Trade Alert: More Defense
The author recommends adding a defensive real‑estate investment trust (REIT) to offset the volatility caused by AI hype and geopolitical tensions. The focus is on Rexford Industrial (REXR), which the writer revisited after a May analysis. REXR is positioned to deliver stable yields thanks to strong industrial demand and low vacancy rates. The piece frames the REIT as a hedge against broader market uncertainty while offering attractive cash flow potential.
Constellation Software 4Q'25 Update
Constellation Software reported a solid fourth‑quarter 2025, with its maintenance and recurring revenue segment—about 75% of total sales—growing 6% year‑over‑year, an acceleration of roughly 200 basis points versus the prior quarter. Management said artificial intelligence has not yet affected organic...
Daily Memo: Commercial Shipping and the Conflict in Iran
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced it will condition passage through the Strait of Hormuz on Arab or European nations expelling U.S. and Israeli ambassadors, while simultaneously barring oil exports to the United States and its allies. The move signals...
Colombia Election Notes - March 2026
Colombian right‑wing primaries saw Paloma Valencia capture over 5.5 million votes, eclipsing both Ivan Cepeda and Abelardo de la Espriella. De la Espriella’s early lead proved a prediction‑market bubble lacking grassroots support, and his momentum may soon fade. The governing Pacto Histórico secured legislative majorities...
LNG Shipping Rates Surge 600% as Hormuz Risk Reshapes Global Gas Flows
Geopolitical tension in the Strait of Hormuz has triggered a dramatic spike in spot LNG charter rates, soaring 600% to about $300,000 per day, the highest since the 2022 gas crisis. Analysts estimate a potential 20% reduction in global LNG...
Why Earnings Beat Cash Flow for Long-Term Investment Decisions
A new January 2026 study by McInnis, Silva and Yu shows that while free cash flow predicts short‑term cash generation, earnings become the superior predictor of cash flows over 9‑20‑year horizons. The researchers attribute this reversal to investment accruals, which...
Tencent & OpenClaw Adoption Lead Hong Kong Higher
Asian equities rallied after President Trump’s Iran remarks, with Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index breaking back above 25,000. The surge was led by a wave of OpenClaw adoption, as Tencent unveiled its WorkBuddy AI agent and Alibaba launched HiClaw, sending...
News Roundup for March 10, 2026
Toronto’s rental market continued its decline in February, with average asking rents slipping to $2,030 for the 17th month in a row, a trend analysts attribute to broader affordability constraints beyond simple supply‑and‑demand dynamics. Meanwhile, Premier Doug Ford is weighing...
Oil Sinks, Asian Markets Rally, as Trump Says War Will End ‘Soon’
President Donald Trump’s claim that the U.S.–Israel‑Iran war will end soon helped reverse a sharp oil rally, pulling Brent crude down more than 7% to around $92 a barrel. Iran vowed to halt all Gulf oil exports, while attacks on...
Transcript: Ed Perks, Franklin Income Investors CIO / Franklin Advisers President
Ed Perks, a 40‑year veteran of Franklin Templeton, serves as CIO of Franklin Income Investors and president of its advisory arm. He credits early cross‑asset roles—from equity research to convertible securities—in shaping a disciplined, risk‑focused income philosophy. Perks emphasizes evaluating...
And They’re Off! What Actually Changes as USMCA Talks Officially Begin
The Mexican Economy Ministry and the U.S. Trade Representative announced the formal launch of the joint review of the United States‑Mexico‑Canada Agreement, set to begin on March 16. While Mexico and the United States have been holding informal talks for...
☕ Morning Briefing — Tuesday, March 10, 2026
Oil markets saw a dramatic intraday swing, spiking to nearly $120 per barrel before plunging over 30% to the low $80s as fears of an Iran‑related supply shock receded. The Department of Justice charged two Pennsylvania men with an ISIS‑inspired...
What Happens to a Home Equity Loan on Inherited Property?
An inherited property that carries a home‑equity loan does not erase the debt; the loan can be assumed by a family heir or must be settled by the estate for non‑family successors. Federal rules, including the Garn‑St. Germain Act and the...
