Oil Rises While Mag 7 Shows Bearish Signals
Friday's Playbook: Oil Surging. Bearish Signals Across the Mag 7. See How We’re Positioning. https://t.co/Ab25axAjJe via @hedgeye
Regional Price Gaps: Some Homes Beat, Others Miss List
Selling above or below? Here’s a look at properties that sold above, below, and at the original list price last month in the wider region. The market isn’t the same in every location. Any thoughts? https://t.co/8CHHvxLyKV
High Volume $ONDS Faces Weak Fundamentals and Resistance
$ONDS - 65 million in volume and counting. Known for mission critical networks, a hot topic given heightened geopolitical tensions. Making more of a catalyst play. Underlying financials don't support strong fundamentals. Technicals show a major resistance in the red zone.
S&P 1500 Hits First Oversold Breadth Since January
we entered Friday with an oversold breadth condition based on the % of stocks > 10-day EMA in the S&P 1500... first time since the start of the year... $SPX https://t.co/FDpVcJJRHO
JEF May Bottom Before Broader Market, Despite Toomey Loyalty
I love Michael Toomey at Jefferies but might want to call a bottom in his own company $JEF before he calls a bottom in the markets Again, big fan of his long tenure
Junk Bonds Diverge, Near Support
Junk bonds diverging with stocks and working on a break of support, of a bearish descending triangle at (1) $JNK $HYG $SPY https://t.co/qGVRKZxUKf
Citrini Report Crash Marks Software Stocks' Bottom
In 2026, Citrini7's "GLOBAL INTELLIGENCE CRISIS" report sent software stocks into a tailspin. But what if that was actually the bottom? https://www.compoundwithrene.com/p/the-citrini-bottom-the-great-software $NFLX $SHOP $CRM $NOW $TEAM $SAP $NTDOY $ADBE $VEEV $FRSH $SE $TOST $CSU.TO
BIDU Near 200‑WMA Support, ARK Buys
$BIDU pulled back to its 200 WMA and holding support Interesting to see ARK doing the smart thing here and adding on this support Golden Cross about to take place on the weekly chart too... Price is at $119 Mean Reversion Zone above...
Cutting Positions, Shifting Cash Amid US Equity Beta Break
Macro Pros, You'll see I'm down to 25 positions in Portfolio Solutions (from 30). All incremental Cash goes into FDRXX for me because the account is at Fidelity Raising Cash on the US Equity Beta TREND break https://t.co/b9jSa8qkmu
Stage‑2 Stocks Hit Peak in September 2025
This is the $QQQ on top and % of stocks in Stan Weinstein Stage 2 on the bottom. Interesting that the Stage 2 Stocks peaked in Sep 2025 https://t.co/fOptvXX0yr
QQQ's Unusual Gap‑Driven Moves Stall Intraday Gains
--very strange price action past few weeks in $QQQ. may be first time this has ever happened... --if $QQQ closes above 600 today that will be 13/15 days index bought intraday but hasn't moved higher. --this is because so many opening gaps to...
Rate Shock Slashes Listings; Gradual Recovery Underway
As soon as the rate shock occurred—and switching costs surged—we saw U.S. new listings fall a notch as some of that attempted churn was knocked off That effect was most acute out of the gate Ever since, we’ve slowly seen new listings...
US Wins Over Iran, Reshapes Global Oil Power
"U.S. Success Against Iran Could Be a Game Changer for World Oil Security," @WSJ https://t.co/ICXqOkIlg2 If Iran, along with Venezuela, is soon ruled by a regime friendly or at least not hostile toward the U.S., that would neutralize two oil exporters...
Interpretations Differ; AI Can’t Replace Human Foresight.
Everyone can read things differently, and not sure AI can replace foresight ever Example, on Tuesday, was being told IGV strength was a sign bullish for markets I felt the exact opposite, never like seeing laggards lead https://t.co/bugtKCRjaC
Tech Beats Energy; Early Headlines Don't Ensure Profit
Tech has outperformed energy the past 5 days. Proving once again, you can have the headlines a week early, but that doesn't mean you'll make 💰.
