Apple Rallies $260.50
Still in as $aapl as it’s giving a great two day move. I just have less now. From $260.50 RDR buy Friday. to $269+ today
S&P 500 Sheds $650B, Returns to Negative YTD
The rollercoaster ride continues… The S&P 500 has lost over $650 BILLION in market cap so far today, down 1.06%. The index is now negative YTD once again 🔻
Small‑cap Value Poised for Violent Surge Post‑tech Dominance
Russell 2000 $IWM slightly ahead of Nasdaq $QQQ since 2000 and now ahead year-on-year. But the path was dramatic. From 2000–2006 → Small caps crushed tech after the dot-com bust Since 2006, small caps have underperformed large-cap growth for two decades, and severely...
Apple’s Cash Return Beats Rivals’ AI Spending, Shows Strategic Restraint
Apple returned $106.1 billion to shareholders. While its competitors collectively committed $500 billion+ to AI infrastructure. Sometimes the most strategic AI decision is knowing when not to build. Source: https://t.co/KNtNLIRTOQ
Software Stocks Tumble as Claude Code Disrupts Cybersecurity
The software selloff continues, w/cybersecurity stocks particularly hard hit following the release of Anthropic’s Claude Code Security due to fears that this code-focused tool will change the industry. This indicates that there is nowhere to hide when it comes to...
Market Rally Masks Weakening NYSE Breadth
The NYSE Advance-Decline line made new all-time highs on Friday. But the % of stocks on the NYSE above their 200-day moving average made lower highs. And today it's actually hitting new 6-week lows.
NYT's AI-Driven Overhaul Saved Dying Newspaper Model
Left: what happened to newspaper stocks. Right: what NYT did about it. The product that survived looks nothing like the one that was dying. The software/AI playbook may already exist https://t.co/OL43xsRz6Q
AmEx Slides as Credit Card Leaders Trend Downward
$AXP Daily. Update. Aggressive follow-through lower for AmEx as it follows $MA $V to downside in major credit card space. Major top on cusp of confirming. https://t.co/JJcBjfmOsT
Microsoft's $1.3T Valuation Slips 30% Amid AI Hype
A $1.3T valuation hit so far... Microsoft $MSFT -30% off sale, stock close to unchanged since Q4 2023, "AI revolution."
Market Reaction Scores Reveal Earnings Surprises
Plenty of sites give you an earnings calendar. Others give you an AI TLDR of the release. The team at @StockMktTV focuses on what actually matters: how markets react. The Daily Beat breaks down expectations vs reality using a proprietary...
QQQ May Hold $605 or Slip to Lower Range
$qqq channel intact. Will today be easy and hold $605ish. Or back to low end of the box and range https://t.co/6H9MUXu9Oo
IQMM's $17B Debut Driven by ProShares, Not Organic
Wild, the $17b that $IQMM took in on its first day of trading has it leading 1D, 1W and 1M flows instantly and is now 2nd in YTD. ProShares lined up all their funds and bought IQMM for each's cash...
Live on Fox Business: Market & Tariff Outlook
I'll be on @FoxBusiness this morning with @MariaBartiromo today at 7:10 am EST, talking markets, recent tariff developments & what's in store
MONY Shows Strong Returns Amid AI Uncertainty
#MONY results look solid but obviously the Hefalump in the Room is treats from AI. ShareScope showing fwd p/e 8.6 falling to 8.1 and fwd Divvy 8.6% rising to 8.9% and remember there are Buybacks as well. Low rating but...
SPX Near Record High Amid Soaring Stock Volatility
As of Fri's close, the SPX sat just 0.99% below its Jan 28 all-time high (~6,978.6). Yet everyone's screaming "chaos & uncertainty"? Blue = mkt-cap wgted avg "VIX" of the 500 constituents (now 38) Orange = standard 30-day VIX (17.6) Green =...
AI Security Tool Triggers Sharp Drop in US Cyber Stocks
‼️US Cybersecurity stocks are getting CRUSHED by AI fears: CrowdStrike fell -8.0% on Friday, Cloudflare -8.1%, Okta -9.2%, and SailPoint -9.4% after Anthropic unveiled a new Claude AI security tool that scans codebases for vulnerabilities and suggests patches. The Cybersecurity ETF, $BUG,...
