Opportunities In Gold Explorers And Developers – Part 3
The author resumes the third installment of a series spotlighting opportunities in junior gold explorers and developers. The piece promises to dissect volatile pre‑revenue gold equities, flagging upcoming company catalysts and overlooked value drivers. By revisiting these under‑appreciated assets, the series aims to guide investors through a sector that can reward disciplined capital. The update links to the full analysis on The Hedgeless Horseman platform.
Brooklyn $3M+
Brooklyn’s luxury market rebounded strongly in Q1, with sales of properties priced above $3 million jumping 30.6% year‑over‑year for condos and 14% for townhouses and single‑family homes, according to the Compass Brooklyn Market Report. The surge reflects heightened buyer appetite for...
Momentum Factor Leads as Wall Street Bets on a Fragile Ceasefire
Wall Street’s optimism over the tentative US‑Iran ceasefire lifted the S&P 500 to a five‑week high on April 9. Among equity factors, the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM) surged 3.8% since the war’s onset, outpacing all peers. In contrast, low‑volatility...
Breega Leads PowerLabs Pre-Seed Fundraise
PowerLabs, a Nigeria‑based energy and climate tech startup, closed a pre‑seed round led by French venture firm Breega, with participation from Catalyst Fund, Mercy Corps Ventures and Kaleo Ventures. The undisclosed capital will accelerate development of its AI‑driven platform Pai,...
Consus Ag Consulting AM Market Brief
Corn, soybeans and wheat traded in mixed directions as market consolidation persisted, with traders positioning ahead of the upcoming monthly WASDE report and the weekend. Geopolitical uncertainty in the Middle East, especially the ongoing Israel‑Lebanon clashes and Iran’s actions, has...
The Market Brief
A two‑week ceasefire between the United States and Iran has eased geopolitical tension, sending U.S. equity indexes higher. The S&P 500 is on track for its largest weekly gain since November, while the Dow Jones aims for its strongest weekly...
Capturing 2000 Points & 4840
Ashraf Laidi’s latest intraday market thoughts recap a successful Nasdaq call, pinpointing the index bottom at 22,780 on March 30 and projecting a rally to 24,440 at the 200‑day moving average. The strategy also kept a long position in gold, capturing...
Oil Prices Climb Toward $100 as Ceasefire Uncertainty Shakes Markets
Oil prices surged toward the $100 level as doubts grew over a fragile cease‑fire between the United States, Iran and Israel. On April 9 U.S. crude jumped 6.8% to $100.79 a barrel while Brent rose 3.7% to $98.24, still well above...
KOSPI +1.40%: Foreign Capital Rotates Into HBM Supply Chain
Foreign investors poured into South Korea’s high‑bandwidth memory (HBM) and related AI‑infrastructure supply chain, lifting the KOSPI 1.4% as the KRW weakened. The inflow coincided with a post‑ceasefire risk‑premium compression and a 2.1% rally in the S&P 500, signaling targeted conviction...
Scoop: Iran War Has Already Cost Americans $17 Billion At the Pump
A new analysis by Brown University researchers estimates that the Iran‑Israel war has cost the United States about $17 billion in higher gasoline and diesel prices. The price shock translates to roughly $129 extra per household, with diesel accounting for nearly...
Lebanon’s Role in Turkey’s Vision for the Eastern Mediterranean
Turkey is positioning Lebanon as a cornerstone of its Eastern Mediterranean strategy, linking economic cooperation with security objectives. President Erdogan and Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan have highlighted Lebanon’s role in shaping post‑Israel‑Hezbollah dynamics and in accessing offshore gas reserves. Ankara’s...
Yuan Settlements Hit Record Amid Iran war...Beijing Looks to Curb Hidden Local debt...China’s Car Exports See Growth Despite Global Volatility
China’s cross‑border payment system hit a record RMB 1.22 trillion ($178.5 bn) single‑day settlement amid heightened Middle‑East tensions, while regulators moved to block banks from creating hidden local‑government debt through agricultural loans. March saw Chinese car exports surge 73.7% to roughly 700,000...
