Extreme Sentiment Spread Widening in S&P 500
New free article: Extreme Sentiment Spread is Widening $SPX #markets Link in reply below. 👇 https://t.co/V3H7WgpK62
Nvidia's Strong Earnings and Outlook Discussed Live
Look forward to discussing Nvidia’s robust earnings and guidance on @BloombergTV with @lisaabramowicz1 @FerroTV @annmarie at 7:15 am
Semiconductor Index Delivered Over Tenfold Returns Decade‑Long
The PHLX Semiconductor index: ASML, TSMC, Texas Instruments, AMD, Nvidia, NXP, Qorvo, Qualcomm, Applied Materials, Broadcom etc. More than a ten-bagger in the past decade https://t.co/P0OKb3JVYf
Activist Pressure, Not Weak Yen, Drives Real Improvements
Seems to me that the biggest improvements have been in firms: - Shamed into increasing their P/B to 1.0x - Targeted by shareholder activists like Oasis - Already had the right mindset, eg Hitachi / Itochu - Illusory improvement from the weak yen https://t.co/KxTgEB3c9O https://t.co/DoX7UvP2gs
CRM Poised for Bounce; Dip‑buyers Eye Software Long
$CRM - Despite the post-mkt selling, CRM looks poised to bounce in the weeks ahead & i suspect Dip-buyers can finally position long in Software for some mean reversion vs market and also vs. Semis @IBDinvestors @marketsurge NEW Beta...
Mag‑7 Premium Plummets From 100% to 10‑year Low
The Mag-7 used to trade at a 100% premium over the rest of the S&P. It's now collapsed to a 10-year low. Do you realize what's happening?
NVDA Still Flat After Stellar Earnings, Beats Whisper
I’m surprised that $NVDA isn’t up big time after that masterpiece. Crushed the whisper, too.
Nvidia's Prolonged Rally Ends without Dramatic Swing
FWIW - After the kind of prolonged coil that we've seen with Nvidia since the summer, you would expect to see a dramatic move up or down as the tug of war between the bulls and bears is resolved. We didn't...
NVDA's Modest Rise Shows We’re Still in Inning Two
$NVDA is now up only 0.6%, compared to 2.5% when the call began. One reason for the drift: the call is missing the usual "early innings" table pounding message. Jensen is leading with data over his typical bombardment of bullish...
Massive Buybacks Signal Shrinking‑to‑Grow Strategy
You know who has a buyback of more than 25% of their equity market cap? A company that is shrinking to "grow". Like $EK back in the day. Return of capital style buyback $CRM
CEO Remains Bullish as Shares Plunge 70%
"The best days of @TheTradeDesk are ahead of us. I want to thank our employees, our clients, and our Partners for their trust and support throughout 2025. I am as confident as I have ever been in the opportunity in...
Nvidia Flat, Hard Assets Surge Despite After‑hours Bump
Nvidia $NVDA unchanged since October with hard assets ripping higher - up 1% after the close, Lord pump master is losing his touch :) https://t.co/417bLFxptb
Nvidia's Explosive Q Growth Sparks Derivative Buying Interest
A great $NVDA Q with TR up 73%, DC growth up 75%, Compute up 58%, Networking growth up 72%. Only issue is it is well owned and sell side buys at 78%. Who is the incremental buyer? ...
NVIDIA Projects Tenfold Revenue Surge by FY27
On Q1 FY27 guidance, NVIDIA TTM revenues of ~$250 billion. Three years ago (in Q1 FY24), TTM revenues were $25.9 billion. https://t.co/n7nDwriJvG
Big‑Cap S&P Leaders 50% More Volatile Than Index
The top 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are 50% more volatile than the S&P 500 itself right now. Important for risk... but more important for alpha right now. https://t.co/yqBR2QU8nK
Narrowing Breadth Signals Megacap Recovery Pressure
Breadth looks set to contract near-term per the A-D line, but that's not necessarily bearish. It just puts more pressure on the megacaps to stage a relative recovery #fairleadstrategies https://t.co/bbTJhh0egy
NVDA Posts Strong Weekly Numbers, Threatening Multi-Month Base
$NVDA @marketsurge #IBDPartner weekly -- solid numbers, enough for the king to leave this multi month base? https://t.co/lfP3O0srcn
Nvidia's Guide Targets 79% YoY Revenue Growth
$NVDA gave a monster guide. High end of April quarter revenue guide implies 79% y/y growth vs. Street at 64%.
