Oil Price Rise Might Push Peso Back to 59:$1
Rising crude prices, driven by the Iran‑Israel conflict, could push the Philippine peso past the 59 per‑dollar threshold. MUFG forecasts the PHP trading between 58.5 and 59.5 if oil steadies around $90 a barrel, while JP Morgan sees a modest global drag but heightened Asian exposure. The peso, which rallied to 57 earlier this year, has already retreated to the 58 level as investors flee to safe‑haven assets. Higher import costs risk stalling the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas' easing cycle and nudging inflation toward the top of its target range.
Target Small Markets, Vet Supply‑Demand, Spot Mispricings
I bought my first deal with $2,500 of my own money and now own over $50M of real estate If I had to start over in 2026, here’s how I’d find a market in just 4 steps: Step...
IVOO: Multiplier Effects Gone In The AI-Age, Avoiding Cyclicals And Discretionary
The Vanguard S&P Mid‑Cap 400 ETF (IVOO) is heavily weighted toward cyclical sectors, with about 65% in discretionary, financials, industrials, materials and real estate. The analyst warns that uncertain U.S. consumer demand, rising unemployment and AI‑driven productivity gains could dampen...
How Nvidia Turned a Steal of a Deal Into Its Secret Weapon
Nvidia leveraged its 2020 $7 billion acquisition of Mellanox to transform its networking business into a major growth engine. In the most recent fiscal quarter the company reported $11 billion in networking revenue, a 263 % increase year‑over‑year, positioning it as the world’s...
S&P Holds 6800 Support as VIX Surges to 28
The "Fog of War" hit the tape today. 🌫️ $SPX salvaged support at 6800 after a brutal open, but the $VIX spiking to 28 is a major red flag. I’m also honoring the late legend John Murphy and applying...
Reactions to Iran War; US-China; Two Sessions; DeepSeek and Qwen
China’s foreign ministry publicly condemned Israeli and U.S. military strikes against Iran, urging an immediate cease‑fire and emphasizing diplomatic solutions. Wang Yi’s call with Israel’s Gideon Sa’ar highlighted Beijing’s call for de‑escalation and protection of shipping lanes in the region....
Skilled Nursing Dealbook: Welltower-Affiliated Nursing Homes Sell for $82.4M; Multi-State Deal Secures $51.2M in Financing
Hill Valley Healthcare purchased two Virginia skilled‑nursing facilities from a Welltower affiliate for $82.4 million, marking the REIT’s exit from assets originally bought for under $15 million each. Capital Funding Group closed a $51.2 million bridge‑loan to acquire four multi‑state SNFs with 487...
#58490
Effective March 3, 2026 the NSCC will no longer accept exercise and assignment activity for Trineso PLC (TSE) options, prompting the OCC to shift all settlements to a broker‑to‑broker model. The underlying deliverable remains 100 TSEOF shares, but if delivery is impossible the...
US to Insure Hormuz Tankers After Policies Canceled
President Donald Trump announced that the United States will provide war‑risk insurance for vessels navigating the Strait of Hormuz after commercial insurers pulled coverage. The move may be paired with U.S. naval escorts to safeguard tankers amid heightened regional tensions....
Americas MGO Prices Soar on US-Iran War
Marine gasoil (MGO) prices in the Americas surged toward $1,000 per metric tonne, marking the highest levels since October 2023. The rally follows the US‑Israel weekend attacks on Iran, which threaten the flow of middle‑distillates through the Strait of Hormuz....
US Shale Producers to Hold Capex, Output Steady in 2026
U.S. shale producers have signaled that 2026 capital expenditures will remain flat or dip slightly, while overall output is expected to stay level or edge higher after accounting for acquisitions, divestments, and the cyclical nature of multiyear upstream projects. The...
Iran Expands Attacks to Targets Outside Strait of Hormuz
Iran escalated its campaign against regional energy assets, deploying armed drones against the United Arab Emirates' main oil export hub and striking major ports in Oman. The attacks, which originated beyond the Strait of Hormuz, signal a widening of Tehran's...
30A Market Update: Inventory Compression and Seller Leverage (March 2, 2026)
In this March 2, 2026 episode, the host provides a data‑driven market update for Florida’s 30A corridor, highlighting a sharp drop in inventory to under 30 single‑family homes and a surge in unit sales that signals a shift toward seller...
China's Gas Output Expected to Rise Amid Shale Push
China’s domestic natural‑gas production is set to climb in the near term as the government backs unconventional shale projects. Analysts forecast a steady output rise, driven by new drilling licences and financial incentives. The push aims to offset growing demand...
LNG Prices Surge on Qatari Supply Disruption
LNG spot prices jumped sharply after a supply disruption in Qatar, one of the world’s largest exporters. In Northeast Asia, the price rose $1.75 week‑on‑week to $12.45 per MMBtu, while Southwest Europe saw a $5.05 increase to $14.75 per MMBtu....
