Lebanon's Government Misjudges End to Israeli Invasion
If Lebanon's government thinks this will end Israel's invasion of its territory, it is very mistaken.
Pentagon Tightens Press Access, Ignoring Court Defeat
They simply ignore the rare defeat in court. There is no rule of law. Pentagon Further Limits Press Access Following Court Loss https://t.co/FsytLIDkcc
US Flags Foreign‑Made Routers as Security Threat
US authorities have turned their attention to routers made outside the US, suggesting they're a national security risk. https://t.co/FxRBqkwa6x
First Space Fighter Satellite Promises Agile In‑Orbit Combat
Fascinating read on company building the first space 'fighter/pursuit' satellite for in-orbit combat - the True Anomaly Jackal. Agile and manoeuvrable - but left unsaid - what does it do when it gets on an enemy satellite's 'six o'clock'? Kinetic?...
Trump’s Hormuz Remarks Threaten Petrodollar‑reserve Currency Pact
One of the foundations of the US reserve currency status is the 1970s Nixon-KSA agreement that the US provides military protection in return for recycling of Petrodollars into the US bond market. When President Trump says things like that "we...
Stepping on a WWII Landmine: What Happens?
#HowThingsWork? World War II Landmine. If you had stepped on one this is what would have happened. #WarTech #History https://t.co/M6vv22Mf7e
Trump Claims Joint Control of Hormuz with Iran
This would be an important dynamic, if it were to continue and GROW in size. AND, if the US were to acquiesce to this new arrangement. Then again, President Trump did say that the "me and the ayatollah will jointly"...
Respect Analytic Tradecraft Over Censorship Claims
This is being framed as censorship but it’s actually just prosaic advice for language relating to photo-interpretation. We just accused CENTCOM of PAC’ing a Bahraini neighborhood, but one still needs to respect analytic tradecraft.
Trump's Transactional View Ignores Iran's Revolutionary Reality
Trump is treating Iran like a transactional adversary when it's a revolutionary state, says @ksadjadpour After three weeks of bombing, there is no real path to normalization The best case is a return to a Cold War #Iran #Trump #Hormuz #KarimSadjadpour #Geopolitics...
Trump Blocks Homeland Security Funding, Triggers Shutdown
Trump blocked the bipartisan deal to fund all of Homeland Security except ICE. This is Trump’s shutdown. https://t.co/MxVPDtgIwz
Pentagon Tightens Control Over Stars and Stripes, Faces Legal Challenge
More DoD media manipulation. Watch for a decision this on the NYT press pass case. Hope for an order to vacant the DoD rules: Pentagon tightens controls over Stars and Stripes after calling it “woke” : NPR https://t.co/xb0UyBKuPb
Pentagon Shifts Media to Annex After Court Loss
This administration has never met a law that it didn’t feel comfortable grabbing by the genitalia with the greatest lack of respect. Pentagon moves media to external ‘annex’ after press policy court defeat - The Washington Post https://t.co/4hTc1vE9mD
Gen. Mattis Warns Iran Could Tax Strait Traffic
GEN. MATTIS: “.. Iran right now, if we declared victory, they would now say they own the strait. .. You’d see a tax for every ship that goes through. .. We’re in a tough spot, ladies and gentlemen. .. I...
Iran’s Fragmented Leadership Clouds US Negotiation Prospects
Important nuance before assuming the stage is set for US-Iran negotiations: ❓ How unified is Iran’s top leadership at present — across the legislative branch, the military (especially the IRGC), and the religious establishment? ❓ Does Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf hold...
Trump Calms Markets, Buys Time, Pursues Diplomacy and Military Options
Lux's @brett_mcgurk current POV: (1) we're only halfway thru stated plan of 4-6 weeks (2) Occam's razor: Trump is calming markets + buying time. He will give diplomacy serious try, while advancing US military + creating more options, and continuing non-power...
US‑Israel Neutralize 70% of Iran’s Missile Launchers in Three Weeks
Just over 3 weeks and the U.S.-Israel have taken out over 70% of Iran's ballistic missile launchers.
