Defense Social Media and Updates

Trump Claims 15 Agreement Points with Iran
SocialMar 23, 2026

Trump Claims 15 Agreement Points with Iran

Trump just said there are 15 points of agreement between Iran and the U.S. in their negotiations.

By S. Joseph Burns
Infrastructure Flaws Outpace Code Bugs in Hacks
SocialMar 23, 2026

Infrastructure Flaws Outpace Code Bugs in Hacks

I just shipped /cso v2 based on feedback I got on X from 24 hours ago when I dropped /cso v1 in GStack It's true - you're much more likely to get hacked via infra attack surface than code bugs (remember hire...

By Garry Tan
USS John F. Kennedy Construction Drags on 17 Years
SocialMar 23, 2026

USS John F. Kennedy Construction Drags on 17 Years

“Can take twice as long” Are you kidding me?? We have been building the aircraft carrier USS John F Kennedy for SEVENTEEN YEARS and it’s still not completed.

By John Konrad
Iran's Hormuz Control Gives It Strategic Leverage
SocialMar 23, 2026

Iran's Hormuz Control Gives It Strategic Leverage

As long as Iran still controls the strait of Hormuz, we’re gonna have issues. That’s really the bottom line here. By realizing it can control the strait (at least so far) Iran has gained strategic leverage relative to the outset...

By Mark Dow
Markets Underestimate Full‑scale US‑Iran Energy Conflict
SocialMar 23, 2026

Markets Underestimate Full‑scale US‑Iran Energy Conflict

Trump just gave Iran 24 hours. Reopen Hormuz. Or face strikes on power facilities. Iran's response: We'll hit every US energy and desalination plant in the Gulf. $SPY is not pricing a full energy war. It should be. https://t.co/wOxm8bXbEC

By Michael A. Gayed, CFA (Lead-Lag Report)
US Strikes Cripple Iran; Strait Safe, Democrats Skeptical
SocialMar 23, 2026

US Strikes Cripple Iran; Strait Safe, Democrats Skeptical

We’ve cleaned out Iran’s nukes and drone factories, and gutted their navy. If the Strait reopens without a single U.S. naval casualty… will every Dem here finally admit @PeteHegseth is doing a good job… or just gaslight us again? https://t.co/8Fpfnm7TNh

By John Konrad
Trump’s Flip‑flop on Iran Rattles Oil Prices
SocialMar 23, 2026

Trump’s Flip‑flop on Iran Rattles Oil Prices

> Trump threatens to attack Iranian power plants, thrust region further down path of major facility attacks > Crude price flat out of weekend > Trump says now he isn’t going to attack Iranian power plants > Crude price falls $16/bbl https://t.co/e81KQnsv14

By Rory Johnston
Impending Iran Conflict Sparks Market Sell‑off, Dollar Rally
SocialMar 23, 2026

Impending Iran Conflict Sparks Market Sell‑off, Dollar Rally

We could be around 12 hours from a major escalation in the war on Iran. There is no appetite for risk. Bonds and stocks sold aggressively. Gold and silver offer no haven. The greenback is broadly higher....

By Marc Chandler
Trump’s War Tactics Falter Against Iran’s Asymmetric Strategy
SocialMar 23, 2026

Trump’s War Tactics Falter Against Iran’s Asymmetric Strategy

I joined @davidgura and the @BloombergTV Weekend team to analyze Trump’s way of war and why US high-end capabilities and operational effectivenesss hasn’t translated into strategic success against Iran’s asymmetric approach. https://t.co/ewdcJZuArV

By Becca Wasser
Orban Frames Voters as Putin or Zelensky Supporters
SocialMar 23, 2026

Orban Frames Voters as Putin or Zelensky Supporters

Elections are coming up in Hungary, and the campaign is surreal. Orban (the current PM) is effectively saying anyone voting for him votes for Putin and Russia (repeats Russian propaganda, and claims anyone voting for the opposition [Tisza] votes for Ukraine...

By Gergely Orosz
Starmer Convenes Emergency Meeting on Iran Crisis
SocialMar 23, 2026

Starmer Convenes Emergency Meeting on Iran Crisis

Starmer will hold an emergency meeting with his top ministers and BOE Governor Andrew Bailey on the Iran crisis on Monday https://t.co/LskwVBZ8gS via @Joe_Mayes https://t.co/oxyxdRDalL

By Zöe Schneeweiss
Ukraine Launches Kinetic Sanctions on Russian Oil Exports
SocialMar 23, 2026

Ukraine Launches Kinetic Sanctions on Russian Oil Exports

Ukraine imposes kinetic sanctions on Russian oil exports. They increasingly have the ability to do this at scale, and to destroy refineries and factories crucial to the Russian war effort. This particular port is further from Ukraine than Moscow is.