2s5s Rebounds Sharply After Weak NFP Data
2s5s had been under relentless pressure in the past month (AI disruption and all) but finally a surge steeper after that weak a&& NFP print https://t.co/fYJGpdBc5q
Short Sellers Squeezed, Forced to Cover Positions Rapidly
CHART OF THE DAY: We Are Pressing Our Shorts Into Their Covers https://t.co/6ATbUtxX8X via @hedgeye
MRVL Close Call Spreads Jump 80%
Members MRVL - Close Call Spreads 5.40, +80%, pretty good pick in this mess ha
Micron Poised for Full Reversal Above $384
$MU stops triggered below ystdy's low and quick pop. holds above 384 could see full reversal... https://t.co/SjZJaSOQsP
VIX Mock Rally Lifts
$VIX Mock cheer for COR1M, up from the dead/all time lows during earnings season to last spring and last Nov levels https://t.co/Ykw6arRCk3
Cyclical Job Loss Spreads to Education and Health
Over the last 12 months basically every cyclical industry but construction and leisure/hospitality has negative job growth. The new news today is the negative Education/Health, but the cyclical economy has been weak for a long time. https://t.co/TdUz4KvRxm
MRVL Put Spread Likely to Expire Worthless
$MRVL "Trade Idea 1: Buy the March 6 Expiry 75/72 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit.' a bust, looks to expire
Earn Credit by Selling 980/967.5 Put
$COST "Trade Idea 1: Buy the March 6 Expiry 980/967.50 1×2 Put Spread for a 5 cent credit." sell to close a 980/967.50 put spread on any strentght in stock. Let IV fall then can buy to close remaining...
Watch Fed Rate‑Cut Signals After NFP Miss
A fundamental thread to keep an eye on after the NFPs miss: the implied FOMC rate cuts through Fed Funds futures overlaid with the $DXY Dollar index. CPI and PCE next week. FOMC rate decision the Wednesday after next https://t.co/Rslg81c0CC
WTI Surge Pushes US Gas to $3
With WTI now at $87, the oil price spike is now definitely in the big-enough-to-matter-to-the-US-domestic-economy zone. National average gas price is headed to about $3.80; was just $2.90 at start of Feb. I expect this increase will prove extremely popular.
Wealth Blueprint: Invest, Spend Smart, Upskill for Income
Things to focus on to build wealth: - invest wisely (tax advantageous accounts, low cost index funds, consistently) - spend wisely (especially big $$ expenses like cars) - acquire new skills to make more $$$ (certifications, degrees with good ROI) This is the blueprint.
Feb US Jobs Miss Marks Largest Downside Since 2021
US #NFPs dropped in February by -92K vs +70K expected and +126K added in January. This was the biggest downside 'surprise' (-162K) since the pandemic shutdown (specifically Aug 2021) https://t.co/HgS3Y8EA9t
Iran-Israel Clash May Trigger Worldwide Power Showdown
The Iran–Israel war is not just a regional conflict. It may be part of a much larger global escalation cycle. The latest analysis looks at the wider strategic picture and how the current war could evolve into a broader confrontation involving major...
Stagflation Signals Emerge as Oil Rises, Jobs Push Cuts
At a time when markets are pushing back Fed cut odds because of the oil spike, seeing jobs data that demands rate cuts leaves everyone unhappy. Stagflation, directionally. Not there yet but pointing that way.
Ukraine War Enters New Phase, Shaping Future Geopolitics
Four years into the war in Ukraine, the conflict has entered a new phase. In his latest analysis, David Murrin looks at the strategic direction of the war, the pressures shaping both sides, and what the next stage of the conflict...
All Assets Falling Signals Liquidity Crunch, Not Rotation
The 10-year yield has risen four consecutive sessions to 4.14%. Stocks down. Bonds down. Oil up. Gold down. When everything sells off together, it's not a rotation. It's a liquidity event. https://t.co/6whtUyh3CH
Iran Could Spark Global Oil Crisis via Hormuz
I’ve been on the bearish end of the spectrum on Iran. The Straits of Hormuz are a big chokepoint. Iran just has to blow up one oil tanker to cause a global crisis. Thanks to @SoumayaKeynes for having me on...
Long-Term Inflation Expectations Hit April Low, Treasury Yields Diverge
Long-term inflation expectations have fallen to the lowest since April, based on 5-year 5-year forward breakeven rates. Yields on 10-year Treasuries seem to be trading on a different dynamic. https://t.co/hStpU22gbY
Cattle Prices Surge Ahead of Other Commodities Amid Inflation
So do the cattle look at the inflationary trade taking place and go higher or do they look at the equities and the consumer being hurt by higher energy products and a slowing economy possibly and come under pressure....
