The New 1 Oz Gold Futures Are Catching On
CME Group introduced a 1‑ounce gold futures contract in January 2025, expanding its COMEX product suite. Daily trading volume has risen steadily, with a pronounced uptick since September, indicating growing market acceptance. The contract’s performance contrasts with many new derivatives that struggle for liquidity. Analysts view the upward trend as evidence that the smaller‑size contract resonates with both retail and institutional participants amid heightened volatility.
Jane Street’s Friday Puts Trigger Monday BTC Crashes
What the scum at Jane Street was probably doing was buying puts on $IBIT on a Friday and then crucifying $BTC when US markets opened up on Monday. That is the returns for $BTC on every Monday in 2026 https://t.co/h4GTmfLL7O
Silver Breaks Back Over $90, AS Metal Continues To Leave The Comex
Silver futures surged past $90 per ounce, marking a significant rebound after recent sell‑offs. Gold futures also climbed, adding $47 to reach $5,224 per ounce. The rally suggests a new potential trading range for silver between $60 and $120, moving...
Developments in Foreign Exchange and Over-the-Counter Derivatives Markets
The BIS Triennial Survey shows global foreign‑exchange turnover jumped to US$9.5 trillion per day in April 2025, a 27 % rise driven by heightened volatility, hedging and speculative activity. Spot and outright forwards led the surge, while currency‑option turnover more than doubled and...
#58429
Volatility Shares Trust 2x XRP ETF (XRPT) announced a 1‑for‑20 reverse stock split effective February 27, 2026, converting each existing share into 0.05 of a new share. The ticker changes to XRPT1 and the contract multiplier shifts from 1 to 100, altering...
Consus Ag Consulting Afternoon Wrap Up
Futures opened narrowly mixed as traders focused on month‑end positioning, with limited fresh news and low volume. In South America, Brazil soybean quality is slipping due to excess moisture, raising concerns for both soy and upcoming corn crops. Meanwhile, wildfires...
ESMA Sets Out Clearing Thresholds Under EMIR 3
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has released draft Regulatory Technical Standards (RTS) detailing new clearing thresholds under EMIR 3. The proposal retains five threshold categories, clarifies calculation timing, and enhances the trigger mechanism’s stability. ESMA also suggests higher thresholds...
Collar Options Strategies: Pros, Cons and Examples
A collar option strategy combines a protective put with a covered call to limit downside while capping upside. Investors own the underlying stock, buy an out‑of‑the‑money put and sell an out‑of‑the‑money call with the same expiration, often resulting in a...
Guidance for EU IM Model Application for ISDA SIMM®
EU financial and non‑financial counterparties using ISDA SIMM must have filed an initial IM model application with their competent authority or the ECB, and those that have already applied need to submit an updated version by 31 March 2026. The update must reference...
Python Reduces Portfolio Optimization to Four Lines
Stop trading with Excel. Start trading with Python. Portfolio optimization is literally 4 lines of Python code:
Coinbase Options Play: Low‑Risk Bet on Potential 10× Upside
of all the stocks beat up lately, Coinbase $COIN is one of those names... if we zoom out to the weekly we can see it found support in this area multiple times before... i'd been tinkering with options as a...
How ‘Doomers And Boomers’ Took Over US Equity Options
The piece observes that retail investors—dubbed “doomers” for their bearish outlook and “boomers” for their age‑group—now dominate US equity options trading. Their surge has swollen overall volume, steepened put‑call skews and forced market makers to reassess risk models. The author...
Dawn Hub Prices Remain Elevated as Ontario Storage Trends Near Seasonal Floor
Ontario natural gas storage remains well below the five‑year average, sitting 27.7 Bcf short and driving Dawn hub prices higher as winter ends. Seasonal withdrawals are the third‑largest on record, with the March exit projected near 60 Bcf. The forward price curve...
VIX Below $19 Signals Bull Market, Nvidia Earnings Await
Good morning, That was prob one of the funniest SOTU's ever 🤣 but with it the vix rejected $20 and we saw the market get bullish & now the final boss...Nvidia's earnings which I'll post the call and put at 3...
Market Poised at Resistance Ahead of Nvidia Earnings
📺 THE MARKET IS COILED AT RESISTANCE AHEAD OF $NVDA $SPY is still trading within a clearly defined range, around $689, just below the $690 resistance. The key question today: do we clear $688.35–$690 before Nvidia earnings, or does the market...
CFTC Taps Ex-Prosecutor, ‘Billions’ Adviser for Enforcement
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission announced that David Miller will become its enforcement director on March 2, succeeding a period of heightened scrutiny over derivatives trading. Miller, a former federal prosecutor, has spent the last several years as a...
Inside Hedge Funds' Secret Method for Detecting Market Regimes
The secret hedge funds use to detect market regimes... A 37 page PDF reveals everything:
Software Volatility Premium May Boost SPX to 7k
CRM and NVDA report tonight. I think the VRP in software stocks is interesting, as the vol is now higher that during the Apr 24 crash. Options spreads could do well even if the stocks disappoint. You can see this in...
