China's Oil Supply Half Threatened by Hormuz Slowdown
Just FYI, with reduced traffic through the Strait of Hormuz (it cannot be objectively assessed as fully closed), China risks losing roughly 40 to 50 percent of its oil imports, which come from Gulf producers whose exports transit the Strait, including Saudi Arabia, Iraq, the UAE, Kuwait, and Iran, plus an additional roughly 3 to 5 percent from Venezuela, putting nearly half of its imported oil supply at risk. China also risks losing roughly 25 to 30 percent of its LNG imports, primarily from Qatar.
Dusty Iranian Strip Can Become US Ops Base Instantly
How A Dusty Strip Deep In Iran Can Be Turned Into A U.S. Special Operations Base In Hours An ex-USAF Special Tactics Squadron member tells how the impromptu airfield in Iran would have been rapidly established and defended. Exclusive: https://t.co/7Y1OwFa9cW
Cybercriminals Accelerate: Storm-1175 Beats Patches in Days
It is not every day that a financially motivated threat actor manages to move faster than the vendors trying to secure their products. Yet that is precisely what Microsoft says Storm-1175 has been doing. The China-based cybercriminal group, closely associated...
Netanyahu Cautions Trump Against Ceasefire Agreement
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned Trump against a ceasefire deal, an Israeli official told Axios.
Putin Calls NATO a Paper Tiger to POTUS
NATO is a paper tiger… Putin has explained that to me several times - POTUS 🤔
Trump Demands Free Oil Flow Through Hormuz in Deal
US President Donald Trump says that “part of the deal is we want free traffic of oil” via the Strait of Hormuz. (In reference to the current US-Iran talks via regional intermediaries)
China, Russia Supplying Iran Chemicals Fuels Missile Threat
Suspected Chemical Shipments From China to Iran Raise Concerns Over Potential Missile Expansion. Both Russia and China are helping Iran. Continue to ask why Trump removed sanctions and let the war criminal, Putin, get needed revenue for Russia? https://t.co/JZZHQgLJxY
Trump Claims US Jet Downed over Iran by Shoulder Missile
Trump, speaking at the White House, suggests at least one U.S. jet was shot down over Iran by a shoulder-fired missile. "You know, what hit this one was a shoulder, handheld shoulder missile, heat-seeking missile. ... They had probably a little...
Visualizing Systematic Dismantling of Iran’s IRGC Leadership
Visualization of the elimination of Islamic Regime in Iran political and military [specifically the IRGC] leadership, command and control, will. Not decapitation, but rather systematic elimination. https://t.co/fMAOvFdZWT
Most People Misread Images; This Shows a Bird
I have gotten a lot of emails from people declaring one image in our post showing the the wreckage at the airstrip doesn't show a little bird and it's just another C-130 engine. Some of them are quite hostile. Anyways,...
Iranian Missile Hit Rate Jumps From 3% to 27%
Iranian “missile hit rates against Israel have risen from 3% during the first two weeks of the war to 27%.” - JPM https://t.co/rSwOy1VBxT
Iran Rejects Ceasefire as Trump's Deadline Looms
Iran Rejects Ceasefire Deal As Trump's deadline for making Iran into a "living hell" fast approaches, a chasm remains between the two foes on a way to even temporarily pause the war. Updating live: https://t.co/hhPuHF9Zgw
Shot‑down F‑15E Pilots Identified as Dude 44
🚨 Callsign of shotdown F15E was "Dude 44" -"Dude 44 Alpha" was recovered first; frontseater. -"Dude 44 Bravo" was the second pilot; backseater. https://t.co/IV4DKMk9BU
Houthis Grip Bab Al-Mandeb, Threaten Global Shipping
The Bab el-Mandeb Strait is the gateway into the Red Sea, en route to the Suez Canal. Houthis CONTROL THE STRAIT. Ships avoid the strait because of danger & punishing insurance rates. If Trump escalates in Iran, the Houthis will squeeze the chokepoint...
Trump Boasts Rapid Iran Strike and Promising Proposal
Trump: "Iran can be taken out in one night." "Final deadline." "We're doing UNBELIEVABLY well in Iran." "They've made a proposal, and it's a significant proposal." https://t.co/wlgfxyomCi
Trump Warns Iran Could Be Eliminated Overnight
Donald Trump: "Iran is a country that can be taken out in a night, and tomorrow might be that night."
