Pentagon Seeks $1.5T,
Today's $1.5 trillion national security request that includes $1.45 trillion in Pentagon-only spending is on top a a potential $200b FY 26 defense supplemental OMB is still reviewing
Trump Argues Global Hostility Justifies Massive Defense Spending
Trump says when you make the whole world your enemy, you need a big military budget.
Qatar Rejects U.S. Push to Mediate Iran Cease‑fire
Qatar is resisting efforts by the U.S. and other regional countries to be a key mediator for a potential cease-fire deal with Iran, complicating efforts to find a way forward for the talks, officials familiar with the matter and mediators...
Control of Hormuz Determines Iran’s Energy Leverage
The war isn’t about nukes anymore. It’s about Hormuz. If Iran controls the strait, it controls the leverage—energy flows, revenue, and deterrence. Lose that, and it loses everything. https://t.co/E8y4o6BWN6 #Iran #Hormuz #Oil #Geopolitics
Russia's Endless War Sees Ukraine Collapse Repeatedly
It was the 5th year of Russia’s special military operation to take Kyiv in 3 days, by which point Ukraine had already collapsed for the 10 time in 30 days. https://t.co/oo7gM6bZZU
Tech-Driven Cohesion: Keeping Small Teams United
My latest on building/maintaining small unit cohesion in our world of ubiquitous technology and connections.
Rescue Squads’ Heroics Hint Iran’s Potential Fallout
With news of an F-15 shot down over Iran, I’m reminded of my time embedded with the Alaska National Guard’s 176th Wing during CSAR training. The 210th, 211th, and 212th Rescue Squadrons worked together to recover two downed pilots, I...
Trump Pushes Higher Defense Spending Amid Slowing Growth
During the Clinton reign (1993-2001), US defense spending fell from 4.3% to 2.9% of GDP - while GDP SOARED at 4.0%/year. As the economy slumps to 2.1%/yr GDP growth, Trump proposes to increase the defense budget from ~3.0% to 5.0% of...
Drones Account for 96% of Russian March Casualties
Drone strikes caused 96% of Russian casualties in March. And most of their other losses of assets within Russia. Drones and missiles now dominate the battlefield.
Pakistan-Led Mediation on US‑Iran Ceasefire Stalls
The current round of efforts by regional countries led by Pakistan to reach a cease-fire between the U.S. and Iran has reached a dead end, mediators told the Wall Street Journal.
Europe's War Reluctance Grows Amid China Economic Ties
If Europe wouldn't assist in a war with a regime that every leader has condemned that has been left nearly powerless, there is little chance they would support a war against China where strong economic and supply chain dependancies exist
CENTCOM Exaggerates Hoveyzeh Missile Length by Factor
PAO/@CENTCOM keeps claiming the Hoveyzeh LACM is "twice as long" as PrSM. PrSm is 3.96 m; Iran's LACMs (including Hoveyzeh) are ~6 m-long Kh-55 clones. Please divide six by four. https://t.co/fUnUu3fWmM
Frontier AI Halves Expert Task Time, 5.7‑month Doubling
Here’s an independent domain extension of METR’s famous time-horizon analysis, applying it to offensive cybersecurity with real human expert timing data Similar to METR: 5.7 months doubling time. Frontier models now succeed 50% of the time at tasks that take human...
Russia Tested Its Own Drone Line Initiative Last Year
.@kriegsforscherD and I have a new post about Russia's experiment with its own Drone Line initiative and employment of UAS from last year. https://t.co/XCslVa4HzU
Iran Claims Hit on US Rescue Helicopter Searching for Pilot
Iran says it struck a US helicopter on search & rescue mission for downed F-15 fighter jet pilot.
World Witnesses US Combat Rescue's High‑Risk Operation
Today the world sees the gigantic balls U.S. combat search and rescue has. Extremely high risk operation we hoped we wouldn’t have to see.
Iran’s Hormuz Grip Threatens Global Oil Supply
What Iran’s Control of the Strait of Hormuz Means for the Global Economy #oott #oil #iran @ACGlobalEnergy https://t.co/zl1MAO5TPp
US Fighter Jet Downed over Iran; Rescue Underway
U.S. fighter jet shot down in Iran, search and rescue operations underway for crew — Axios
F‑117 Downed, War Unchanged; Rescue Crew Now Priority
Serbia shot down an F-117 in 1999. That didn’t change the outcome of Allied Force. I hope the pilot and WSO are alive and can be extracted soon. Beyond that, it’s one aircraft.