Weekend Email Delivers Top Charts, Becomes Favorite
This has quickly become my favorite weekend email @HostileCharts Larry Thompson's Sunday Stalk List on @StockMktTV. Some great charts in here: https://t.co/AN276aKU9t
DHS Funding Gap Pauses Global Entry, Sparks Airline Buy
Macro: DHS funding lapse prompted policy reversals. Key: TSA PreCheck remains; Global Entry paused. Risk: service uncertainty may boost travel volatility. Trade: buy select airline stocks. — Viktor Kopylov, PhD, CFA More insights: t.me/si14Kopylov
Low Put/Call Ratio Signals Hedging, Not Euphoria
“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning.
Low Put/Call Ratio Signals Selective Hedging, Not Euphoria
“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning. https://t.co/V7FSThxtRN
Japanese Life Insurers Face $86B Bond Losses
⚠️WHAT IS HAPPENING IN JAPAN? The 4 largest Japanese life insurers, Nippon Life, Dai-ichi Life, Sumitomo Life, and Meiji Yasuda, had a combined ¥13.2 trillion ($86 billion) in unrealized losses on government bonds at the end of 2025. Losses have risen over...
Broader Market Defies Mega‑Cap AI Volatility Narrative
In this episode, Michael and Stephen break down one of the most confusing market environments in years. While volatility in mega-cap software and AI names has grabbed headlines, the broader market is quietly telling a very different story. https://t.co/uhRhg9iiil
Dow Jones Composite Hits Record High Across 65 Stocks
The Dow Jones Composite Average just closed at another new all-time high this week. This index includes all 30 stocks in the DJ Industrial Avg, all 20 in the Dow Transports and all 15 stocks in the DJ Utility Average....
2026 Poised as Decade’s Best Year for Active Management
2026 could be the best year for active management in decades. The combination of a heavily concentrated index alongside a period of cyclical broadening provides for a backdrop of most stocks beating the benchmark.
Dollar Weakness Boosts Gold, Hurts US Stocks
⚠️US Dollar weakness is historically BAD news for US stocks: AVERAGE ANNUALIZED RETURNS during the 5 major Dollar bear markets since 1967: S&P 500: +6.4% annualized Gold: +43.1% annualized EM stocks: +23.7% annualized👇 https://globalmarketsinvestor.beehiiv.com/p/the-us-stock-market-has-peaked
IEEPA Tariff Invalidated Threatens Existing Trade Deal Framework
JPMORGAN: “.. many trade deals negotiated to date have relied on IEEPA tariffs and have not yet been formalized as trade agreements. With the legal basis for these tariffs now invalidated, the fate of these deals is in question. These...
ProShares Shifts $17B to IQMM for Cash Management
Mystery solved via Ben re the $17b in $IQMM on Day One. The call is coming from inside the house, literally, ProShares own funds are all now using IQMM now for their cash positions. Big time BYOA and not as...
Historic Shift Signals Growing Market Structure Risks
Historic Dispersion From Growth To Value Rotation - some quant talk to highlight growing risks in market structure. #CTA #IRAN $NVDA https://t.co/ZcfZDnpE7l
MFs Adding ETF Share Classes Will Trigger Massive Drainage
Prepping for presentation I found this slide from last year, it's a bit strong but I stand by it re what will be the main impact of MFs adding on ETF share classes (which should kick off in next few...
S&P 500 Rebounds Above 6900, Tech Leads Rally
$SPX closed back above 6900 to end the week. $GOOGL $AMZN and $NFLX powered the rally, silver surged 8%, and I tackled viewer questions on $CAT entries, $MSFT Fibonacci risk, $ENPH breakout and the Hindenburg Omen. Full CHART THIS Mailbag: https://t.co/HpUIXN5kHi https://t.co/AiL2WR6RDf
Investors Shift to Staples Amid Mag‑7 CAP‑Ex Weakness
In my weekly markets video for clients, I highlighted how investors have gone from “7 to Staples”. Usually, growing macro risks lead to Staples leadership. This time macro isn’t the issue, but it could be due to Mag 7’s idiosyncratic...
NYSE Composite Hits Record Weekly Close
That was just the highest weekly close in the history of the NYSE Composite Index https://t.co/jxcFWw2qDi
NVDA to Outpace Street, 2027 Growth Near 40%
T-minus 5 days until $NVDA reports. I expect guidance to come in ahead of expectations for CY26. That said, the real question is: what about 2027? My take: Growth in CY27 will be closer to 40% vs. the Street at...
