Lifestyle Creep Traps You in a Rigid Life
A great life on paper but no optionality? That is exactly what lifestyle creep will do to you.
Energy Secretary Whipsaws Crude Prices Again
A now-deleted post from Energy Secretary Chris Wright whipsawed crude for the second-straight session 🤡 @ENERGY $USO https://t.co/XlECoBdhiQ via @WSJ
G7 Leaders Convene Video Call on Gulf War Energy Crisis
G7 head of state and/or government will hold a video call Wednesday to discuss the impact of the Third Gulf War, particularly around the “energy situation” and the Strait of Hormuz. The call is scheduled for 2pm GMT. I doubt this...
UAE's Defense Spending Outpaces Iran's Offense Tenfold
“… Right now it looks like the Gulf - especially the UAE - is spending something like $28 in defense for every $1 Iran spends on offense […] that's not a long-term equation anyone wants to …”
Norway, Iceland Eye EU Membership Amid U.S. Shift
As the U.S. becomes more transactional and predatory, Norway and Iceland are now considering EU membership to add a bit more security. #eu #geopolitics https://t.co/ziNWQ6FQIW
Buy DIS on Dips: Parks Expansion Drives Cash Flow
Macro: Disney reshuffles; Thomas Mazloum named Chair of Disney Experiences as D’Amaro becomes CEO. Risk: parks/cruise execution, capex. Trade: buy DIS on dips—parks expansion underpins cash flow. 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Oil Prices Mirror Chaos Theory's Butterfly Effect
My monthly takes a look at oil price scenarios Inspired by Jurassic Park and Jeff Goldblum’s explaination of chaos theory. This hit close to home. Made my mom cry - should have warned her about the ending. The Butterfly Effect...
Flat Market Masks AI Surge, Gold Record, CPI Shock
🚨 US MARKET — MARCH 10, 2026 🚨 S&P 500: 6,781 (-0.21%) | Dow: 47,707 (-0.07%) Nasdaq: flat | Russell: -0.22% The market barely moved. But underneath: • Oracle: best AI earnings in 15 years — after hours • BioNTech crashed 18% — founders leaving •...
Every Dip Purchase Eventually Matched Earnings Growth, Surprisingly
People like to claim that traders have been trained like circus monkeys to buy every dip. But has there been any dip buying which, ex post, wasn’t justified by subsequent realized earning growth?
SP500 Do
#SP500 doji Candle. Support 6636. Resistance 6845, 6952. RSI 45 bit off Neutral. 13/21 day EMAs Bearish. Bottom Bollinger Band 6724. Midpoint Line 6844. Top Band 6965.
Extreme Crude Oil Price Swings Linked to Inflation
New free article: Tail Events in Crude Oil Plus Inflation-Adjusted Prices. Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/zZ0F6nhkje
Repo Stress Forces UST Basis Trades to Unwind, Cut Duration
Macro: leveraged basis/swap trades in USTs unwind as repo stress. Drivers: regulation, supply surge, margin calls. Risk: disorderly USTs and deleveraging. Trade: reduce duration. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Energy Secretary's Tweet Triggers $80 Oil Dip
Why you reeeeally need to think before you tweet if you’re the Energy Secretary. Oil prices fell under $80 bc of this. US official: ‘Not true’ Navy successfully escorted oil tanker through Strait of Hormuz https://t.co/nI7oZeeaDh
Pakistan Deploys Navy to Guard Oil Lifelines Amid Saudi Ties
Pakistan says it has launched a naval operation to protect its “energy lifelines.” In some ways expected: oil importing nations in Asia may step in protecting their own tankers. (Importantly, Pakistan has a defence treaty with Saudi Arabia, and buys...
Reopen Hormuz Strait, Not Ban Oil Exports
Want to understand what's going on with rising oil prices and Iran? I gave a full breakdown on @tbpn. The basics: • There is absolutely no substitute for reopening the Strait of Hormuz, whether through rapid victory or through a well-protected convoy. •...
Steeper Uptrends Predict Sharper Market Reversals
The longer and steeper the uptrend, the more violent the reversion when it finally breaks. FactSet edition $FDS
Iran Says Current Oil Disruption 4‑20× Worse than Past Crises
Foreign Minister of Iran claiming current oil disruption is 4-20x more severe than previous oil crises https://t.co/33VOGTSEeb
Oracle Delivers Solid Quarter Despite Ongoing Doubts
$ORCL did the business this quarter. Won’t eliminate the haters nor guarantee its debt but its doing what it needs to do.
