EW Tech Beats S&P 500 Amid Ongoing Rotation
Despite the YTD losses in the Tech sector, the EW Tech sector (the avg Tech stock) is outperforming the S&P 500 this year. Plenty of Tech names to own that remain in an uptrend as a market rotation continues to play out. https://t.co/5hGe60AYBM
Failed Breakdowns Trigger Sell‑the‑Bounce in Range Markets
📺 FAILED BREAKDOWN, BUT STILL A SELL-THE-BOUNCE MARKET I expected a possible downside range resolution yesterday, but that did not happen – $SPY held $675–$676, reclaimed Friday’s low, and triggered a tactical reversal. – $QQQ broke down, reclaimed a key level, and gave...
ZM Poised for Upside with Buyback, Growth, Cheap Valuation
- Anthropic catalyst - Pouring cash into buyback w/ conservative balance sheet - 5% annual gross profit growth since EOY 2022 - stock trading below 17x EV/EBIT per @fiscal_ai Very interesting set-up for $ZM over next couple of years https://t.co/75MsUcEE1b
SPX Futures Hold Support, Cue Tactical RDR Buys
$SPX futures +30 after holding key range support 6780–6790 again — that zone remains intact. For active traders, look for tactical RDR-type buys, then trim & trail into early strength while we manage the range. Resistance: 6880–6902 https://t.co/t51qiJIU4L
Wall Street Underestimates Coinbase Amid Growing Adoption, Regulation
NEW: 🚨 Brian Armstrong says Wall Street underestimates Coinbase, even as it grows stronger through rising adoption, clearer regulation, and improving financial performance.
New QQQ Tactics and Sell Rules for Trade
$qqq gave many ways to tactically adjust yesterday around a few key pivots. Now u can use some sell rules to manage the trade https://t.co/qldCOKB0UE
Amazon's Shift to Capital‑intensive Model Triggers Sell‑off
The transition of $AMZN (and some other MAG7 constituents) from a capital light business model to a capital intensive business model is more than three months old... the transformation has been measured in multiple quarters and not in months. It...
AI-Integrated Security Boosts PANW Demand and Value
PANW strong q/good initial guide with CyberArk. The need for AI-native, integrated security platforms rather than fragmented point solutions is further increasing demand for PANW platform. AI increasing PANW’s value proposition-not displacing it. $225 PT..very well positioned🏆
SPX Futures Jump 40 as SPY Holds Key Range
$spx futures +40 after $spy held $675 and reclaimed $677 to keep the range intact yesterday. A few RDR’s across the board to cover some shorts and put on small risk. We’ll see if early strength holds...
GTLY Beats Expectations, Offers Strong Value
#KEYS "Marginally ahead of current market expectations". Strong Update. ShareScope has fwd p/e 17.8 falling to 17.6 and fwd Divvy 3.9% each of next 2 years. With the 'beat' it looks good value. I hold #GTLY (which hopefully is also...
BA Beats Expectations, SharePad Valuation Improves, Dividend Rises
#BA. Results read well and market happy with them. SharePad has fwd p/e 27.3 falling to 24.2 and fwd Divvy 1.8% rising to 2%; it's getting quite a high rating but I'm happy to keep as my biggest position, as...
M7 Tech Stocks Test Low, Threatening Repeat Correction
However, as the AI narrative continues to unfold, from euphoria a few months ago to handwringing now (over the commodification of the SaaS stocks and the unknown ROI of hyperscaler capex), the Might Mag 7 is showing some strains. The...
Buffett's Final 13F Shows Massive Cash, Net Stock Sales
dividendology_yt 🚨 Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway recently released their latest Form 13F. With Buffett retiring at the end of 2025, this document reveals the LAST moves Buffett made before he stepped down. I spent hours reviewing it, and found 10 key takeaways for...
SKEW Below 140 Signals Institutional Hedge Unwind
SKEW just closed below 140. Falling $SKEW = institutions unwinding tail-risk hedges (OTM puts get cheaper) and/or quietly reducing equity exposure. Past cycles: Sustained declines often marked distribution phases — rallies fade as protection demand evaporates and complacency builds. If it...
ARW Breaks 4.5‑Year Base Amid Tech Weakness
Still far more interest in NVDA & MSFT than in stocks like Arrow Electronics which is on #IBD "Recent Breakouts list" from @IBDinvestors @marketsurge $ARW just cleared a lengthy 4.5 yr base since 2021 as wkly volume hit the highest...