US Covertly Backs Regime Change in Zimbabwe, Iran
IN ZIMBABWE, we had an opposition funded by the US & propped by US Sanctions. The aim was to install a govt that will be a puppet for the USA In Iran, the US send weapons to initiate an armed rebellion....
Demand for Daily, Not Constant, Trump Iran Updates
CNBC chyron: 'President Trump to Speak on Iran War' Exhausting. Can we schedule one official update a day or something along those lines?
Iran and Houthi Threats Extend Beyond Drones
Iran and Houthi naval disruption is more than drones @Marco_mmabjj It's also missiles, fast boats with anti-ship rockets, & mines.
Teams Still Operate Security Without a Dedicated CISO
What surprised me in recent discussions is not the threats. It is how many teams are still trying to manage this without dedicated leadership. How are you structuring security if you do not have a CISO?
US Delays Japan Tomahawk Deal Amid Iran Stockpile Drain
The US is delaying Japan’s Tomahawk purchase as the Iran war burns through stockpiles. I’ve warned that the high use and slow replenishment of TLAMs would create a gap. The readiness bill is now due and allies are bearing the...
Trump Fires 9 of 11 Top Generals in 14 Months
JPM's Michael Cembalest: In the ~160 years after the Civil War, US presidents fired 11 four- and five-star military officers. In Trump's first 14 months, the White House has fired 9 of them. https://t.co/volNDO7T3A
Targeting Universities Over Iran Ties Raises Legal Concerns
Universities are being targeted because they are believed to be part of Iran’s military ecosystem @FurkanGozukara I'm skeptical that justification holds up & it is problematic under international law.
Europe's Half‑hearted NATO Response Left Allies Vulnerable
The point of Article 5 is to coordinate a collective response to a threat facing ALL member states… not just the state that invokes it. The threat was Islamic extremism. We didn’t invoke Article 5 to protect the U.S. alone. We invoked...
Iran Rejects Peace Proposal; Video Highlights Core Issues
Hormuz Watch - Iran just rejected the peace proposal, but this video still lays out the issues at hand. #oatt https://t.co/0psvZMn12p
Iran's "Victory" Narrative Debunked by Interception Rates
"The 'Experts' in Media and Academia Who Insist Iran Is Winning," excellent read @TheFP The insanity is those that want so desperatly to believe and push these 'experts.' https://t.co/7p5gVljozn Tehran has been powerless to slow a tempo of daily events...
Security Tools Chase CVEs, Miss Planted Backdoors
"Modern-day security tooling looks for the wrong things ... a deliberately planted backdoor doesn’t have a CVE." https://t.co/1wbJMiZMrj
Trump's 2027 Budget Prioritizes Defense, Cuts Social Programs
trump's proposed 2027 budget. defense up $440.9 billion. most everything else — health, housing, education, labor, agriculture — cut.
Iran's Draft Rejects Ceasefire, Demands Permanent War End
“Response has 10 clauses, rejects a ceasefire while demanding a permanent end to the war in line with Iran’s considerations… … also includes a protocol for safe passage through the Strait, reconstruction & lifting sanctions” So it’s either fire and brimstone or...
Ukraine's Refined Strike Tactics Boost Energy Target Success
Ukraine's campaign against Russian energy export infrastructure have been more effective. One theory is that's due to degraded Russian air defense, but folks should consider that Ukraine has gotten much better in how it organizes and executes these strikes.
Trump’s Strait Deadline Passes as Iran Rejects Ceasefire
So we are theoretically at President Trump's deadline to reopen the Strait and Iran has rejected the ceasefire proposal. I guess we wait for a social post from the President or some headlines speaking to an escalation...
New VENOM Kit Steals 2FA Codes and Access Tokens
Researchers found a new phishing kit called VENOM, capable of stealing 2FA codes and access tokens. https://t.co/g6Ctmm3PM2
Israel Strikes Iran's Asaluyeh Petrochemical Complex, Spares Gas Field
Israel appears to have attacked again the petrochemical plants connected to the South Pars gas project (but not the gas field itself or any of its immediate processing facilities). Israel said its military hit Iran's largest petrochemical facility, located in Asaluyeh.
Mediators Send 45-Day Ceasefire Proposal; US, Iran Yet to Respond
Just to be absolutely clear, as the headlines on the 45-day ceasefire proposal are misleading. US and Iran “receiving” a ceasefire proposal does NOT mean they have exchanged proposals. Rather, mediators - Turkey, Egypt and Pakistan - have drawn up a proposal...