S&P 500 Rises Ten Consecutive Months Amid Fear
The S&P 500 is currently up on the month on a total return basis. This would be 10 months in a row stocks were higher. It is simply amazing how much fear and worry we are seeing with this happening.
DSData: Cheapest Real‑Time Analyst Beats AI on SPX‑NVDA Insights
Better than AI we have DSData powered by @DanielSimonyi details in pinned tweet Cheapest reasearch analyst on the planet. Client prompt "have you looked at how spx moved with prior NVDA earnings reactions? on train so can't look closely, but...
Growth Managers Mastering Sector Shifts Reach Record Highs
Only the Growth Managers that understood the Sector Shifts are hitting new all-time highs today
Navigating Nvidia’s AI Earnings and the Software ‘Ghost Trade’
Great to be on @CNBCTheExchange with @KellyCNBC discussing what to expect from Nvidia and the Godfather of AI Jensen and Nvidia with tonight’s key earnings. Also walking thru the “AI Ghost Trade” black cloud over the software sector and how...
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#RealEstate data giant #CoStar thinks of itself as a winner but thus far #WallSt treating it as a loser, as it fell below $45/share 1st X since 19. #Florance touts https://t.co/OfrVvw8tgH's new #AI platform, sees rivals as 'doomscrolls' #CRE ...
Oracle's 61% Drop Signals Bear Market Near End
$ORCL - Bottomed at the 200 week MA in early February. The 5 month crash from September to February was significantly bigger than the 2008-2009 and 2022 bear markets in which the drawdown didn't surpass 43%. The drawdown of the...
NVDA Lagging Hints Market Top, yet Breaks Out Pre‑earnings
using Nvidia $NVDA is lagging the market as a supposed sign of a market top is what it is... but seeing them break the stock out ahead of earnings? markets are fun...
Mid- and Small-Cap Tech Surge Amid Large-Cap Decline
Despite Large-cap Technology stocks down over the past 4-5 months, both the Mid-cap Tech and Small-cap Tech indexes keep hitting new all-time highs this week. https://t.co/X2wjg3v8Qp
EM Earnings Surge 31% YoY, Outpacing US and Commodities
One way to visualize the global earnings convergence is by showing earnings estimates for the different regions on a log scale. All estimates are rising but EM estimates are rising the fastest. Shown another way, EM estimates are now rising at...
Uber Aggregates Robotaxis, Offering a Leveraged AV Bet
Uber isn’t building robotaxis. It’s aggregating them. That changes everything. $UBRL may be a leveraged bet on the entire AV ecosystem. Read why: https://t.co/uYTNGDwJMe @willrhind @graniteshares
UPS Surpasses Median Forecast, Near 90% Target
Our fundamental team use the Monte Carlo simulation to derive a 12 month projection In September when $UPS was at $84, we shared our analysis The Median target was $106 The 90% percentile was $147 Price hit $120 recently We combine our fundamental analysis...
Broad Market Wins: Can't Beat VOO Long-Term
This AI is gonna kill software trade echoes the "Death of the Mall" trade from 10yrs ago which was to go long $AMZN and short $XRT (brick and mortar). ProShares made $CLIX, $EMTY and $ONLN to do trade for you....
Country Exposures Keep Outperforming the S&P 500
CHART OF THE DAY: Our Country Exposures Continue To Outperform $SPY Monkeys https://t.co/xvYrId3oap via @hedgeye
Diageo NA Sales Fall 7% Amid Tequila Competition
Diageo North America 1H FY26 organic net sales down ~7% YoY "Consumer wallet pressure and competitiveness in tequila" https://t.co/BHQJiiv6lk
Market Poised at Resistance Ahead of Nvidia Earnings
📺 THE MARKET IS COILED AT RESISTANCE AHEAD OF $NVDA $SPY is still trading within a clearly defined range, around $689, just below the $690 resistance. The key question today: do we clear $688.35–$690 before Nvidia earnings, or does the market...
SPX Futures Hold, Target 6916 Before NVDA Earnings
$SPX futures are up 18 after the range held again yesterday, with 6815 proving support. Now we see if it can clear 6916 and hold it ahead of $NVDA earnings tonight, with the top end of the range at 6993–7002....