Trading Technologies to Offer Direct Connectivity to India’s National Stock Exchange
Trading Technologies International will launch direct, co‑located connectivity to India’s National Stock Exchange, giving institutional clients full access to NSE liquidity and advanced algorithms such as Autospreader and Algo Design Lab. Simultaneously, TP ICAP is converting its Fusion Digital Assets crypto...
2025 Swaption Volumes and Market Shares
The 2025 full‑year swaption market reached a record $24.1 trillion in notional volume, a 35 % increase over 2023, while trade counts remained flat, indicating larger average deal sizes. Average trade size jumped 36 % to $150 million, driven partly by reporting‑cap hikes introduced...
WFE Flags Settlement Risks in Push Toward 24/5 Trading
The World Federation of Exchanges (WFE) warns that extending equity trading to a 24‑hours‑five‑days (24/5) schedule introduces settlement and liquidity risks unless clearing, settlement and payment infrastructures are upgraded. U.S. venues such as NYSE Arca, Nasdaq and Cboe are piloting...
DERIVSOURCE: The Pros and Cons of Client Clearing
Client clearing volumes jumped 67% in early 2026, driven by the uncleared margin rule and new structures like the European Agent Trustee Model. The OFR working paper highlights benefits such as reduced dealer gross exposure, lower collateral needs, broader dealer...
Holding Nifty Call Until Expiry If Spot >25500
Bought Nifty 2nd March 25600 CE....🔥 Avg: 191.40. Currently in loss. Risky trade, no denial. >> Plan is simple: holding till expiry or target as long as Nifty spot sustains above 25500 on DCB. Now it’s about structure, not emotions. Let’s see how the market...
Big‑Cap S&P Leaders 50% More Volatile Than Index
The top 10 largest stocks in the S&P 500 are 50% more volatile than the S&P 500 itself right now. Important for risk... but more important for alpha right now. https://t.co/yqBR2QU8nK
FX Option Expiries for 25 February 10am New York Cut
The February 25 10 a.m. New York FX option expiry lists strike levels and notional exposure across major currency pairs. EUR/USD shows the largest notional at the 1.1900 strike with €5.09 billion, while AUD/USD aggregates over AUD 8 billion across four strikes. Market makers must hedge these...
Volatility Drops Across Board Despite Apparent Front Pressure
Yesterday SLV vols were down with the small down day...today vols are down across the board on the uptick. Unexpected. These are pct changes in the vols. It appears like the fronts are getting hit harder. But they're not... https://t.co/Py3JzocrxE
Crude Oil Bullish Order Block, Yet No Range Expansion
CL had OD/ID BO pattern, but no range expansion (yet)...significant zone comes in well below. https://t.co/vLjGgmEMpf
Submission of Rule Filing SR-NSCC-2026-003 – Amend the Clearing Agency Stress Testing Framework
National Securities Clearing Corporation (NSCC) submitted Rule Filing SR‑NSCC‑2026‑003 to the SEC on February 25, 2026, proposing amendments to the shared stress‑testing framework of DTCC, its Fixed Income Clearing Corporation (FICC) subsidiary, and NSCC. The changes aim to broaden scenario coverage, tighten...
Front-Month Futures Dip, Back Months Stay Premium Amid Elections
Interesting (to me anyway) that the front months are coming down from the recent highs, but the back months are holding their premium. Mid-term elections? https://t.co/I5WS2ewLoF
RBOB Gas Futures Dip 1%, Pump Prices Near $3
RBOB gasoline futures down 1% YoY... very likely to turn up YoY in the weeks ahead... $3 pump prices absolutely coming $UGA $RB_F https://t.co/H5sX1paGVU
Submission of Rule Filing SR-DTC-2026-002 – Amend the Clearing Agency Stress Testing Framework
On February 25, 2026, The Depository Trust Company (DTC) submitted rule filing SR‑DTC‑2026‑002 to the SEC, proposing amendments to the Clearing Agency Stress Testing Framework shared by DTC, the Fixed Income Clearing Corporation, and the National Securities Clearing Corporation. The...
Buy March Call Calendar, Sell Feb Put
$LOW "Trade Idea 3: Buy the February 27 Expiry/March 295 Call Calendar ($3.10) and sell the February 27 Expiry 270 Put for 90 cents." Feb calls expire, puts on edge, may need to roll down and out. Leaves a...
SPX Futures Hold, Target 6916 Before NVDA Earnings
$SPX futures are up 18 after the range held again yesterday, with 6815 proving support. Now we see if it can clear 6916 and hold it ahead of $NVDA earnings tonight, with the top end of the range at 6993–7002....