Market Craves Certainty Amid Trump’s 36‑Hour Iran Deadline
So in the next 36 hours, based on Trump's deadline, we can either get an Iran ceasefire deal or the US attacking Iran's infrastructure. The market just wants some certainty either way.
Ceasefire Stalled: US Wants Open Strait, Iran Opposes
Okay, so here’s how how the ceasefire cookie crumbles: - A ceasefire without the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz will likely be unacceptable to the US. - A ceasefire with a reopening will likely be unacceptable to Iran. Iran appears serious...
FCC Proposes Ban on Pre‑2024 Chinese Tech
ICYMI: @FCC on Friday proposed barring Chinese tech on the Covered List added in 2024 or earlier https://t.co/SObMOT0jXm
Japan's Future Bright, Europe's Past Fades with US Alliance
Japan’s greatest days are ahead of it, as it recommits to its partnership with America Europe’s best days are behind it, as it moves away from its alliance with the US
Iran Claims Right to Defend After Israel's Attack
You omitted to mention that Israel attacked the "Islamist regime". Iran has the right to defend itself.
Trump Sets Tuesday Deadline to Bomb Iran's Power Grid
Trump Sets a Tuesday Deadline to Start Bombing Iran’s Power Plants #energysky -- via Heatmap News https://t.co/epriVNFieK https://t.co/eIyxLHdtOX
Ukraine Strikes Novorossiysk Port, Damages Caspian Pipeline Mooring
MOSCOW, April 6 (Reuters) - Russia's defence ministry said on Monday that Ukraine attacked facilities at the maritime transhipment complex in the port of Novorossiysk overnight, damaging a mooring point for the Caspian Pipeline Consortium.
North Korea Bypasses 2FA Using Stolen Tokens, Evading AV
“It doesn’t matter that you have 2FA. They can just use that token to be you.” @tayvano_ on how DPRK bypasses 2FA entirely — and why most antivirus won’t detect it. With @kaiynne and @LucaNetz on @unchained_pod: https://t.co/izx08LxSbO
Israel Disables Iran's Key Petrochemical Hub, Crippling Exports
💥 MAJOR STRIKE ON IRAN Israel just hit Iran’s South Pars petrochemical facility in Asaluyeh. Israeli Defense Minister says 2 key facilities, responsible for 85% of Iran’s petrochemical exports are now disabled. This is Iran’s most important industrial and energy hub. It sits...
65% Disapprove; Iran Too Vast For
An empty threat @acranberg Iran is the size of Texas + California + Montana + Illinois and extends from ME to Fl Not going to destroy its military industrial base He can’t stop lying & 65% of Americans disapprove of him in...
Trump’s Bogus Military Cut Claim Should Alarm Democrats
Trump's absurd military spending request, which he SAYS comes at the expense of Medicare and Medicaid, should be the reddest of red meat for the Democrats https://t.co/mGKX3GP6ej
US Hormuz Deadline Extended, Markets Shift to Dollar, Oil
Cease-Fire Hopes Blunt US Ultimatum: The US deadline on Tehran for re-opening the Strait of Hormuz has subtly shifted until tomorrow. The holiday-thinned market initially bought dollars and oil and took risk off in response to the continued attacks and…...
OpenClaw Silently Steals Emails and Calendars, Warns Researchers
Cisco found OpenClaw skills that performed data theft without user awareness. Security researchers called it “a nightmare.” Maybe don’t give it your email and calendar. https://t.co/MFj5pVF0o6
Russia's VPN Crackdown Triggers Nationwide Bank Outage
Russia’s VPN Crackdown Caused Bank Outage, Telegram Founder Says Telegram founder Pavel Durov says filters overloaded critical systems Millions rely on VPNs as Telegram ban fails to stick Disruption briefly forced Russians to rely on cash payments nationwide
Europe Faces Multi‑Front Naval Threats Without US Oversight
European nations will be a punching ball for Russia, China, the Huthies, Iran and ? on the seas without USA policing the seas.
Senior Russian Air Commander Killed in Crimea Crash
“A senior Russian air force commander was killed when a military transport aircraft crashed in Russian-controlled Crimea last week killing 30 people, according to a senior official cited by Russian media on Monday. Alexander Otroshchenko, commander of the 45th Army of...