Brent Climbs, USD Rise Temporary; Real Set to Rally
Brent has jumped to $79 per barrel from $72 on Friday. We're currently getting risk-off price action that's lifting USD, including against commodity exporters like Brazil. But that will fade and the Real will rally like it did after the Ukraine invasion. https://t.co/q6buTLFs9G https://t.co/wqmmSpWo3I
Middle East Headlines Dominate Market over Weekly Data
🚨 TRADERS ALERT 🚨 📊 What to Watch This Week 🗓️ Mon: Iran war fallout + ISM Manufacturing 🗓️ Tue: Fed speakers 🗓️ Wed: ADP + ISM Services 🗓️ Thu: Jobless Claims 🗓️ Fri: NFP + Retail Sales + more Fed speak But make no mistake -...
Ensemble Outperforms SPX: +3.
Weekly Market Signals +0.5% this week, $SPX -0.4%. All six strategies gained. The ensemble is up 3.9% YTD, vs. 0.5% for SPX. Link in reply below 👇 https://t.co/s7LXpFZdhT
New Momentum-Mean Reversion Signals for SPY, TLT, GLD
Bonus momentum and mean-reversion switching strategy update and new signals. $SPY $TLT $GLD $TLT Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/KwWAobjSkn
Investing Deep Dive: Philosophy, Process, and Minimal AI
Fun to do this with my friend @tseides Minimal discussion of AI; much more of a focus on investing. Background, philosophy, process, etc. https://t.co/f8X30Hd4RY
AES Bought for $10.7B Cash, Below Market Cap
🚨 UNDERTAKE 🚨 $AES to be acquired for $10.7B in CASH by a consortium (GIP, EQT, CalPERS, QIA). Friday’s market cap? $11.6B. Haven’t seen one like this in a while, bought out below where it was trading.
Economic Wild
Today's topic is #economic wildcards; this was prepared before the Iran situation began, but that topic was discussed. @housingwire @sarahteresa6 #mortgagerates #realestate #housing #chartdaddy
Topicus' Organic Growth Slows, Reversal Possible?
Topicus' organic growth rates for all quarters for which we have data. $TOI $TOI.V Do you anticipate a reversal anytime soon, do you expect the trend to come to a halt now, or are we going even lower? 😉
Select Stocks Shine Amid Tough Market Conditions
Tough market conditions but a few select stocks like SanDisk (SNDK) and Lumentum (LITE) have been spectacular.
Heating Oil Spikes 15% as Gas Hogs Headlines
While gas prices will get all the attention, it is worth pointing out the near 15% increase in heating oil this morning.
War Fuels USD Rally, While Equities and Treasuries Falter
$USD rallied on the war. Equities slid. Gold and oil jump. US Treasuries are not the safe haven. With decapitation strike on Iran, which the US said it had destroyed its nuclear capability last June, the end...
Live Premarket Picks: NVDA, TSLA, IBIT, SPY
⏰ Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY ➡️ Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nc6Yl https://t.co/LHA0Wnx1If
10-Year Yield Flat, MACD Histogram Declines Four Weeks
U.S. 10-year yields $TNX have been trading in a sideways range for years... #MACDhist ticking down for 4 weeks in a row... https://t.co/LTKir2ZNyJ
Buy RFI: Yield Boost and Discount Recovery
RFI preferred: similar REIT CEFs face a lower-rates tailwind; RFI shows larger mean-reversion upside vs RQI. Risk: rate/timing, leverage. Trade: buy RFI for yield + discount recovery 📈 — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA. More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Energy Math, Security, and Geopolitics Drive Transition Solutions
Thanks to Vijay and the whole team @TheEconomist for the invitation to deliver a keynote this morning about challenges—and solutions—facing the energy transition. I focused on energy math, energy security, and energy geopolitics—with today’s oil & gas price spikes top...
Qatar Reports Attack on Ras Laffan LNG Hub
Qatar says Ras Laffan energy complex has been attacked It isn’t clear what part of the facility. But it is home to Qatar’s massive LNG export plant — the world’s biggest
Free Week of Hedgeye Market Insights & Signals
FREE ALL ACCESS WEEK | March 2-6: Explore Hedgeye's Daily Market Insights, Top Investment Ideas & Buy/Sell Signals https://t.co/xZZpJZYFWV via @hedgeye
Smart Money Buys Gold When Retail Panics
When everyone was panic selling Gold on 1st Feb, we did the opposite. We clearly said in our Premium Community — “This is not a panic zone. It's a buy-on-dip opportunity.” Nippon Gold Bees: Shared at ₹117, Made a high of ₹142(~21% profit...