CNBC Panel’s Unfounded Praise Triggers PANW Stock Drop
$PANW, the object of affection on the show (by two members) today (and a third, last week ) @cnbc is now -$17 or -10% in after hours after poor guidance. Some say I dwell on my criticism and that...
Amazon Ends Nine‑day Slide, Halts $450bn Loss
#Amazon snaps 9d losing streak during which it lost more than $450bn in value. https://t.co/0lGS8k6lrO https://t.co/TjEQVxihvT
Berkshire Hathaway Trims Apple Stake by 10 Million Shares
Berkshire Hathaway reduces its $AAPL holdings from 238.21 million to 227.92 million shares. No biggie. @ScottWapnerCNBC @dougkass
Holding Consensus Picks Like APP, HOOD, PLTR Costs Money
If you're still bag-holding consensus CNBC names like $APP $HOOD $PLTR, that will bother your pocketbook
AI Firms, Data Centers to Issue $220B Debt, Outpace Banks
AI cos and data centers are expected to issue $220 billion of debt this year, making up 15% of JPM's high-grade bond index (and making them bigger issuers than banks) https://t.co/LPkxfJGhNK
Mason Morfit Calls Market Wrong on Salesforce Valuation
Must listen. Rare interview with activist investor Mason Morfit with @WilfredFrost my favorite part when they discuss why he says the market is wrong on Salesforce @Benioff
Partnering with Disruptor Boosts FIG 4% Above Sector
In a market punishing software...partnering with the disruptor is getting rewarded $FIG up 4% on the news, outperforming the sector
Adobe at 15× Earnings—Five‑year Low, Consider Buying
$ADBE trading at just 15x its earnings as the stock reaches five year lows. Are you buying? Earnings scheduled on March 12th.
Sold Heavily in 2019, Missed Nvidia's 50x Surge
Well they also sold a ton back in 2019, right before NVDA went up 50x
Jane Street’s IBIT Trade Is Hedged, Not Accumulating Bitcoin
It is so painful to watch this fumbling. Jane Street may be taking a position in IBIT, but that position is almost entirely offset by undisclosed options (on IBIT) and futures positions. They are certainly not “accumulating” a position in Bitcoin. That’s...
Big Tech Cuts Buybacks, Shifts to AI Spending
‼️The largest US stock buyer since 2009 is STEPPING BACK: Combined buybacks by Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, and Oracle fell to $12.6 billion in Q4 2025, the lowest in 7 YEARS. This marks the 3rd quarterly decline, a -70% DROP from the...
Swiss Market Hits Record High as US Stocks Slide
Switzerland is hitting a new all-time high again today as U.S. stocks break down to new 6-month lows relative to European stocks. https://t.co/z6UH4K1Vfo
Retail Favorites, IPO Timing, and Base Rates Explained
🔬 Research links: the stocks retail investors favor, the impact of IPO timing, and why base rates matter so much. https://t.co/cjmTGAY0wz chart: https://t.co/rvyduDs39u https://t.co/EKv26rorKm
Chinese AI Firms Double, Hitting $35B—West Should Follow
china’s two ai model company minimax and zai have grown 2x in public markets in the last month they’re now $30-35b companies surely that should prompt western labs to go public already
New Capital Rules Unlock $250B+ for Big Banks
New bank capital rules coming which will free up more excess capital at the same time when capital mkts & loan demand are improving. Large cap banks have $175B in excess capital which will go to $250B+ post GSIB...
Watch MU’s $386 Support to Gauge Memory Group Strength
📺 IS THE MEMORY GROUP STILL “SPECIAL”? $MU, $SNDK, and $WDC were some of the strongest names in the market recently. The key question is whether this group can maintain its leadership while broader tech faces downside pressure. $MU trade framework: – If $MU...
Market Awaiting Decisive Breakout: Support or Resistance?
📺 THIS MARKET NEEDS RESOLUTION The market is stuck in a range. Breakouts fail, breakdowns bounce, and both longs and shorts get frustrated. We need a decisive move that breaks the range and sticks. That could mean: 🔻 A clean break below support $QQQ...
SPX Below 50‑Day MA, Support at 6780‑6790
$SPX is now below the 8/21/50day. The longer we sit under 6880ish the higher the odds we see lower prices. A reclaim back above there keeps this range action intact, while 6780–6790 remains the key major support zone. https://t.co/Zmq5a33GXE
New DSR Highlights Debt‑Equity Promise for Hyperscalers
New DSR released to clients. Part 3 in the Hamburger Series - Hyperscalers. As a reminder the idea is that to get a hamburger today one needs to promise to repay (issue debt and equity) on tuesday. ...