RPD Looks at Simon Property Group
RPD revisits Simon Property Group after the REIT’s share price climbed from about $160 to near $200, defying his earlier skepticism about forward earnings growth. He highlights SPG’s strong credit profile—an A‑ rating, $9.1 billion in liquidity against $35 billion of debt,...
Top Links 1037 How Bad Is a Closure of the Straits? Revisiting THAT Summers Chart! The Brits and Dubai &...
Recent surveys reveal a majority of fund managers believe US technology companies are overinvesting in artificial intelligence. Analysts point to soaring R&D budgets and hiring spikes that outpace clear revenue prospects. The sentiment reflects growing skepticism that AI hype translates...
Consus Ag Consulting AM Market Brief
Futures across several markets, including agriculture, opened weaker as energy prices corrected following President Trump’s remarks that the Iran conflict may be winding down. Crude fell nearly $8 per barrel amid expectations of strategic reserve releases and possible easing of...
The Housing Market Freezes as Americans Brace for War
The On The Market podcast highlighted how the emerging Iran‑Russia conflict is injecting fresh uncertainty into the U.S. housing market, prompting buyers and sellers to pause amid rising oil prices and potential rate hikes. Transaction volume has slipped to under...
The Oil Price
Oil is trading at just 26% of its 1950 post‑war real value, making it exceptionally cheap despite a nominal price that has multiplied 38 times since then. The only period it was cheaper in real terms was during the Covid‑19...
CRE: Constraints, Moats and Value
Wall Street wiped 12‑14% off the market caps of CBRE, JLL and Cushman & Wakefield after analysts warned that high‑fee, labor‑intensive CRE models are vulnerable to AI disruption. At the same time, Yardi’s research with AREF found only 45% of...
The Eclipse of the Islamic Republic
U.S. President Donald Trump has issued an unconditional demand that Iran surrender to end the joint U.S.-Israeli operation launched on Feb. 28, which targets Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure. The demand follows Trump’s earlier endorsement of a Kurdish incursion into Iran...
Cocoa’s Rebound Still Sits Inside a Bear Market
ICE May cocoa futures surged nearly 12% this week, climbing from $2,888 to $3,230 per tonne, marking one of the sharpest recoveries after a prolonged liquidation phase. The rally was driven primarily by short‑covering and logistical disruptions rather than fundamental...
10 Books Dave Ramsey Recommends Again and Again
Dave Ramsey, a leading personal‑finance voice, repeatedly recommends ten core books that shape his teachings on money, leadership, and personal growth. The list spans classics like Dale Carnegie’s *How to Win Friends and Influence People* and Jim Collins’s *Good to...
BofA Lifts PT on Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) to $297 From $266
Bank of America raised its price target for Union Pacific Corp. (UNP) to $297 from $266, reaffirming a Buy rating. Jefferies followed suit, lifting its target to $300 from $285 while also maintaining a Buy stance. Both firms cite UNP’s...
Tigress Financial Lifts PT on McDonald’s Corporation (MCD) to $385 From $360 – Here’s Why
Tigress Financial raised its price target for McDonald’s (NYSE:MCD) to $385 from $360, reaffirming a Buy rating. The firm cited the fast‑food giant’s powerful global brand, AI‑driven operational efficiencies, rapid unit expansion, and asset‑light franchise model. Combined with the stock’s...
Why The Procter & Gamble Company (PG) Is One of the Best Stocks That Will Always Grow
Procter & Gamble (PG) remains a cornerstone of consumer‑staples investing as Wells Fargo lifted its price target to $177, citing the stock’s strong defensive profile. In fiscal Q2 2026 the company posted $22.2 billion in net sales, a modest 1% year‑over‑year increase, while...
Barclays Retains an Equal Weight Rating on Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. (ACHC)
Barclays analyst Andrew Mok raised Acadia Healthcare’s price target to $20, up from $14, while keeping an Equal Weight rating. The company posted fourth‑quarter 2025 revenue of $821.5 million, a 6.1% year‑over‑year increase, and reported adjusted EBITDA of $99.8 million. A $996.2 million...
