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ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel said the central bank’s policy stance remains appropriate despite a temporary inflation overshoot, provided expectations stay anchored. She highlighted that inflation is projected to meet the 2% target over the medium term, reinforcing a data‑dependent approach. Schnabel warned that the Iran war adds upside inflation risk, especially through energy price persistence. The comments signal a hawkish tone, suggesting the ECB may keep policy restrictive until durable price‑pressure declines are confirmed.
Senator Chris Van Hollen introduced a bill to eliminate federal income tax for individuals earning up to $46,000 and married couples earning up to $92,000, potentially covering nearly half of U.S. workers. The measure would raise the number of taxpayers...
The Global X Clean Water ETF (AQWA) experienced a sharp surge in trading activity on Friday, with 466,000 shares exchanged—roughly twelve times its three‑month average volume of 37,000. Despite the heightened interest, the ETF slipped 2.4% during the session. Component...
The Mortgage Industry Standards Maintenance Organization (MISMO) has elevated the data mapping for VA Form 26‑1820 and the HUD FHA Addendum to candidate recommendation status, making standardized XML datasets available for industry use. The VA mapping translates the loan disbursement report...
Wholesale prices surged in January, with the producer price index rising 0.5% month‑over‑month and core PPI up 0.8%, keeping inflation well above the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. The Fed left rates unchanged at 3.25%‑3.5%, but the data dampens expectations for...
In the 10 days after Russia invaded Ukraine in 2022, Brent rose 32%. We're now up 25% since the war with Iran began, which - to me - says there's more upside. Given all this, the Dollar is trading soft...
In a March 2026 speech, ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel argued that, despite calls for a dual mandate, single‑mandate and dual‑mandate central banks usually adopt similar policy actions because price stability constrains any employment‑focused easing. She highlighted that more...
Sometimes we make it harder than it has to be. $avgo had a good response to earnings yesterday. We discussed in 8:50 call u can buy vs gap pivot of $323. It only hit $327...
JUST IN: Brent crude oil price surges to $91, up 25% in the past 7 days.
Kevin Warsh, a former Fed governor and Donald Trump’s pick, has been nominated to chair the Federal Reserve. Warsh is known for advocating aggressive rate cuts and a loose monetary stance that many analysts deem risky in the current inflationary...
My partner @kieranwgoodwin has been so right about this space for over a year which has really sharpened my vision. Outflows beget outflows. Gating begets outflows. Selling some of the underlying portfolio to meet minimum redemptions creates losses and begets...
This week in value: Berkshire Hathaway 2025 Annual Report (BH) Tom Gayner – 2025 Letter (Markel) GMO – Year End Letters 2025 (GMO) Icahn Enterprises L.P. 2025 Q4 (Icahn) Berkshire Hathaway CEO Greg Abel on resuming buyback program: I absolutely talked to Warren (CNBC) Could Value...
Jefferies analysts argue that consumer companies embracing agentic AI will outpace rivals as algorithms prioritize product superiority, pricing and post‑purchase service. They highlight five stocks—Planet Fitness, Revolve Group, SharkNinja, YETI and Signet Jewelers—each with Jefferies price targets implying 60‑119% upside....
Washington is poised to enact a 9.9% income tax on earnings above $1 million, projected to generate about $4 billion annually. Governor Bob Ferguson announced he will sign the revised bill, which allocates 5% of proceeds to child‑care and early‑learning accounts and...
Existing home sales in 2024 averaged 4.1 million units, the weakest pace since the mid‑1990s and about a quarter below the 5.3 million average recorded in 2018‑2019. Analysts argue that mortgage rates must fall to roughly 5.5% to revive the market as...
The episode examines the immediate impact of the Middle East war and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz on global LPG markets, focusing on sharp price spikes in Asia's forward curve, especially the August Faris Index, which jumped 24%...
Brightline Trains Florida LLC saw S&P Global Ratings downgrade its $2.2 billion Opco debt and $1.19 billion East bonds to CCC‑minus, deepening its junk‑status. The downgrade follows a series of rating cuts by KBRA and Fitch, all warning of a possible default...
$ONDS - 65 million in volume and counting. Known for mission critical networks, a hot topic given heightened geopolitical tensions. Making more of a catalyst play. Underlying financials don't support strong fundamentals. Technicals show a major resistance in the red zone.
The Mumbai‑Ahmedabad high‑speed rail corridor’s budget has surged 83%, climbing to roughly Rs 2 trillion after land‑acquisition disputes inflated costs. Japan’s Official Development Assistance, which covered 81% of the original estimate, is unlikely to be extended, forcing India to tap its Consolidated...
Philippine manufacturing output grew 1.2% in January, a slowdown from the 2% rise in December and the 3.2% gain a year earlier. The deceleration was driven by declines in food products, non‑metallic mineral products and transport equipment. Capacity utilization edged...
ADNOC CEO Sultan Al Jaber met Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi in Tokyo as tensions in the Strait of Hormuz escalated, emphasizing energy security and confirming that the Ruwais LNG export facility remains on schedule. He reassured that construction has not...
Angola welcomed the recent surge in oil prices, with Brent climbing above $86 a barrel, far exceeding the $61 benchmark used in its 2026 budget. While the rally promises higher state revenues, the government warned that the boost could be...