China's South China Sea Base Threatens the Philippines
China. Looking to build military base in South China Sea where they have forced run-ins with The Philippines. A threat to whom?
Cybersecurity's New Challenge: Decision, Not Tools
Cybersecurity isn’t a tooling problem anymore. It’s a decision problem. AI-driven threats are moving faster than human response models. Most orgs still rely on: • alerts • dashboards • manual decisions That’s the real vulnerability. The shift? → Decision Intelligence systems Comment “DECISION” and I’ll show you how to implement...
NATO Invokes Article 5, Launches Operation Noble Eagle
On September 12th the North Atlantic Council declared that the attacks satisfied Article 5 and established Operation Noble Eagle to coordinate support including NATO AWACS and Canadian CF-18s for air policing. ISAF was established as an Article 4 mission.
Trump Winging War Strategy, Lacks Any Real Plan
I spoke with @MarioNawfal on Trump’s ’thinking’ & ‘plan’ for the US-Israeli War on Iran: "I don't think they have a plan. I don't think they know what the word PLAN is... Trump is winging it basically... He's fishing around for...
Trump's Exaggerated Claim: Iran's Forces Far From Destroyed
Trump said, "[Iran's] navy is gone. Their air force is gone. Their missiles are just about used up or beaten." Typical -- Trump's rhetoric doesn't match reality. https://t.co/Tu24oA8RNH
Trump May Weaponize Hormuz Closure to Pressure Allies
Trump allowed Hormuz disruption for strategic reasons, suggests @DrJStrategy That's a crock of shit idea. I doubt Trump knows how to play chess much less 4D chess. He may be using Hormuz’s closure—and his inability to fix it—to pressure allies into solidarity. #Geopolitics...
US Stealing Iranian Drones Exposes Domestic Tech Lag
This article makes it seem like a win that the US stole Iranian drone technology. But how damning is it that we were in a position where their tech was ahead of us? That we had to steal? https://t.co/xWqi7w0np8
Soyuz-2-1a Launch From Plesetsk Carries Meridian Satellite
LAUNCH at 0628 UTC of a Soyuz-class rocket from Plesetsk. Suspected to be a Soyuz-2-1a/Fregat with a Meridian military comms satellite, but we'll have to wait for Space Force tracking to confirm that.
FBI Calls China-Linked Intrusion a Major Cyber Incident
The FBI reportedly classified a China-linked effort to penetrate one of its surveillance systems this week as a “major cyber incident,” meaning it was a significant risk to U.S. national security. The definition of a “major incident” was established by the...
Japan Commissions Fifth Taigei-Class Submarine, Bolstering Stealth Fleet
Japan has added a new stealth asset to its underwater fleet, with the Japan Maritime Self-Defense Force formally receiving its fifth Taigei-class submarine on March 10. The vessel, named JS Chōgei, was handed over by Mitsubishi Heavy Industries at its Kobe...
White House Pushes $1.5T Defense Budget Amid Audit Void
The White House asked Congress to approve a MASSIVE INCREASE in military funding from $1.1 trillion to $1.5 trillion in FY 2027. Forget MAGA promises. Trump embraces one big idea: MILITARISM/WAR. The DoD is a home of WASTE, FRAUD, & ABUSE. No...
Metrics Mislead: Scans Don't Equal Security Progress
Counting scans and alerts isn’t security progress—it's masking unresolved vulnerabilities and rising cyber risk. https://t.co/fsb8M3fbRc
Iran Shoots Down US Jet, Raising Conflict Risk
Iran downing a U.S. fighter jet changes the calculus. I thought Iranian defenses were decimated & that the US have full air access across Iran. The risks just moved up a level. #Iran #Geopolitics #Warfare #Escalation https://t.co/khMmJ0wN6f
Proposed Defense Budget Would Top WWII Funding Levels
To put this defense budget request in perspective, it would be the highest level of funding for defense in US history, surpassing even the peak funding during World War II. That peak was just under $1.2T in today's dollars. https://t.co/EjJkDRO5O5
Trump Learns Truth: Military Wins Mask Strategic Failures
There’s a growing gap between reported military success & strategic reality—and Trump is just now being told the truth. Is there a connection to the firing of Army Chief Randy George? https://t.co/qGIsDZcbgc #Geopolitics #Iran #Warfare #Leadership
Anthropic vs Pentagon: AI’s Role in Defense Clarified
The Anthropic and Pentagon standoff has brought AI and the military into the headlines. Here’s what’s really happening. https://t.co/nJ1AThJs3U
Double Standards: Putin's Pretext vs US Invasion Claims
Apparently Putin was justified in invading Ukraine bc of something “NATO might some day do” even though NATO never threatened to do it… But the U.S. was not justified in invading Iran bc of something “they might some day do” even...
