Strait of Hormuz Tensions: Murrin’s Critical Weekly Forecast
Every Saturday. David Murrin’s key predictions from the week’s latest insight. This week — the Strait of Hormuz. And what’s really at stake.
Complex U.S. Special Ops Mission Averts Disaster Through Skill
Hopefully we get a brief from @CENTCOM about the operation at some point but early reports show why it is being considered “one of the most challenging and complex in the history of U.S. Special Operations.” War is the realm of...
China Reserves Offshore Airspace for 40 Days, Hinting Military Activity
China Creates New Aviation Mystery With Offshore Warning Zones—Beijing reserves airspace for 40 days, suggesting possible military activity ahead @joyuwang https://t.co/S5iRx1CF03 https://t.co/S5iRx1CF03
Daring CSAR Rescue May Inspire New Herc Chapter
Strongly suspect this daring CSAR rescue mission would make for a gripping new chapter in @scottiebateman 's book on the legendary Herc. #acgeek https://t.co/tpqNxNXX6u
US Hardware Destroyed in Iran; Possible EP‑3 Link?
Shocked at completeness of destruction of stranded US military hardware in Iran. I would love to know this entails/influences of EP-3 incident?
Iran Lacks North Korea's Deterrent and Chinese Shield
North Korea is protected for a few reasons: it holds Seoul hostage with conventional weapons giving it a second strike deterrent, it’s protected by China, etc. Iran has none of those dynamics. This makes no sense.
First Military Strikes Cripple Multiple Cloud Data Centers
Wild - both that it has been the first time ever that multiple cloud data centers were knocked out by military strikes (never happened before thru the history of the cloud) and for a region to seemingly permanently go offline...
Eagle Claw's Failure Birthed the Osprey, Despite Heroic Crews
Not detracting from the sheer bravery of the USAF MC-130J/PaveHawk crews & PJs - but a valid Q - given it was Eagle Claw/Desert One that spawned the Osprey.
Critical 24 Hours Loom as Iran Strikes, US Pause Ends
Tomorrow at 8 PM ET, Trump's pause on striking Iranian energy infrastructure expires. Iran just hit Kuwait's oil complex and power plants with drones overnight. Israel says it's ready to strike Iranian energy sites, waiting for the green light. Russia...
US Military Overmatch: Unlimited Resources, Zero Cost Concern
Actually an example of how bad-ass the US military is: Downed pilots? No worries. We'll mobilize hundreds of millions of dollars worth of assets to get them back, whatever the cost. On, some C-130's had mechanical problems? No worries. We'll send...
US Likely Monitored Site Before Nuclear Contingency Unfolded
One would think the US had there eye on this potential landing site for other contingencies related to the nuclear program prior to this happening.
Little Bird Helicopter Burned at Iranian Forward Landing Site
Night Stalker Little Bird Helicopter Destroyed At Forward Landing Site In Iran At least one burned-out AH/MH-6 Little Bird can be seen in photos of the austere airfield that served as a hub for the rescue of the F-15E WSO. https://t.co/lcnCzgE2hY
Iran Threatens Massive Saudi, Israeli Infrastructure Strike Within 24 Hours
“Strategic Assessment: If Iran does not receive a credible signal by tomorrow of Trump reconsidering an attack on Iran's infrastructure, it will preemptively, irreversibly, and on a massive scale target the Saudi electricity and oil production infrastructure, as well as...
European Involvement Blocks Chinese Missile Aid to Iran
This is why it is so important for Europa to help create a stabil situation. European participation would make it politically hard for China to support Iran with missiles and drones. Chinese support could make it impossible for USA to...
France's China Pivot Fuels Iran Arms, Threatens West
I have been saying for weeks that the reason EU should participate in a coalition was NOT for defense reasons, but to create a strong political alliance, that China would have to respect for economic reasons. Now France has begun...
Iranian Drones Strike Kuwait Oil Sites, Warning Before Trump Ultimatum
Hours ahead of Trump’s ultimatum on attacks on Iranian infrastructure, Iranian drones attacked (and set on fire) the headquarters of the Kuwait state-owned oil company KPC and the country’s oil ministry, located in Kuwait City. The message seems clear.