Israel Targets Iranian Regime Leaders and Security Forces
I agree, Israel is going after the Iranian regime leaders, Basij, police, security forces, checkpoints and methods the regime used to kill protesters..they are calling IRGC officers to tell them they are dead men walking…
Ceasefire Won’t Resolve Underlying Middle East Crisis
“Ending the War Doesn’t End the Crisis”: Middle East Ceasefire Risks | A... https://t.co/bDlWKuJTVz via @YouTube
Trump Delays Iran Deadline, Averts Hormuz Escalation
Trump extended his deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, pumping the brakes on the war crimes he threatened to commit on Iran's civilian power infrastructure. Whether there were actually talks w/ Iran or someone convinced Trump to...
Sal Explains Why the US Navy Won’t Clear Strait
Sal gives us a clinic on the reason that the US Navy has not cleared the Strait.
U.S. Gains Most From Hormuz Crisis, Timing Crucial
No matter how you slice it, the United States stands to gain the most from the Hormuz crisis—but keep the timeframes separate, or the picture gets muddled fast. 👇👇👇
USAF Unveils Stealth Tanks, Pods,
F-22, B-52 Flight Testing Over The Mojave Showcases Advanced USAF Developments We've gotten our best look yet at new stealthy underwing tanks and sensor pods for the F-22, and the USAF's new AGM-181 nuclear cruise missile. https://t.co/sd23IzPPeJ
Update iOS Immediately to Block DarkSword Exploit
NEW from @zackwhittaker @lorenzofb: Someone has posted an exploit kit that can hack hundreds of millions of iPhones to Github. The hacking tool, known as DarkSword, targets out-of-date and older iOS devices. Apple recommends updating to the newest OS now. https://t.co/tJfqYWDOe1
US Escalates Presence as Iran Negotiations Linger
Truly hope that this is really almost over. But can't help but remember all the way back to a month ago when the Trump admin was "negotiating" with Iran while accumulating military assets in the region. More marines will also arrive in...
Europe Backs US Iran Strategy, Prefers Covert Support
Europe is supporting US efforts in Iran, they just don't want to be seen doing so publicly: https://t.co/wmNKRdls6g
US Troops to Guard Iran's Energy Assets—Stay Informed
If the possible deployment of US boots on the ground to Iran in an effort to manage/control the energy assets come as a surprise to you…you have not been paying attention
Ukraine's Military Outpaces US and Israel in Modernization
Ukraine's military is moving into the future faster than any other on earth. Faster than the US. Faster than Israel.
Trump’s Victory: Strategic Iran Containment or Energy Crisis Manipulation?
I can't keep track. Is Trump winning because he achieved his goals and Iran is now entirely contained and Hormuz is open by next week? Or is Trump winning because he meant to trigger the largest energy crisis in history to flex...
Rethink Iran Strategy to Prevent Repeat Disaster
From the Palantir bros to the Secretary of War to the President, everyone involved must change their thinking about Iran or the next set of conflict outcomes will be as disastrous as the first. "But I Did Have Breakfast: Kill Chains,...
Ukraine's Home‑grown Weapons Prove Funding Will Secure Victory
Ukraine have now demonstrated they can design and build the weapons to cripple Russia and win this war. They deserve the funding to see this through to completion. Fund Ukraine, and they will win.
IRGC's Chain of Command in Disarray, Causing Confusion
"they [IRGC] are all confused and have no idea who is talking to whom. Their chain of command is broken."
Eyewitness Claims Possible ICBM Launch Near Plesetsk
There is an eyewitness report on the Novosti Kosmonavtiki web forum from the Ukhta area (NE of Plesetsk) about a rocket launch and stage separation (in one piece), possibly indicating an ICBM launch: https://t.co/bElbE6hVlW https://t.co/adIadiu1hY
Trump Retreats From Iran Deadline, Averting Disaster
president trump has backed away from his self-imposed 48 hour deadline on iran. this is to be welcomed. if trump had followed through it would have been a disaster for all sides. as of now, nothing else has changed.
Iran's Control of Hormuz Threatens Global Trade
The Straits of Hormuz and maritime generally is THE story of the war with Iran. Iran cannot be left in charge of the Straits and choke the world. I recorded a special episode of Invested with @AmiDaniel1, founder & CEO...
Markets Underprice Prolonged Iran Conflict, Expect Sharp Correction
Month two. No de-escalation. More troops. Kharg Island occupation being planned. In my experience, markets that price short conflicts and get long ones reprice quickly and painfully. Kharg Island handles 90%+ of Iran's oil exports. The implicit assumption built into current market prices...
