Spring Housing Surge Meets Rising Mortgage Rates
The spring #housing market is on, but mortgage rates just shot higher. Here's what to know. https://t.co/RH3r7ufpUH @realtordotcom @cotality @mortgagenewsmnd @jonathanmiller #realestate #realestateinvesting @SelmaHepp
Top Value Investing Insights and Leaders Spotlighted
This week in value: Year-End Letter for 2025: Deep Value (GMO) PzenaPerspectives – The Value Stocks to Watch (Pzena) How Value Investing Adds Value (VIS) Co-Founder and CEO Sarah Ketterer reflects on 25 years of value investing at Causeway Capital (Causeway)
Save First, Spend Later with Made Whole Workbook
*🚨🤑PAYDAY = Made Whole Money Move madewholeworkbook The trick is to already have money set aside for times like this 😏… see I am still good with money. . . . My money workbook (companion to my NYT-Bestseller Get Good With Money) teaches you...
Learn to Move Money & Maximize Apple Card Rewards
Just joining the complex Apple Card ecosystem? It's smart to learn how to move your money around, including funding your Apple Cash. Here's a primer that explains how everything interrelates and how to maximize your rewards: https://t.co/ZPP9OBmIZw #applecard #applecash #banking...
Think Bigger Than Your Capital: Buffett’s Investing Truth
Investing isn’t about how much capital you start with—it’s about how well you think. Warren Buffett’s approach shows that small sums can grow significantly when you focus on undervalued businesses, strong fundamentals, and long-term cash generation. Deep research and patience...
China Gains First Benefit as Iran War Cuts Oil Imports
CHINA ALREADY GOT ITS FIRST WIN FROM THE WAR IN IRAN In today's newsletter, I wrote about how the long term trend of countries reducing their oil imports by substituting them with Chinese tech is already accelerating since the start of...
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Bessent un-sanctioned Russian oil AFTER WaPo reported Russia was helping Iran targeting US assets the way the US has been helping UKR target Russian assets... ...& yet Wall Street consensus overwhelmingly remains that "Bessent has everything under control." Fade that view, hard
Track Implied Delta by Comparing Poly to Futures
a quick little trading inspiration.. track the implied delta of the >90 market on poly compared to the corresponding futures price by tracking its price change. For example if the market went to 75% on a $1 rally then it's a...
Bessent's No‑Term Debt Plan: Mixed Results So Far
So how has the plan by @SecScottBessent to not term out the debt and keep rolling bills worked out?
Most Major Metro Home Prices Cooling; New Orleans Defies Trend
47 of the nation's 50 largest metro area housing markets have a weaker year-over-year home price shift this early spring than a year ago The biggest exception is New Orleans—which is firming up after passing through a 'material' correction Analysis via @ResidentialClub...
Markets Shifting: Small Caps, Oil, Healthcare Set to Lead
My conversation with @MorganStanley's Mike Wilson on the state of markets. We cover: • Is 60/20/20 the new 60/40? • Why he expects leadership to broaden beyond mega-cap stocks into small caps • Implications of rising oil prices • Why today’s environment resembles the 1940s •...
Boxer Won't Reach Gulf Until Mid‑April, Oil Delay
Assuming the USS Boxer is heading to the Middle East, and considering that she only left San Diego two days ago, she won't be near the Persian Gulf until mid-April. If the reinforcements are intended to reopen the Strait of...
Waiting for Italy, France to Trigger EU Debt Relief
Feeling listless and irritable as I wait for Italy (lhs) to call for the ECB to activate its TPI tool because markets are being anti-Italian and France (rhs) to call for joint EU debt issuance on account of "force majeure"...
