Tesla (TSLA) Down 20% in 2026 — JPMorgan Sees Another 60% Downside
Tesla shares have fallen about 20% year‑to‑date in 2026, and JPMorgan’s Ryan Brinkman maintains an Underweight stance with a $145 price target, implying roughly 60% further downside. The company reported 358,023 Q1 deliveries versus 408,386 vehicles produced, creating the largest quarterly inventory buildup in its history. JPMorgan trimmed its Q1 EPS estimate to $0.30 and the full‑year 2026 EPS outlook to $1.80, both below consensus forecasts. The bearish outlook is driven by the expiration of the $7,500 U.S. EV tax credit, mounting Chinese competition, and lingering brand damage from Elon Musk’s political activities.
Low Fees Drive Better Returns: Why I Choose Vanguard
Many people ask why I love Vanguard funds: It's because they are cheap. Vanguard reduced expense ratios more than 2,000 times for their funds. Terrible charts, outdated app, but I don't care about that. I care about performance (low fees = better returns)
Franklin Templeton: No Evidence of Weakening Fundamentals in Cat Bonds, Stays Overweight
Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions kept its overweight stance on catastrophe bonds, noting that despite compressed yields and spreads, the asset class remains fundamentally sound. Q1 2026 saw a record $6.7 bn of cat‑bond issuance across 35 transactions, with new and repeat sponsors...
Why We Invested in Rocketlane
Insight Partners announced a new investment in Rocketlane, a professional‑services automation platform built to address the exploding demand for AI implementation delivery. The company combines project templates, a shared client portal, and an AI engine called Nitro that automates configuration,...
Iran Tries to Impose Toll on Hormuz Shipping
🚨Iran demands fees for ships passing Hormuz during ceasefire🚨 This 'agreement' will confirm Iranian control of the Strait of Hormuz 1️⃣Iran has ZERO authority to monitor what sails into or out of the Persian Gulf 2️⃣The requirement to sail through Iranian waters...
Nick Candy Sells Chelsea Mansion for $350 Million, Setting Global Record
British property developer Nick Candy has sold his historic Chelsea estate for $350 million (£270 million), the highest price ever recorded for a single‑family home. The off‑market transaction highlights persistent appetite for ultra‑luxury assets despite a high‑interest‑rate environment.
Blackstone Caps Record $10 Billion Opportunistic Credit Fund, Boosting Real‑Estate Credit Supply
Blackstone announced the closing of its fifth flagship opportunistic credit vehicle at a $10 billion hard cap, $1.25 billion larger than its predecessor. The oversubscribed fund, Blackstone Capital Opportunities Fund V, signals robust institutional appetite for private credit amid a tightening bank‑lending...
Study Finds Early Retirement and Care Costs Slash Safe Withdrawal Rates
Morningstar’s latest research reveals that unanticipated early retirement and uninsured long‑term care expenses can dramatically reduce safe withdrawal rates for retirees. Extending the drawdown period from 30 to 40 years drops the starting safe withdrawal rate from 3.9% to 3.2%,...
Asian Markets Jump, Oil Plunges on News of Iran-US Ceasefire
The United States and Iran agreed to a temporary cease‑fire, reopening the Strait of Hormuz, which triggered a sharp market reversal on Wednesday. Oil benchmarks tumbled about 15% to just under $100 a barrel, while Asian equities surged—Nikkei up 5.4%...
US Ceasefire May Boost LPG, LNG Supplies to India in Short Term
The United States announced a two‑week ceasefire with Iran, easing the immediate bottleneck in the Strait of Hormuz that has stranded dozens of LPG and LNG carriers. Analysts expect India’s LPG and LNG imports to restart within weeks, while crude...
MegazoneCloud Posts $1.16 Billion 2025 Revenue, Turns Profit After Years of Losses
MegazoneCloud announced $1.16 billion in 2025 revenue, a 27.9% year‑over‑year increase, and its first full‑year profitability with net profit of $5.4 million and adjusted EBITDA of $13.8 million. The Korean AI‑native cloud provider attributes the turnaround to rapid growth in AWS, Google Cloud,...