Markets Underprice Prolonged Conflict Amid Escalating War
War is entering month 2. No de-escalation signals. More troops being deployed. Kharg Island occupation being planned. Markets priced a short conflict. They haven't priced a long one. $SPY https://t.co/Vbt33yVHPd
Iran's Long-Range Missile May Have Been Anti-Ship Attack
Could Iran's very long-range ballistic missile attempted strike supposedly targeting Diego Garcia (UK says no proof of this at all) actually been an anti-ship attack?
Prediction Markets Boost Ceasefire Odds to 55% by End‑April
While there is clear doubt around the market's confidence in the US-Iran having productive talks, the prediction markets have shown a jump (from 39% to 55%) in the probability of a ceasefire by April 30th. Still, that implies a further...
72% Want Congress to Approve Ongoing Iran War
Poll results: 72% of respondents said this is a war and Congress should be required to approve continued military action against Iran... https://t.co/FayWJf10w0
Sachs: Iran Denies Talks, Trump’s Claim Questionable
Distinguished Columbia Univ. Prof. Jeff Sachs on Pres. Trump’s claim that the US is engaged in negotiations with Iran: “The Iranians have been saying very clearly that there are no negotiations... I think it raises questions about the President.” https://t.co/aM61cohaAc
Iran Discovers Strait of Hormuz Leverage Is Unreliable
As with its nuclear program, Iran can not unlearnt new knowledge. And Tehran has learnt lots in the last 4 weeks. Iran assumed the Strait of Hormuz gave it a lever. But its effectiveness was unproven, and it didn’t know...
Cyber War Begins: Companies Face First Attacks
The War Is Going Cyber and Companies Are the First to Be Attacked #ArtificialDecisions #MCC https://t.co/PGGJukkaqK
Iran’s Rope‑a‑Dope Tactic: Endure, Exhaust, Then Strike
My take on Iran's war strategy: "The Iranians have adopted the Muhammad Ali Rope-a-Dope strategy. Iran will absorb massive punishment until the US and Israel are exhausted. Then, Iran will land a knock-out blow." IRAN CONTROLS THE STRAIT OF HORMUZ. https://t.co/Vfv8lDJsQc
Markets Accept Persistent Middle East Conflict If Hormuz Flows
A new geopolitical equilibrium could emerge in the Middle East that includes almost constant kinetic action and YET markets could be OK with that. The 1980 Iran-Iraq war is a good example of that. All that matters is whether ships...
U.S. Swaps Offshore Wind Lease for Oil, Cites Security
In an effort to halt new offshore wind development, the U.S. announced today a deal with TotalEnergies to redirect the $1 billion the energy giant paid for an offshore wind lease and put it toward U.S. oil and gas projects....
China's OpenClaw AI Fuels Lobster Agent Cybersecurity Panic
"Raising a lobster" is the new Labubu OpenClaw AI goes viral in China, raising cybersecurity fears Email deletion scare underscores risks as ‘lobster’ agents surge across real-world AI systems handling sensitive personal data #China #techwar #chips #tech @baoshaoshan @thecyrusjanssen @DOualaalou @lajohnstondr @PSTAsiatech https://t.co/LceRUFV7T6
Trump’s Wavering Stance Shapes Iran Conflict’s Future
As Trump flip flops on his latest ultimatum, now is a good time to look at how the remainder of this conflict may play out and how domestic politics might influence the outcome... Geopolitical Guy | Substack https://bit.ly/3NkAKGD #Iran #OperationEpicFury #StraitOfHormuz #Trump...
US‑Israeli Strike Closes Hormuz, Triggers Global Gas Crisis
Thanks to the US-Israeli attack on Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is ‘closed’. As a result, countries worldwide are facing a gas supply CLIFF-EDGE. LNG from Qatar is NOWHERE TO BE FOUND. US-ISRAELI WAR ON IRAN = MASSIVE COLLATERAL DAMAGE. https://t.co/qE8zgTwxgC
Iran War Hits Potential Inflection Point, Analyst Says
Top market watcher on why this may be a real inflection point in the Iran war https://t.co/mltKPnPYb8 thanks from @AcadSecurities @MorganLBrennan for having us on! The segment, despite being before the 5 day pause post, hasn't aged too badly :)
Reagan Announces “Star Wars” Defense Initiative, 1983
#ThisDayInTechHistory. March 23, 1983. President Ronald Reagan delivered his famous "Star Wars" speech, officially the Strategic Defense Initiative or SDI. #JVGpost https://t.co/Q1TbucLMjG