I don't want to be that kind of guy, but... March 1 comes next week. We in Ukraine are moving towards having lived through yet another godawful winter in the cold and dark under Russian missiles and drones, and we have been good at it. #UkraineLivesOn
An influx of F-22s, F-16s E-3s, a U-2 to the Middle East are adding the capabilities the U.S. would need for a sustained attack on Iran. Also, the USS Pinckney was also recently deployed to the region. https://t.co/yoVBE2PVrB
Drones now account for the majority of casualties in the Ukraine War. With Russia improving its strike range by mounting Starlink terminals to drones, Elon Musk has finally stepped in. Full analysis available on Patreon ➡️ https://t.co/LYlet7MIHM #dronewarfare #starlink #ukrainewar #geopolitics
Final Pieces Moving Into Place For Potential Attack On Iran The latest flurry of U.S. assets heading to the Middle East includes many of the missing capabilities needed for a sustained air campaign. Latest: https://t.co/26hU8ux1aD
The U.S. Navy presently has two destroyers -- the USS Mitscher and USS Michael Murphy -- in the vicinity of the Strait of Hormuz.
🧵 The U.S. will deploy its "cutting-edge missile and unmanned systems" to the Philippines, a step in strengthening force posture inside the 1st island chain. Beijing isn't happy — that's the point. A welcome sign given the NDS's softer tone on...
two rounds of iran talks, very little progress so far. unless trump is prepared to accept a limited deal (focused on nuclear capacity, not missiles or support for regional proxies), military strikes in coming weeks looking likely.
“Tom Shugart, senior fellow at [@cnasdc], said: “Obviously [China] didn’t get the memo about carriers being obsolete.”” https://t.co/UhHbFPdoEt
"Iran says it temporarily closed the Strait of Hormuz as it held more indirect talks with the US." https://t.co/Ek0ckZEw6N Iran announced the temporary closure of the Strait of Hormuzon Tuesday for live fire drills in a rare show of force as its...
Just in: The Air Force saty it intends to complete by year's end a restructuring plan for the new Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile system from Northrop Grumman Corp., after the projected $141 billion program was plagued by skyrocketing costs...

Join us on Feb 19 for @Bloomberg webinar on the future of Europe. I’ll dig into what Europe’s defense spending reset really means, where investments are most needed, and whether new commitments will translate into credible combat power. Register here: https://t.co/3WMAfVVGVC...
Evidence of India's precision strikes on/near Kirana Hills, reported to be one of the core Pakistan nuclear program sites, was a direct strategic message to Pakistan during Operation Sindoor that India could hit what it wanted, when it wanted. Escalation...
Ah, then 20 tons fully coupled, no more than 400-800 tons fully decoupled. A one-station means its very hard to know the location with confidence.
At the beginning of February, I interviewed Lieutenant Colonel Yevhen Bespalov, the commander of Ukraine's 38th Marine Brigade with @francisjfarrell and @KI_Insight. (00:20) What is the current situation in Myrnohrad? (03:24) Has the brigade been fighting from an encirclement and how do...
Good read and research on malicious SVG file analysis and how it's weaponized by Adam Paulina @Binary_Defense https://t.co/65gf6f2XNn #BinaryDefense
A magnitude of Mb=2.7 corresponds to about 18 tons of yield at China's Lop Nor test site. If the explosion was fully decoupled that would correspond to about 400-700 tons of TNT. Again, these are very small events, relatively...
Both Phantom and I went on @MorningsMaria to discuss @foundation_robo and our collaboration with DoW and Ukraine and why I think deploying humanoids in the military is the best way to ensure lasting peace in our lifetime https://t.co/TuHl4XfYqo
While Hamas delays disarmament, peace board meets this week, the @IDF continue the demilitarization of the Gaza Strip.. tunnel by tunnel. All the tunnels must be destroyed IMO.

RAF Chief of the Air Staffs message - "make AIR more AIR - (Agile, Integrated, Ready to fly and fight) #avgeek https://t.co/YlMWPJbocW
NEW: Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has forced the ouster of a senior military adviser to Army Secretary Dan Driscoll, defense officials said, marking the Pentagon’s chief’s latest intervention into the service’s internal affairs amid long-simmering tension between two of the...

We did the math on the US naval buildup in the Caribbean. The total: $2.9B. At its height, costs topped $20M a day. Much was already funded, but combat operations cost extra -- and opportunity costs are difficult to quantify....
SMEs Wrong to Assume They Won’t Be Hit by Cyber-Attacks: NCSC Boss War - Infosecurity Magazine https://t.co/DjHx7581nV

EU countries’ resistance risks blunting latest Russia sanctions package https://t.co/ck1N8lGobr via @AlbertoNardelli @AfPalasciano @donatopmancini https://t.co/6LWNSkOoNN