Walmart's EBITDA Multiple Jumps From 6x to 23x
What a re-rating for Walmart stock. From 6x EBITDA in 2011 to 23x today. Sometimes buying good businesses cheaply just works. https://t.co/ORuNNv1HBY
Institutional Sentiment Swings Rapidly Amid AI Disruption Fears
This week’s episode explores a dramatic shift in sentiment that unfolded in just a few days. Emily and Michael are joined by Jay Glickson (Macro Sales) to discuss what institutional investors are saying, how AI disruption fears are shaping their...
Nvidia
"AI Revolution" - Nvidia unchanged since July, off 3% in 2026. Street Research $NVDA at $181 Buys 92.8% ...
Meta's Compute Spend Aims Solely at Internal Profit
$META is an interesting case. Make a massive compute investment entirely for internal needs. Unlike virtually any of the big data center spend which in other cases is partly internal and partly to rent to others, META ROI seems...
38% Expect Warsh Chair to Push Yields Higher, Dollar Lower
"38% of FMS investors believe that, all else equal, the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair will likely lead to higher US Treasury yields and a lower US dollar." - BofA Global Fund Manager Survey https://t.co/5m0L3ZjRg1
Foreign Investment Steady, US Stocks Slightly Lagging
Balanced take from Bob. While the headline may be different than my "get out" thesis. The meat says the same. Flows suggest marginally weaker dollar and relative underperformance of U.S. stocks vs ROW. Don't panic out...
CIOs Push CEOs to Cut Capex, Strengthen Balance Sheets
"capex too hot right now …CIOs telling CEOs to improve balance sheets (35% from 26%) vs. increase capex (20% from 34%) as FMS investors saying corps 'overinvesting' at new record high" - BofA Global Fund Manager Survey https://t.co/ciu0wy6GZP
73% of Stocks Rose, AMAT Leads Gains
Got Good Stock Picking or Bag-holding #Bag7 names? 73% of stocks were up an avg +2.0% on Friday with our $AMAT Long leading the way @HedgeyeTech https://t.co/1HxQYIbhYb
IT Overvaluation, Not Crash, Drives Sector Underperformance
Just because IT stocks are crashing does not mean the Indian IT sector is coming to a close - but you were overpaying for growth considering IT as a defensive sector, and that has to change. The sector has underperformed...
Investors Urge CEOs to Curb Spending Amid Bullish Optimism
Wall Street is full of worried bulls. On one hand, investors are telling CEOs they're overinvesting. On the other, investors are feeling the best about the overall backdrop since June 2021, with "no landing" expectations at a record high: February...
Executive Chairman Buys 530k CORD Shares, Uptrend Confirmed
Executive Chairman (Investment Manager) at #CORD bought 530,000 shares at 103.12p each. ShareScope showing fwd Dividend Yield 3.9% and chart is in a nice Uptrend. I don't hold.
APN Beats Consensus, Forward P/E Drops, Shares Up 6%
#APN "ahead of updated market consensus expectations". ShareScope showing fwd p/e 22.3 falling to 20.2 but that's before news today and 6% rise and there's Cash to strip out. More to come hopefully. :-)
Falling Rates Could Quickly Revive Builder Margins
Sales are weak. Inventory is tight. Builder sentiment is soft. If rates fall, incentives drop — and margins can snap back fast. The setup in homebuilders isn’t getting enough attention. Read more: https://t.co/AJREG4myee
Software Stocks Echo Dot‑com Highs, Risk Imminent Crash
The carnage brings us back to the Dot-Com highs on Software Relative to the S&P 500. Ugly ugly ugly. I don't know if it happens this week, but I think this chart will break down. Time will tell. https://t.co/d0hCRxotxq
Dalio's Stage 6: 5 Stocks for the New World Order
Ray Dalio says the world order has broken down. His “Stage 6” post went viral on X. What does that mean for markets? I mapped his framework to 5 stocks positioned for trade wars, tech controls, rearmament, energy shocks & gold. Here’s the playbook: https://t.co/FrP3YuOJA9
2025 Profitability Snapshot: Sector Returns & Excess Gains
In my sixth data update, I look at business profitability in 2025, across sectors, industries and regions, scaled to revenues (profit margins) and to invested capital (accounting returns). I use the latter to compute and compare excess returns. https://t.co/L3PDmph4VA