Bond Market and Mortgage Rates Enjoy Rare Rally
A good day for the #bond market and #mortgagerares for a change. #economics #housing #realestate
Vietnam’s To Lam Consolidates Power as President, Pushing $200 Bn Infrastructure Drive
Vietnam’s National Assembly unanimously elected Communist Party General Secretary To Lam as president, giving him the same authority once held by Xi Jinping in China. Lam will steer a $200 bn construction spree that includes a new stadium, high‑speed rail and an $8.1 bn...
Ciena Shares Surge 11% After Q1 Beat and Analyst Upgrades
Ciena Corp. posted Q1 FY2026 revenue of $1.43 billion, up 33% YoY, and non‑GAAP net income of $197 million, surpassing consensus estimates. The beat sparked a wave of bullish analyst upgrades, lifting price targets to $425 and pushing the shares more than...
IMF and World Bank Warn Middle East War to Spike Inflation and Slow 2026 Growth
The International Monetary Fund and the World Bank issued coordinated alerts that the war in the Middle East will tighten oil supplies, lift worldwide inflation and dampen global economic expansion in 2026, raising recession risks.
CII Proposes 20-Point Agenda to Support Indian Firms Amid Iran War Disruptions
India's Confederation of Indian Industry (CII) has presented a 20‑point policy agenda to the government and the Reserve Bank of India to mitigate the fallout from the Iran‑West Asia war. The plan calls for coordinated fiscal, financial and trade actions,...
NEWS: Trump Declares Victory in Iran Ceasefire But the Deal Reveals a Stunning Reality
After 39 days of conflict, a two‑week cease‑fire between the United States and Iran was announced, with President Trump touting a victory. The agreement, largely based on a 10‑point Iranian proposal, reopens the Strait of Hormuz, hints at lifting long‑standing...
James Klempster: Using 3D Vision to Manage Clients’ Portfolios Through the Fog of War
James Klempster, deputy head of multi‑asset at Liontrust, argues that the Middle‑East conflict exemplifies a broader 3D challenge—disruption, dislocation and decoupling—requiring a new portfolio lens. He proposes a 3D approach: diversified, disciplined and differentiated investing to navigate heightened geopolitical risk,...
Delaying Retirement Often Beats Planned Timing, Study Shows
Why Retirement Timing May Deserve A Larger Role In Retirement Risk Analysis 🔻🔻 A two-year shift can move retirees into a different return environment. This can be understood by separating retirement timing risk into two components: cohort risk and pure...
Beasley’s Delayed Q4, FY 2025 Results Reflect Sharp Downturn
Beasley Media Group, the publicly traded radio broadcaster, released its delayed Q4 and full‑year 2025 results, revealing a sharp revenue downturn. The company has already sold its Naples‑area stations and is negotiating a Transaction Support Agreement that offers an exchange...
Six-Day S&P 500 Rally Rare: Only 2018 Fell Red
If the S&P 500 finishes higher today, that'll be six in a row in the green. Going back 20 years, only one year that had one of those finished in the red and it was 2018. Down years like 2011, 2015, and...
Levi Strauss & Co. Reports 14% Revenue Growth in Q1
Levi Strauss & Co. posted a 14% year‑over‑year revenue increase for the quarter ending March 1, 2026, driven by robust demand for its premium denim and a surge in direct‑to‑consumer sales. The company reported higher average selling prices and improved gross margins,...
Mag 7 Pullback Mirrors DeepSeek, Could Reclaim Lead
I know everyone tossed out large cap tech for staples trading at 25x earlier this year, but it feels a lot like the DeepSeek moment from last year. Mag 7 with a picture perfect pullback to the early 2025 peak. So...