Brookfield Asset Management Announces $1 Billion Commercial Paper Program
Brookfield Asset Management announced a new private‑placement commercial paper program with a $1 billion ceiling. The unsecured notes will be issued on a short‑term basis to diversify the firm’s funding mix and bolster its balance sheet. Proceeds are slated for general...
Precious Metals Drop Signals Upcoming Money Flow Shift
Precious metals are down today. This means a generational shift in the money flow. With all the war talk the money usually moves first and then we see the news. This is 100% signaling something:
Oil Prices Surge Higher as Market Adjusts Ceiling Scenarios
Brent crude rose to $85 per barrel on Tuesday, marking a notable surge amid heavy trading. The rally reflects market reaction to escalating tensions in the Middle East and concerns over supply disruptions. Traders are now focusing on how constrained...
CrowdStrike Hits $5B ARR Milestone, Record FY26
CrowdStrike just delivered a record FY26, capped by a blockbuster Q4. 🔒 $5.25B ending ARR - the ONLY pure-play software cyber company to cross $5B 📈 $331M net new ARR in Q4, all-time record, up 47% YoY. 💰 $1.24B FY26 free cash flow....
Spot Prices Wrap: Bulls Wrest Control of Physical Natural Gas
Bulls have taken control of the physical natural gas market as spot prices showed mixed movement but futures advanced. Traders are looking past the early‑March shoulder season, focusing on colder weather forecasts and strong LNG export activity. Geopolitical tension from...
Defensive Tilt Masks Weakness in Tech, Financials, Discretionary
$SPY - The part that's tough for me is the defensive tilt that's taken place this year in the S&P 500. It's easier to "ignore" these days as "event driven" etc. when that isn't the case but with $XLK, $XLF,...
Which Markets Had the Highest Demand for Renovation Loans?
Renovation loan demand is strongest per capita in New England and Mountain states, with Rhode Island topping the nation at six applications per 1,000 residents. While total home‑improvement loan applications fell 3 % year‑over‑year, transaction volume held steady at $144 billion, driven...
AMVAC Unveils New Rootworm Control Product at 2026 Commodity Classic
American Vanguard (AMVAC) highlighted its new Duro LQ product at the 2026 Commodity Classic, emphasizing its dual action against rootworms and nematodes. The company stressed its commitment to delivering proven, competitively priced solutions that boost farmer profitability, and noted that...
Long Reinvestment Runways Fuel Powerful Wealth Compounding
"Reinvestment runway defines long-term compounding potential." The biggest investing edge isn’t timing the market — it’s owning long reinvestment runways. 🚀 Reinvestment runway defines how long a business can compound capital at high returns. The longer the runway, the more powerful the...
Feeder Cattle Mixed Waiting on Direct Trade
Live cattle futures closed about $1.02 higher, while feeder cattle slipped modestly, leaving the market mixed ahead of anticipated direct‑trade activity later in the week. Direct cash cattle trading was quiet on Tuesday, with no bids or offers surfacing. At...
Are Flex-Fuel Vehicles Making a Comeback?
Chevrolet is re‑launching flex‑fuel vehicles (FFVs) equipped with a 1.3‑liter engine, marking the first standard‑fit FFVs since 2026. The Renewable Fuels Association (RFA) highlights California’s dominant E85 market and urges other OEMs, including Toyota and Honda, to follow suit. Nationwide...
Ares CEO Says UBS Call on 15% Private Debt Default ‘Absolutely Wrong’
Ares Management CEO Mike Arougheti dismissed UBS analysts' worst‑case projection that private‑credit defaults could hit 15%, labeling it irresponsible. UBS warned the scenario could materialize if artificial‑intelligence disruption spikes borrower distress, but otherwise expects defaults to rise about 5% before...
How Advisors Can Better Serve Neurodivergent Clients
Financial advisors are increasingly recognizing that neurodivergent clients—those with autism, ADHD, dyslexia and related conditions—require communication and process adaptations that differ from traditional models. Practitioners like Korinne Sugasawara, who is neurodivergent herself, have built firms around explicit affirmations and sensory‑friendly...
TMTB EOD Wrap: Software Vs. Semis
Software equities outperformed semiconductors sharply, driving the IGV‑SOX performance spread to a 10‑year high of 14.70% on a six‑day rolling basis. This marks the largest spread since the index’s inception, with only six days in the past decade exceeding a...
Record Volume Hits ACWI After 2% Dip, Model Rotation Suspected
Intriguing, $ACWI (and $28b old dog ETF I rarely think about) saw record volume today. Maybe bc it fell 2%, which is bad but not Code Red.. my guess is a model rotated out of it. We've seen a lot...
Fed Warns Iran Conflict Could Spark Lasting Inflation Shock
Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said his outlook, up until a few days ago, supported maintaining a general easing bias. Inflation has been on a trajectory of "gently heading down" while there's no evidence the labor market is tightening. But...