5 Signs You’re Moving From Middle Class To Rich, According To Charlie Munger
Charlie Munger argues that moving from the middle class to wealth hinges on mindset, not income. He emphasizes thinking in decades, avoiding big mistakes, and building a multidisciplinary latticework of mental models. Evaluating opportunities by the integrity of people involved...
Why Zimbabwe Earns $400 Less Per Tonne of Lithium Than Australia — and the Bold Plan to Fix It
Zimbabwe’s lithium sector is losing $300‑$400 per tonne to Australian rivals because of under‑declared grades, undervalued shipments and transfer‑pricing that divert profits abroad. In February 2026 the Mines Minister imposed an outright ban on raw lithium concentrate exports, demanding verification...
Overnight Edge in SPY: A Simple Close-to-Close Strategy
An overnight edge strategy for the SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY) buys at the market close and sells at the next close. A 30‑year backtest (1995‑2025) that includes realistic 0.06 % per‑trade costs shows an average daily gain of 0.25 %, delivering a...
TRUST COMPANY OF TENNESSEE - Filing for Period Ending 03/31/2026
Trust Company of Tennessee reported a $540 million portfolio in its Q1 2026 13F filing, up from $500 million a quarter earlier. The fund’s holdings are fully concentrated in its top ten ETFs, with Invesco’s S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF (RSP) representing 35.43% of...
SANY Heavy Industry Reports 41% Profit Growth in 2025
SANY Heavy Industry announced a 41.2% surge in net profit for 2025, reaching $1.18 billion, while revenue rose 14.7% to $12.49 billion. Operating cash flow jumped 34.8% to $2.80 billion, and the net profit margin improved to 9.5%, reflecting stronger efficiency. International sales...
Reader Questions: Cash and Bond Holdings Details
The author allocates roughly 30% of a 70/30 stock‑bond portfolio to bonds, split between 20% short‑term U.S. Treasury ETFs (VGSH) and 10% Treasury Inflation‑Protected Securities. With a 10% state tax rate, the 3.83% SEC yield on VGSH translates to a...
A Market Divided
The intermarket framework is now evenly split, with two signals reading Risk‑Off and two reading Risk‑On, marking a shift from last week’s defensive bias. The Beta Rotation signal remains Risk‑Off for a sixth straight week as utilities outpace the S&P...
Jim Cramer Says “I Know Amazon, They’re Tight as a Drum”
Jim Cramer defended Amazon on his show, saying the retailer’s data is “tight as a drum” and that no one can read its retail sales from leaked information. He dismissed recent “negative whispers” about a consumer slowdown hurting Amazon Prime,...
Point72 Joins $400M Bet on RISC-V Architecture:
Point72's venture arm, Point72 Turion, has joined NVIDIA and Apollo Global Management in a $400 million Series G financing of SiFive, the leading RISC‑V processor developer. The round underscores a growing hedge‑fund focus on "agentic AI" infrastructure—hardware designed for autonomous, decision‑making AI...
Dollar Reserves in the Wake of Trump
The IMF’s COFER data show the U.S. dollar’s share of global foreign‑exchange reserves has slipped, driven by a weaker dollar and a rally in gold prices. When exchange‑rate effects are stripped out, the dollar’s share actually rose after 2024 Q4,...
Stocks Chase the Madman
The S&P 500 has erased the recent sell‑off, completing a full round‑trip back to the middle of its trading range. Volatility has collapsed to near‑record lows, and systematic fund flows have shifted from aggressive selling to providing net support. While...
Visa Inc. (V): Our Calculation of Intrinsic Value
A weekly DCF model values Visa Inc. at an enterprise value of $546.6 billion, translating to an equity value of $540.4 billion or $275‑$285 per share. The current market price sits near $302, suggesting the stock is about 7% overvalued. Visa’s asset‑light,...
Pilgrim’s Pride Corporation (PPC): Deep Value Poultry Producer
Pilgrim’s Pride Corp (PPC) is highlighted as a deep‑value poultry producer with an Intrinsic Value‑to‑Price ratio of 1.40, suggesting a 40% discount to conservative valuation. The company reports $18.5 billion in revenue, $1.08 billion net income, and free cash flow above $650 million,...
