Trump’s Bold Claims Ignored by Iran’s Actual Strike
Just a few weeks before a US aircraft was shot down in Iran, President Trump had this to say: “We literally have planes flying over Tehran... They [Iran] can't do a thing about it." TRUMP'S RHETORIC RARLEY MATCHES REALITY. https://t.co/UVqGJAzX2e
Delayed Sanctions Squandered Cooperation, Worsened War Costs
In a war of choice, these dynamics were foreseeable. With enough preparation ahead of time, the admin could have at least mitigated the costs and tradeoffs for other countries (and get more cooperation as a result). Instead, they’ve lifted sanctions during...
Defense Spending Soars to $2.7T, Still Below
Global defense spending has now increased for 10 consecutive years. In 2024, global defense spending hit $2.7 trillion, a 9% jump from 2023, “the steepest increase since the Cold War,” according to the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute. Every region...
President's Messianic Threats Eclipse Iran's Rhetoric
It’s… let’s say “disturbing” when the President of the United States sounds more messianic in his foreign policy threats than Iran’s mullahs. https://t.co/3xfbhvR9yH
US Escalation Timeline Set for Monday 10 AM EST
We have another timeline for US escalation in the Iran conflict if there isn't movement on opening the Hormuz Strait: Monday at approximately 10:00 EST. At least the market would be open if they follow through at that time. Active...
Trump Warns Iran War Escalation; Crypto Remains Unfazed
Oh the war with Iran is just getting started. Trump posted this on truth social this morning Crypto has not priced in “Hell reigning down” yet… https://t.co/EQs6uOtwyT
US Missed Early War‑risk Coverage; Strait Security Remains Lacking
Okay, this is 5 weeks too late. The US should have had war risk coverage in place on Day 1 when the issue was the lack of sufficient money in the pot. Ships have already obtained war risk through commercial means. The issue...
Top‑Level Decisions Ripple Into Every Crisis
This week wasn’t noise. It was a pattern. Veterans are losing their homes. Military leadership is being reshaped. A new AI divide is forming. Power is shifting behind the scenes and the world is already paying the price. Different stories. Same throughline: Decisions at the top...
Ukraine's $2,100 Sting Interceptor Secures 11 Middle East Contracts
Sorry boys. Ukraine’s Sting Interceptor. Battlefield proven against Iran’s Shahed drones. $2,100 per unit. First to market. Already under contract to 11 Middle East nations. 1,000 units a day Ukrainian production capacity. https://t.co/vlQahbzlE1
CSAR Explained: Saving Downed Airmen From Iran
Jolly Greens, Sandy's, CSAR, Popcorn, and Unlucky Jet. What does it all mean? A quick explainer on what Combat Search and Rescue means and is and how it's being used in Iran to rescue the two downed airmen. I just...
Quantum Diamond Sensors Promise GPS‑Free Resilient Navigation
Quantum diamond magnetometers could enable resilient navigation without GPS, while supporting defense, security, and future magnetic mapping systems. https://t.co/gRcY4lIJQI
U.S. Intel: Iran Unlikely to Reopen Hormuz, Oil Leverage
U.S. Intel Warns Iran Has No Incentive to Reopen Hormuz as Oil Leverage Grows. Economic vs military advantage. Can and how can Iran’s grasp be stopped? Will there be a protracted military operation? As supply and supply chains struggle. ...
Iran Uses Drone to Strike Israel-Linked Ship in Hormuz
April 4 (Reuters) - Iran attacked an Israel-affiliated vessel with a drone in the Strait of Hormuz, setting the ship on fire, Iran's state media said on Saturday, citing the commander of the Revolutionary Guards navy.
Trump’s Defense Boost Should Cut DoD Waste, Not Spending
To fund the increase in the defense budget from $1.1T to $1.5T, Trump proposes to reduce discretionary spending by 10%. Instead of increasing the DoD’s budget by $400B, Trump should’ve cut the budget of the home of waste, fraud, & abuse,...
Iranian Officials Challenged Pakistan's Role
Factually incorrect. In February, Iranian officials had issues with Pakistan’s involvement in the talks in Istanbul. If I recall @BashaReport was among the first to bring this up to the surface.
Iran's Conventional Strength Forces Global Trade Reset
I wrote this at the beginning of the war. I don't like to predict things, but it appears that the initial probabilities I'd spoken of have kinda sorta come about. The war will continue, but now there is an attempt...