By Ramez Naam
Prepare for AI Swarm Attacks with New Cyber Playbook
SocialMar 23, 2026

Prepare for AI Swarm Attacks with New Cyber Playbook

AI Swarm Attacks Are Coming, Is Your Business Ready? #AI #swarm attacks, powered by autonomous agents, #deepfake #phishing , and always-on malware, could transform #cybercrime and leave unprepared businesses dangerously exposed. This article explains why leaders need a new #cybersecurity...

By Bernard Marr
Switzerland Halts US Military Exports Amid Iran Conflict
SocialMar 23, 2026

Switzerland Halts US Military Exports Amid Iran Conflict

Because of the US-Israeli war on Iran, Switzerland has suspended military exports to the United States. TRUMP = A MASTERCLASS IN CREATING ENEMIES. https://t.co/dQ6lG3KAgS

By Steve Hanke
Ukraine Now Targeting Russian Baltic Oil Export Facilities
SocialMar 23, 2026

Ukraine Now Targeting Russian Baltic Oil Export Facilities

Ukraine. Is. Destroying. Russian. Oil. Export. Facilities. On. The. Baltic. Sea. I would never have believed words like these even two years ago, let alone before February 24, 2022.

By Illia Ponomarenko
Democracies Seek Israel's Defensive Tech Against Islamist Threats
SocialMar 23, 2026

Democracies Seek Israel's Defensive Tech Against Islamist Threats

Every democratic civilized country wants Israeli defense technology That technology was developed not to invade or expand—unlike all other conquering, imperial countries in history—but to defend against intolerant Islamist conquest trying to kill Jewish minorities and end Israel

By Josh Wolfe
Iran's Record-Breaking Ballistic Missile Strike Analyzed
SocialMar 23, 2026

Iran's Record-Breaking Ballistic Missile Strike Analyzed

New Nukesletter this Sunday evening: 7 takeaways from the longest-range use of ballistic missiles in combat to date (March 20, by Iran, against unknown targets in Diego Garcia). https://t.co/rFxfn8Zpx2 https://t.co/Gar5L9A2If

By Ankit Panda
Fragmenting Supply Chains Threaten Defense Without China
SocialMar 23, 2026

Fragmenting Supply Chains Threaten Defense Without China

Global supply chains are fragmenting right now. From a risk perspective this means that every major piece of defense equipment destroyed in the Gulf, may be almost irreplaceable without China’s support. How did team USA get here? Failures of risk...

By Steve Tunstall
Bombing Iran Won’t Trigger Uprising, Says Analyst
SocialMar 23, 2026

Bombing Iran Won’t Trigger Uprising, Says Analyst

The US & Israel wrongly believed bombing Iran would spark a popular uprising, writes @MarkMazzettiNYT I don't believe that. “Uprising” was a convenient fantasy that helped sell a war whose actual endgame was never credible. https://t.co/HZZi8Zp475 #IranWar #RegimeChange #Mossad #Trump #Netanyahu #MiddleEast #Strategy...

By Art Berman Blog
Taiwan Scrambles with Chip Deals to Win Trump
SocialMar 23, 2026

Taiwan Scrambles with Chip Deals to Win Trump

Fast Chips, Big Money, 3:30 a.m. Calls: Taiwan’s Urgent Quest to Win Over Trump https://t.co/XAPflnhoCQ

By Paul Triolo
NATO Discusses Reopening Hormuz, Not Guarantees
SocialMar 23, 2026

NATO Discusses Reopening Hormuz, Not Guarantees

"NATO VOWS TO REOPEN HORMUZ" is wildly overstated @DeItaone What NATO chief Mark Rutte actually said was allies are talking about ways to reopen Hormuz He added he is "absolutely convinced" they can succeed. At talking & coordinating What EU does best #NATO #MarkRutte...

By Art Berman Blog
Dual AI Workflow Doubles Quality of Specs and Reviews
SocialMar 23, 2026

Dual AI Workflow Doubles Quality of Specs and Reviews

Created a chatgpt 5.4 plugin for Claude, it automatically gets a "second opinion", forges the best results for prd/spec/implementation. Once finished and reviewed, submits to chatgpt for bug review / security review analysis. Works insanely better having two work together. ⏺...

By Dave Kennedy
Tehran Blackouts Unverified, Not Confirmed US Strike
SocialMar 23, 2026

Tehran Blackouts Unverified, Not Confirmed US Strike

Blackouts in Tehran are not proof that the US has struck the city's electrical grid @JesseCohenInv It's possible but unverified. It's also well ahead of Trump's threatened 48 hours. #Iran #Tehran #Trump #Blackout #Airstrikes #Geopolitics #Misinformation #MiddleEast #Verification #BreakingNews

By Art Berman Blog
Nuclear Rhetoric Escalation Masks Dangerous Antisemitic Narrative
SocialMar 23, 2026

Nuclear Rhetoric Escalation Masks Dangerous Antisemitic Narrative

Starting with the premise that Israel should use nukes on Iran is already absurd @FurkanGozukara Then leaping to “Putin would answer with nukes” is even more absurd. That is not analysis. It is lurid escalation fantasy dressed up as an...