Oil Tumbles Below $100 After Trump Announces Two-Week Ceasefire
Oil fell below $100 a barrel after President Donald Trump announced a two‑week ceasefire with Iran, promising a safe reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. Brent settled at $91.80 and WTI at $92.62, while European diesel dropped 20.8 percent to $1,210.50...
What Ukraine’s Wartime Tech Ecosystem Can Teach the Rest of the World
Ukraine’s wartime experience has turned its defense sector into a rapid‑innovation laboratory. Since the February 2022 invasion, the country expanded from seven drone manufacturers to over 500 and built the Brave1 cluster, now linking more than 3,000 firms with frontline units....
Defiance Launches XAIL, the World’s First 2X Leverage Pure Space ETF
Defiance ETFs announced the launch of XAIL, the world’s first 2X leveraged pure‑space exchange‑traded fund. The ETF seeks to deliver twice the daily performance of an actively managed portfolio of companies that generate the majority of revenue from space‑related technologies....
Trump‑linked Events Drive Outsized S&P Gains
"What started as a tongue-in-cheek observation that “Trump always chickens out” has become a consistently profitable pattern. Over the 300-plus trading sessions since Trump took the oath of office last year, 9 of the S&P 500’s 10 biggest gains have...
Deep‑Sea Mining Royalties Offer Capital‑Free, Long‑Term Gains
As a seed investor back in late 2022 and in the pre-IPO round in 2025, the Koala is very excited for this day for The Metals Royalty Company $TMCR and the team led by Brian Paes-Braga @bpaesbraga If you haven't...
European Earnings Preview: Who Wins and Who Loses From the Iran War?
European Q1 earnings season 2026 arrives amid the Iran‑Israel war, surging energy prices and an expected ECB rate hike. STOXX 600 firms are projected to post 4% earnings growth, driven almost entirely by a 24.9% jump in energy‑sector profits; the rest...
TS Imagine Launches Integrated Lifecycle Management for Swaps
TS Imagine unveiled an integrated lifecycle management module that unifies swaps trading, risk, and P&L into a single real‑time platform. The new solution replaces end‑of‑day reconciliation with intraday visibility across swap positions and hedge books, and it is accessible through...
Iran, US Mull Hormuz Toll; Oman Warns Legal Fallout
Iran and the US are considering imposing tolls on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, challenging the UN Law of the Sea's free passage principle. Oman opposes the tolls, raising legal and economic concerns that could impact global maritime norms...
Oil Near Support Level; Buyers May Return Amid Ongoing Conflict
Oil is coming into a level of interest that has been support since the conflict began. $CL_F $USO It would not surprise me to see it find buyers in this area again as the conflict has not been solved just...
Maybe CTA Alpha Is Simpler Than You Think: Evidence From the ETF Space
Andrew Beer examines whether the simplicity of CTA ETFs translates into superior alpha. Using Morningstar data, he compares equally weighted composites of US mutual funds, UCITS funds and CTA ETFs against the SG CTA index, the benchmark of the twenty...
Seeking Fresh Fintwit Trade Analysis From Overworked Juniors
I would love to see an analysis of Fintwit trades over the past few weeks 🩸🩸 (So if you happen to have a junior analyst around with no life and excess capacity…)
AI Boom Persists; Top Growth Stocks Now Undervalued
The conflict in the Middle East has not derailed the AI revolution and other secular business trends. The leading businesses in these growth areas are now severely oversold and attractively valued.
Migsun Doubles Down on UP, Lines up ₹4,000 Crore Retail Bet on Full-Lease Model
Migsun Group is committing roughly $488 million to a retail expansion in Uttar Pradesh, concentrating on tier‑2 cities such as Lucknow, Agra and Kanpur. The developer has already spent about $244 million on seven mixed‑use projects and is shifting to a full‑lease model...