Silver Risk Sentiment Flips as Put Skew Rallies
Big sentiment flip in silver riskies recently...driven both by put skew rallying and call skew getting hit https://t.co/uxFWp2eClV
Alphabet Stands Alone as Magnificent 7 Holdout, Short Target
$GOOGL Daily. With $AAPL $TSLA weakness this week, Alphabet is now THE holdout amongst the Magnificent 7. It's a "catch-down" short idea. Possible major top. https://t.co/1SLVQkyaV1
Dell Shares Surge, Expected to Gain From Supermicro Trouble
Dell Stock Jumps As Computer Maker Seen Benefiting From Supermicro Woes https://t.co/C6vufAnQ1s $DELL $SMCI $NVDA
Rising 10y10y Yield Shows Cost of Fiscal Recklessness
The 10y10y forward Treasury yield (red) is rising towards its historical highs. If only we'd brought our deficit under control after COVID, then we'd now have more gas in the tank for emergency spending. But we didn't. Reckless fiscal policy...
200 EMA Drops Below 200 SMA: Warning Sign
200EMA daily is currently 173.79 and as you said it lost the 200sma. Not good
Foreign Investors' Treasury Buying Slows to 4Q19 Low
"Foreign investors added $28bn of Treasuries in 4Q25, the softest quarterly pace of demand since 4Q19" --JPM
SPY Tests Weak Horizontal Support, Next Level 644
$SPY at horizontal support here which is not looking great thus far, next support 644 zone. https://t.co/EYQT5Domk7
USO Call Butterflies Signal Strong Oil Upside
USO trades in January and March 2028 are actually call butterflies today as 125/185/245 seeing plenty of upside for Oil
QQQ Faces Do‑Or‑Die Day, Support Fading to 574
Day is young but all the resistance spots held, and all the support is slowly fading away on the do or die day. $QQQ next support 574 zone https://t.co/MSb3kpos7u
SPY Hits 2025 Low Levels, Signals Possible Bounce
We are at an interesting level on the $SPY. The current level coincides with the October 2025 and Nov 2025 lows. There’s not much to do with this info besides that it can be a short-term bounce area that reminds...
Dr. Kaminski Reveals Secrets of Effective Trend Following
A discussion on trend following and an interview with Dr. Kathryn Kaminski. by @jordonezjr https://t.co/bFssSmL7OE https://t.co/kfvFidDWjF
Falling Prices and Yields Hint at Possible Middle East Conflict
Lower prices, lower yields, lower oil. Either that, or a new war in the Middle East. https://t.co/mnkr6zwlk9
S&P 500’s Next Move: Uncertain
Will $SPX unclench up or down next week? It has been pretty consistent for a while now fwiw
Value Stocks Shine After Tech Bubbles Burst
"Conclusion Overall, the results suggest that the most reliable approach is to hold a long position in value stocks relative to growth stocks. Attempts to systematically trying to predict periods when large growth stocks outperform small value stocks are difficult, but...
SNDK Hits Record High, Yet Falters Amid Rate‑Hike Bearish Pressure
SNDK has made a new all-time high but is struggling to hold on as the index crumples under the weight of tightening financial conditions via rate hikes now prifed into many global curves. Below 700 is break of 100hour and...
Follow the Flows, Not the Active/Passive Hype
1/2 If you're going to follow the active/passive debate, you gotta follow the flows. Fortunately, I have a reliable source. My oldest son, @senseiverde18, is putting out some great material at Nasdaq. His latest for February was excellent https://t.co/1FmfNEqUE1 and...
CMG Must Clear 10‑EMA Gap for Bullish Breakout
Burrito Season $CMG Needs over the 10ema and the small overhead gap and then might have something using the daily chart. https://t.co/U65cpWuwU9
Vertiv's Buying Surge Hits
Last week i wrote about S&P 500 index rebalance which happens today. Vertiv $VRT, Lumentum $LITE, Coherent $COHR and EchoStar $SATS are all going into the index today. Vast majority of the trading will happen around market close. Vertiv buying...
Interval Map Levels Predicted 1,000% SPY Call Trade
Here's how I took a 1,000% trade on $SPY today. $660 had the greatest exposure on the Interval Map. $655 was the downside target. $SPY rejected near $660 and dropped near $655. Multiple times. That range held all day. In the afternoon, I entered...