UAE Police Rely on Snitches to Track WhatsApp War Photos
If you're wondering how the authorities in the UAE catch those who share pictures of Iranian drone and missile attacks on WhatsApp: police ask, people snitch. https://t.co/POJq6fBEej https://t.co/njFeJQXZpE
Netherlands' Booming Maritime Sector Contrasts with Feeble Navy
The Dutch have an extraordinary maritime industry.. ports, technology, engineering, education, etc And yet their navy is so weak & feeble it should be a national embarrassment. But instead of treating that weakness with shame, they celebrate & honor it 🤡...
Rutte’s Facts Outline NATO’s Future Challenges
Mark Rutte explaining what he thinks are the facts. This is important information, because it will help you (Politicians, businessleader, money manager) to understand what could happen in the future with NATO. (This tweet is not pro- or against Trump, it...
Future Wars Will Be Fought by Tech, Not Soldiers
Future wars will not be fought with men between 17 and 45 years of age. Future wars will be fought with automatic weapons, which will be powered by leading tech which will be powered by energy and startups. So I...
US and Israel Strike Iran's Major Khuzestan Petrochemical Complexes
According to Iranian media, the US and Israel have attacked several large petrochemical sites in the Khuzestan province near the border with Iraq. The area between Mahshahr and Bandar Imam Khomeini are home to some of the Iranian largest petrochemical complexes.
U.S. Military Repurposes Iranian Drone Tech, Not Silicon Valley
“…doesn’t come from one of America’s more than 400 venture-backed drone startups. And it isn’t the product of Silicon Valley ingenuity. Instead, the drone having its moment in the Middle East conflict was designed by the U.S. military itself, using...
Sixth Week of Hormuz War Sparks Oil Demand Destruction
The Third Gulf War (aka, the ‘Hormuz War’) is entering into its 6th week, at the very end of the initial White House guidance of a 4-6 week campaign. For the oil market, we are into demand destruction territory, although...
Western Satellite Imagery May Be Delayed, Restricted, Altered
Can western commercial satellite imagery be trusted? I think there are good arguments to be made for delaying imagery. But if they will selectively restrict access, could they move to alter images too in the future? Their biggest customer is...
Skipping Missile Approach Warning on $100M F‑15EX Is Foolish
Buying F-15EX and not springing for the missile approach warning system is absolutely the dumbest thing. $100M fighter, but let's save a few bucks on a key defensive advantage. You are not always going to get a radar spike from...
Strait of Hormuz Now Central as Vulnerabilities Rise
“They've demonstrated to the Gulf states how vulnerable they are and how vulnerable the global economy is,” said a European official briefed on diplomatic efforts to end the war. “So the price has gone up. The Strait of Hormuz never...
Iran Proves U.S. Cities Aren’t Safe From Attacks
“If it had occurred during working hours, it could have been a mass-casualty event, the officials said. Instead, the attack sent a message that Iran could hit Americans in places they thought were protected… they could’ve hit anything they wanted...
Space Force Confirms Meridian-M Launched Into Expected Molniya Orbit
Space Force orbit data show the Meridian-M satellite launched yesterday in a 996 x 39714 km x 62.8 deg 'Molniya' orbit as expected
Downed Planes Heighten Trump’s Risk Amid Pilot Hunt
Downed planes raise new perils for Trump as Tehran hunts for missing US pilot https://t.co/kBxWX99rYS
US Intel Says Iran Will Maintain Hormuz Chokehold
Exclusive: US intelligence warns Iran unlikely to ease Hormuz Strait chokehold soon, sources say https://t.co/s0QE23T6Eu
Propose Unilateral Hormuz Control Using Military Convoys, EW
"The war and the negotiations on reopening the Hormuz Strait can go in parallel...An alternative step would be to control the Strait unilaterally, as Ukraine did with the Grain Corridor. Achieving this would require interceptors, military convoys to escort the...
Stop Overthinking; Your Long Twitter Rant Isn’t Unique
If u are 5 pages deep into a piece you are planning to post on twitter detailing why the US & USD are about to fail bc the Pentagon doesn't realize Iran has mountains & air craft carriers are obsolete,...