What Negative Gearing and Capital Gains Tax Do – Here’s the Data; Here’s the Evidence
Australia’s federal budget foresees $11.99 billion annually lost to negative gearing and the capital gains tax discount, with a projected $193.9 billion revenue shortfall over the next decade if unchanged. In 2025 investors accounted for 39 percent of new housing loan commitments—almost double...
U.S. Treasury Rates Weekly Update for March 6, 2026
U.S. Treasury yields climbed across the board for the week ending March 6, 2026. The benchmark 30‑year rate rose 0.13 percentage points, while the 10‑year advanced 0.18 points to 4.15 %. The 3‑year note settled at 3.59 %, reflecting broader upward pressure on government debt yields....
Simple Money Lessons Kids Can Learn From Everyday Banking Tasks
Parents can turn everyday banking activities into practical financial lessons for children, turning routine tasks like deposits and bill payments into teachable moments. By showing kids how money moves in digital apps, explaining needs versus wants, and setting up goal‑specific...
Market Morsel: Making the Most of Wheat Market Volatility
The piece highlights a shift from a tranquil 2025 wheat market to renewed volatility driven by the Middle Eastern conflict. It outlines how weather, geopolitics, trade policy and speculative capital historically cause rapid price swings in grain markets. Seasonal harvest...
2026 Q2 Contract Prices Jump Further … Especially in NSW
Australian Q2 electricity contract prices surged this week, with the New South Wales (NSW) market showing the sharpest increase. The rise follows the onset of the Middle East conflict, which analysts say is filtering through to Australian energy pricing. ez2view...
John Rogers: Where Investors Should Look Beyond The Mega-Cap Trade
John Rogers, co‑CEO of Ariel Investments, warned that the current market turbulence is driven more by policy decisions and geopolitical tension than by traditional credit cycles. He highlighted a widening gap in consumer spending, with affluent consumers still splurging while...
Top Superinvestors Are Buying ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW)
Top institutional investors dramatically increased their stakes in ServiceNow (NOW) during the latest 13F filing period, adding roughly $2.5 billion in new equity. The purchases were led by Ken Fisher’s Fisher Asset Management, which added over 6.6 million shares, followed by sizable...
Beef Processors Push Hard as Cattle Flow Shifts
Cattle yarding and processing indices rebounded sharply in February 2026 after the typical January lull, but the recovery was uneven across regions. New South Wales, South Australia, Victoria and Tasmania returned to near‑full capacity, while Queensland’s yardings lagged despite a...
Global Cattle Pricing Update
The March 2026 global cattle price review shows the United States firmly ahead, with heavy‑steer values at 761¢/kg live weight. Australia’s prices have surged 30% year‑on‑year to 443¢/kg, while Argentina has climbed to 468¢/kg, now slightly above Australian levels. Brazil remains...
TMTB EOD Wrap
The Nasdaq‑100 ETF (QQQ) rebounded 1.3% after an early rally sparked by G‑7 reserve‑release speculation, while oil prices fell 4% amid mixed geopolitical signals from a Trump comment on the Strait of Hormuz. AI‑focused semiconductor stocks drove the broader tech...
Oil Prices Plunge as Trump Signals Iran War Nearing End
U.S. President Donald Trump’s remarks that the conflict with Iran is “very complete” sent oil markets tumbling. Crude futures dropped about 6.9%, settling at $84.62 a barrel, the steepest decline in weeks. Trump claimed U.S. forces had neutralized Iranian naval...
SpotGamma Flags the Breakdown in Strategy (MSTR) — Traders Capture 5:1 to 9:1 Downside Move
SpotGamma’s Compass, Equity Hub, and HIRO flow tools identified a bearish breakdown in MicroStrategy (MSTR) after the stock slipped below the critical $165 call wall, a key gamma level. The breach triggered aggressive put buying and call selling, prompting market...