JSOC Commander Bans FARPs, Calling Them Dangerous
From Relentless Strike by @SeanDNaylor, about history of JSOC, quoting commander ".... after the third or fourth one he said, 'We are not putting any FARPs [forward arming refueling point] in – FARPs are dangerous.'" https://t.co/amzS7911en
Combat Controllers Enable MC‑130J CSAR Operations Anywhere
MC-130J during a CSAR training mission at an austere airfield. These aircraft and aircrews don't get enough credit, nor to the Combat Controllers that can activate an airfield out of nowhere to make operations like these possible. https://t.co/Fn32HRwCJA
Prolonged Conflict Requires Strategic Pressure, Not Quick Air Power
This isn’t a war you can end quickly. Not with air power alone. Not with short-term thinking. Because the objective on the other side isn’t to win fast — it’s to drag it out. Disrupt flows. Stretch time. Apply pressure. And in that kind of conflict, there’s no easy...
Missing U.S. Service Member Rescued After Two Days
Update: Al Jazeera reports the missing U.S. service member has been safely rescued after two days.
Iran Escalates, Targeting US Jets, UAE Gas, Steel Plant
- Iran shot down US🇺🇸 Fighter Jets - Iran’s 🇮🇷biggest steel plant shut down after attack - Japan's 🇯🇵10-Year Yield jumps above 2.39%, the highest level since 1999 - Iran destroyed World largest gas Facility in UAE - Dozens of aircraft...
Trump's Claim Contradicted as Iran Downs F‑15, Crew Missing
48 hours after Trump declared that Iran has “no anti-aircraft equipment”, a F-15 aircraft was shot down. One crew member remains missing.
EU's Own Sanctions Undermine
The irony is: the EU reduced its dependence on Russia to improve "energy security"! Slovak PM says EU should drop sanctions on Russian oil and gas to boost energy security https://t.co/FmUhPkAcgE
Pentagon Says US Achieving Goals as Iran Persists
JUST IN: The Pentagon reports the US is meeting its objectives, but Iran keeps fighting on.
US Supports 5N Plus Germanium Refinery Expansion in Utah
US backs 5N Plus to expand germanium refining in Utah and strengthen strategic domestic supply. https://www.metalnomist.com/2026/04/us-germanium-refining-expansion-gains.html
Two More Suspects Arrested in Czech Defense Factory Arson
JUST IN: Two more suspects arrested in connection with the arson on a Czech defense factory.
Iran Remains Resolute, Refuses to Surrender Amid Suffering
My friend and Johns Hopkins colleague Vali Nasr on Iran's resistance: “Iran is determined not to be bullied into surrender… it doesn’t make sense for them to throw in the towel after all this suffering.” https://t.co/bdMuRVAZmJ
Iran's War Strategy Prioritizes Endurance Over Battlefield Victory
"First, attack the strategy. Iran’s approach to conflict is not centered on conventional battlefield victory. It is built on endurance, dispersion, and indirect power. It relies on proxies, missile forces, economic coercion, and the ability to impose costs over time."
Strait of Hormuz: Open, Closed, or Cartoon Chaos?
Strait of Hormuz WEEK 5 Update | Is the Strait OPEN or CLOSED? | Have We Gone Full Looney Tunes? Video: https://t.co/UmvO23asx3 https://t.co/WWKZn0XYH6
Drone Strike Sparks Fire at Kuwait's Shuwaikh Oil Complex
JUST IN: A drone attack ignited a fire at Kuwait's Shuwaikh oil complex, per state reports.
Iran Strikes Tighten Oil, Boost Gold as Tensions Rise
🇮🇷 Iran Intel Brief | Markets → Oil, Gold, Equities ─────── 1. Israeli strikes on Iran's Mahshahr petrochemical complex disrupt 70% of the country's gasoline supply and export revenues. 2. US demands for reopening the Strait of Hormuz escalate tensions, threatening global oil...
US‑Iran Ceasefire Odds Remain Under 50% Through June
According to Polymarket, there is only an 18% chance of a US–Iran ceasefire by the end of April. There is only a 47% chance of a ceasefire by the end of June. TRUMP = FOREVER WAR = ANTI-MAGA. https://t.co/ZaFmL9ud2V
Trump’s “No Wars” Claim Clashes with $1.5 T Budget
My take on Trump's DoD budget in @FortuneMagazine: "MAGA was told an untruth by Trump—no foreign wars, no adventurism. Now the US DoD budget has come in at $1T, and he wants $1.5T. This is a massive militarization—completely the opposite of...
Israel Poised to Strike Iran's Energy, Risking Market Panic
Israel “ready to hit Iran’s energy sector,” waiting on U.S. approval. That’s a signal to pressure Iran to back down & deal It COULD happen but would panic markets & possibly cause a financial crisis on top of an oil crisis #Oil...