U.S. Airpower Crumbles as Iran Defenses Resurge
Worst day for U.S. airpower in decades. Multiple aircraft down—and Iran’s defenses were supposed to be gone. That narrative just broke. This war isn’t under control. #Iran #Warfare #Geopolitics #AirPower
Iran Strikes Kuwait Facilities Over US Base Presence
Patricia asks a good question since US isn’t protecting Kuwait. In fact, in retaliation for Kuwait hosting American bases, Iranian drones struck Kuwait's Mina Al-Ahmadi refinery (per Kuwait Petroleum Corp) today, and Kuwait’s Ministry of Electricity - which is a power/desalination...
US Chinook Helicopter Severely Damaged in Kuwait
CH-47 Chinook Heavy-Lift Helicopter Heavily Damaged in Kuwait New images circulating show significant damage to a U.S. Army Boeing CH-47 Chinook heavy-lift helicopter in Kuwait. Initial reports link it to an Iranian drone strike while the helicopter was stationed on the...
Call for Dedicated Congressional Oversight of the Pentagon
If only there was a branch of government w oversight authority over the Pentagon, perhaps w committees that have special focus on our Armed Services
A-10 Crash Over Iran Highlights Elite Rescue Airmen
The downed A-10 over Iran was likely a "Sandy" participating in the rescue operation. The rescue is shaping up to be a significant operation. Here's a look at Pedro, can confirm that PJs and these airmen are a special breed...
Hungarian Mission in Chad: Purpose Finally Revealed
I was in Chad last year and heard about a Hungarian military mission. No one understood the purpose. Now we know
US Patriot Interceptor Strikes Bahrain's Block 602, Confirms Report
A second video now appears to show the U.S. operated Patriot interceptor striking Block 602 of the Mahazza neighborhood in Bahrain early in the morning of March 9, 2026 -- just as @sam_lair, @DuitsmanMS, myself and others assessed & @JonathanLanday...
F/A-XX Funding Remains Low Amid RDT&E Surge
Looks like another relatively low budget request for F/A-XX despite a big spike in overall RDT&E $68.5m in the PB, with another $72m in the reconciliation request https://t.co/Rg5WoLuAtw
South Korea's Secret Missile Deployment Hints at Preemptive Strike
.@dex_eve & I have a new piece out w/ @SurvivalEditors. In 2024, South Korea secretly deployed more than 300 KTSSM missiles at soft, fixed sites--suggesting that, in a crisis, Seoul may strike first & giving Pyongyang 300 reasons to beat...
US Intel: Half of Iran's Missiles Remain Operational
CNN reports that recent US intelligence found that ~50% of Iran’s missile launchers and drones are still INTACT. Trump’s rhetoric has NOTHING TO DO WITH REALITY. https://t.co/2Im0pnj9EW
Trump Budget Targets Record US Shipbuilding with 34 Vessels
Trump budget proposal tees up yard bonanza by taking US ship orders to historic levels White House gears up to propose budget with 34 ships, including vessels built to commercial standards https://t.co/8MB7cVm1I8
Trump’s 2027 Budget Dwarfs Biden’s 2025 Military Spending by 67%
For fans of arithmetic, Trump's 2027 budget is 67% higher than Biden's 2025 military budget.
Proactively Cut Cyber Risk to Prevent Business Damage
How To Reduce Cyber Risk Before It Becomes Business Impact by @austingadient @Forbes Learn more: https://t.co/VHZwMZzcvB #CyberSecurity #Infosec #Technology https://t.co/AVcRBc9AxR
Pentagon Labels Operation Epic Fury as OEFU
With the original OEF being Operation Enduring Freedom, the Pentagon's Defense Casualty Analysis System lists Operation Epic Fury as OEFU. https://t.co/q2Ze5qNdD4
U.S. Shouldn't Fund Iron Dome; Prioritize Rare Earths
I don't think the U.S. should pay for the Iron Dome system not just because Israel is a bad ally, but also because we need the rare earths for our purposes.
Iran Refuses Pakistan Talks; Trump Demands More Time for Hormuz
Iran Unwilling To Meet US Negotiators In Pakistan, Talks At 'Dead End', As Trump Says 'A Little More Time' Needed To Open Hormuz: (ZeroHedge)
Bomb Replacement Costs Outpace Target Value Amid Supply Disruption
Another asymmetry with the West: at some point, with the supply chain disruption, the replacement cost of the bomb starts to exceed that of the target.
5 Steps to Overcome Alert Fatigue and Strengthen Security Ops
5 Steps to break free from alert fatigue and build resilient #security operations https://t.co/cR0YprtxOS https://t.co/BpZtAMzn8k