China’s A‑share Rally Hits Record Turnover of 3.6 Trillion Yuan ($500 Bn)
China’s three main A‑share indices closed higher on Tuesday, with the Shanghai Composite up 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component up 1.75% and the ChiNext up 1.82%. Total market turnover surged past 3.6 trillion yuan (about $500 billion), a new single‑day record, highlighting fresh investor confidence as global markets wobble.
Analysts Warn AI‑Focused SaaS Stocks Falter as Profitability Takes Center Stage
Analysts caution that AI‑focused SaaS companies that rode a 2025 rally are now lagging, with Palantir down more than 30% from its November high and Nvidia flat since September. The new investment playbook stresses profitability and tangible market value over...
TMDE Spikes 10x Rvol, Watch Supply Range
Over 10x rvol on this resurgence on $TMDE last Friday, so I'll be watching this for continuation thru it's daily supply ranges into this week. Super simple S/D flip setup as shown below, so as always, no break means NO TRADE. Range...
Tokyo Equities on Edge as Iran Tensions Cloud Outlook
Tokyo’s Nikkei 225 slipped 0.47% to 53,123.49 on April 3, reflecting heightened sensitivity to Iran‑related geopolitical risk. A U.S. deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and President Trump’s frustrated social‑media remarks have kept markets on edge. Traders anticipate...
Mixed Sentiments Signal Emerging Market Rebound
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: 1. Investor Sentiment is down, Economic Sentiment is up. 2. Markets appear to be following the Trump Weave. 3. Oil Shock Analogs highlight the worst case. 4. Tech sentiment is deeply oversold. 5. Global equities are up from...
April Matches July as S&P’s Most Likely Green Month
Over the past 20 years, the S&P 500 in April has been higher 80% of the time, tied with July for the most likely month to be green. https://t.co/aVppxUQE3r
Philippines Inflation Seen Quickening as Oil and Food Costs Rise
Philippine headline inflation is projected to rise sharply in March, with estimates ranging from 3.5% to 4.3% after February’s 2.4% rate. The surge is driven by higher oil, electricity and food prices, especially rice. Analysts warn the reading could push...
South Korea Eases Chinese Travel Visas but Southeast Asia Rivals, Iran War Cloud Outlook
South Korea announced new multiple‑entry visas for Chinese travelers, granting five‑year visas to repeat visitors and ten‑year visas to residents of 14 major Chinese cities and investors who have put at least $1 million into the Korean economy. The move targets...
SEC Clears ETF Share‑Class Model for Mutual Funds, Targeting Tax Relief for Millions
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has green‑lit a wave of dual‑class fund structures, allowing mutual funds to add ETF share classes. With 48 asset managers already approved, the change promises to reduce capital‑gains distributions and lower tax bills for...
Futures Verdict: President’s Weekend Bender Hurts Business
If you were wondering whether the President’s weekend bender helped or hurt the long-term interest of American business, futures markets just opened, and delivered their verdict. https://t.co/YNWdATAMmc
Former Crypto Miners Pivot to AI Data Centers, Boosting Valuations to $48.5B
Former crypto‑mining firms including TeraWulf, Applied Digital, Iren, Core Scientific and Cipher Digital have shifted to AI data‑center services, driving their combined market value from $2.1 billion in 2022 to $48.5 billion today. The transition leverages existing utility contracts and repurposed hardware,...
Tourism Plus Shanghai 2026 Expo Draws 450,000 Visitors, Boosts Hotel Sector
Tourism Plus Shanghai 2026 wrapped up on April 3, attracting nearly 450,000 visitors from 189 countries and hosting over 6,000 exhibitors across 700,000 sq m. The event’s hotel‑focused exhibitions, HOTELEX and Hotel & Shop Plus, generated a wave of partnerships and investment interest that could...
Fed Likely Holds Rates as Markets Price Out 2026 Cuts Amid Oil Shock and Middle‑East Tensions
Traders using the CME Fedwatch Tool assign a 99.5% probability that the Federal Open Market Committee will leave the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% on its April 29 meeting, effectively pricing out any rate cuts for the rest of 2026....
BP Leading Effort to Develop Energy Deposits in Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan
BP is positioning itself as the lead developer of the Ustyurt Plateau’s newly identified natural‑gas reserves that span western Kazakhstan and Uzbekistan. The company signed an exploration agreement with KazMunayGaz on April 2 and is in talks with Uzbekneftegaz and Azerbaijan’s...
![Lee Roach Investor Roundtable on a Special Situation and Q4 Earnings Highlights [GeoWire Weekly No. 233]](/cdn-cgi/image/width=1200,quality=75,format=auto,fit=cover/https://geoinvesting.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/04/0405_thumbnail.png)
Lee Roach Investor Roundtable on a Special Situation and Q4 Earnings Highlights [GeoWire Weekly No. 233]
GeoInvesting’s GeoWire Weekly No. 233 spotlights a roundtable discussion on a micro‑cap special‑situation stock undergoing bankruptcy, featuring investor Lee Roach, Lukas Milosic, and analyst Diego La Torre. The participants debated a best‑case scenario of roughly 100% upside versus a near‑zero downside. The issue also recaps...
