NGP's Analysis and Design Assets May Be Monetized First
This. Plus they also have an asset in all of the NGP project analysis, engineering, and design. They might well choose to monetize that asset rather than (or prior to) building the pipeline.
Rising Crude-on-Water Could Prevent Oil Price Collapse
Roses are red, violets are blue. You can avoid a price collapse despite an oil glut if crude on water's rising, too. 💘 Happy Valentine's Day, oil watchers.
Tesla Robotaxi Likely by 2026, Timeline Remains Uncertain
Tesla will get to a working robotaxi eventually, but it's difficult to say when. My 50th percentile is end of 2026, but the variance is high. It could be in a few months. It could be a few years. We'd...
US Ramps up Pressure, Threatens Chinese Oil Imports
Maximum Pressure 2: More max, more pressure, another round of threatening Chinese sanctioned oil imports. https://t.co/UNNBJOFLTx
Wind and Solar Never Reach Cost Break‑even, Says Chart
Your reply is incoherent @RogerESowell TRUE. This chart shows that wind and solar never break even. Show data to support a contrary view or STFU. https://t.co/7Yn3h6sVvg
Brent Dips 30 Cents; 12‑month Spread Signals Flat Outlook
Brent futures price fell $0.30 from $68.05 to $67.75 week ending February 13 12-month spread suggests sideways price movement on Monday #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/hYd0O6d84E
Globally, Half Solar Comes From Rooftops; US Lags
Lots of conservation organizations want the US to balance rooftop with large scale. Most other countries in the world are closer to 50% rooftop/parking lot solar.
WTI Spreads Tighten as Front-Month Price Slips
Show me the glut WTI 12-month spread narrowed $0.06 (2%) for the week ending February 13 6-month spread narrowed $0.11 (9%) Front-month price fell $0.66 (1%) from $63.55 to $62.89 #energy #OOTT #oilandgas #WTI #CrudeOil #fintwit #OPEC #Commodities #commoditiesmarket https://t.co/1VHaA5PFZN
Shell Forecasts Global GDP to Double by 2050
Shell base case assumes sustained 3.3% global growth GDP nearly doubles by 2050 #GlobalGDP #EconomicGrowth #EnergyScenarios #Shell #Macroeconomics #GrowthAssumptions #LongTermForecasts https://t.co/meXF1PuaVe
Europe Must Ditch Fossil Fuels to Protect Its Industry
"Reducing reliance on fossil fuels looks like Europe’s best shot at saving its domestic manufacturing and stopping other governments from pushing it around." Outstanding article in The Wall Street Journal. https://t.co/XbYr95c2nK https://t.co/rUtmRPTUST
Solar Power Needs Fossil‑fuel Tech, Remains Uneconomic
The sun’s radiation that reaches earth is useless as an energy source without technology to convert it to work @Tinyweenybear The technology requires materials to work that all need fossil fuels. Grid scale solar is uneconomic & not fit for 24/7...
Strengthening Critical Mineral Supply Chains Amid Geopolitical Fragmentation
Thanks @bmwfoundation for partnering w @ColumbiaUEnergy on such a substantive & productive session @MunSecConf on how to enhance critical mineral & energy supply chain security amid fragmenting geopolitics. Great insights from DOE’s @AlexFitzDC, @dan_brouillette & so many others. https://t.co/D1xRKHu7gO
Electricity to Dominate Energy, Shell Downplays Obstacles
Electricity Exceeds 50% of Final Energy Use by Mid-Century Shell is good about listing the obstacles to its preposterous assumptions And then finding reasons to ignore them @zeroinputag #Electricity #EnergyTransition #EnergySystems #GridConstraints #EnergyReality #MidCentury #Decarbonization
Canada’s $16.5B Carbon Capture Bet Faces Market Skepticism
Canada calls it “future-proofing.” Markets may call it wishful thinking. $16.5B on carbon capture with long timelines, big execution risk, and shifting global politics Take that bet to a Las Vegas oddsmaker. https://t.co/hU4uGD0r4d #CarbonCapture #EnergyPolicy #Canada #OilSands #EnergySecurity #StrandedAssets #CapitalRisk
Enbridge Skips New Pipeline, Heeds Past Capital Losses
Enbridge won’t risk billions on a new Canadian oil pipeline Politics can change faster than steel gets laid. Capital remembers Northern Gateway The project was killed after hundreds of millions were sunk. https://t.co/Fd4PKMdjB5 #EnergyInfrastructure #Canada #Pipelines #RegulatoryRisk #EnergySecurity #CapitalDiscipline
Saudi Arabia’s Oil Demand Plummets as Gas Powers Electricity
CHART OF THE DAY: Among the world's top oil consumers, a curious trend. The 2nd largest consumption drop last year ocurred in Saudi Arabia, where demand fell ~60,000 b/d (only South Korea saw a larger drop). The reason? Gas is...
