
Armenia’s landlocked position between Turkey, Russia, Azerbaijan and Iran has left Yerevan with few good options in the post-Soviet world. Full Newsletter: https://t.co/ZWXi1Pbh4h #armenia #geopolitics https://t.co/un8RUyVDaW

Updated map showing Russian advances east of Slovyansk and across the border in Sumy oblast. https://t.co/Ch02MuW5N8 https://t.co/ybsgxbdlor
Video from Ukraine's 67th Mechanized Brigade of an FPV strike on Russian Molniya positions. https://t.co/9Z0n5nY9vZ https://t.co/E1b1o5nmTK
India’s aviation expansion is often defined by large narrowbody aircraft orders. But Embraer is strengthening its India strategy in a different segment: the 80–146 seat regional jet market while advancing defence modernisation and aerospace manufacturing localisation. The push aligns with the Government’s...
Rolls-Royce urges UK government to commit to subsidies for £3bn engine project via @FT https://t.co/LKMrDQaW6X
Poland withdraws from treaty banning antipersonnel mines and will use them to defend against Russia. https://t.co/VXYLJYY8jk
Quietly, the Trump administration is now ending even the life-saving aid that they had promised would be preserved https://t.co/MpDwqQUjQ7
Even mentioning the bad idea/bad deal JCPOA is telling of the Iranian seriousness to negotiate. Zero enrichment and zero program.

I am excited about the release of my @WarInstitute Urban Warfare project podcast tomorrow morning. I interview, General (ret) David Perkins about the 2003 Battle of Baghdad and two thunder runs. Packed full of detail and lessons of urban warfare....

One thing thing about DARK EAGLE is that each launcher has a name -- Hyperion, Iron Giant, Shockwave, etc. -- but censors sometimes blur them. I like to imagine its not OPSEC at all, but just adult supervision, ie the...
WH using the NYT to signal and pressure Iran: Trump Considers Targeted Strike Against Iran, Followed by Larger Attack https://t.co/GFK406ILJe

From Ukrainian serviceman Kostiantyn Honcharov: "The Ukrainian army has been dogged by problems that have accumulated over the years, and this is aside from discussions over the technological transformation of modern warfare. These persistent problems are beginning to break front-line fighters faster...
The criticism of Witkoff is unfair. He arguing, admittedly not all that adroitly, that enrichment levels of 60% exceed what's necessary for most civilian purposes and could be quickly ("probably a week") enriched further to produce "bomb-grade material." https://t.co/Zw26IV2hBJ
This discussion highlights the challenge of mapping the frontline right now. Presence doesn’t confer control. Positions are interspersed. The front is porous. Infiltration creates grey zones. Counter attacks often retake grey areas that the opponent didn’t control.

This photo was post by Alabama Shipyard on Jan 23, 2026. That’s Mercy on the right and Comfort on the left. They are currently in maintenance and not deployed or underway — Mercy in drydock and Comfort alongside the pier,...
NEW: Iran agreed a secret €500mn arms deal with Russia in December to acquire 500 man-portable “Verba” launch units and 2,500 “9M336” missiles over 3 years. It’s Iran’s most significant effort to rebuild air defences after last year’s war with Israel....
Exactly the right position. Zero enrichment. Zero nuclear program. Only an intrusive inspection and dismantling of the entire program ensures compliance and keeping the program destroyed.
The commander of Ukraine's 1st Assault Regiment characterizes Ukraine's offensive operation in the Huliaipole area as improving the tactical situation and designed to exhaust Russian resources. He says it isn't a counteroffensive with penetration at operational depths.

Yes Europe has supply chain leverage over US; but US has escalation dominance over Europe on security policy. 👉 Security leverage trumps economic leverage https://t.co/OaW6h9iYDf https://t.co/yclXueiGNc

🔴 IRAN WAR RISK IS ESCALATING FAST Military buildup. Failing diplomacy. Rising oil volatility. Subscribers have been tracking the escalation path and the market consequences before the headlines. Know what comes next. ⚠️Subscribe now on website⚠️ #Iran #Geopolitics #WarRisk #Oil #GlobalRisk
The timeline predictions for a major air campaign from major outlets have not matched the reality of the plus up. Nor did the original strikes “that were cancelled”claim. Unnamed sources vs actually understanding the realities of the force posture and...
War with Iran & energy dominance are unrelated IMO @AsimRiaz1978 Trump knows an Iran strike risks an oil spike & voter blowback at the pump. That's why I think the buildup & a strike are coercive leverage, not a plan...
Ukraine's Drone Bombers - The Feared "Baba Yaga" https://t.co/BW3oTdMqsy Reportedly, a trophy "Baba Yaga" drone can be purchased at the market in occupied Donetsk for approximately 600,000 rubles ($7,860 USD). Some drones are cheaper. Sellers are reportedly willing to arrange a "test drive"...