SPY Plummets Amid Weak Breadth, Labor Cracks, Iran Tension
SPY getting crushed taking out yesterday lows, as noted yesterday, worst breadth seen in a long-time and warned of more cracks likely in the labor market which we saw today, also felt nobody wanted to hold this market into the...
Current Curve Rerating Signals Faster Resolution Than 2022
This is all I was trying to say. The relative rerating of the curve this time vs 2022 is very different and implies a quicker resolution vs 2022 when the whole curve rerated. Thanks Warren
Risk‑off Sentiment Keeps Dollar Flat Despite Weak Payroll
If things were normal, the Dollar should be falling sharply right now. We just got a -1.9 standard deviation surprise on payrolls, which should be weighing on USD. But nothing about today is normal. We're in a massive risk-off and...
Slugfation Ahead: Weak Jobs, Sticky Inflation
After seeing the weak jobs data, my view is ever stronger that "slugfation" (sluggish economic growth coupled with sticky inflation) lies ahead. @thestreetpro @dougkass @tomkeene @ferrotv @business @SquawkCNBC @CNBCFastMoney @HalftimeReport @ScottWapnerCNBC @carlquintanilla @jimcramer @pboockvar @guyadami @saraeisen @SullyCNBC @WhitneyTilson @andrewrsorkin @BeckyQuick
EU Bond Yields Converge; Ideal Moment for Euro Debt
The yields on bonds of pretty much all EU member states are moving closer to Germany’s. This is the right time for common euro debt, writes @marcusashworth https://t.co/ZN3JVBYKDo via @opinion https://t.co/fSn1i0CbMd
Hormuz Delay Boosts VLCC Rates, Atlantic Shift Looms
They all said Hormuz closure would be brief. What if they were wrong? ▶️Baltic Exchange’s MEG-China VLCC index reaches new high of $485,959 per day; MEG-Singapore VLCC index is at $507,709 per day ▶️VLCCs are loading Saudi crude at Red Sea pipeline...
Job Losses Surge, Unemployment Rises to 4.4%
The economy shed 92,000 jobs in February, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%. Revisions subtracted 69,000 in December and January from previously reported job growth, leading to negative job growth in December.
VIX Spikes 12%—Fear Hits All at Once
VIX at 23.75. Up 12% in a single session. Two weeks ago it was under 18. Fear doesn't arrive gradually. It arrives all at once. And we're not even past the first act. https://t.co/7Fy3joZKAi
February Jobs Miss Sharply, Unemployment Rises to 4.4%
February Non-Farm Payrolls prints at -92K vs expected 58K - previously 126K Unemployment ticks up to 4.4% vs expected hold
Ex‑Citadel Trader Nico Dil Launches Hedge Fund with Major Backers
Former Citadel money manager, Nico Dil, has started trading for his own hedge fund with backing from investors including Squarepoint Capital and Lighthouse Investment Partners. https://t.co/fp0XOxOsom
Jeff Green Poised for Major Announcement After $150M TTD Purchase
Expecting a big tout today from the Jeff Green , CEO of $TTD , after his $150M buy of $TTD https://t.co/8KUt1JKoTZ
Jobs Data Sparks Early Volatility Across Crypto, Oil, Tech
🔥 Here’s my #stickynote for March 6, 2026: Big macro morning with Nonfarm Payrolls and Retail Sales at 8:30am — these numbers could move the entire market at the open. Expect volatility right out of the gate as traders react to...
Markets Price Rate Hikes as Cutting Cycle Ends
Cutting cycle is over, apparently - and markets starting to price hikes. Except for the Fed because, you know, he did *promise*...... https://t.co/rJQHqLdaJj
Iran's Threat to Oil Tankers Could Trigger Market Crash
Iran is getting bombed to smithereens. If oil tanker traffic through the Straits of Hormuz resumes in any meaningful fashion, Iran has every incentive to blow up a ship. All it takes is one oil tanker and global markets will...
War Fuels Market Turmoil, Dollar Nears New High vs Yen
The War Continues to Roil the Markets: The war continues to disrupt the global capital markets. The US dollar remains firm though mostly within the ranges seen in recent days. It is threatening to break higher against the Japanese yen,...
Choosing Infill and Mountain Sites to Cut Construction Costs
This undershoots the mark. At @americanhousing we're already under these (in some places) Because conventional methods are labor intensive, construction is higher in places with: 1) High rents 2) Scarce labor That's why we're building in: 1) Infill Cities 2) Mountain towns