By Art Berman Blog
Ukrainian Flamingo Beats Tomahawk in Range, Warhead, Cost
SocialMar 23, 2026

Ukrainian Flamingo Beats Tomahawk in Range, Warhead, Cost

To be fair the Ukrainian Flamingo does have longer range and a larger warhead than the Tomahawk at a much lower cost. https://t.co/yfGe0ZD0GM

By Ramez Naam
China Won’t Extend Formal Security Guarantee to Iran
SocialMar 23, 2026

China Won’t Extend Formal Security Guarantee to Iran

Based on my understanding, Beijing will try its best to mediate the conflict for the sake of its own economic interests, but the probability of it extending a security guarantee to Iran is extremely low. China’s foreign policy remains fundamentally anchored...

By Shanghai Macro Strategist
Sri Lanka Refuses US Request to Base Fighter Jets
SocialMar 23, 2026

Sri Lanka Refuses US Request to Base Fighter Jets

Sri Lanka has denied a US request to land fighter jets for Trump’s Iran war. TRUMP & THE US = COLLECTING ENEMIES BY THE BUSHEL. https://t.co/zyC7L7xJau

By Steve Hanke
Ground Ops on Hormuz Islands May Outperform Kharg Target
SocialMar 23, 2026

Ground Ops on Hormuz Islands May Outperform Kharg Target

Why the fixation Kharg Island? I assume it's because they think they can cut off Iran's source of income this way. But perhaps should consider ground operations on Islands in strait of Hormuz? Might be more effective for opening the...

By Ellen Wald
NightBeacon Mobile Debuts with AI Assistant, Nostalgic Coding Fun
SocialMar 23, 2026

NightBeacon Mobile Debuts with AI Assistant, Nostalgic Coding Fun

NightBeacon mobile version launched with AI assistant. Some late night coding lately, feel like I’m in the late 90s/early 2000s. Having so much fun. https://t.co/unvyKfDV6d #BinaryDefense https://t.co/tCyntTeePl

By Dave Kennedy
Covert Info Ops, Not War, Shocked Me After Oct 8
SocialMar 23, 2026

Covert Info Ops, Not War, Shocked Me After Oct 8

what shook + activated me wasn’t the overt horror + terror of Oct 7th in Israel. I had no doubts Israel would win the kinetic war No it was the covert decade+ long-planned insidious infiltration info ops into news, politicians, .edu...

By Josh Wolfe
New Framework Delivers Unprecedented SCADA Cybersecurity
SocialMar 22, 2026

New Framework Delivers Unprecedented SCADA Cybersecurity

New framework promises unprecedented level of cybersecurity for SCADA systems #energysky -- via pv magazine global: https://t.co/WiAfR3TSL6

By Tor “SolarFred” Valenza
Create New Alliance, Excluding US and Hungary
SocialMar 22, 2026

Create New Alliance, Excluding US and Hungary

No brainer. Honestly just create a new alliance and everyone but Hungary and the US can join it. They'll ask to join later.

By Ramez Naam
US Gains Massive Advantage From Hormuz Strait Closure
SocialMar 22, 2026

US Gains Massive Advantage From Hormuz Strait Closure

The US benefits from the closing of the Hormuz Strait are 'tremendous,' expert says https://t.co/KX4da2Twrp

By Anas Alhajji
Ex‑NCTC Official Warns US Troops on Kharg Island Disaster
SocialMar 22, 2026

Ex‑NCTC Official Warns US Troops on Kharg Island Disaster

U.S. ground troops on Kharg Island? “I just think that would be a disaster,” @joekent16jan19 said. “It would essentially be giving Iran a bunch of hostages on an island that they could barrage with drones and missiles.”

By Dan Lamothe
Why the “Never Take
SocialMar 22, 2026

Why the “Never Take

This is why I don't like the "never take anything off the table" chestnut. It was dumb with Hillary said it about nuclear weapons in Afghanistan; it's dumb now. (And no, I don't think he means it.)

By Jeffrey Lewis
Polymarket Predicts 28% Chance Hormuz Reopens by April
SocialMar 22, 2026

Polymarket Predicts 28% Chance Hormuz Reopens by April

Polymarket, a large prediction market, shows only a 28% chance that the Strait of Hormuz will open for normal traffic by the end of April. TRUMP & NETANYAHU’S WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COSTS. https://t.co/slk6gIZTUJ

By Steve Hanke
Specify the Target; Attacking a Nuclear Plant Is Illegal
SocialMar 22, 2026

Specify the Target; Attacking a Nuclear Plant Is Illegal

"Guess again" is an interesting answer when you could just state the target you have in mind and then affirm that targeting an operational nuclear power plant would be a crime.

