China’s Record Oil Stockpiles Signal Hidden Market Insight
China's oil inventories are at record high.. What do the Chinese know that we don't? Daily Energy Report Link: https://t.co/yJIG1S9GHe
Libya's Central Bank Funded Tripoli Assault Through Abu Dhabi
Eastern Libya’s Top Money Man - or how Libya’s central bank financed the assault on Tripoli by way of Abu Dhabi. The Sentry article featured in the Chartbook Top Links today. https://t.co/zY0VaxASFE https://t.co/unp3sIz4If
Mega‑caps Slide, Cuts Won’t Boost Broader Market
In fairness it was either this or a real recession post Covid. I would say w the mega caps now losing ground it's unlikely forcing more cuts would do much either at least in real terms. But it is semi amusing...
War Drives Oil and Rates, Not Stocks, Heatmap Shows
This heatmap shows vol-adjusted moves 25FEB26 (pre-war) to yesterday's close. Matches today's short-term price action. Oil and rates are the war trades... FX kinda... Stocks not at all. https://t.co/NHgKcH2x8z
Stocks Slide Despite Trump‑Backed Iran Ceasefire Extension
Daily US stock review — Tues Apr 21, 2026. The market failed its own test today. Trump extended the Iran ceasefire into the close — exactly the kind of headline this tape has been rallying on for two weeks — and...
Commodities Win High Inflation;
GS: Commodities have tended to outperform in periods of high and rising inflation but with falling inflation real estate and infrastructure stocks have tended to perform better https://t.co/uKhMnG8nTd
Tech Junk Debt Spikes as Broader Credit Stays Risk‑on
Software 45% of distressed lev loans, up from 42% $130B+ of junk-rated tech debt maturing in 2028 Meanwhile, the rest of credit is firmly risk-on
USD Floor and Oil Stabilization Signal Fed Trouble
The greenback found a short-term floor at $97.90 just as oil stopped going down. That's not a coincidence. Both are telling you the Fed is screwed. EM and credit feel it first because they fund in dollars and import the oil.
Easter, Not Trends, Drove Fleeting Box Office Surge
Early in this month the box office quarter to date was running ahead of any year in history. Apes posited a massive and permanent return to box office glory. Box office is now running behind even last year. $AMC made a...
Shielding Beneficiaries From Creditors: Clever or Cynical?
Protecting beneficiaries from creditors ... including spouses Cynical or smart? Friday's newsletter: Tax secrets of the ultra-wealthy https://t.co/e3EZsg82z0
0DTE Options, Not Perps, Best Adjacent to Prediction Markets
the new product category that is most naturally adjacent to events-based contracts for prediction markets to go after is actually not perps it's 0DTE options few
Adobe Counters AI Skeptics with Enterprise Push and $25B Buyback
At the $ADBE investor session. Bear case has been “AI kills Adobe.” Today’s counter: agentic CX Enterprise, GenStudio content supply chain, Jensen on the keynote stage, and a fresh $25B buyback through 2030. Offense, not defense. We will see… https://t.co/NugdF0BBaj
Housing Sector Buzz: Multiple Acquisitions Signal Rising Value
Worth noting the activity picking up in housing sector: $QXO acquires $BLD, $TOL acquires assets from Buffington Homes of Arkansas (it's 16th acquisition since 1995 btw) and $HD adds Mingledorff last month. Some see value in this industry.
Deferred Income Can Still Be Taxed by Original State
Like many rules, there's an exception: When a person working in one state defers some of their income, then moves to a different state (where they ultimately receive the income), that income can in certain cases be taxed by the first state...
Oil Surge Makes 2026 Fed Rate Cuts Unlikely
WTI back at $88, with the Strait closed again, means the Fed's path just got harder. Energy feeds into CPI with a lag, so every week oil stays elevated, and every dollar above $80 is another month of sticky inflation prints....
Cheap Stocks' Historical Edge Vanishes Post‑GFC
For most of modern history, a cheat code was to own the cheapest 30% of the market based on P/CF; you would have outperformed the most expensive 30% by ~3.6% per year. That has broken down since the GFC, &...
Down 1.3% Yet Scored 60% AMZN Gain
Finished the day down 1.3% or -$545 Some nice trades today - closed $AMZN put bull spread for a 60% gain - opened $ETHA csp for a $75 premium. How did you do today?