Traders Shift War Hedge to Longer‑Dated Options
"it's hard to hedge a war with a 0DTE contract, which is why we are seeing this positioning expressed further out on the curve" -Captain Craig @t1alpha
Morgan Stanley Reinstates NVIDIA as Top Pick, Eyes 2027 Growth
Certainly not the day for it but..... Morgan Stanley moving Moving $NVDA NVIDIA back to top pick in semis, PT stays at $260 In September, we shifted our top pick from NVIDIA to $NSK Sandisk, then in November shifted to Micron. The thesis...
Volume Re‑Accelerates on Downtrend, Signals Anticipated
VOLUME: started to re-accelerate on the down move on Friday - market signals started to see this coming https://t.co/icB6jWACQR
Gurgaon Property Gains Mask Hidden Transaction Costs
Gurgaon’s ₹1 Crore Illusion: Why 70% of “Paper Profits” Are Financially Misunderstood Most investors proudly say: “My property doubled.” Let’s test that with numbers. Because appreciation is not profit. It’s arithmetic. Case Study (Realistic 2020–2026 Cycle) Bought in 2020: ₹2.00 Cr Value in 2026: ₹3.50 Cr Headline gain: ₹1.50 Cr Looks like...
Middle East Tensions Likely Push Rand Lower, Fuel Costs Up
Prolonged tension in the Middle East. Rising oil prices, if sustained, and a weaker Rand. Add the increased fuel levies announced in the budget speech on top of macro concerns, and taking the governor’s conservative nature and the new 3% inflation...
Buy SPX Dips Near 6800 Amid Oil‑driven Volatility
Elevated volatility as oil spikes and heavy Treasury settlements. S&P gamma at 6800; VIX resists ~20. Risk: higher oil, weaker productivity → yields up. Trade: buy SPX dips near 6800. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
CRW's Buyback Fails to Offset Low Valuation
#CRW decent results and update. Launching $25m share Buyback. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 17 falling to 15.2 and fwd Divvy 2.1% rising to 2.2%; historically this seems a low rating. I don't hold.
80% of Revenue Target Already Contracted, AI Fears Dragging Stock
#DATA results look OK and interesting bit about 80% of Analyst target for revenue already contracted. ShareScope has fwd p/e 11.6 falling to 9.1 and fwd Divvy 1.8% rising to 2%; I suspect it's been weak due to AI fears....
Oil Threat Spurs Metals Surge, Gold Hits $5,400
After Iran’s strike on a Saudi Aramco refinery, capital is rotating aggressively into metals. Gold has reclaimed $5,400, up 2.22%, adding roughly $1 trillion in market value in just 6 hours. Silver has surged to $96, up 4.32%, adding $250 billion in...
TSTL Beats Targets, Cash Rises, US Sales Improving
#TSTL HY Results read nicely and reiterate on target for FY. Net Cash £13.29m (up). US sales picking up but still relatively low. Happy holding :-)
Iranian Drone Strike Shuts Major Saudi Refinery, Raising Oil Risk
Saudi Arabia has reportedly shut down Ras Tanura, one of the world’s largest oil refineries, following an Iranian drone strike. This is not just a regional headline. Ras Tanura is a critical node in global energy supply. Any prolonged disruption could...
Hedge Fund Star Credits Kahneman for 18-Year Winning Streak
1/ Brevan Howard's Minal Bathwal hasn't had a losing year since the start of his fund, 18 years ago. In a recent interview, he said that his style is influenced by psychologist Daniel Kahneman, including his book Thinking, Fast & Slow....
Iranian Conflict Expands, Fuels Oil Surge and Market Volatility
🚨 IRAN WAR DAY 2 — MONDAY MARKET OPEN 🚨 Day 2 confirms the war is widening, not containing. ~48 Iranian officials confirmed dead including Khamenei. Iran is retaliating across the Gulf — hitting Dubai, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia and targeting...
Power Lobby Cautions Von Der Leyen Against Market Interference
Power lobby warns European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen not to tamper with the market https://t.co/3HD3TctdVK via @johnainger https://t.co/EUl5qc4dhI
Aussie Gold Miners Gain $7B After US‑Israel Strikes
Top ten Aussie gold miners add approximately $7b of value after US-Israel missile strikes on Iran https://t.co/MIKqSU1r1w
Nifty Faces Critical 25108 Island Gap Resistance
Nifty may form an island reversal - What is that, you ask? When prices gap up and then gap down, leaving a zone with no trading, it is called an island gap. The price action left behind above the gap...
