Oil Dip, Not Economy, Drives 10‑year Yield Drop
10-year yield pulled back from 4.21% to 4.11%. Not because the economy is fine. Because oil retreated and gave the bond market a breath. One headline away from 4.25%. https://t.co/62rQysSFLG
Demand Drops only After Gas Hits $5 per Gallon
At what price is demand destruction when it comes to gasoline prices? According to Casey's General Store on their earnings call yesterday, “on the volume side of things, with absolute retail prices, we really don’t start to see any level...
Bull Market Over: Skip Dips Amid Banking Weakness
The Bull Market has ended - Do not buy the Dip - weakness spreads to Banking stocks - war is not the only issue - economic uncertainty exists... https://t.co/BqgNXFVo0C via @YouTube https://t.co/kru0wt4D2t
Oracle Call Spread Bet Hinges on IGV Support
📺 $ORCL EARNINGS TRADE & WILL MONEY ROTATE TO $IGV? In this Short video, I go through my defined-risk earnings trade in $ORCL using a $160–$170 call spread that costs $2 and could return $8 if the stock closes above $170....
Russell Index Shows
Russ is the only index showing some persistency of trend to the downside. Nice Sell short day coniguration last night. Ironically tho, it also formed a three bar triangle (Breakout pattern_ tho not a tight one. https://t.co/KA1LluTwIx
UST 2s Offer Yield Above SOFR Funding Rate
Generally, this has been good value for UST 2s. Chart of yield less funding rate (SOFR) https://t.co/jPLWuxmxaW
TSSI Pre‑Market Holds, Targeting $15.30+ on Strong Demand
$TSSI - "TSS Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2025 Financial Results" Higher float stock than I'd usually watch, but I like how this is settling here in pre-market. Will be watching this as long as demand/VWAP holds into open (or on...
Actelis Wins Japanese Govt Contract, Traders Eye Scalp Range
$ASNS - "Actelis Networks Secures Japanese Governmental Order for Cyber-Hardened Networking Solutions for Critical Infrastructure" Will be watching this into market open for scalp opportunities as long as it maintains strength over VWAP/trailing EMAs Plenty of range here ($0.75, $1.00+)
Lyons Share Daily Pre‑Market Outlook for March 11
(PREMIUM) The Lyons Share Daily Pre-Market Outlook & Charts videos for 3/11/2025 are up: https://t.co/parZib6RZE Among markets covered: $SPLV $QQXT $RSP $SPY $VIX $SMH $IGV $ITA $XLE $GDX $SIL $EPU $EFA $DXY $GLD $SLV $PLTM $BTC $TNX
IGV $84
We’ll see if $IGV holds $84.90 area. That’s a key for software and how much of early strength $orcl holds https://t.co/gTNeafrucx
Zig Zag Indicator Mirrors Red‑Green‑Red ATR Formula
This "Zig Zag" indicator on CQG is the same formula that drives my "red-green-red" color bars...a volatility ATR (variation on what Welles Wilder published). The 240-minute A B C structure shows up on daily candles as well. https://t.co/cAAiy72hxl
Oil's Wild Swing Reveals Conviction‑free Market
$WTI crashed from $100 to $83 in a session. Then bounced back to $87. Oil volatility this extreme hasn't happened since 2008. Every rip gets sold. Every dip gets bought. Nobody has conviction. Everyone has exposure. https://t.co/UWmcEvxdHn
Today's Yield Predicts Bond Returns with 97% Accuracy
Want to know where bond returns are headed? Just look at today’s yield. Over the last 50 years, the correlation between starting yields and forward 7-year returns is 97%. Higher yields = higher future returns. Lower yields = lower future returns. Bond investing is just...
TSX Hits Weekly PSAR Stop, MACD Turns Down
the $TSX triggered the weekly PSAR stop and #MACD rolling over from a high level... https://t.co/NFYwViRf9f
Gold Surged 60% Post-Powell, Fell with War
At the end of February, gold was up 60% from Powell's dovish speech at Jackson Hole on Aug 22, which is what sparked the "debasement trade." After a massive gain like that, it's no surprise that gold fell once war...
TSX Shows Upward Momentum on DCATR Model
i tend to lean more on my S&P 500 "DCATR" model, but here's Toronto $TSX stocks and you can see it's turned upwards... past upward turns marked by vertial lines... https://t.co/6qZ6Mxcw9t
NVDA Pre‑market Gap Hits 20% of Average Volume
$NBIS on my @Deepvue pre market gap screen. $NVDA investment news Pre market volume is 20% of it's average daily volume already. Significant. Set to open just below a key level in the base https://t.co/IFPrymoD1T
Master Simple Money Habits, Transform Your Finances
The basics to crush your finances: - Track spending - Aim to save/invest 25% - Full 401k match - Max out Roth/HSA - Pay off high interest debt - 6+ month emergency fund Nailing the basics goes a long way.