Firefly Aerospace to Release Q1 2026 Results May 4
Firefly Aerospace to announce First Quarter 2026 financial results on May 4, 2026 https://t.co/Kg4DJTQoW0 $FLY https://t.co/1g3M7Ez5Wu
Caution Ahead: Trim Risk, Tighten Stops, Stay Calm
From the daily EOD video to X Subscribers Market condition: Yellow light (caution). -Not a confirmed sell; sellers are not clearly in control yet. -Emerging lower highs and lower lows, but the five-day moving averages are still rising. Implications: -Take your foot off the gas:...
From $100 to $714: Stock Surge Stuns Renter
firstly, i'm just a guy on the sidelines, having rented a car from Budget in the past year, but no $CAR ownership... but someone today stood in for 1,000 May 8th $750 calls? geesh... a month ago, the stock was...
FMKT Slips 1% yet Stays Sole Deregulation-Focused ETF
The Free Markets ETF ( $FMKT ) ended trading at $21.97 today, down 1.01%. Even with today's slight dip, FMKT remains the market's only ETF focused on capturing value from deregulatory environments. https://t.co/1OVDiGBXUu
Massive $15M Put Hits SPY; Iran Skips Talks
$15M Put Spike on $SPY just before close. Iran informed via Pakistan that they won't be attending the talks on Wednesday.
SPX Pullback Targets 10‑Day MA, Jan‑Feb Top Range
$SPX - 2nd down day in a row. It looks like we're having a pullback and the target for this pullback is likely to be the rising 10 day MA which coincides with the topping range from the January-February timeframe....
Iran Conflict and Lower Rates Reshape Housing Market
How the Iran Conflict and Falling Rates Are Impacting the Housing Market https://t.co/9umONc87Wf via @YouTube
Brent Surpasses $100 as VP Vance Cancels Islamabad Trip
Brent oil is back above $100 after US Vice President JD Vance called off his Islamabad trip. This follows Iran’s refusal to join talks there to negotiate an end to the War or, at the minimum, extend the ceasefire, which is...
CRDO Exits BuyTrigger; Earnings Due April 26
$CRDO is now officially over BuyTrigger. No more buying, its closed. Earnings on the 26th April and lets see how this movie pans out.
Trump’s War Tactics Alienate Key Asian Allies
My take on the Trump's war strategy on @MarioNawfal: "Indonesia, South Korea, Japan, Philippines, and India are under the gun. The US-Israeli war has imposed massive costs on them. Now they are pivoting away from the US." TRUMP = A MASTERCLASS IN HOW...
Brent Crude Surges Past $100 Mark Again
*VANCE CALLED OFF TRIP TO PAKISTAN: AP And just like that Brent breaks back above the magic $100 treshold https://t.co/6zbrIXzw1c
Lower Rates Needed to Manage Unmanageable Federal Debt
Hearing Kevin Warsh talk about Fed independence, and watching hard assets sell off on that, feels a lot like the hype around DOGE. Great in theory, but ultimately unrealistic. The reality is that government debt has reached a scale that no brilliant...
SPY Faces Dual Gap Fill: Bulls Vs. Bears
$SPY gap fill soon? A couple of them.. one for the bulls and one for the bears... @stockcharts I got gappy in this week's @stockcharts market round-up https://t.co/czBIDE9RHn https://t.co/zDz8o6yPIs
DHL Sees European Jet Fuel Through June, Asia Uncertain
DHL expects jet fuel supplies into June for Europe, but has doubts over Asia https://t.co/kxr0837JmW
GCC Nations Turn Net Drains on Offshore Dollar Liquidity
The UAE's request for a swap line -- presumably after a big fall in the central bank's $285b in reserves in March/ early April -- confirms that the GCC countries are now a net drain on offshore dollar liquidity. The Saudis...