Brazil's High Money Supply Fuels Inflation Above Target
#BrazilWatch🇧🇷: Brazil's inflation is 4.4%/yr. That's ABOVE its 3.0% inflation target. Brazil’s M4 is growing at 9.4%/yr. That is ABOVE Hanke’s Golden Growth Rate of 7.1%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its 3.0%/yr inflation target. INFLATION STORY = A MONEY SUPPLY STORY....
Tillis Hopeful Fed Hurdles Cleared for Warsh Chair Nomination
Sen. Thom Tillis (R-N.C.) said Tuesday he was hopeful that issues surrounding the Federal Reserve would be resolved, allowing Kevin Warsh’s nomination as central bank chair to move forward. https://t.co/7hUfth4Lf9
SPX Reverses After 100‑Day MA, Lower Low Possible
$SPX - The rally continued today until it hit the 100 day MA, but then we had a bearish reversal and closed the day lower. The bottom isn't confirmed yet so there may still be a lower low this week....
Housing Affordability Improves, Yet Outlook Remains Fragile
Joined @SchwabNetwork to discuss the spring housing outlook. Affordability is improving, rates are lower than a year ago, and pent-up demand is real. But a low-hire, low-fire labor market and geopolitical uncertainty keep the outlook fragile. I'm still cautiously optimistic.
February Median Home Prices Rise—Expected, Not Surprising
Not a shocker to see the median sales price tick up in February. This was expected. Happens almost every single year. Remember, the median isn't a perfect metric to gauge price change (there is no perfect metric). Lots of stats...
War Expands to Civilian Infrastructure, Risking Economic Disaster
The Iran War is shifting toward civilian infrastructure. Israel is targeting fuel depots around Tehran, & Iran struck a desalination facility in Bahrain. Further escalation could carry serious economic & humanitarian consequences. Access Peter's 3/11 Q&A https://t.co/mlYf8sohf4 https://t.co/Azea9LqQlh
ServiceNow’s Stop Loss Triggered, Back On
Stop hit on $NOW all out for good %. The name goes back on watch
Taking a Small Short on Riv
Little SHORT here on $RIVN to end the day @traderTVLIVE thanks Brian for coming on @alphatrends https://t.co/6jfnEDLi6q
Key CPI, US Budget, and T‑Note Sale Drive Tomorrow
Not an overly active global macro calendar for tomorrow, but an important one. Top of the list is the February #CPI release. Will also watch that US monthly budget statement and 10-year t-note sale. Japan has some worthy data as well...
ETF Manager Vows Not to Sell 35% SpaceX SPV
“We have a plan… And we don’t plan to sell the SpaceX SPV (which is curr 35% of the ETF)” - Joel Schuman of $XOVR on ETF IQ yesterday talking about the situation in the fund rn @kgreifeld @scarletfu https://t.co/cIkYtbXxBF
AVGO Hits Stop Loss, Returns to Watchlist
$AVGO no green to red stop hit all out for OK %. The name goes back on go to list
Dollar's Downtrend Persists; Rallies Likely Temporary
The long-term outlook for the US dollar hasn’t changed. We remain in a major downtrend — something worth remembering during brief rallies like the one we just saw. The dollar is still sitting at a critical level, and these bouts of strength...
SPY Sell Zone Identified at $682‑$684
Some nice calls and plays if u tuned into @WOLF_Financial @StocksOnSpaces $spy $682-$684 was area to sell at first kiss
Biolsi’s Hedgeye Call Delivers Another Long CASY Win
Another winner from Biolsi @Hedgeye_Staples that you got from The Call @HedgeyeTV today too = Long $CASY
Nifty50 Futures Premium Signals Stable Market Conditions
Nifty50 March futures settled at...132 points premium over spot. >> Traditionally this reflects healthy implied financing (r − d) in the system. In simple terms, funding conditions are comfortable and there’s no aggressive demand to short futures. >> That usually aligns with...