In 2026, Citrini7's "GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS" report sent software stocks into a tailspin. But what if that was actually the bottom? https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/the-citrini-bottom-the-great-software $NFLX $SHOP $CRM $NOW $TEAM $SAP $NTDOY $ADBE $VEEV $FRSH $SE $TOST $CSU.TO
$BIDU pulled back to its 200 WMA and holding support Interesting to see ARK doing the smart thing here and adding on this support Golden Cross about to take place on the weekly chart too... Price is at $119 Mean Reversion Zone above...
Home sales peaked in 2005 Home Sales crashed from 2005 to 2008 Inventory spiked before the recession started 2005 2.5 million Inventory 2007 4,000,000 Inventory Currently at 1.22 million Normal is 2-2.5 million Credit channels have run inventory channels for...
The $SPX has closed above its intra-day mid-point for 8 straight days and 13/14. 3 1/2 hours left to do it again...
NG, CL, S, W, CD - all made new momentum highs on 120 minute charts. (Rus made new momo lows on 120 minute)..
Matt Murphy at $MRVL and Hock Tan at $AVGO crushed it in the Q&A. The reason the market reacted wasn't that this was the first time going after it, but they reminded listeners what they were told before, what really...
The latest Finviz heat‑map shows money gravitating toward energy and dividend‑heavy defensive sectors, while technology and consumer discretionary stocks lag. Energy stocks posted double‑digit gains, pulling the broader market higher. Financials have steadied after recent turbulence, and overall market breadth...
this chart from Anthropic on AI and job displacement is basically the HALO trade visualized (the bet that physical economy stocks are the safe haven from AI disruption, coined by @Downtown) Construction, agriculture, transportation: barely touched. Computer & math, office &...
It's not cherry picking season yet Andrew..."Market of stocks" is getting smoked and software (part that's already gotten smoked) is masking that in the $QQQs. Trailing 5 day performance using a more intellectually honest view of the market. *insert 3 snarky...
Rhetorical Question: How do you define support in a chart like this ?! (and energy components are less than 4%).... https://t.co/acijcTvFSG
My friend & oil expert Javier Blas reports just what I’ve been anticipating: that the US-Israeli war on Iran would force the US to lift sanctions on Russian oil. https://t.co/4VIvPSwm63
On March 9, 2009, the S&P 500 set a closing low of 676.53. Today, it's trading at 6,765.3
Canadian Dollar Forecast: USD/CAD Rejected at Resistance Again – Breakdown Risk Builds https://t.co/WgcEZNsTLi $USDCAD Weekly Chart https://t.co/vHGLydn1EX
A Cboe measure of crude oil volatility has surged to its highest level since 2020 https://t.co/4FBZMvXK9Y
Metals and miners have recently pulled back as investors suddenly think the Fed won’t be as dovish. Wait until they realize the policymakers are cornered into cutting rates regardless of inflation accelerating, just to keep the government’s debt affordable. That’s an explosive...
(PREMIUM) "Tactical Update: March 6, 2026 - The Long & The Short Of It..." Adding some longs & some shorts this A.M.... via The Lyons Share https://t.co/I3veVBLlHY https://t.co/AqMtKshBK1
$ hit resistance this morning (EC inverse)...may still fill out range another few trading days... https://t.co/CLncQXQ0Ub
Yen could be setting up for a win-win type environment. 1. War deescalates, oil down, dollar down. 2. War escalates and everything goes to shit, capital flight from US assets, flight to Yen safe haven. It's interesting to me because there's a...
Was looking for this dollar rally upon Iran invasion but now it is at a critical juncture. Metals showing life could be signal that this is about as high as DXY gets. Despite this squeeze higher, fundamentals for USD and...
four of the industry groups coming from the materials sector... showing all relative to $EWC (why? cause Canada stocks are trending up vs. $SPX - let's use the harder denominator to beat)... lithium $LIT gold miners $GDX rare earth $REMX copper $COPDX...
Surging inflation and sagging employment double whammy for the fragile real estate market in 2026 https://t.co/4yrdR28tG3
Friday's Playbook: Oil Surging. Bearish Signals Across the Mag 7. See How We’re Positioning. https://t.co/Ab25axAjJe via @hedgeye
Selling above or below? Here’s a look at properties that sold above, below, and at the original list price last month in the wider region. The market isn’t the same in every location. Any thoughts? https://t.co/8CHHvxLyKV
we entered Friday with an oversold breadth condition based on the % of stocks > 10-day EMA in the S&P 1500... first time since the start of the year... $SPX https://t.co/FDpVcJJRHO
I love Michael Toomey at Jefferies but might want to call a bottom in his own company $JEF before he calls a bottom in the markets Again, big fan of his long tenure
Macro Pros, You'll see I'm down to 25 positions in Portfolio Solutions (from 30). All incremental Cash goes into FDRXX for me because the account is at Fidelity Raising Cash on the US Equity Beta TREND break https://t.co/b9jSa8qkmu
Junk bonds diverging with stocks and working on a break of support, of a bearish descending triangle at (1) $JNK $HYG $SPY https://t.co/qGVRKZxUKf
This is the $QQQ on top and % of stocks in Stan Weinstein Stage 2 on the bottom. Interesting that the Stage 2 Stocks peaked in Sep 2025 https://t.co/fOptvXX0yr