Equity ETFs Added $110 Billion in February – See the Leading ETFs
Equity exchange‑traded funds recorded $110 billion of net inflows in February, according to FactSet data. Vanguard’s S&P 500 ETF (VOO) topped the list with $17 billion, followed by Invesco’s equal‑weight S&P 500 ETF (RSP) at $5.6 billion. Other top performers included Vanguard’s international (VXUS) and...
Low‑beta, US‑linked European Sectors Stay Shock‑proof
GS Europe: Europe has re-rated in recent years Sectors with high US exposure and a low beta to the market should be mostly immune to recent shocks https://t.co/g2Fd3kpcA5
Venezuela Leads, Five Nations Face Hyperinflation
#HankeInflationDashboard: By my measurements, as of March 1st, this week's top 5 inflators are: 🇻🇪Venezuela — 656.1%/yr 🇰🇵North Korea — 107.8%/yr 🇮🇷Iran— 84.6%/yr 🇱🇾Libya — 63.8%/yr 🇨🇺Cuba — 50.0%/yr https://t.co/FrHE7rOpRu
Anaptys Provides Update on Business Separation and Announces Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results
AnaptysBio announced it will spin off its biopharma division into a new public company, First Tracks Biotherapeutics, in Q2 2026, separating it from the royalty‑focused parent that will retain the AnaptysBio name. The royalty side highlighted strong performance from GSK’s Jemperli,...
VXUS Holds Above 20‑Week SMA, Support Confirmed
$VXUS international ETF clean hold on 20sma weekly, again, clean line in sand for your radar and natural stop for swings under that line. https://t.co/RWEeeRI0sD
Software Stocks Likely Bottoming Near 200‑
Software sold off first, so stands to reason it would try to bottom first. Solid action around the 200sma-- very clear line in sand for medium term swings. $IGV https://t.co/zcHdivFd3y
Iran's Inflation Hits 87.2%, World’s Third‑Highest Rate
#IranWatch🇮🇷: Today, I measure Iran’s inflation at a PUNISHING 87.2%/yr. That's the world's THIRD HIGHEST INFLATION RATE. I remain the only reliable source of inflationary measures in Iran. https://t.co/Ur4qSrFxia
Platinum Chart Signals Impending Head‑and‑shoulders Reversal
Charts can always morph, but it looks to me that the Platinum party is about to be interrupted by a head and shoulders pattern. I am not allowing replies on this because I have no interest in reading what you...
VGK Shows Strong Reversal at Clean Support
Interesting spot $VGK (Europe) -- solid reversal on clean support. 84 line in sand. https://t.co/YeH5D1pF0E
V‑shaped Rebound Likely, but Deleveraging Extends Beyond One Day
Rooting for the immediate v shaped recovery in KOSPI/Nikkei but, in my experience, violent deleveraging events are seldom limited to a single session. Held off on any aggressive dip buying today.
Iran Conflict Spurs Gas Prices Near $3.5 Threshold
My friend and renowned oil expert Javier Blas has it right. ONE OF THE COSTS OF THE NETANYAHU-TRUMP WAR ON IRAN = A GAS PRICE SURGE. https://t.co/cnsDUpCpbY
Europe's US Discount Shrinks, yet Gap Persists
GS: While Europe remains on a discount to the US, this discount has narrowed https://t.co/MWh0XnVJBZ
RBOB Contract Roll Added 25¢ to Gasoline Price
Gasoline prices... remember the March-April RBOB contract roll was +25 cents on its own https://t.co/WAOPFvCQdz
FTSE250 Shows Bearish Momentum, EMA Cross Looms
#FTSE250 big Down Candle. RSI 44 bit off Neutral. Could be lining up 13/21 day EMA Bear Cross. Closed below Bottom Bollinger Band which is unstable.
Opendoor's Sacramento Holdings Shrink From 300 to 30 Homes
Opendoor owns about 30 homes in the Sacramento region right now. At the height of their purchase activity a few years ago, they routinely owned about 300 units at any given time.
US Policy Uncertainty Likely Rising, Outpacing Dollar Index
All things considered, I would expect the US Economic Policy Uncertainty Index to be higher... Uncertainty index vs DXY on the weekly: https://t.co/sVGAiUIrV7
Financials Surge, Magnetizing 2024‑25 First‑Half Pivot
Financials rally back to the underbelly of the 2024 and 2025 1H pivot. So far it’s acting like a magnet... $XLF https://t.co/jXBzQnKMxZ
Former Owner Might
#Auction on #5thAve. 80KSF #681Fifth, a McKim, Mead&White design, goes for just $100G to #WellsFargo. But #RobertSiegel, who lost it thru #foreclosure, may have some cards up his sleeve. Proceeding barely a min. #realestate #CRE #NYC https://t.co/eiDjaAGEuc via @CrainsNewYork
BofA Predicts Weak Feb Jobs, Fed Stays on Hold
BofA: We forecast a below-consensus Feb NFP print of 35k (private: 45k). The u-rate should remain at 4.3% Fed response: wait and watch stance under Powell https://t.co/qQ28IUZLsk