Stocks, Bonds, Gold Slip; Yields Edge Higher
Stocks, bonds and gold all down for the week S&P 500: -1.2% 10-year Treasury yield up to 4.380% Gold prices back below $5000
Rising 10‑Year
Last year, a 4.50%-4.60% on the 10-year yield got the White House To Blink, with stocks falling. Now higher oil prices 🧙♂️🪄
SPR Release Rate Outweighs Total Volume Impact
FLOWS before SPROS: While the announced volume of IEA coordinated SPR release is equal to a 4-week full Hormuz disruption. The SPR release RATE still means the supply losses compound over time. FYSA: Back in my days at DOE, the short-hand...
Short‑term Traders Eye 580 Close, Expect Monday Panic Low
from a short term trading perspective best case would be a close closer to 580 than 590 and a panic low monday morning. $QQQ https://t.co/FgpBvybxaM
10‑Year Yield Jumps
10y yield spikes as odd of rate hike before end of the year increases by 50% … Jerome Powell was right all along 😂
Dimensional Debuts First Actively Managed ETF Share Class
Dimensional launches industry’s first actively managed ETF share class… Dimensional US Micro Cap ETF. Launched as mutual fund in 1981. Is first of what will be *many* ETF share class launches across industry. https://t.co/NnR6tcgN5k
Rate Hikes Now Start From a Higher Baseline
If we are now about to enter a Central Bank rate rising period, it's worth considering we are in a very different place to the last rate rising period. Back a few years ago interest rates were artificially low and...
Homebuilder Stocks Tumble 17% Since War Began
Homebuilder stocks are now down 2% today, and have plunged 17% since the start of the war
NET Holds Above New Base, Shows Relative Strength
$NET working on the right side of its new base and showing decent relative strength lately. Chart courtesy of @marketsurge @IBDinvestors #IBDPartner https://t.co/xkioAgDMWQ
Optimistic War Rhetoric Triggers Short Cover, Fuels Downtrend
Trump, Bibi, Hegseth's 'everything's going great' reassurances on the war feel exactly like a CEO hyping the stock in a downtrend. Triggers knee jerk buying ➡️ shorts cover ➡️ big players sell into the rip ➡️ another lower high, lower low...
Rising Transport and Petroleum Costs Squeeze Homebuilder Margins
Falling construction costs were a rare positive for homebuilders in 2025. That’s quickly shifting as transport costs jump, as will build costs since many construction products are petroleum based. Hard for homebuilders to push new cost increases through, so more...
10-Year Yield Climbs Steadily, Market Bets Tighter Longer
10Y yield is still ripping higher in a straight line from that brief 3 handle tease. Market says, tighter for longer. $TNX $IEF https://t.co/dbZrSwrwwr
FOMC Hawkishness Index Surges After Powell’s Press Conference
It'll be interesting to see how this looks over the next week, as we get more post-FOMC Fedspeak. But my proprietary measure of FOMC hawkishness climbed even further after Powell's press conference. https://t.co/lNilk5T2yz
Uniform Plays Yield Same Outcome; SMCI Expected Fade
Plays of day - all same concept all same result -> $CRCL $AXTI $IBRX With a side of $SMCI fade
Bond Yields Surge Globally, Curve Bears Flattening
Global bond yields continue to climb: the UK 10-year has touched 5%, while the German Bund has crossed 3% and the US stands at 4.36%. Compounding the warning signs for the global economy, this comes amid an ongoing bear flattening...
Single‑mandate Central Banks Are Trapped, Forced to Hike
This week we unpack just how trapped central banks are, especially single mandate central banks who are forced to hike into this shock. Shit is not great yo
Chart Signals Near‑term Market Bottom
When I start looking at charts like this we must be close to near term bottom 😂 https://t.co/zeOh4y6Cnl
Coil Trends Reveal Pre‑Iran Market Deterioration
strong trends come out of coils. so easy to see now... (this deterioration started well before Iran SNAFU). https://t.co/GjLz7VyWLz