Japan’s deep-sea rare earth find at Minamitorishima sounds like a game-changer. And on paper, it is. The 50-50 mix of light and heavy rare earths is impressive, especially since heavy elements are the truly scarce ones. The bad news is it’s...
New tariffs levied - twice in less than 24 hours. Now Section 122 used to levy 15% across the board instead of 10%. That gets the effective tariff rate closer to what it was before the ruling by the Supreme...
Politics aside, Venezuela has been an enormous geopolitical victory for the US that is probably understated and not well understood by most.
The Ford Carrier Strike Group is now in the Med. What does that signal about US strike options on Iran and why might Trump's preference for limited strikes not go according to plan? I discussed the escalation risks with @JMathieuReports...
“To set the conditions for regime change…” General (ret) Keane No ground operation but extensive air campaign for offense and defense goals
An FAA report predicts someone will die roughly every 2 years due to incoming space debris. This research could save lives by forecasting danger zones.
AI Polymorphic Threats Are Forcing A Rethink Of Cybersecurity by @ChuckDBrooks https://t.co/bLFH7errME #cybersecurity #ai #tech @Forbes
"U.S. Intelligence Says at Least 15,000 at Large After ISIS Detention Camp Collapses in Syria" @WSJ https://t.co/a96xFMH9Yd U.S. intelligence agencies have concluded that 15,000 to 20,000 people, including Islamic State affiliates are now at large in Syria, after an exodus from...

As Russia and Japan arm wrestle over the Kuril Islands, Russia’s economy outpaces Japan. https://t.co/Y7wv29WjpH
NEW with @JStein_WaPo: Trump administration officials are struggling to determine how to increase defense spending $500 billion in their forthcoming budget, after Pete Hegseth secured the increase despite internal criticism from Russ Vought and other officials.
Weather still has a very significant effect. Ukrainian fighter aircraft , helicopters, and UAV interceptors were all less effective countering Shaheds over the winter because of the weather. The fiber optic cables on FPVs often fail because of the cold....

According to Serhii Flash, Russia has installed mesh modems on Molniya similar to the ones used on Geran and Gerbera. https://t.co/0MrbFEDbvA https://t.co/NYuN8bvpH6
I think this is an additional argument for purchasing Ukrainian FPVs and other UAVs. Ukrainian companies update their UAVs regularly to meet the changing requirements on the battlefield and Russian adaptations. Makes sense for NATO members to benefit from these...
How many more years is this idiocy going to continue? Two collaborationist regimes in the center of Europe, during the largest continental war since WWII, are openly undermining the entire 500-million EU and the defense of the free world, all while...
Myanmar last night... MNA ATR-72-600 got hit by FPV suicide drone(s) at Myitkyina Airport while boarding for Mandalay. Minor shrapnel damage reported, but crucially no passengers or crew hurt. KIA/PDF coalition named by authorities.
US Sanctions Sudanese Paramilitary Commanders For Atrocities In El-Fasher...The conflict has provoked the world’s worst ongoing humanitarian crisis with over 150,000 having been killed and more than 14 million displaced. https://t.co/b2rLtUN2Ob
Facts. They also flyer drones with speaker, track civilians by cell phone, satellite imagery, drones in real time on their digital systems and restrict operations, use advance call out tactics, and much more.
F-16s Heading To Middle East Equipped With Angry Kitten Electronic Warfare Pods The Angry Kitten pods will give the fourth-generation fighters often tasked with the Wild Weasel missions much-needed extra protection. https://t.co/MR26YH0w6Z
Supercarrier USS Gerald R. Ford Has Crossed Into The Mediterranean The carrier's rush to the Middle East comes as the military build-up in the region appears to be approaching its crescendo. Latest: https://t.co/ZPLyQ1iOa3
I asked @derspiegel to share this important interview with Robert Kagan in English. Rafaela von Bredow made it happen. This is how American media should be talking: "We Are Watching a Country Fall Under Dictatorship Almost Without Resistance" https://t.co/Ctij7ummvc
My take on the closure of the Strait of Hormuz: “The Iranians recently shot a warning shot across the bow. They indicated that they can shut the straits down and cut the world off from 20% of its supply.” https://t.co/sbb1tuQO4T
Love @brett_mcgurk dropping Clausewitz on @CNN “No one starts a war—or rather, no one in his senses ought to do so—without first being clear in his mind what he intends to achieve by that war." I agree with Brett's analysis....

Small UAV - with big capabilities - how @Tekever is taking modular #drones to the next level with its AR3 EVO #avgeek #defence https://t.co/9hbPLZEY4l https://t.co/Or8fywIuXn
Every designated tactical jet parking space visible from satellite is taken at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan. Base is packed and this doesn't include all the shades and shelters we can't see under.

This, by the way, is why I am skeptical that Ukrainian nuclear weapons would have deterred Putin. He thought Ukraine would collapse, not resist. Deterrence usually works, but it is not foolproof and it does not replace a credible conventional...
There is another interesting consequence of the loss of Starlink. Russian tanks and armored vehicles are often equipped with Starlink and cameras that stream video back to command posts. Because it is usually the first assault for these drivers, they...
New from @BreakingDefense by @michaeldmarrow & @ValerieInsinna: The El Paso shootdown highlights the hard work ahead to safely implement new counter-drone authorities for DoD, DHS, & local agencies. https://t.co/d1WSmDnBAi