S&P 500 Daily Movers Surge, Indicating Low Correlation
The share of S&P 500 names moving more than 10% in a single day has increased, and high dispersion and low implied correlation suggest stocks are increasingly trading on their own fundamentals - Torsten at Apollo https://t.co/wgshI0i288
Copper Price Spikes; Maintain Long CPER Position
Dr. Copper inflates again and we remain long of it in $CPER terms @RPKent $HBM https://t.co/amj1QWvmMl
Nearly 1,000 Russell 200
991 of the Russell 2000s companies have reported an aggregate y/y EPS acceleration of +24%
Industrial ETF Climbs 14% Q1, Near Record High
Long Industrials $XLI up another +1.2% (back towards all-time highs) yesterday and already +14.1% in Q1-to-date
Nestle's Profit Surge Boosts Margin, Dividend Amid Share Dip
Nestle. Continuing profit revival. •4Q Net Profit RM126m, up 12% QoQ •Total 2025 RM513m, up 23%YoY. •Net profit margin rose to 7.5% (2024: 6.7%) •Div 2025 220sen (2024: 179 sen). Maintains high div payout of 100%. •Perhaps seeing lower cost pressure,...
Public Bank Posts Record Profit, Highest Dividend Yield
Public Bank. Highest Annual Net Profit •4Q Net Profit RM1.88b, up 2% •Total 2025 RM7.22bn, highest ever. •ROE ~12%, upper league among banks •Div 12 sen, 2025 total 22.5 sen (2024: 21 sen). Record high div payout ~60%. Annual div yield around...
MicroStrategy Tops Short List, $9.5B Bitcoin Loss
According to Goldman Sachs, shares of MicroStrategy are currently the most shorted among U.S.-listed stocks. Amid the crypto downturn, the company’s unrealized loss on its $BTC holdings has recently exceeded $9,500,000,000. https://t.co/cTdZMYj9A7
Emerging Markets Outpace US Stocks Since 2024 Peak
🚨Have US stocks PEAKED? The US stocks versus emerging market equities ratio has been falling for the last 15 months, after peaking in November 2024. Over this period, emerging market stocks have returned +48% while the S&P 500 delivered just +15%👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked
Focus on Price, Not AI Wrappers, for Real Edge
Don’t waste your time adding AI wrappers to free earnings data. The edge is in price. The Daily Beat’s proprietary Reaction Score tracks expectations vs the move so the winners show up on the scoreboard. Grateful for tools that keep...
NVDA Hits 2026 High, but False Breakout Looms
All eyes on $NVDA heading into tomorrow which technically DID make its highest close of 2026 today, but yet could face some headwinds from a cycle composite which is "not too bullish" starting next month https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm Important to keep a close eye...
US Mega Caps and International Stocks Yield Identical 55% Gains
US mega caps and international stocks... same return since the start of 2024 $XLG $VEU +55% https://t.co/ivvWB6wtEx
S&P 500 Stuck 6800‑7000, Breakout Imminent
We bounced today… but we’re still trapped between 6800 and 7000 on the S&P 500. I’m watching: 📈 $NVDA into earnings 📈 $AMD near key support 📈 Yields drifting lower 📈 $VIX back under 20 This range is going to resolve soon. Full breakdown: https://t.co/wvDXift1wY
Capex Share Rises, Yet Dividends Remain Intact
Companies are spending more of their revenues on capex, and so far, this hasn’t come at the expense of either dividends or buybacks. At the bottom in 2022, companies were spending 5.4% of their revenues on capex, and that has...
Story‑Driven Investors Face DAT Decline, Elevator Demand Rises
🆓 Tuesday links: narrative-loving investors, the end of the DAT boom, and growing demand for elevators. https://t.co/vZ3ezyQCtk chart: https://t.co/tgBy66cSK7 https://t.co/E3cZ7Gtawi
Earnings Beats Keep 40‑Month Bull Market Alive
The earnings picture has continuedto provide support for this now 40-month old bull market. With Q4 earnings season soon wrapping up (with 425 companies having reported), 75% have beaten estimates by an average of 773 bps. The dollar estimate has...
Mag 7 Range Holds; Break Below Could Trigger 10% Drop
Whether this benign broadening will continue depends largely on whether the Mag 7 can hold on to its trading range. So far it has, but should support be taken out at the range lows I could easily see another 10%...