Indiana Suspends Gas Sales Tax Amid US–Iran War
Indiana Governor Mike Braun announced a 30‑day suspension of the state’s 7% gasoline sales tax, leaving the $0.36 per‑gallon excise tax untouched. The move follows a sharp rise in fuel prices after the United States launched military action against Iran,...
Are Solo Founders Venture Backable?
The article challenges the prevailing VC bias against solo founders, arguing that founder splits are common and the real bet is on the "Alpha" founder who drives vision and execution. It disputes the 50‑50 equity split dogma promoted by accelerators...
Optionality Stocks (4/9/2026)
Don Durrett announced an update to his "optionality" stock list on April 9, 2026, highlighting a renewed focus on gold and silver mining equities. The refreshed roster is designed to capture assets that offer asymmetric upside while limiting downside risk. Durrett’s curation...
Amazon Investing $200 Billion Into AI Capex in 2026 and Making $15 Billion In AI Revenue
Amazon’s 2025 shareholder letter reveals a $200 billion AI‑focused capex plan for 2026, with AWS AI revenue already topping $15 billion. The company’s custom silicon—Graviton, Trainium and Nitro—now runs a $20 billion‑plus revenue stream and is projected to save tens of billions in...
DEBATE | Marc Faber vs Brent Johnson: What Comes Next After The Iran War?
Thoughtful Money moderated a live debate between Marc Faber, editor of The Gloom, Boom & Doom Report, and Brent Johnson, founder of the Dollar Milkshake Theory, to assess the fallout from the US‑Israel war with Iran. The discussion explored whether...
Where Metals & Miners Stand Now
In mid‑March, heightened Iran tensions triggered a sharp sell‑off in gold and mining stocks, which many analysts deemed an overreaction. The dip pushed gold into deep oversold territory, prompting a swift rebound as the 200‑day moving average stayed intact. Technical...
State Tax Comparison for Startup Founders: Where to Incorporate and Where to Live
The guide breaks down how incorporation state and personal residence state affect a founder’s tax bill, emphasizing that residence decisions can swing after‑tax proceeds by millions. It compares Delaware’s standard corporate framework with personal tax regimes in high‑tax states like...
Ceasefire of the Madman
HSBC’s latest geopolitical paper argues that a de‑escalation of global tensions will diminish the U.S. dollar’s safe‑haven appeal. With reduced risk, demand for the dollar should fall, allowing higher‑risk, undervalued currencies to rally. Emerging‑market (EM) currencies and those of energy‑importing...
Anti-Dilution Provisions: What Every Startup Founder Needs to Understand Before Their Series A
Anti‑dilution clauses, a staple of Series A term sheets, adjust investors' conversion price when a startup raises a later round at a lower valuation. The two primary mechanisms—full‑ratchet and weighted‑average—have dramatically different dilution effects on founders and employees. Full‑ratchet can slash...
Washington's New Income Tax: The Complete Guide for Founders, Investors, and High Earners
Governor Ferguson signed ESSB 6346 on March 30, 2026, establishing Washington’s first broad‑based income tax—a 9.9% levy on adjusted gross income exceeding $1 million, effective January 1, 2028. The law reshapes tax planning for founders, investors, executives, and high‑earning residents, introducing residency rules, a marriage...
The Complete Guide to Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS): Section 1202 Explained
Section 1202 of the Internal Revenue Code lets founders and early investors exclude up to $15 million of capital gains when they sell qualified small business stock (QSBS) after a five‑year hold. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA) enacted in July 2025 raised the...
Cliff Note Update: A Legacy EMS Company Deepening Its Push Into Higher-Margin Markets
A legacy electronic manufacturing services (EMS) firm is intensifying its push into defense, aerospace, and medical sectors, where contracts are more durable and margins exceed those of its traditional industrial base. The company announced a new product line aimed at...
Gold & Silver Look For Direction After Ceasefire Collapse...