Looks to me like there might be towed array deployment tubes on the end of those upper x-planes (see the LA-class diagram on the right for an example). If that is what they are, would indicate plans to conduct dual-towed-array acoustic...
Iran launched naval drills in the Strait of Hormuz “Maximum pressure” cuts both ways. Iran wants nuclear-only talk, while the US wants missiles and proxies too The “deal space” is small and the risk premium stays high. https://t.co/Gs9viHRneW #oil #Brent #Hormuz #Iran #geopolitics #energysecurity #OPEC...
I’ll save you five minutes of your time today so you don’t have to read the news about yet another round of “negotiations” in Geneva: Ukraine is still willing to agree to absolutely any ceasefires, compromises, a halt to the war,...
Reässessing the “West” from John Winthrop to Marco Rubio: **From Plato to NATO to MAGA: Marco Rubio’s Myths & the Real "Western Alliance”** 2026-02-16 Mo
Great analysis by @brett_mcgurk U.S. military forces continue to conduct build up and readiness to provide the President with the most options, Islamic Regime in Iran not taking the military threat seriously, and Iran's missile program should definitely be included...
Iran Risk Is Not Priced In Iran escalation does not look easily winnable for Trump. It looks like a bluff inside a trap, which sets up as a dangerous game of “concession or consequence”. https://t.co/XXKbHZrXhQ
Ukraine's New Weapon: Dropping Swedish 155mm Smart Shells from Drones https://t.co/T0uD6pHKW8 There has been a technical and tactical shift in the Ukrainian conflict, where heavy-lift unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) have been adapted to deliver 155mm ordnance, including the sophisticated Swedish-designed 155...
"America is dangerously unprepared for a GPS attack," Adm. Michael Rogers, U.S. Navy (ret.), former commander of the U.S. Cyber Command and director of the National Security Agency. https://t.co/hYWXOZoxEZ
F-16s Find Balloons, Not UFOs, After Sunday Scramble: NORAD Alert F-16s out of California scrambled to hunt down mysterious targets over Nevada and California twice on Sunday. Story: https://t.co/oQhqC5oK7H

Updated maps from @Deepstate_UA from the past two days showing Russia advances in Pokrovsk, Myrnohrad, and Rodynske. They say the battle of Myrnohrad is coming to an end and Russian UAV positions are being detected in the northern part of...
New GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator Parts Reverse Engineered From ATACMS Ballistic Missile Tech Replacing GBU-57s dropped on Iran highlights issues that come from being locked into a single contractor, a which the Pentagon is trying to change. Story: https://t.co/P7JyrN8lCZ

I wonder if this event is the alleged China nuclear test: 22 June 2020/0 depth/41.27, 90.75/~150 km from the test site, just outside error ellipse. The P/S amplitude ratio might show if it was an explosion--need a real seismologist for...
The consensus that “friendly” proliferation is also bad is collapsing in the US, which is why we see efforts to shore it up, eg recent remarks by @USWPColby or the @NTI_WMD-@BelferCenter-@CarnegieEndow commission.

AT @MunichSecConf, French minister says @defis_eu 2028-34 space budget to be ~ EUR 40B, less than Commission's 50B target; German minister says space and defense ministries now trade personnel as the missions are inseparable. @DLR_SpaceAgency @CNES.https://t.co/BjLtUUtIdc https://t.co/fQXynwvDtW
Happy to share the latest. My views on the current battlefield dynamics and where the war stands in 2026. https://t.co/Wkrnmn3nE1
„Although Ukraine faces challenges, time is less and less on Russia’s side, however much Moscow portrays the situation otherwise. Moscow cannot wish away the fundamental mismatch between the military means it has available and the political aims it seeks to...
The @USArmy started a nuclear aviation program in 1946 and in the 1950s test flights were conducted with active nuclear reactors on board. https://t.co/Sxm4F60zEL

Great weekend at @MunSecConf. The world is in transition, and it’s clear Space is incredibly relevant. I met with leaders incl @NATO_SACT and @DavidMcGuinty, and was inspired by remarks from @ZelenskyyUa, @vonderleyen, @Keir_Starmer and others on the critical need for...
This Is A Nuclear Reactor Packed Into A C-17 Globemaster III Micro nuclear reactors are being seen as a way to get critical bases off the grid, but they could also have a major impact on civilian energy production. Story: https://t.co/KrommLR43d
Regarding this, there was a couple questions on does the pacemaker continue to advertise - most BLE implantable devices go into a sleep type mode. In this case, we are lucky - it does not. We know based on law enforcement...
A $12B rare earth stockpile is a step in the right direction, but buying from China on the open market isn’t independence; it’s a piggy bank with a very fragile supply chain. Until we build domestic processing, this is a...

“Western officials believe that it’s probable that Russia can sustain its combat operations in Ukraine throughout 2026 as a result of its recruitment campaigns, industrial production and support from other nations like China.” https://t.co/bEORSYEWB0 https://t.co/ZjQFz8rmm1
New Nukesletter out this Valentine's Day: on the cheery topic of compute discontinuities that might emerge from intense great power war (including nuclear war). https://t.co/0NS7f79VRz

Cognitive warfare isn’t coming—it’s here. Some Western political leaders are being used to weaken alliances, disrupt decision-making, and fragment institutions. Swipe to see the key predictions, and visit davidmurrin.co.uk for the full analysis. #Geopolitics #NationalSecurity #Russia #China #Strategy
Iran Turns to Digital Surveillance Tools to Track Down Protesters @nytimes https://t.co/7JUt5gcTW3 Iran's government most likely tracked the protesters through location data emitting from their phones, researchers later concluded. The move was part of a new phase by the authorities to...
Video from SBU Alpha showing UAV strikes on Russian Pantsir-S1 air defense systems from 2025. https://t.co/JJ7SBvXmqz https://t.co/ml6Dr2qQlQ

“Anthropic’s artificial-intelligence tool Claude was used in the U.S. military’s operation to capture former Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, highlighting how AI models are gaining traction in the Pentagon, according to people familiar with the matter… The deployment of Claude occurred through...