Pemex's Bond Return Shows State Risk, Not Confidence
Pemex is back in the bond market after six years — and demand was strong. This doesn't signal confidence in Pemex. Buyers are really underwriting the Mexican state. https://t.co/YRGXmzi4aW #Pemex #Mexico #OilMarkets #EnergySecurity #SovereignRisk #DebtMarkets #EmergingMarkets
China's Cheap Middle East Oil Squeezes West African Sellers
China is pulling more cheap oil from the Middle East. That leaves W. African oil struggling to find buyers until it gets cheap enough to move again, writes @JuneGoh_Sparta In this tight market, the Middle East has the upper hand. Sorry oil...
Shell’s Electric Utopia Meets Skeptical Reality
Shell imagines a future in which electricity is the dominant component of global energy. I assume that it is training elephants to fly. https://t.co/rAoZ1exs8H #EnergySecurity #Electrification #SystemicRisk #Geopolitics #EnergyReality #Infrastructure #CapitalConstraints #EnergyTransition #CriticalMaterials #GridLimits
OPEC+ Plans April Production Hikes Amid Sanctions
OPEC+ may restart April hikes to catch peak summer and regain share as sanctions bite Russia/Iran. https://t.co/cILwlUi7h2 #OPECplus #Oil #IEA #SaudiArabia #UAE #Iran #Russia
China and US Slowdown Drag Global EV Sales
Global EV sales hampered by China, US slowdown in January "Global EV registrations, a proxy for sales, fell by 3% year-on-year to almost 1.2 million units in January, according to the data, which includes battery-electric and plug-in hybrid cars. They were down...
Enbridge Rejects West Coast Bitumen Pipeline Over Jurisdiction Risks
Enbridge a no on appetite to build proposed bitumen pipeline to Canada’s west coast “I don’t think investors or the infrastructure companies should be taking on the risk of development in jurisdictions that have historically created a challenge” Still some N Gateway...
No Bullish Catalyst for Oil in 2026, Repeat Likely
🚦From a pure fundamentals perspective, there's simply no bullish driver in sight capable of pushing oil prices into the high $70s—or higher—in 2026. ⚽️Betting your capital on a major war with Iran or any similar geopolitical shock to spike prices isn't...
Evolving Energy Security Toolkit Amid Fragmented Order, EU‑US Distrust
Energy security is high on the @MunSecConf agenda. I’ve been discussing how the toolkit to deliver it must evolve—amid a fragmenting global order, the need to accelerate the clean transition, and a far deeper level of European distrust toward the...
Fast Grid Capacity Gains Through Distributed Battery Flexibility
The real question isn’t, “How do we build more power plants?” It’s “How do we add power system capacity — fast?” That’s a fundamentally different problem. And it leads to a different answer: load flexibility — especially distributed batteries — aggregated into...
Kuwait Lags UAE in Oil Capacity, Faces $90.5 Break‑Even
Kuwait's production capacity was ahead of the UAE's in 2010. Now it is 3.2 Mbpd versus 4.85 Mbpd Budget break-even is $90.5 per bbl and oil is 83% of the budget https://t.co/1si82Sc7pF
US Emissions Rise While China Leads Renewable Expansion
“But what about China?” is a common excuse people use to reject climate action. Here’s what's actually happening: * As the U.S. expands fossil fuels and blocks new wind & solar, its emissions are edging up. Meanwhile, China’s emissions seem to have...
Crude Swings on Hormuz Alert, US‑Iran Talks, Venezuela Relief
🛢️ OIL CONTEXT WEEKLY 🛢️ 📈📉Crude prices rise on Hormuz advisory before falling back on the prospect of longer US-Iran talks, with headlines dotted with a flurry of US sanctions relief on Venezuela’s oil sector. Summary below, link to full report in...
Off‑grid Data Center Mandates Will Backfire on Ratepayers
“The intent is to protect ratepayers. But the second-order consequences of forcing data centers off-grid are far worse than the problem the bill is trying to solve. Off-grid mandates will hurt everyday ratepayers, constrain American infrastructure buildout, and drive up the...
Key Differences Between OFAC's New GL
This is actually the best way to describe the difference between GL 49 and GL 50 (the two Venezuela-related General Licenses issued by OFAC today)
Professional Energy Bet After Yesterday’s Red Close
If you were buying more Energy Exposure via $XOP $OIH into a red close 24 hours ago, professionally done
Notable Absentees Among Firms Granted Venezuelan Upstream Access
Can't help but notice who ISN'T on this list of companies who just gained access to invest and operate in Venezuelan upstream. https://t.co/qrLcy4bd48
Green Capital Hires Trump‑linked Lobbyist Amid Frozen EPA Grants
👀The Coalition for Green Capital (CGC) retained Checkmate Government Relations to lobby. Checkmate has deep ties to the Trump admin. CGC is among the groups that had billions of $ in Biden-era EPA grants frozen. The filing, to be clear,...