Foreign Investors Trigger Record South Korean Stock Selloff
🚨Has the South Korean market gone TOO FAR? Foreign investors dumped a record 6.8 trillion won ($4.7 billion) of South Korean stocks on Friday, the largest single-day selloff EVER.👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/us-stocks-dropped-amid-rising-ai-and-geopolitical-uncertainty-weekly-market-recap-trading-week-09-20
China’s Two Sessions Reveal Economic Outlook Amid High Stakes
China’s ‘Two Sessions’ to Shed Light on What Lies Ahead for Economy—Beijing’s target-setting takes place against a high-stakes backdrop https://t.co/sxAHsLFpcV https://t.co/sxAHsLFpcV
Box Theory: Simple Four-Step Trade Execution Blueprint
The Box Theory📊 Step 1: Draw the box 📊 Step 2: Wait for price 📊 Step 3: Confirmation📊 Step 4: Exit 📊 Final step: Execute 📊
Toyota Raises TOB Price, yet Governance Remains Disappointing
Toyota Asset Preparatory Co announced it had lifted the TOB Price for Toyota Industries to from ¥18,800 to a best and final ¥20,600. Elliott agreed to tender. They made big money, but this is still a really disappointing outcome for...
Indian Leveraged Futures Likely to Be Squashed Before Holi
Logically, if the war is not over, Indians with leveraged stock futures positions and MTF positions will not hold onto them into a Holi Holiday tomorrow - expect a lot of squaring up in the second half of the day....
Historic Low Range Hints at Upcoming Market Volatility
This year is the smallest range EVER for the first two months of a new year at only 2.7% for the S&P 500. Pretty incredible when you look at all the big winners and losers out there, yet, the overall market...
L1 Group's Cost Cuts and Fund Surge Boost Appeal
A rare post about an Australian stock: L1 Group (L1G-ASX) which reverse-acquired my former employer last year, looks interesting. The stock is not optically cheap, but when you look at... 1. The run-rate cost savings (guiding to $30-$35m, ~75% of...
Jobs, Sales Data May Confirm Fed Rate Path Amid Tensions
Geopolitical shocks meet key labor and retail data this week. February jobs and January sales could seal the Fed's rate outlook amid Middle East tensions. 🟢 Open https://t.co/NUBk2v4rcI
Markets Down Only 1%—Surprisingly Resilient
Markets aren't too bad this far. Just 1% down on an event like this almost seems like a positive :)
Reduced Listing Transparency Sparks Political Pressure, Consumers Resist
If listing transparency meaningfully declines in the housing market, political pressure will follow, IMO. Consumers are unlikely to relinquish the market access they’ve gained over the past decade-plus.
Trade Higher‑Timeframe Bias, Confirm on Lower Frames
Most traders lose because they trade the lower time frame first. You saw the sell off and wanted to short it. But on the hourly chart, price was sitting at a key gap level. That higher time frame support mattered. Drop down and...
US Short Interest Hits Decade High, Top Stocks 7% Shorted
🔴US market short interest is SURGING: Median S&P 500 stock short interest is up to 2.7% of market cap, the highest in at least 10 years, according to Goldman Sachs. The top 10% most shorted stocks now have 7% of their market...
Japanese Investment in China Jumps 55% Amid Tensions
“At a time when Tokyo and Beijing appear to be drifting further apart politically, Japanese capital is moving in the opposite direction…Japanese foreign direct investment into China surged by 55.5% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025.” https://t.co/osyTCAOqOp
Iran Conflict Spurs Oil, Markets, Crypto, Uranium Opportunities
Thoughts? The Iran war and oil crisis affect your money across four key areas: oil prices and inflation, stock market volatility, cryptocurrency movements, and overlooked opportunities in uranium and energy security stocks.
Even Top Pickers Need Decades to Find Few Winners
🎯 It takes the best stock pickers in the world a few decades of owning hundreds or even thousands of stocks to find a handful that are worthy of holding long-term. https://t.co/KRxH9wKOSP
Brent Crude Jumps 7% Amid War‑Driven Price Surge
On the opening of the Intercontinental Exchange Market in London, BRENT CRUDE SURGED. Since the close on Friday, it's up over 7%, trading at $78 / barrel. THE WINDS OF WAR = HIGHER OIL PRICES = MORE AFFORDABILITY PROBLEMS FOR TRUMP. https://t.co/H6nboenO4u