FBI Warns Chinese Apps Store Data Accessible to Government
Chinese apps store sensitive data on servers in China, which the government can access, FBI warns. https://t.co/irVklBM99j
Pentagon's Access Demand Leads to First US AI Blacklist
The US government blacklisted an AI company for the first time in American history. Anthropic was already deep inside classified systems. Then the Pentagon demanded unrestricted access. Anthropic said no. Got labelled a national security risk. OpenAI rushed in with their...
US Plans to Reopen Strait of Hormuz, Timeline Unclear
Great. Trump. US will reopen Strait of Hormuz. How long is “a little more time”?
Military Pay Hike Hits Biggest Since 1982
The @WHOMB factsheet on the defense budget says that the military pay raise will range from 6 to 7 percent (depending on rank). A normal pay raise (as specified in law) would be 3.6 percent this year, based on the...
China Challenges Iran at UN over Hormuz Closure
China, Europe and why Beijing took a swing at Iran over the Strait of Hormuz Beijing takes a stand at the United Nations at the closure of shipping lanes Despite all the blather about how China benefits from the conflict... https://t.co/dhDbWjo4ip via...
FY27 Budget Keeps Virginia Sub Count Steady Amid Delays
FY 27 defense budget requests 2 Virginia-class subs, same as last yr; pleasing Va/RI/CT lawmakers even though the most subs on contract are running late
Brookings Expert Downplays Iran Crisis, Calls Elite Hobbyists
Brookings Michael O’Hanlon is on cnbc saying this Iran situation isn’t an economic disaster and he’s glad Iran won’t get a nuclear weapon. The U.S. foreign policy elite needs to be crushed. They treat this stuff like it’s a hobby.
Trump’s Reckless Actions Fuel Putin, Alienate Europe
Trump has insulted and tariffed his European allies, persuaded Denmark to prepare for a US invasion and, by pressuring Ukraine and not Russia, encouraged Putin to keep fighting. All of which he has forgotten. https://t.co/GhDO27FyxK
North Korea's Unique Path Explains Its Nuclear Arsenal
The only good example here is NorthKorea - what not happened in NK - which is why they have nukes.
Iran’s Command‑and‑control Remains Intact Despite US Strikes
I’d like to see evidence that Iran is “hit at the core of command & control” @zriboua Where exactly is that core located in a country the size of Texas + California + Montana + Illinois? Iran’s weapons keep causing damage...
Soyuz-2-1a Launches Military Payload From Plesetsk
A Soyuz-2-1a rocket launched military payload from Plesetsk at 9:28 MSK today, according to the Russian Ministry of Defense. Developing story: https://t.co/RigHJQbcKJ https://t.co/HKeC4ADywg
Escalation Risks Dampen Risk‑Taking, US Jobs Keep Dollar Flat
Risk of Escalation Discourages Risk Taking while US Jobs Report May Extend the Dollar's Narrow Ranges: The shroud of the Middle East war overhangs the Good Friday holiday. The attack on an Iranian bridge yesterday threatens a response in kind...
China Gains Upper Hand in Iran Conflict
Today's pod: WHY CHINA IS WINNING THE IRAN WAR Energy crises tend to have strange ripple effects. The 1970s oil crises contributed to (among many other things): - stagflation, the demise of the New Deal order in America, & the ensuing...
F-15E Wreckage Photos Surface Amid Iran's Shoot‑down Claim
Photos Of F-15E Wreckage Emerge Amid Iranian Claims It Shot Down An American Fighter The photos of the wreckage come amid claims and denials of aircraft shootdowns over Iran. https://t.co/1u4HnjmcNJ