G10 FX Consolidates Amid US CPI, Canada Jobs, Geopolitical Tension
The G10 fx consolidation today looks constructive. Today's North American highlights including US March CPI and Canada's jobs data. Middle East ceasefire is frayed but intact ahead of the weekend negotiations. Hungary holds key election too. See https://t.co/ilDfPE14fW https://t.co/vM5PZMv4eI
Stripe Already Offers Free FX Quotes API in Beta
I was going to tweet @stripe should add a free exchange rates API after my OpenExchangeRates API started rate limiting me aggressively Then I searched and it already exists and is in beta called the Stripe FX Quotes API I'll try it...
Over Half of Carbon Offsets Lack Real Impact
"Do Carbon Offsets Offset Carbon?" has won the 2026 Best Paper Award for American Economic Journal: Applied Economics. The answer is No. At least 52% of carbon offsets were allocated to projects that would have been built anyway. https://t.co/dlznabBm3d https://t.co/S4X3ZoDxIe
AI and Open Banking Recover $14K Tax Overpayment
AI and Open Banking just saved a guy $14k on his taxes. @perplexity_ai computer and @plaid found double-taxing errors in @abcdabcd987's accounts That a $2,000 CPA missed. Correct to the cents. Personal Finance Agents are ALMOST here.
Management Quality Determines Small Business Success or Failure
Some investors love to say management doesn't matter, but history has proven otherwise. The fastest way to destroy a small business is to put an idiot in charge of it. Management quality isn't one factor among many, it is the...
Higher Oil Prices Set to Spike CPI, Live Trade
Today we'll see the first impact of higher oil prices on CPI. The news could rock the markets like no other piece of fundamental data. We are going to trade it LIVE and see if we can get FUNDED in one trade. Join...
Forties Crude Hits Record $147, Supply Squeeze Persists
NORTH SEA FORTIES crude prices closed at a record $147 per barrel on April 9. Forties is one of the principal streams in the Brent complex and prices have doubled since before the war between the United States and Iran...
Seeking the Next China: High‑Upside Emerging Market ETFs
Hey @grok What emerging market or country ETF today feels like buying China in 2003 that most likely has a massive multi-year upside?
Iran’s Economy Stable, Mirroring Australia’s Growth Despite Media Claims
Contrary to Western propaganda, the Iranian economy DID NOT COLLAPSE prior to the recent US-Israeli attacks on Iran. Iran’s growth profile is almost identical to Australia’s. Hanke's 95% Rule: 95% of what you read in the financial press is either WRONG or...
Consolidation Clears Weak Hands, Fuels Future Upside
"If a stock is under accumulation, a price consolidation represents a period when strong investors absorb weak traders. Once the "weak hands" have been eliminated, the lack of supply allows the stock to move higher because even a small amount...
UTG Boosts Buyback, Maintains 8% Dividend Yield
#UTG Update in line. Interesting actions on Disposals and intention to increase Buyback authority. ESP synergies on track. Valuation down due to higher yields. Energy costs hedged. ShareScope has fwd Dividend Yield 8.1% rising to 8.2%; a decent payout.
Bill Ackman's Family Office Collapse Offers Key Lessons
Let's talk about Bill ⫸ Lessons from Bill Ackman’s family office meltdown ⫸ Single family office cost trends ⫸ Podcasts: a profile of F1 billionaire Toto Wolff ⫸ Jamie Dimon on four day weeks, the real impact of AI and a tilt at...
Small‑Cap Recovery Begins – Early Upswing Signals Smart Money
Most small-cap stocks have already bounced back from their key support zones — a strong sign that selling pressure is fading and accumulation has begun. This phase often marks the early stage of a new uptrend. The best time to invest is...
Day 3 Ceasefire Holds: Hormuz Stays Still
Day 3 of the ceasefire: no movement in Hormuz (But the fragile truce seems to be holding on the ground, air and sea, despite sporadic violations, with not major attacks by either Iran or the US)
Buy the Dip, Stay Invested, Reap Profits
Buy the Dip. Always. 📉➡️📈 History proves it — 2008 crash, COVID, wars, elections… markets always recover. ✔️ Those who bought the dip → made profits ✔️ Those who panicked → missed it Last 2–3 days = proof again My portfolio is up ~10% already 🚀 Simple...