Micro‑caps Hit Relative Highs, Signaling Risk‑on Market
U.S. micro-cap $IWC stocks closed at new relative highs vs. U.S. small-caps $IWM... sounds like risk-on type behaviour...
Neutral CPI, Bullish Gold, Target US500 Shorts at 6900
US CPI : Almost neutral CPI data , nothing worth noticing. I remain bullish on Gold & currently in longs. Looking for US500 shorts at / near 6900s supply zone
Nasdaq Climbs, Tech Leads Ahead of Nvidia AI Event
Nasdaq up this month as tech leads... ahead of $NVDA GTC AI next week... more on this to come from me on @stockcharts today https://t.co/IlsIu73lFb
Unbalanced Globalization Persists: Insights From PGIM’s Daleep Singh
A conversation between me and PGIM's Daleep Singh (recorded before the bombs started falling on Tehran) that covers a number of big macro themes -- including the persistence of an unhealthy and unbalanced forms of globalization. https://t.co/9i02acEiiE
Seasonal Blend Adds 25¢; Limited Further Gas Rise
25 cents of the 65-cent surge in retail gasoline prices was due to the usual seasonal switch to the summer RBOB blend... ...and if futures hold here, we are only looking at another 10-15 cents of pump-price upside $UGA $GASO...
USTs Slide as Record IG Issuance Fuels Supply Pressure
Oddly USTs under pressure ahead of what is expected to be a soft Feb CPI (0.2 core) print. Supply seems to be part of it. Yesterday's 11-deal IG issuance ($66B) was the biggest single session on record.
Market Breadth Weakens, Indices Retrace—Patience Over Hope
Breadth is still declining and below all moving averages, and the indices stopped and retraced exactly where they were supposed to. And it feels like many are wishing, hoping, and trying to make something happen when there really isn't...
Both Private Assets and US Housing Face Dismal Returns
I'm trying to decide which asset class will have worse returns over the next 5 years: Private assets or U.S. residential real estate. Private assets are illiquid and investors are getting impatient, while home prices have outrun incomes and no one...
WTI Oil Bounces Between $82‑$92 Since Monday
Ex the plunge yesterday afternoon, WTI crude oil has ranged from $82 to $92 since mid-Monday https://t.co/B3lICn2XOe
S&P 500’s 6759 Level Crucial; Watch Oil
$SPX went 6636 to 6845 yesterday and pulled back, and now 6759 (yesterday’s low) is the key—if it can’t hold, it gets sloppier. Most things are just range trades, and keep an eye on oil. https://t.co/LABgJBL6qw
WTI Crude Likely Slides Below $57.42 by 2026
A Down 2026 for WTI Crude Oil Is Under $57.42; What Stops It? The world's largest energy producer and net exporter's attack on Iran and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz provided strong reasons to pump crude oil prices...
Energy Index Surge Threatened by Falling US‑Canada Demand
Collapsing US, Canada Demand vs. Supply and Energy - The Bloomberg Energy Spot Index (BCOMENSP) has had an exceptional year in 2026, gaining about 30% to March 10. Is it sustainable? My graphic shows top reasons why the 1Q pump...
CPI Data Set to Drive Volatile Opening, Semis Lead
🚨 Morning Market Rundown – March 11, 2026 🚨 Big macro morning with CPI inflation data at 8:30am, which could drive the tone for the entire session. Inflation numbers remain one of the market’s biggest catalysts right now, so expect volatility...
US Fertilizer Prices Surge with Global Market Trends
"Farmers Face Skyrocketing Fertilizer Prices," https://t.co/CYP8u85BYC "Even when the United States is not directly importing fertilizer from the Middle East, domestic prices still follow global markets." 😲 https://t.co/5N5ApqoDhL
Oil Climbs 2% as Iran Threatens Tech Sites, Reserves Released
Oil prices +2% - here’s the latest: ⚠️ Iran: Says it will target U.S. technology company facilities next, including $AMZN $MSFT $NVDA $IBM $ORCL $PLTR locations in Israel, Dubai, and Abu Dhabi 🛢️ Oil reserve release updates: 🇩🇪 Germany to partially release national...