Apple’s Nasdaq Correlation Hits Historic Low, AI‑Proof Edge
⚠️Apple has almost NEVER decoupled from its Tech Peers like this before: $AAPL, 40-day price correlation with the Nasdaq 100 dropped to 0.2, the lowest since 2006. This is down from 0.92 in May 2025, a truly historic divergence. This comes as Apple...
S&P Briefly Dips Negative, Marking a Ludacris Day
ludacris day means that sometime in the day the s and p turns negative after being substantially higher. the s and p did turn negative (briefly) qualifying as a ludacris day.
New Low-Cost, Tax-Efficient Benchmark ETF Arrives June 30
There has been near zero coverage in the endowment and foundation world about there now being a low-cost, tax-efficient investable benchmark ETF. June 30th can't come soon enough...
S&P Reverses Gains, Slides Downward After Recent Surge
S and P now down on the day (reversing 45 handles in last few minutes) From an hour ago... on @thestreetpro Dougie Kass Ludacris Day? @dougkass
Ex‑US Value Soars, Advisors Still Underweight Benchmark
Value ex-US ripping again this year, spreading to US value too. Not a lot of discussion about it in my world yet. Every advisor we speak to still way underallocated relative to benchmark...
Cooling Volatility Triggers Machine Re‑Leverage, Expect Upward Grind
Volatility is cooling. 30D realized volatility (yellow line) just rolled over and is now below 90D (blue line). When short-term vol drops, the machines re-lever. Vol control funds start buying. Right now, the signal says grind higher until proven otherwise.
US Q4 Growth Stalls at 1.4% Amid Shutdown
The US econ grew less than expected in the fourth quarter, weighed down by a record-long govt shutdown, weaker consumer spending, and softer trade. GDP expanded at an annualized rate of 1.4% in Q4, down sharply from 4.4% in Q3....
US Stock Market Cap Only 12% of $7.7T
"...$7.7 trillion ain’t what it used to be: Compared with the combined market capitalization of stocks on the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq, he points out that it’s on the low side, at about 12%." @Spencerjakab https://t.co/dd4PRJs203 https://t.co/f2BPA4Qw7V
Historic Uncertainty Spurs Opportunities in AI and Energy Stocks
Thoughts? The World Uncertainty Index has surged to historic levels—exceeding Iraq War, COVID, and 9/11—and identify five stocks positioned to perform well under these geopolitical conditions: Palantir (AI battlefield intelligence), ExxonMobil and Cameco/CCJ (energy security), and NVIDIA (AI defense technology),...
Current Feb Mirrors Century‑Long SPY Performance Trends
$SPX.X $SPY Feb performance by day 100 years overlaid on MTD action of SPY https://t.co/x1W4uABOCj
Short the Rips, Buy the Dips: Grinder’s Strategy
Grinder on the short side of the Indices for several months. Short the rips, buy the dips... for now, Bill. @DougKass
VWAP Highlights Week-Long Choppiness Across Major Indices
The 🔵WTD ⚓️VWAP tells the story of the choppy week in $ES_F $SPY $NQ_F $QQQ https://t.co/ihrFlZV1FZ
ETF Fees Halt Decline as Higher‑cost Products Gain Traction
The race to zero has hit a wall as the asset weighted average ETF fee has finally stopped its descent and even reversed a bit (this chart is one of the scariest, albeit slow moving ones for Wall St, equiv...
SPX Holds Channel—Stay Selective, Await Clean Setups
$SPX is still holding its channel, it’s an easy tape to overtrade, so stay selective and wait for clean setups. Key levels: support 6780–6790, yesterday’s low 6833, and pivot resistance 6909, with PCE and GDP on deck at 8:30. https://t.co/lvzBNkDdkK
Live Premarket Picks: NVDA, TSLA, IBIT, SPY
⏰Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Update $NVDA $TSLA $IBIT $SPY 📷 Free VIP List Newsletter: https://t.co/EW4O2nbz8N https://t.co/LuYuPCBRLU
Shorting SPY at $686.72 in Premarket Trade
Premarket Trading (4:10 AM) @TheStreetPro * Win, lose or draw - I timestamp * I don't bullshit (by sweeping losers under the rug and regaling in my winners) .... I am back shorting the indices: * (SPY) $686.72 By Doug Kass Feb 20, 2026...
Apple’s Support Break Rippled Into SPY Yesterday
Did you know $AAPL broke @Hedgeye TREND Signal Support in the past week? Do you know what its impact was in $SPY yesterday? @t1alpha We call this being Macro Aware https://t.co/vu1biIkQcQ