By Jeffrey Lewis
Iranians May Soon Target Lucrative Data Center Assets
SocialMar 22, 2026

Iranians May Soon Target Lucrative Data Center Assets

I wondered when the Iranians would get around to targeting data centers. They're pretty juicy, as potential targets go.

By Jeffrey Lewis
Russia Repurposes S‑
SocialMar 22, 2026

Russia Repurposes S‑

The use of RM-48U is a growing issue, supplementing existing SRBMs. Russia is dedicating certain S-400 air defense units to this strike role. https://t.co/RPvaVKxyaE

By Michael Kofman
Only 7% of Americans Back Trump's Iran Troop Threat
SocialMar 22, 2026

Only 7% of Americans Back Trump's Iran Troop Threat

Only 7% of Americans support Trump's threat to send US ground troops into Iran. AMERICAN SUPPORT FOR THE US-ISRAELI WAR AGAINST IRAN = VIRTUALLY NONEXISTENT. https://t.co/5SDVzUht3L

By Steve Hanke
Escalation Risks Iran Mining Hormuz, Deepening Humanitarian Crisis
SocialMar 22, 2026

Escalation Risks Iran Mining Hormuz, Deepening Humanitarian Crisis

At what point does this escalation by Trump-Netanyahu actually prompt Iran to mine the Straight of Hormuz... with these ships on it?! Then this humanitarian crisis goes from lock-down to existential pretty quickly.

By Samantha LaDuc
Trump Uses Iran Grid Threat to Bait NATO
SocialMar 22, 2026

Trump Uses Iran Grid Threat to Bait NATO

Is Trump’s threat to destroy Iran's power grid a gambit to pull NATO and Europe into the Strait of Hormuz? It’s a smart leverage point, given that Europe and Turkey are the ones most vulnerable to a new refugee crisis.

By Ed Bradford
RSAC 2026 Promises Exciting Cyber Innovations and Announcements
SocialMar 22, 2026

RSAC 2026 Promises Exciting Cyber Innovations and Announcements

Inbound for RSAC. Going to be an interesting week of cyber products, innovations and announcements. My initial thoughts: https://t.co/l36K8t0RcX #cio #ciso #rsac2026 #rsac https://t.co/BCThYsakyZ

By Tim Crawford
Iranian Regime Chaos Spreads as Security Forces Crumble
SocialMar 22, 2026

Iranian Regime Chaos Spreads as Security Forces Crumble

"With thousands of regime members killed—from top leaders to street-level grunts—Iranians are reporting that a sense of disorder is starting to take hold. Security forces are under stress and on the run as they threaten protesters to stay off the...

By John Spencer
Trump Claims Victory as Iran Blocks Hormuz Tolls
SocialMar 22, 2026

Trump Claims Victory as Iran Blocks Hormuz Tolls

Trump says he's ready to declare victory and wind down military efforts. Iran is still blocking the Strait of Hormuz and extorting tolls from passing vessels. 🔒 Members-Only https://t.co/yhVxRubLDX

By Ed Yardeni
Sachs Predicts US Loses Geopolitical Edge to China
SocialMar 22, 2026

Sachs Predicts US Loses Geopolitical Edge to China

Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on current geopolitics: "In many ways, the US can not compete with China [in both manufacturing and diplomacy]... And I think we all feel it's not a temporary phenomenon but really the end of the...

By Steve Hanke
Capturing Kharg Island Won’t Halt Iran’s Oil Flow
SocialMar 22, 2026

Capturing Kharg Island Won’t Halt Iran’s Oil Flow

KHARG ISLAND — a thread: Trump has talked about taking Iran's Kharg Island for 40 years. The problem? Capturing it won't shut down Iran’s entire oil export system. And thus it won't lead to Hormuz re-opening fast enough. 🧵1/10 @Opinion FREE-TO-READ: https://t.co/ZOYtq3KESE https://t.co/xtLBqPShB6

By Javier Blas
Zelenskiy Calls for Continued Pressure on Russia Pre‑US Talks
SocialMar 22, 2026

Zelenskiy Calls for Continued Pressure on Russia Pre‑US Talks

Zelenskiy Urges Allies To Keep Up Pressure On Russia Ahead Of Talks With US https://t.co/27YNF6I723

By Tom Craig
Targeting Active Nuclear Plant: Criminal and Foolish
SocialMar 22, 2026

Targeting Active Nuclear Plant: Criminal and Foolish

This would seem to be advocating a military strike on an operating nuclear power plant. Apart from being criminal, it's also very stupid.

By Jeffrey Lewis