MNQ Gap Fill Could Trigger V‑Shape Recovery or Bearish Drop
Futures market is open and we have a small gap down on MNQ (Nasdaq) I have two different scenarios that I’m waiting for and expect to reveal itself by London session Either we push up and fill the gap, then retest the...
The Looming Diesel Disaster
Australian policymakers have slashed diesel excise and GST in an effort to blunt rising fuel costs for households. The authors argue that the tax cuts provide only temporary relief while ignoring the deeper problem of dwindling diesel supplies and rising...
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Book Value Per Share (BVPS): Understand Its Importance and Application
Book value per share (BVPS) measures a firm’s net equity divided by its outstanding common shares, reflecting what shareholders would receive in a liquidation. The metric subtracts preferred equity to isolate the claim of common shareholders. Analysts compare BVPS to...
BBL Recommends Thai Businesses Mull Expansion to India
Bangkok Bank is urging Thai companies to diversify away from the United States and tap India’s massive market as geopolitical tensions rise. The bank’s president highlighted India’s strategic importance as a consumer base, investment hub, and supply‑chain partner. BBL pledged...
Indian Bank Stocks’ $95 Billion Rout May Deepen, Analysts Say
Indian bank shares have plunged about $95 billion after the Reserve Bank of India tightened rupee‑trading rules and energy costs surged. The sell‑off intensified as the RBI’s new foreign‑exchange curbs limit banks’ ability to hedge currency exposure. Higher oil and gas...
Iran Ramps up Jask Exports, but Still Heavily Reliant on Kharg Island
Iran has increased crude loadings at its Jask terminal, but the port remains a minor supplement to the dominant Kharg Island hub. In March, Jask accounted for only about 4.4% of Iran’s oil exports while Kharg handled roughly 84‑90% of...
Geopolitical Risk Dominates S&P 500 10‑K Disclosures
I analyzed fifty S&P 500 10-Ks. The data is wild. I scanned for 8 risk themes: tariffs, war, geopolitical risk, oil/energy, sanctions, supply chain, interest rates, and recession. Morgan Stanley has 221 mentions of geopolitical risk. Citigroup has 269 mentions. Bank of America had...
AI Reveals Optimal Sub‑System Pairings and Allocation
I've been playing around with AI to look closer into some old strategies of mine by feeding it a 10-year trade list. I initially asked it to assess the 10 sub-systems within this short-term strategy and look for issues that...
Billionaire Investor Shares Two-Step Approach To Positive Returns: 'I Think I Finally Solved The Stock Market'
Billionaire investor John Arnold claims to have "solved the stock market" with a simple 50/50 allocation between the technology ETF XLK and the energy ETF XLE. His data show the blend generated double‑digit returns in six of the last seven...
Buy Cash‑flow Assets Cheap, Ignore Market Hype
"The intelligent investor buys discounted cash-producing assets, not market excitement." Stop chasing hype, start owning real value.
U.S. Stocks Plunge Following Liberation Day Tariffs
This is what the 🇺🇸 stock market looked like on April 3rd, 2025 the day after the Liberation Day tariffs were announced
The Home Ownership Gamble
The author bought a starter home for $375,000 in 2018, sold it for $600,000 in 2022, and saw the property change hands again for $500,000—a $100,000 nominal loss. Including a 5% realtor commission and $30,000‑$40,000 in repairs, the new owners...
Simple Steps to Build Strong Credit Quickly
Building your credit is not hard. Do this: - pay off your credit cards on time, every month - keep credit utilization low by requesting increased credit limits every 6-12 months - keep old accounts open, even if you don’t use the credit cards -...
Andrew Tilton on China’s Growth Prospects, Economic Trajectory in Wake of Iran War
Goldman Sachs chief Asia‑Pacific economist Andrew Tilton told the South China Morning Post that China’s property slump has passed its worst phase, removing a major drag on growth. He highlighted that GDP is now projected to rebound above 5% this...
5 Costco Buys That Can Pay for Your Membership Fast
Costco’s membership model lets retirees offset the annual fee by targeting five high‑impact categories: home security, health and personal care, auto services, furniture, and gasoline. Bulk purchasing and exclusive member perks—such as free tire installations and 15% off auto parts—drive...
Seasoned Investors Turning to Private Money Lending Boom
I think the private money lending sector is about to grow even more. I see so many experienced investors who focused on raising capital for their deals now shift to being the private lender.
Celsius Holdings Has Dropped 25% This Year. Generational Opportunity or Falling Knife?