Submission of Rule Filing SR-FICC-2026-004 – Amend the Clearing Agency Stress Testing Framework
On February 25, 2026, Fixed Income Clearing Corporation (FICC) filed rule filing SR‑FICC‑2026‑004 with the SEC to amend the Clearing Agency Stress Testing Framework governing DTCC’s DTC, FICC, and NSCC. The proposed changes aim to modernize stress‑testing methodologies, improve risk...
CME Group U.S. Treasury OI Sets New Record of 36.3M Contracts
CME Group reported a record 36,328,151 open interest contracts in U.S. Treasury futures and options on February 19, surpassing its previous high from November 2025. The milestone spans the entire yield curve, with new peaks in 2‑year, 5‑year, 10‑year, and...
Live Cattle Mostly Higher, Hogs Rally Despite Uneven Pork Demand
Live cattle futures on the CME edged higher on Tuesday, with April contracts down $0.15 to $239.10 and June up $0.10 to $235.55, while feeder cattle prices rebounded sharply. Cash cattle trade remained muted, as bids and offers were not...
Natural Gas Futures, Feb. 24, 2026
Natural gas futures settled at $2.85 per MMBtu on Feb. 24, 2026, marking a 3% weekly gain. The rally was fueled by colder-than-expected temperature forecasts across the U.S. Midwest and a continuation of OPEC+ production cuts extending into 2027. Liquefied natural...
Betting Market Exposes FDV Irrelevance, Validates Model Floor
Didn't want to mention or interact with this at all till after it was done, but this kind of betting definitely adds a weird angle to launching a project, we had so many people in discord asking about FDV that...
Earnings Options Trades With SpotGamma
SpotGamma outlines a systematic approach to trading earnings options, using implied‑move and volatility metrics. For CRM and NVDA, implied moves are 8% and 5% respectively, with CRM showing a high IV rank of +90 indicating expensive options. The platform projects...
Make a Fortune in the Next Market Crash with Long Volatility
The article promotes a free trial for Volatility Trading Strategies (VTS), urging investors to profit from the next market crash by adopting long‑volatility positions. It highlights that volatility spikes, like those seen after the 2018 "Volpocalypse," can generate outsized returns...
Top Performing Leveraged/Inverse ETFs: 02/22/2026
Last week’s leveraged and inverse ETFs delivered standout returns, led by ProShares Ultra Silver (AGQ) with a 19.04% gain as silver rallied on heightened trade and geopolitical risk. Direxion’s South Korea Bull 3X (KORU) posted a 17.22% jump, fueled by...
Build a Mini Hedge Fund Using Python Algorithms
How to create your own "mini" hedge fund with algorithmic trading and Python A thread 🧵
Markets Stay Flat Until Friday; $65K Break Sparks Upside
I think that the markets will remain boring until Friday. A tremendous options expiry will take place, which probably puts an hold on the markets currently for #Bitcoin, and especially $ETH. Break $65K would be a strong trigger for upside. https://t.co/bSkofNzse4
How To Use Strata: The Structured Yield Protocol Paying Double Digit Returns
Strata, launched on Ethereum in October 2025, is a structured yield protocol that tokenizes a shared collateral pool into senior and junior tranches. The senior tranche offers over‑collateralized, lower‑risk returns, while the junior tranche absorbs volatility for amplified yields that now...
Billions in FX Options Expire Tomorrow Across Major Currencies
Notable FX option expirations tomorrow: 2.9 bln euros at $1.18 $2.85 bln at JPY156 A$2.8 bln at $0.7000 and A$2.5 bln at $0.7100 $470 mln at CAD1.37 GBP450 mln at $1.3550 $1 bln MXN17.29-MXN17.30 Listed on DTCC https://t.co/bSx6eAhEKQ
Leveraged ETFs Fees Rising, Unaffected by Vanguard Effect
Leveraged ETFs: The Last Stronghold of the 1% Fee.. check out how the asset-weighted avg fee of 2x ETFs is actually going UP. Only category totally immune from Vanguard Effect, which explains the $1b in ann revenue and the torrent...
#58419
The Options Clearing Corporation (OCC) announced that options on securities with trading halts or unresolved corporate actions have been removed from automatic‑exercise processing. This removal applies to all expirations—including standard, weekly, daily FLEX, and quarterly—affecting the Central Puerto S.A. AD...
Socratic Walk‑Through Reveals Hidden Options and Premium Logic
Today's spaced repetition is a socratic walk-thru of a situation where you could spot a hidden option AND also realize when something that looks "wrong" makes sense (in this case the premium to NAV)
UVIX Lags as VIX Jumps Over 7 Points
$VIX up more than 7 points from the low on Christmas Eve. 2x long vol (UVIX) actually dropped for the first part of the $VIX move higher and is up only a measly 11% overall. https://t.co/Id9MP45k4L
Buy 380/385 Call Spread, Sell 360 Put, Target $5
$HD "Trade Idea 2: Buy the February 27 Expiry 380/385 Call Spread ($3.X.05) and sell the February 27 Expiry 360 Put for 30 cents." puts expire. Sell to close call spread near $5 or watch to max out Friday