Buy Siemens Exchangeables for Yield, Hedge Risk
Macro: demand for equity‑linked supply. JPMorgan offers €375m (+€50m) 2031 cash‑settled exchangeables on Siemens at 20% premium. Risk: Siemens equity/credit. Insight: Buy for yield, hedge. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Libya’s Oil Steady, Prices Surge, Dinar Jumps 27%
Since the start of the US-Israeli war on Iran, Libya's oil production has stabilized at ~1.3 million barrels/day and the price has SOARED. As night follows day, the Libyan dinar APPRECIATED by 27% vs. the USD. https://t.co/5PPdIEUYSV
Tax, Not Dollar, Is the Main Barrier to FII Inflows
Nifty has been going up in the face of an enormous rise in FII selling [annual numbers]. So the selling has not mattered but still all eyes are on FIIs. I can only think of two factors. 1.Withholding Tax [ also...
Rising Energy Prices Trigger Systemic Cost‑of‑Living Surge
This isn’t just about oil. It’s a shift in the entire system. Energy → food → cost of living When energy moves structurally higher, everything built on top of it follows. That means: Higher food prices More pressure on households Less margin for error And a move away...
Sánchez to Demand China's Tech Secrets in Beijing
Sánchez to push China to hand over tech secrets on Beijing trip https://t.co/iSThlJP5lO via @basteiro https://t.co/gW7fldvHZn
China's Sulphuric Acid Export Ban Boosts Copper Prices
Chinese authorities have announced that China will not be allowed to export sulphuric acid from next month, with the only exception being electronic‑grade sulphuric acid. This means that neither smelter acid nor sulphur‑based acid can be exported will be able...
Market Split Signals: Utilities Up, Treasuries Diverge
Utilities outperforming. Treasuries diverging. S&P clinging to its 200-day moving average. The signals are split 2-2 for the first time in weeks. What does a market divided really mean for your portfolio? https://t.co/6KpgI4apKJ
Wheat and Rice Prices Slip Below Pre‑War Levels
Food shock? Food crisis? Well, the price of the world’s most important staples for food security (wheat and rice) is now below pre-war levels. From Feb 27, wheat 🥖 is down ~1% while rice 🍚 is down ~2%. And yes,...
Stay Calm, Stick to Strategy, Profit From Patience
I've watched people lots tons of money because people couldn't control their emotions. The market feeds on fear and greed. When others panic, stay calm and stick to your strategy. Patience is profitable.
Even $400K Earners Need Work‑Life Balance
She's earning $400K a year. Top performer. 12-hour days. 8 years running. She came to me and said: "I want to stop this madness before the kids stop needing me." "Can I afford it?"
Wealth Transfer Now Demands Deeper Relationship Insight
The intricacies of wealth transfer are evolving, requiring a deeper understanding of relationships, values, and intentions behind assets. https://t.co/lWIP6PUPzV @futurevault
Pakistan's Money Supply Outpaces Golden Rate, Fueling Inflation
#PakWatch🇵🇰: Pakistan's March inflation is 7.3%/yr. Pak's money supply (M3) is growing at 15%/yr. That’s ABOVE Hanke's Golden Growth Rate of 11.5-13.5%/yr, a rate consistent with hitting Pakistan's inflation target of 5-7%/yr. INFLATION STORY = MONEY SUPPLY STORY. https://t.co/IKlK5BLB5t
Oil Prices Jump $1 as Hormuz Traffic Stalls
Oil Prices Rise $1 Amid Strait of Hormuz Disruption Both Brent and WTI crude oil prices advanced by $1 per barrel as traffic through the critical Strait of Hormuz shipping route remains nearly halted, impacting global oil supply chains.
Patience Is the Market’s Most Aggressive Advantage
Most investors think patience is passive. It's not. It's the most aggressive advantage in the market. Nine women can't produce a baby in one month. A great business can't compound in a quarter. Stop mistaking urgency for strategy.
Global Rates Climb After Latest Trump Shock
Global rate path veers higher in wake of another Trump shock https://t.co/xtMlttlWvY with @CraigStirling https://t.co/mrRZfr13lH
Goldman: 10% Gas Price Rise Boosts Inflation
Goldman on what a 10% increase in natural gas prices means for inflation > https://t.co/RDkqRBzqV2
Gold Overtakes Treasuries in Central Bank Reserves
🔥Gold is making history: Gold now makes up 24% of global central bank reserves, surpassing US Treasuries at 21% for the first time since the mid 1990s. This is a complete reversal from Q4 2015, when Treasuries made up 33% of reserves...