Machine Learning for Derivative Pricing and Crash Prediction
Recent research demonstrates that machine learning can dramatically accelerate the pricing of complex derivatives and improve crash‑prediction analytics. A two‑stage framework using a Gaussian Process Regressor (GPR) trained on full volatility‑surface inputs delivers near‑instant valuations with sub‑percent errors for variance...
Q&A: Cushman & Wakefield's Brad Newman-Bennett On The State Of Real Estate Insolvencies
Brad Newman‑Bennett of Cushman & Wakefield warns that Canadian real‑estate insolvencies have moved beyond secondary lenders to senior banks, as land values have slumped roughly 50 % since purchase. The fallout has stalled high‑rise, concrete projects while distressed sales remain scarce...
Toronto Condos In Recession, Filled With Supply No One Wants: BMO
BMO Capital Markets declares Toronto’s condo segment in recession, citing a 9.5% year‑over‑year price drop and sales falling 6.4% in February. The market is awash with new units, many of which lack buyer interest, leading to project cancellations and delayed...
California ‘Dream For All’ 2026 Open Through March 16 for First-Time Home Buyers
California’s Housing Finance Agency has reopened the Dream For All Shared Appreciation Loan program, offering first‑generation, first‑time homebuyers up to $150,000 in down‑payment or closing‑cost assistance. Applicants must meet income and residency criteria and are chosen through a lottery, with...
Why You Should Factor Property Taxes Into Your Long Term Budget Plan
Homebuyers often focus on purchase price and mortgage rates, but property taxes represent a variable, recurring expense that can significantly affect cash flow. Because taxes are tied to assessed values and municipal budgets, they can rise unexpectedly, altering the total...
How to Remove Someone From a Mortgage | No Refinancing
The article explains that a co‑borrower can be removed from a mortgage without refinancing, though this route is uncommon. It outlines five alternatives—mortgage assumption, court‑ordered removal, lender release, bankruptcy, and quitclaim deed—detailing their requirements, benefits, and drawbacks. Cost analysis shows...
💡Trade Idea for Monday March 9, 2026
The company is aggressively expanding, targeting over 300 locations system‑wide by 2026, with early test markets delivering higher average ticket sizes, increased transaction volume, and a near‑4% lift in comparable sales. Technically, the stock has pulled back from a recent...
California Is Booming With New Investors—Here’s Why the Long-Term Prospects Could Become a Cash Cow
San Luis Obispo County has become California’s third‑hottest market for single‑family home investment, with 7,454 purchases last year. The surge is driven primarily by mom‑and‑pop investors—small owners who hold fewer than five properties—who now own about 91% of the state’s...
USDJPY Technicals: USDJPY Backs Off 158.89 Resistance. What Next?
The USD/JPY pair surged earlier today, testing the 158.89 resistance that halted rallies on Jan. 15 and Jan. 22. Sellers stepped in, pushing the pair down to a low of 157.96, now hovering near the 157.65‑157.97 swing zone. A decisive break below...
Roy Bonnell Says Allied Critical Metals’ Borralha Tungsten Project Shows Billion-Dollar Potential as Western Supply Tightens
Allied Critical Metals released a Preliminary Economic Assessment for its Borralha tungsten project in northern Portugal, estimating an after‑tax NPV of $706.4 million at a $1,500 per metric tonne WO₃ price and $91 million initial capital for an 11‑year mine life. CEO...
GBPUSD Technicals: GBPUSD Rebounds but Tests Key Resistance
The GBPUSD pair fell sharply early, slipping below the 1.3298‑1.3305 swing area and touching a low of 1.3282 before buyers pushed it back above the 100‑hour moving average at 1.3347. Improved risk sentiment—driven by lower oil prices, falling yields and...
EURUSD Tecnicals: EURUSD Rebounds as Oil Eases and Markets Stabilize
Crude oil slipped below $100 as speculation grew that G7 ministers may tap strategic reserves, calming inflation worries. U.S. 10‑year Treasury yields hovered near 4.135%, barely up, while equities modestly recovered from recent lows. The euro‑dollar pair rose to an...