Argus Targets Venezuelan Crude for U.S. Gulf Delivery
This is an interesting oil market transparency development. Argus "will assess three grades of Venezuelan crude oil, Merey, Hamaca and Boscan, for delivery to the U.S. Gulf coast, which Argus said is now the most likely destination for Venezuelan cargoes" https://t.co/RaKzvH53Rp
California Grid Demand Falls as Rooftop Solar Offsets EVs
California grid electricity demand continues to decline despite 2.5 million EVs and lots of data centers in the state 2026 Demand on CAISO grid down 1.84% v '25; 1.22% v '24; and 2.27% v '23 Due to growth in behind-the-meter roof PV,...
EPA Retracts 2009 Vehicle Endangerment Finding, Admits Standards Fall Short
Here's EPA's undoing of its 2009 Endangerment Finding wrt to vehicles. EPA's finding is based on a new reading of the Clean Air Act. EPA also finds that its vehicle emission standards do not and could not mitigate the climate risks...
Brent Option Skew Halves, Signaling Lower Iran Risk
Brent crude option skew—which many have been treating as a proxy of oil market Iran risk perception (see comp to June 2025)—continues to deflate. Down more than half from a week ago, with prices down ~$3/bbl from Wednesday high. Gives a sense...
Ohio Bill Threatens to Ban Solar and Wind Projects
Ohio lawmakers consider bill that would essentially ban solar and wind projects https://t.co/JJNzVHnE3G via @MotherJones
Singapore Light Distillate Stocks Surge to Record Levels
Singaporean light distillate (eg gasoline/naphtha) inventories are *very* high right now. (seasonal chart, million barrels) https://t.co/ZgYbX7ZU9F
Data Centers Power $12B Transmission Expansion Plan
Total cost for this transmission expansion plan is $12 billion. PJM provides 4 factors driving needs. I read 3 as "data centers." Here's PJM's precise wording --
Five Tech Giants' 2026 Capex Beats Global Oil‑Gas Average
Something scary for Friday the 13th. The planned 2026 CAPEX budgets for just 5 big tech firms in 2026 is larger than the average GLOBAL oil & gas capex between 2022-2025. 🤯🤯🤯🤯 https://t.co/WfwKC00YCY
FERC May Issue Interconnection Rule Soon, Not Thursday
FERC could meet the Department of Energy's demand to issue a proposed rule about interconnecting industrial computing facilities any day. But that day will not be next Thursday at FERC's televised meeting.
CDR Leaders Urge Proof Over Promised Speed and Scale
This week on @CleaningUpPod I sat down with @RobertHoglund, a towering figure on the thinking/doing front lines of Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR). He says the sector needs to stop promising "speed and scale" and focus instead on "proving and learning". https://t.co/okASRdLrAK
IEA and Egypt Discuss Strengthening Energy Collaboration
Excellent meeting with Ambassador Dahroug of Egypt at IEA HQ in Paris to discuss global energy markets and the strong @IEA-🇪🇬 relationship We spoke about the ways in which the IEA can further support Egypt, a valued member of the IEA...
Political Gridlock Stalls $22B US EV Investment
"Last year companies canceled $22 billion in planned investments in electric vehicle manufacturing, batteries or critical minerals in the United States...." Political sustainability limits industrial policy efficacy. https://t.co/RROrBFwACq
UK Cuts Lynemouth Biomass Subsidies, Mandates Full Sustainability
Interesting – UK govt has signed a new 4yr deal with 420MW Lynemouth biomass plant, capping subsidies at ~1/2 current levels Similar to Drax deal, requires 100% "sustainable" feedstock & pushes Lynemouth towards peaking power https://t.co/l3ItPOgPpk 1/2 https://t.co/JbqhYPZq0p
OPEC+ Faces March 1 Decision on Production Hikes
OIL MARKET: The core group of OPEC+ countries need to decide on March 1 whether to re-start production increases after the Jan-Mar pause. Some members in the group see scope for resuming the monthly hikes, although conversations haven't started yet....
Energy Power Plays Trump, Russia, China Militarize Oil
Trump talks "deals" with Iran while Russia & China talk about naval escorts of Iranian oil to Cuba, writes @TheMichaelEvery The US repeals carbon regs & hopes to restart Venezuelan oil output soon. Energy is being militarized Markets, sanctions & climate...
EU's Unanimity Stalls Energy Policy, Ignoring Reality
Brussels is fixing process while ignoring physics. The EU 28th corporate regime finally admits that unanimity is incompatible with speed But until green plans are scaled back & some return to Russian oil & gas supply is discussed— everything else is...
US Gasoline Inventories Hit Near-Record, Squeezing Margins
U.S. GASOLINE STOCKS are well above normal for the time of year, weighing on refining margins. Inventories totalled 259 million barrels on February 6, the second highest on record for the time of year, exceeded only before the pandemic in...