Celsius Holdings, after a decade of delivering roughly 47% annualized returns, has slipped about 25% this year and sits near its 52‑week low. The decline followed its Q4 2025 earnings release, even though revenue jumped 117% year‑over‑year to $722 million, driven...
Iran Conflict Spikes Oil, Threatens UST Long‑end Auctions
This is a high-stakes week for the bond market. The recent spike in crude prices - fueled by the conflict in Iran - will show up in March’s inflation data. The consensus on Wall Street is a headline print...
US Chemical Stocks Surge 6% Amid Gulf Crude Squeeze
U.S. chemical producers like Dow are outperforming the S&P 500, with shares up about ~6%, as access to Persian Gulf crude (a key ingredient for plastics) tightens due to the Iran war
How One Local Council Helped 1,200 Low-Income Residents Finance Solar and Home Energy Upgrades
Darebin City Council’s Solar Saver program (2014‑2025) enabled roughly 1,200 low‑income Melbourne homeowners to install rooftop solar, reverse‑cycle air conditioners and heat‑pump water heaters, covering A$4.8 million (about US$3.2 million) of upfront costs. The council financed the installations and attached an interest‑free,...
Plan Ready, Execution Missing: My Bounce Breakdown
I had the exact playbook for this week's bounce. Wrote it out Tuesday morning. Then I didn't follow it. Full breakdown in this week's post 👇 https://t.co/bnh00L8Xr6 https://t.co/KNHksZ0ieR
Early Signs Suggest Iraq Flow Could Become Significant
There’s something to this Iraq stuff, even if it’s still too early to say how consequential this flow will grow to be https://t.co/S1itXIUl4L
USD Index, Crude Oil, and Stocks: The Savvy Trader’s Personal Outlook on Market Trends and Key Levels
The trader notes the USD Index is holding above an up‑sloping trend line with a key 100 resistance level, while it failed to rally alongside crude oil. Crude markets have shifted focus to WTI, showing strong backwardation and rising back‑month...
War May End, but Oil Supply Disruptions Linger
According to Jeff Currie, distinguished economist and commodity market guru, even if the US-ISRAELI war on Iran ends soon, the damage to supply chains has been done. Oil flows will be disrupted for months or years. https://t.co/SxmxwhkvAY
Double‑digit Prompt Spreads Demand Explicit Delivery Month Quotes
When you need to explicitly include delivery months in all crude futures price quotes because we have double digit prompt timespreads https://t.co/cvrXe7FuP3
Vietnam Bookings Jump 130% as Middle East Conflict Drives Travelers to Safer Asian Destinations
Vietnam recorded a 130% year‑on‑year surge in travel bookings as the Middle East conflict forced tourists to seek safer routes, propelling the country ahead of Sri Lanka, Singapore, Nepal, Thailand, Spain, Greece and Portugal. The influx helped Vietnam log over...
Price Action Reveals Truth; Opinions Spin Stories
Price action tells the truth while opinions tell stories. - Ghost of the Pit https://t.co/K1tiyiMWDu
Pending Sales Hit Multi-Year Highs, Growth Slows
Purchase apps, weekly pending, and total pending sales are still at multi-year highs, but growth has slowed over the last 2 weeks. The 6 weeks of positive YoY data on the weekly pendings were snapped last week, even though we...
Existing Home Sales at 1.29M, Well Below Normal
We will get this updated this week with the new existing home sales report. ...
Crude Oil Gaps Higher, Outpaces Falling Futures
/CLK6 gaps open to 112.96, trades up to 114.83 (Friday close of 111.89)...now +1.7%ish /ESM6 -0.6% /NQM6 -0.7% /ZNM6 -0.03% DXY +0.02%
US‑Iran Talks Show Positive Momentum After Holiday Pause
catching up on the news after the holiday week, seems like the US-Iran negotiations are going well
U.S. Drivers Spent $8.4 B Extra on Gas
American drivers have paid an additional $8.4 BILLION in fuel costs since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran. The cost of regular gas has JUMPED from $2.80 to $4.11 per gallon since January 11. AMERICANS DRIVERS SHOULD SEND A BILL...
Credit Spreads Stay Under Historic Peak at 2.11%
Even with the LTCM drama of the late 1990's, spreads never got above 2.40%, we are at 2.11% today https://t.co/yTyr072f92
CLO Equity Fund Discounted yet Still Offers 24% Yield
OXLC cut its distribution 50%. The price crashed 60%. And the yield is STILL 24%. Here's the catch — and why this CLO equity fund trading at a 16% discount might actually be interesting for the first time in years: https://t.co/oLGHvO4MvQ
Understanding the Buffett Put: Weekly Market Insights
Weekly Market Report: The Buffett Put. Almost everything you need to know. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/6Hq5oQ1ODi