U.S. Claims Oil Security While Invading for Oil
If abundant oil is the basis for energy security and independence as we’re told, then why is it the country that produces the most oil in the world — the U.S. — needs to invade, bomb and embargo several other...
Chinese AI Firms Sell US Troop Intel to Iran
"Chinese firms market Iran war intelligence ‘exposing’ U.S. forces" @washingtonpost https://t.co/NP7gIkpzWG The private companies — some with ties to the military — are marketing detailed intelligence on movements of U.S. forces, even as Beijing seeks to keep its distance. The intelligence came...
Israel's Overextension Threatens Its Military Viability
Distinguished Harvard Prof. Stephen Walt on Israel's Achilles heel: "Israel has been fighting in Lebanon, Gaza, Syria... [and] now... against Iran... This is a small country... trying to exercise hegemony over a vast region... [and] it's gradually wearing out its own...
Iran's Industrial Self‑sufficiency Targeted by US‑Israel Bombings
The Gulf states ruled by family dictatorships are mostly Gas Stations… their economies are heavily reliant on oil/gas. Iran is HEAVILY industrialised & self sufficient in most things. The US-Israel are bombing the industrial hubs in Iran… Cruel.. https://t.co/3vRM1Nt7XG
JCPOA Backed to Stop Iran's Nuclear Weapon, Now Inevitable
Experts who supported what became the JCPOA did so overwhelmingly because we did not wish to see Iran acquire a nuclear weapon, something that now seems certain if the regime survives. He's ignored these arguments for two decades, no...
IRGC Lets Iraqi Oil Ships Through, yet Attacks Fields
So… the Iranian IRGC exempts ships carrying Iraqi oil and allows them to sail through the Hormuz Strait, but drone attacks on Iraqi oil fields continue. https://t.co/PoAWXPyVEz
Mearsheimer: Trump's Advisers Prioritize Israel over Iran Peace
Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on Trump's foreign emissaries: "Trump's principal advisers are both ardent Zionists. Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff are deeply committed to Israel. They were not interested in working out a deal with the Iranians to avoid a...
US Government Skips RSAC, Leaving Critical Cybersecurity Gap
‘Missed opportunity’: US government’s absence from RSAC Conference leaves stark void | Cybersecurity Dive Wish we could set aside politics and work together to defend the home front. 🇺🇸 https://t.co/3b0emOT5nX
Iran’s Island Chain Secures Strait of Hormuz Dominance
"The Islands That Give Iran a Stranglehold on the Strait of Hormuz." Good analysis @WSJ https://t.co/Bq6iyg2c3C
RAT55 Dorsal Sensor Pod Revealed in Stunning Detail
Best views of RAT55 yet. Dorsal sensor pod (EO ball) seen in detail here. Also shot inside. I wonder if this is going to be ported in full to a contractor (it is currently operated by a contractor)
Jeep Wrangler Rubicon: Ultimate CSAR Training Companion
Our work vehicle for our shoot covering combat search and rescue (CSAR) with the Alaska National Guard, was this 2026 Jeep Wrangler Rubicon. I literally drove it off the showroom floor with 13 miles and then off to a drop...
Sensofusion Acquires Atol, Launches Counter‑Drone Aircraft in Finland
We purchased the aircraft manufacturer Atol Aviation. Through the deal, Sensofusion is bringing new air-to-ground counter-drone systems to market, with the aircraft platforms to be manufactured at a former air force base in Finland. https://t.co/oUczLQ73u9
AI Will Accelerate Security Skills, Not Require Assembly Mastery
To me this is like worrying about who is going to write assembly. Yes, you still need people to learn and do it. I have certifications in such things related to reverse engineering malware and advanced pentesting. But does the...
U.S. Already Neutralized Iran—Why Prolong Conflict?
if the united states has 1) already destroyed iran’s military capabilities 2) has the ability to hit iran at any point if they try to gain access to their enriched uranium and 3) isn’t interested in (or has already achieved) regime...
CISA Lists TrueConf Client Flaw in Exploit Catalog
U.S. CISA adds a flaw in TrueConf Client to its Known Exploited Vulnerabilities catalog https://t.co/LEm093lFfD #BreakingNews https://t.co/7HuNg6hJGV
Military Personnel Leak Sensitive Data via Fitness App
We've got more cases of military personnel revealing a significant amount of information through the fitness app. https://t.co/BwTkOxURPX