlh
U.S. Stocks Under Pressure as SPX/VEU Hits Near Two‑Year Low
The 'sell America' trade pressure seems to be picking up again. The SPX-VEU (rest of world equity ETF) ratio is the lowest since April 22nd. A little further and it is a two year low. Adding the DXY Dollar Index in for...
Mexico's Inflation On Target, Money Supply Within Golden Growth
Mexico’s inflation rate is ON TARGET at 3.65%/yr Mexico’s money supply (M4) is growing at 7.91%/yr, WITHIN Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of ~7.3%-9.3%/yr, a rate consistent with Mexico’s 2%-4%/yr inflation target. THE INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/4w05Yr94Mz
Dollar Weakening as Diverging Policies Boost Global Assets
I keep playing through the potential outcomes over the coming months and I have a very difficult time painting a bull case for the dollar. I expect: 1. Monetary policy divergence widens (more dovish US vs RoW/Japan) 2. Capital flight risk as...
Banking Chief Calls for Urgent European Payment Alternatives
European alternatives to Visa and Mastercard ‘urgently’ needed, says banking chief - https://t.co/TJ18SQs5Bg via @FT
December US Retail Sales Stall, Missing Growth Forecasts
US December Retail Sales comes in flat vs expected 0.4% - previously 0.6% m/m Core retail sales also flat vs expected 0.3% - previously 0.4% m/m
Dollar Stabilizes, Still Strong vs G10; Yen Diverges
Greenback Consolidates after Yesterday's Shellacking: After yesterday’s sharp losses, the US dollar is mostly consolidating with a firmer bias against the G10 currencies. The yen is the exception. The unexpected post-election gains have been extended… https://t.co/s4awtQJ5o7 https://t.co/Xlf89Ydd1E
Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Debt Monetization Fears
Gold is back above $5,000. The rise in gold is one manifestation of the debasement trade, which is about markets seeking safe havens from debt monetization. Big thanks to @DavidWestin from @BloombergTV for all the right questions and a great...
Alphabet's Sterling Bond Hits Record £4.5bn Demand
#Alphabet sterling bond raises a record £4.5 bn, with £24 bn in bids. They may start borrowing on behalf of Bessent if it continues like this $GOOG
Dollar Steadies, Yen Rebounds; US 10‑yr Dips Below
The greenback is a little firmer against the G10 currencies but the yen as it consolidates yesterday's sharp losses. JGB yields are softer. Meanwhile this could be only the 2nd session since mid-Jan that the US 10-year yield...
Dollar vs EM Hits New Low, Signaling Further Weakness
The Dollar versus EM today is down to a new low, which is below its level 2 weeks ago at the height of Greenland headlines. It's the Dollar versus EM you want to watch for future direction. The signal it's...
Tether Would Rank 17th in US Treasury Holdings
Who is the world's largest holder of US Treasuries? 🥇 Japan 🥈 United Kingdom 🥉 China But here's the wildest part - if Tether were a country, it would be the 17th largest holder of US Treasuries https://t.co/JoaE6JzFI9
Macron Urges EU to Adopt Eurobonds Now
Emmanuel Macron: « Now is the time for the EU to launch a joint borrowing capacity, through eurobonds. » https://t.co/NqqbjjecXk
Markets Could Slip If Data Undermines Fed Cut Hopes
Stock markets may sour if this week’s US economic data casts doubt on Fed rate cut speculation. #stockmarkets #Fed #Economy #InterestRates #USD #Macro #trading https://t.co/ZEfchApMC0
Alphabet Launches 100‑year GBP Bond, Eyes Currency Debasement
#Alphabet to issue 100-year GBPSterling bond after having issued 50-year $17.5 bn USD bond in November. Also plns to issue CHF bond. They're betting further currency debasement #forex
Dollar Index Plummets; Trade‑Weighted vs Equal‑Weighted Diverge
The $DXY has dropped sharply today. A big picture look at the trade-weighted Dollar index vs an equally-weighted variant: https://t.co/sqTvcv4ihu
Gold Surges Past $5,000 Amid Reckless Fiscal Policy
Gold is back above $5,000. The rally in precious metals is reckless and crazy, but so is global fiscal policy. At some point over the past 20 years, policy makers who believe in keeping public debt stable stopped existing. Makes...