After a brief lull, gold and silver markets are searching for direction following the collapse of a last‑minute ceasefire that had temporarily eased fears of a broader conflict. Prices have largely held steady, but the sudden reversal of geopolitical risk...
PETER’S ASIAN BUSINESS & FINANCE BRIEFING – Friday 10 April 2026, 06:00 Hong Kong
Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East intensified Thursday as Iran warned it could abandon the US‑Iran cease‑fire after Israeli strikes in Lebanon, while the United States dispatched a delegation to Pakistan for talks. The fragility of the truce pushed oil...
The Most Asymmetric Tungsten Play
Tungsten has moved to the forefront of commodity talk after price spikes and tighter Chinese export controls, prompting Western governments to hunt for alternative sources. While Almonty Industries and EQ Resources dominate the public conversation, a lesser‑known small‑cap holds a...
DON'T BE A VICTIM OF THE MATH: The M2 Explosion That's Coming, Inevitable Debt Monetization & How to Protect Your...
The United States faces a projected cumulative deficit of $22 trillion over the next ten years, far exceeding official forecasts that assume no new wars or recessions. To fund this gap, the Federal Reserve will likely resort to massive balance‑sheet expansion,...
Daily Energy Report
An attack on Saudi Arabia's East‑West pipeline knocked out roughly 700,000 barrels per day of throughput, tightening global oil supplies. Meanwhile, U.S. LNG exports surged to a record 43.3 million tonnes in March, driven by new projects and a redirection of...
How to Hedge Against a War
ManGroup proposes a dedicated WarHedge portfolio that seeks to profit from geopolitical conflict while dampening overall market risk. Over an 8,000‑day back‑test the strategy generated a 7.8% compound annual growth rate with only 5.4% volatility, compared with a 9.1% return...
The $100 Billion Muni Sector Where Corporate Credit Risk Wears a Tax-Exempt Wrapper
The municipal bond market contains a $100 billion niche of prepaid energy bonds that appear and trade like traditional tax‑exempt munis, but their credit risk is tied to corporate guarantors rather than the issuing municipality. Increasingly, these guarantors are insurance companies...
Canadian Variable-Rate Mortgages Surge As BoC Recreates Renewal Trap
Canadian lenders advanced a record CAD 38.3 billion (~US$28 billion) in uninsured mortgages in January, a 3.3% year‑over‑year rise. Variable‑rate mortgages surged to roughly 45% of new funding, up sharply from a July 2023 low of 4.9%. The Bank of Canada’s October rate cut...
Upside or Downside Risk to Threat to Destroy Civilization?
The Substack post satirically examines how former President Donald Trump's hyperbolic threat to "destroy an entire civilization" could be interpreted by investors as a market risk. It references CNBC anchor Sara Eisen’s on‑air reaction and uses Star Wars imagery—short‑term out‑of‑the‑money...
Massive Breakout Underway For SPX. How Much More Upside? April 10 Plan
On March 30 the S&P 500 e‑mini (ES) experienced a sharp drop to 6,353, creating a classic "failed breakdown" that institutions use to accumulate positions. The subsequent bounce launched a 480‑point rally, pushing the contract above 6,850 and later to 6,873, forming...
Thursday Links: A Job in a System
This week’s links highlight a shift toward diversification and new product frontiers across finance, tech, and health. BlackRock’s broad‑based strategy is shielding it from private‑credit turbulence, while industry thinkers predict a radically different asset‑management landscape in a decade. OpenAI’s acquisition...
Mortgage Rates Trickle Just a Bit Lower
Mortgage rates edged lower on April 10, 2026, with the average 30‑year fixed rate slipping to 6.39%, a 0.02‑percentage‑point drop from the previous day. The modest decline followed headlines of de‑escalation in the Israel‑Lebanon conflict, which temporarily eased oil‑price concerns....
2026 S&P 500 Reflexive Forecast - April 9, 2026
The research firm released its first full‑year S&P 500 forecast, projecting the index to close near 6,800 by the end of 2026. The outlook hinges on a six‑week Iran conflict that triggered the largest oil‑supply shock in modern history, a newly...