Turn Any Stock Into a High‑Yield Dividend via Options
I love dividends But I love Option Premiums more With Options trading you can make ANY stock into a dividend paying stock Learn how to create your own dividends by Selling Options Selling Options is like dividends on steroids 😉🤷♂️ 🔥💰
Massive $40M Call Surge Reflects Pure Price Discovery
$40M Call Spike on $CAR since the open Definitely no manipulation or short squeeze here, just natural price discovery...😂
Multiple Income Streams Unlock Doctors' Financial Freedom
The 'Broke Doctor' Portfolio: 📉 One salary 📉 A car loan 📉 A rented clinic 📉 Zero real assets The 'Wealthy Doctor' Portfolio: 🚀 Multiple income streams 🚀 A powerful personal brand 🚀 Equity in 3 startups 🚀 Digital products selling 24/7 One is survival. The other is freedom.
A2 Gold Launches 2,500‑m Drill
A shift from scouting to measuring, that's how JV describes @A2GoldCorp's 2,500-meter core drill program that just got underway at Eastside. It's focused on both resource definition and expansion. On tap: a stronger resource statement. Major Buy for us: https://t.co/knz4DZJ6NI
Intel Doubles in Five Months on Steady Uptrend
$INTC: A Boring But Profitable Double In 5 Months I break down how #Intel surged from undervalued levels into a powerful uptrend, holding key support and benefiting from macro tailwinds, while staying constructive despite pullbacks and targeting major resistance levels. https://t.co/LSJkXlxAFW
CRWD Holds Above Stop, Swing Trade Stop Pending
$CRWD no green to red on the stop for today. If not hit then swing trade stop will replace it.
Energy Remains Structurally Under‑Owned in S&P 500
S&P 500 Energy as a share of the total S&P 500. Energy is still structurally under-owned https://t.co/d3AFCGEo9G
Oil Services Surge; Short Squeeze Target $7.30
$RES Daily. Oil services outperforming again today. Short squeeze play here. Quality chart. $7.30 trigger. https://t.co/8PdNm9JUEX
GE Q1 Profit Beats Forecasts on Robust Air Travel Demand
General Electric’s first-quarter profit beat Wall Street’s expectations as strong demand for air travel helped the jet-engine manufacturer sidestep disruptions tied to the war in Iran https://t.co/z2JMq2y5V4
ITA Hits 3‑month Low After Iran Attack Spike
There are a lot of absolutely horrible charts in the aerospace and defense sector. 3-month relative low for ITA today, which peaked the first trading day following the attack on Iran https://t.co/Anx0pX7dcN
Complacency in Low VIX Leads to Unexpected Turn
Dave on April 9th: "It's ok because the $VIX is back below 20." Dave on April 13th: "It's ok because the $VIX is still below 20." Dave on April 15th: "It's ok because the $VIX is still below 20." Dave on April 17th:...
Wait for Confirmation, Avoid Impulse Trade Regret
Impulse Trade = Instant Regret 🚨 You entered too early? That’s why you lost. Wait for confirmation. #SmartMoney #ForexTrading #ICTConcepts #TradingTips #reels
Simplify Deal Info to Attract Private Lenders
Read this if you’re trying to raise private capital for your next deal: Make all the information on the deal easily accessible. The more work a potential private lender has to do to get info the less chance you have of...
Adjust Withholdings Now, Pay More Taxes Later
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said to adjust your paycheck withholding to increase take home pay in the current calendar year... but that could be pushing your tax bill to next year... Do you understand how your withholdings works? #taxes #paycheck...
Apple Leadership Shift, QQQ Rivalry, Anonymity Ends
🆓 Tuesday links: $QQQ competition, a change at the top of Apple, and the end of online anonymity. https://t.co/t12pIVjfDx chart: https://t.co/8DcLGR5QBr https://t.co/zEpZohRqAc
New Long Entry Targets $BEAT at 0.58
In the last two trades in $beat, both targets were hit. We are forming a good pattern, and from here we can take another long entry. Our target will be 0.58, with a stop-loss at 0.514.
Robustness Ratio Reveals True Competitive Strength
Nick Sleep's "robustness ratio," introduced in his 2005 Nomad Partnership letter, offers a fascinating lens through which to view a company’s competitive strength. The idea is simple yet powerful 💡: The robustness ratio compares the value a company provides to...
Broken Support May Flip to Strong Resistance
Broken support becomes resistance? $CL_F $USO After buyers defended the AVWAP from the beginning of the war, that anchor failed abruptly with the gap lower last Thursday. Now the prior support is being tested and it has the potential to...