Hedgeye Retail Predicted KSS Reversal, McGough Confirms
McGough nailed this $KSS reversal. But, if you watch The Call @HedgeyeTV every day, you already knew that @HedgeyeRetail
Market Offers Few Safe Havens: Short COST, WMT
Another illustration that displays just how few places there are to hide in this market. Short $COST big. Short $WMT smedium. https://t.co/GNQlkIyRbv
Milei’s Inflation Surge Outpaces Even Hanke’s Growth Benchmark
Argentina’s inflation comes in at a RED HOT 32.4%/yr. Argentina’s money supply (M3) is growing at 38.7%/yr. That's WELL ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 14.8%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting its de facto 10%/yr inflation target. INFLATION = PRES. MILEI'S ACHILLES...
Oil Shocks Historically Slash Equity Valuations
Taking a look back to the 1930’s, we can see the various oil spikes over time. The top panel shows the 5-year CAPE ratio, and the bottom panel shows nominal oil prices in brown, and inflation-adjusted oil prices in purple...
Hormuz Tensions Spike Oil, Pressure Global Markets
Oil prices are spiking as the frozen Straits of Hormuz has become the epicenter of the conflict. As of Sunday night’s futures open, WTI futures are trading at $108, which could make the...
Stagflation Looms as Iran Tensions Test Market Resilience
With the conflict in Iran becoming seemingly more contracted, the markets seem to be pricing in a less benign outcome despite what has been a Goldilocks backdrop of robust earnings growth, rising margins and productivity, hefty capex spending, an easing...
Roku to Disclose Platform Revenue Segments for First Time
⚡️ Roku to Breakout Platform Revenue for the 1st Time Ever ⚡️ Investors have been asking @Roku to breakout the components of platform revenue for as long as we can remember. Earlier today, at an investor conference, $ROKU CFO, Dan Jedda,...
CBOE Stands Out as Rare Financial Buy Signal
Buying $CBOE on red today. Why is this one of the few "Financials" Signaling Buy? @SamofAmerica
Exited $RIG on First Lower‑Highs Signal
Sold a bunch of $RIG this morning on the 1st lower-highs Signal fyi @SamofAmerica @RPKent
AMH Offers Lease Buyouts for Tenants Amid Builder Aggression
Institutional landlord AMH says some Florida homebuilders are buying out their tenants leases "Some of the builders in our Florida markets got pretty aggressive, and we're willing to buy out some of our leases for our residents who were...
Oil Prices Swing Amid Naval Escort and Mine Threats
Crude Oil has to be impossible to trade right now Red = Transportation Secretary Chris Wright says the Navy escorted a ship through the Strait of Hormuz, -8.3% Blue = Social Media post deleted, +5.49% Green = repost below, potential mines in the...
Expectations, Not Setup, Cause Trading Losses
Your setup didn’t burn you. 🔥 Your expectations did. Even a 60% strategy loses 4 out of 10 trades. Consistency comes from executing the same edge over and over until the probabilities play out. Comment VWAP and I’ll send the guide 📈 #TraderMindset #DayTradingLife #TradingEducation
Bank of America Projects Strong 7% NII Growth
$BAC conference notes no change to solid fundamentals: 1Q expects NII 7% y/y growth, WM DD, IB up 10% with loan growth "out of the gate strong" led by commercial & above H.8 data.
High‑Yield Bonds Still Holding Amid Tight Spreads
$HYG hasn't cracked yet. Credit spreads are tight while equities chop and oil spikes. High yield is either the smartest market in the room or the last one to figure it out. https://t.co/v5eGL2YwEZ
USD/JPY Surge Pauses, Yen Breakdown Risk Rises
Japanese Yen Short-term Outlook: USD/JPY Three-Week Surge Stalls – Breakdown Risk Builds https://t.co/Jpdp8iqepv $USDJPY Daily & 240min Charts https://t.co/bYSgW6uDag
Oil Swings $21 in Two Hours—Unprecedented Volatility
Absolute insanity: In just 2 hours, oil prices have now fallen -$10/barrel and risen +$11/barrel, with prices now nearing $90/barrel again. This is unprecedented volatility.
Salesforce to Issue $25B Debt for Share Buyback
Salesforce $CRM is reportedly planning to sell as much as $25 billion worth of debt in order to fund its share buyback plan - Bloomberg