China Q1 Car Sales Plunge Over 17%, NEVs Down 21%
1/2 Yicai: "China's retail sales of passenger cars declined more than 17 percent in the first quarter of the year, as new energy vehicle sales fell 21 percent following adjustments to the NEV purchase tax breaks." https://t.co/sWTFDBWjLi
US Debt Costs Remain High, Slightly Less Ugly
It’s ugly, but slightly less ugly: US Government Interest Payments, Tax Receipts, Average Interest Rate on the Debt, and Debt-to-GDP Ratio in Q4 2025 https://t.co/DGqm2fqkjX https://t.co/HaOX0c5eRE
ECB Cuts QE by Half, Sheds €66B in March
The Once Uber-Dovish ECB Continues QT, Shed €66 Billion in March, Has now Shed 50% of QE Assets since Peak. Marking its gold to market every quarter (unlike the Fed), the ECB booked another big write-up of its gold holdings in...
China’s Lending Prioritizes Short‑Term Demand Over Viability
@hofunghung makes an important point: "In many ways the dynamics of China's external lending are very similar to the dynamics of China's internal lending". In either case, he argues, the purpose of the project funded is to generate demand and employment...
China Touts Domestic Demand, yet Auto Sales Slump
China's leaders now at least give lip service to supporting domestic demand -- and sometimes even claim not to want to rely on exports for growth. But in at least one prominent sector, domestic demand is down (autos) 1/ https://t.co/jZxOmf68t9
YSS IPO Surges with Record Volume and Earnings Gap
$YSS I found this name in the @Deepvue leaders screen. New IPOs in a leading theme are always key to watch. Plus it had a recent earnings gap, highest ever volume https://t.co/EQczxyFDMr
S&P 500 YTD Flat Despite Market Turmoil
S&P 500 YTD total return: +0.0% After all that ... it’s like nothing ever happened. https://t.co/YsLkrj3kUt
Avalon Forms Triangle, Poised for Breakout
📌 Stock Update – AVALON 📊✨ AVALON is forming a triangle pattern 🔺, indicating consolidation before a potential move 📈. Keep it in your watchlist for a possible breakout opportunity 👀🚀 #StockToWatch #StockMarket
China Fills Infrastructure Gap, yet Cuts Sovereign Loans
Kevin Gallagher and Rebecca Ray: "Given that financing from the World Bank and its counterparts has remained stagnant since the 1990s, China has helped fill widening infrastructure gaps across the Global South. That’s the good news. The bad news is...
Exxon Outperformed Salesforce After Dow Swap
In August 2020, Exxon was removed from the Dow and Salesforce was added to the index. Total Returns since... Exxon $XOM: +396% Salesforce $CRM: -39% https://t.co/8HfMqrkk8i
US Crude Exports Rise to 5 Mbpd, Still 8 Mbpd Short
What about the US adding to exports? It rose to 5m/barrels day from 4 last year and 3m/barrel in 2022. Obvs seems we are still short 8m/barrel a day... https://t.co/SkCnXO0dU9
Semiconductors Soar While Software Lags Sharply
Returns over the last year... Semiconductor ETF $SOXX: +108% (All-Time High Today) Software ETF $IGV: -14% (52-Week Low Today) https://t.co/aYmabDVzCs
Middle East Energy Shock Ends China’s Deflation, Prices Rise
Middle East Energy Shock Snaps China’s Deflationary Streak—Factory-gate prices rise in China for the first time in over three years @hannahmiao_ https://t.co/8yOC6VYhc5 https://t.co/8yOC6VYhc5
Tech Giants Plunge, All Below All-Time Highs
% Below All-Time High S&P 500 $SPY: -2% Palo Alto Networks $PANW: -26% CrowdStrike $CRWD: -30% Microsoft $MSFT: -33% Palantir $PLTR: -38% Applovin $APP: -49% Salesforce $CRM: -53% Intuit $INTU: -55% Oracle $ORCL: -60% ServiceNow $NOW: -63% Adobe $ADBE: -67% https://t.co/ogmB8CgBa1
VIX Dips Below Pre‑Iran War Level, Signaling Calm
The $VIX ended the day at 19.49, which is below the level it closed at the day before the Iran war began (19.86 on Feb 27). All is calm again... https://t.co/8iOlF6bfQZ
LNG Rerouted to Brazil as Highest Bidder Wins
LNG is going to the highest bidder. This carrier is diverted form Europe to Brazil Map form @Kpler
Consistent Small Wins Beat Chasing the Next Amazon
The biggest misconception I see re investing is this idea that you need to find “the next Amazon” or “the next Nvidia” or whatever. Frankly this is one progenitor of exceptional returns but just one. It seems far easier to...
Saudi Arabia Holds 31 Million Barrels on Western Coast
As of today, Saudi Arabia has 31 mb of crude in storage on its Western cost. (Kpler data)