Premium Pre‑Market Outlook Highlights Game‑Changer, Cover, Rebuild Themes
(PREMIUM) The Lyons Share Daily Pre-Market Outlook & Charts videos for 4/8/2025 are up: https://t.co/54LnyEVP9m Themes: 1) Game CHANGER? 2) Take COVER 3) The REBUILD Among markets covered: $SPX $NDX $VIX $SMH $IDGT $XLE $GDX $EEM $ENOR $GLD $SLV $USO $BTC $TNX...
Broad Market Shifts Boost Bullish
significant changes in recent days across broad assets and most areas on my #doubledouble list, which refers to a #bullish #MACD position along with positive 13-day force... #INsyncFocus https://t.co/RnwRtuiMgP
Activist Investor Renews Its Criticism of Novavax
Hedge fund Shah Capital, which owns roughly a 9% stake in Novavax, has renewed its proxy campaign ahead of the company’s annual meeting. The fund will vote against the re‑election of the eight‑member board and against executive compensation, citing weak...
S&P 500 Nearing All‑Time High, Within 3% Opening Gap
The S&P 500 is set to open less than 3% from the late January all-time high.
China Boosts Gold Reserves, Heralding Deglobalization Shift
Nothing to see here. China adds to its gold reserves. The deglobalization toothpaste is already out of the tube — and the rush into neutral assets is only just beginning. https://t.co/oXGnVgwKfX https://t.co/VQE5YC3lrf
As War Premiums Hit Groceries, China Deals Give Africa Room to Breathe
The recent disruption of the Strait of Hormuz has pushed Brent crude above $100 per barrel, inflating diesel, fertilizer and food costs in vulnerable African economies. At the same time, China announced zero‑tariff access for imports from 53 African countries,...
Switching Focus From SNDK to MU for Comfort
Yes $SNDK was the better long but I felt more comfortable long $MU from yesterday. Trim and trail and we’ll see how much of the gap up holds. Nice call from @StocksOnSpaces @WOLF_Financial https://t.co/sGXKsBC0mk
Transports Retest 2024 Peak, Accelerating Higher
Transports are an important group. Perfect retest of the late 2024 peak and now accelerating higher. Standard bull market action. https://t.co/7SrdPoEPnC
Are Canadians Ready for Gas at $2 a Litre and Its Hit to Growth and Risk Assets?
Gasoline prices in Canada have surged above $2 CAD per litre (≈$1.48 USD), the highest level in four years, as global crude climbs to about $110.64 USD per barrel. The spike is eroding household disposable income, especially for debt‑laden Canadians, and pushing businesses...
Fed Shifts Focus: From Reserve Supply to Demand Liquidity
The Fed’s Overton window appears to be changing. Recent speeches suggest a shift in thinking from supply-driven ample reserves to demand-driven liquidity. Details in my latest newsletter: https://t.co/pPOkB73y6o @vtg2 @NickTimiraos @Isabel_Schnabel @conksresearch https://t.co/RyKoxuTxMA
Buffett's Rule: Skip Hype, Seek Fundamental Value
Billionaire investor Warren Buffett's strategy? Stay away from flashy stocks, and assess fundamentals to find undervalued ones. https://t.co/qsceHG36d7
Brazilian Real Surges Toward 2022 Fair Value
The Brazilian Real today is strengthening sharply against the Dollar. $/BRL has fallen below where it was on Feb. 27, i.e. before the war with Iran began. The Real will now start a big strengthening cycle. Back to $/BRL fair...
Recent Sell‑off Lacks Low Expansion, New Highs Persist
the reality is the recent stock market selling didn't look anything like it did a year ago in '25... we didn't see the lows expanstion and we kept seeing highs throughout... here on Russell 1000 $IWB we can see (bottom)...
ByteDance Valuation Tops $600B After Equity Sale Push
ByteDance valuation exceeds US$600 billion after proposed equity sale: sources The seller originally had the valuation at US$550 billion, but raised the amount after multiple parties expressed interest. https://t.co/pL87pI2YJV via @scmpnews