Three Steps to Secure Finances Beyond a £12k Pension
The current state pension is around £12k. Regardless of whether the state pension goes bust, changes, or is means treated - here’s 3 things you need to do
Canadian Dollar Poised to Outperform Amid Heavy Shorts
The reality is: If you like commodities, you should also appreciate resource-rich economies — and their currencies. Canadian “peso” poised to outperform while it remains one of the most heavily shorted currencies in the world today. You don’t need to tell me...
Mean Reversion Strategies Post Strong YTD Gains
Mean reversion (MR) subscribers: We have published today's updates. There are new signals for a bonus strategy. -#ES_F bonus MR +21.1% YTD -Bonus MR+momentum: +4.8% YTD $GLD $TLT -Main MR strategy: +5.7% YTD $SPY $QQQ Links in profile (#5/Delivery)👇
War Sparks Call for Coordinated Oil Reserve Release
Middle East War Intensifies, IEA Proposes a Coordinated Release of Strategic Reserves, G7 to Consider: The dollar is mixed as the North American session is about to begin. Heightened expectations of a rate hike next week have lifted the Australian...
Latest Market Outlook: Signals & Action Plan Across Assets
NEW POST: - Updated Market Conditions: covering OIL, STOCKS, VIX, CREDIT, and more. - Main Signals we’re Watching. - Updated Actional Plan. 🔗Link in profile. Good luck out there, -MC https://t.co/w5AQk5ZdCP
Oil Prices Drop, Likely Stabilize at $90‑$100
I wrote this piece: "What can make the oil price fall?" on Sunday night because debate around oil had gotten far too one-sided. We've now fallen significantly and - while hostilities continue - I think we'll bounce around in a...
Passive Investors Sell Value, Buy Pricey Stocks—Uncover True Value
The recent rotation from growth to “value”, passive investors, in actuality, are selling value stocks to buy expensive stocks. Confused? In this follow-up, we take our three-tier earnings valuation framework, introduced in the article, a step further to uncover...
AUD Hits Two-Year High on Looming Rate Hike
$AUD reached its best level since June 2022 amid heightened expectations of a rate hike next week. $USD more broadly mixed. PBOC lows USD fix again. US CPI seems dated but will show floor before the war....
Strait of Horm
US political leaders, the oil industry, and traders are waking up to what we advised clients in June: restoring oil and LNG flow in the Strait of Hormuz won't be quick or easy. A load-bearing assumption in global energy is...
IEA Report Signals Shift From Oil Oversupply to Shortages
From oversupply to concern of shortages - IEA oil stocks release is coming, sources say https://t.co/ttzyIWK0qw
German 10‑Year Auction Falls Short, Yield Climbs to 2.89%
Good Morning from Germany, where today’s 10y govt bond auction technically failed. Of the €5bn on offer, investors submitted bids for only €4.5bn. In the end, just €3.8bn was placed, at a yield of 2.89%; noticeably higher than the 2.73%...
NICL Shows Modest Gains but Remains Low‑rated
#NICL decent results. Cash (I think that's Net) £55.7m (up). Interesting Brand Licence with #APN (I hold APN). ShareScope has fwd p/e 13.6 falling to 12.9 and fwd Divvy 3.7% rising to 3.9%; strip out cash it's lowly rated. I...
Russian Oil Tax Price Tops Budget Target Amid Iran War
MOSCOW, March 11 (Reuters) - The price of Russian oil used for taxation has exceeded the budget target for the first time since January 2025 because of the rise in global prices caused by the Iran war, Reuters calculations showed...
Manufacturing PMIs Validate EPS Breadth as Cycle Beta
This makes sense - manufacturing PMIs corroborate EPS breadth as it’s the beta of the business cycle. Thanks for bringing back the 📙! https://t.co/SrEetSesnP
China's Trade Surplus Grows as Property Recovery Stalls
Frustrating. China won't use the "clean" balance sheet of the central government to support a real recovery from the prolonged property market slump. The net result: a rising trade surplus supports China's growth at the expense of its trading...
SUPR Trades Near NTA, Targets Dividend Growth, Acquisition Opportunities
#SUPR results OK. EPRA NTA per Share 87.5p (up) against Share price 82p; so discount relatively small now. Cost down from bringing operation in-house. Target minimum 2% Dividend Growth from FY2027. Appears to be lots of opportunities to acquire Supermarket...
Reserve Composition Outweighs Sheer Size, IEA Shows
More on the IEA reserves: US has only crude Japan has a mix of crude and products Europe has mostly products The mix of the release is as important as the size of the release