Know What's Happening in Options & Derivatives

Brent Option Skew Halves, Signaling Lower Iran Risk
SocialFeb 13, 2026

Brent Option Skew Halves, Signaling Lower Iran Risk

Brent crude option skew—which many have been treating as a proxy of oil market Iran risk perception (see comp to June 2025)—continues to deflate. Down more than half from a week ago, with prices down ~$3/bbl from Wednesday high. Gives a sense...

By Rory Johnston
Fears of AI Disruption Have Created an Opening for This Software Options Trade
NewsFeb 13, 2026

Fears of AI Disruption Have Created an Opening for This Software Options Trade

The iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) has slumped more than 20% as investors fear AI coding tools could upend software businesses. The ETF’s top five holdings—Microsoft, Palantir, Oracle, Salesforce and Applovin—are collectively down about 40% from six‑month highs, pushing...

By CNBC – ETFs
Gold & Silver Rebound, And A Look Inside The Indian Silver Market
BlogFeb 13, 2026

Gold & Silver Rebound, And A Look Inside The Indian Silver Market

The episode reviews the recent rebound in gold and silver prices, with gold back above $5,000 per ounce and silver futures climbing to $77.89. It delves into the Indian silver market, highlighting rapid price spikes, profit‑taking, and a sharp correction...

By Arcadia Economics’ Gold & Silver Daily
Prediction Market Aggregator Stand Launches Counter-Trading Tool
NewsFeb 13, 2026

Prediction Market Aggregator Stand Launches Counter-Trading Tool

Prediction market aggregator Stand introduced a new feature that automatically places opposite bets to traders who consistently lose. The tool aims to replace traditional copy‑trading, which has become ineffective as top wallets can front‑run followers. Research shows about 70% of...

By The Defiant
USD Firms Ahead of CPI as Euro/GBP Options Expire
SocialFeb 13, 2026

USD Firms Ahead of CPI as Euro/GBP Options Expire

$USD enjoys a firmer tone ahead of the US CPI. Over 5 bln euro options at $1.1850 expire today. Session low so far is slightly below there. GBP530 mln options at $1.36 expire today. Session low so...

By Marc Chandler
State-Dependent Correlation Between the S&P 500 and the VIX
BlogFeb 13, 2026

State-Dependent Correlation Between the S&P 500 and the VIX

The episode examines how the correlation between the S&P 500 and the VIX is not static but varies across four distinct market regimes defined by levels of volatility (VOL) and volatility‑of‑volatility (VOV) risk. The authors propose a regime‑switching model that shows...

By Harbourfront Quantitative
KC Futures Hold Bull Run Midpoint Near
SocialFeb 12, 2026

KC Futures Hold Bull Run Midpoint Near

Don't do this to me...I need my coffee. KC futs have tentatively held up the midpoint of the 2023-2025 bull run (around 290) https://t.co/9M9FIFrM6A

By John Kicklighter
Billions in FX Options Expire at Key Rates Tomorrow
SocialFeb 12, 2026

Billions in FX Options Expire at Key Rates Tomorrow

Notable FX option expirations tomorrow: 5.25 bln euros at $1.1850 $1.8 bln at JPY152.00 GBP530 mln at $1.36 https://t.co/JP6hOX0qdC

By Marc Chandler
Futures Settle: Natural Gas Pops, Then Drops After Storage Data
NewsFeb 12, 2026

Futures Settle: Natural Gas Pops, Then Drops After Storage Data

Natural‑gas futures surged early Thursday after the Energy Information Administration reported a 249 Bcf net withdrawal for the week ending Feb. 6, marking a second consecutive week of above‑average draws. The data lifted front‑month prices as traders priced in tighter supplies, but...

By Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI)
Natural Gas Forwards Soften Again, But Basis Strength Signals Risk of Regional Volatility
NewsFeb 12, 2026

Natural Gas Forwards Soften Again, But Basis Strength Signals Risk of Regional Volatility

U.S. natural‑gas forward prices slipped again this week as the market eases from the January cold snap. Prompt‑month contracts fell 26.7 cents, while regional basis spreads showed mixed movement. SoCal Citygate basis peaked near $1.90/MMBtu for 2028 deliveries, whereas Malin remained...

By Natural Gas Intelligence (NGI)
From Text ➡️ Dashboards
BlogFeb 12, 2026

From Text ➡️ Dashboards

In this episode the host shares resources for both learners and active traders, highlighting the free CME Trading Simulator and educational posts on implied forwards and Jensen's inequality. The main focus is on using AI tools to transform textual insights...

By Moontower
Bitcoin Funding Turns Negative, Leveraged Traders Under Pressure
SocialFeb 12, 2026

Bitcoin Funding Turns Negative, Leveraged Traders Under Pressure

#Bitcoin funding rates on Binance have turned negative. Leverage traders are feeling the pressure. https://t.co/YnIZStZZvF

By Crypto Jack
Binance Holds Massive 50x–100x BTC Longs
SocialFeb 12, 2026

Binance Holds Massive 50x–100x BTC Longs

Massive 50x and 100x #BTC longs are sitting on Binance, according to CoinGlass data. https://t.co/4Fk16lEAJl

By Crypto Jack
Multifractality and Its Underlying Drivers in Cryptocurrency Markets
BlogFeb 12, 2026

Multifractality and Its Underlying Drivers in Cryptocurrency Markets

The episode delves into a recent study examining multifractality in major cryptocurrency markets, revealing that the complex scaling behavior of assets like Bitcoin, Ethereum, DEX tokens, and NFTs is driven chiefly by long-range temporal correlations rather than merely heavy‑tailed return...

By Harbourfront Quantitative
Income Investing Beyond Dividends: Incorporating Options Into Your 2026 Yield Plan
BlogFeb 9, 2026

Income Investing Beyond Dividends: Incorporating Options Into Your 2026 Yield Plan

The episode explores how income investing has shifted from relying solely on dividends to incorporating options strategies like covered calls and cash‑secured puts to generate cash flow, especially from non‑dividend‑paying growth stocks. It explains the mechanics of these strategies, their...

By The Lead‑Lag Report – Blog
Herding in Commodities and Cryptocurrencies
BlogFeb 9, 2026

Herding in Commodities and Cryptocurrencies

This episode explores herding behavior beyond equities, focusing on cryptocurrency markets during geopolitical shocks and commodity ETFs across different asset classes and time scales. Recent research shows strong, asymmetric herding in crypto—especially in bearish periods and when perceived geopolitical risk...

By Harbourfront Quantitative
Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/9/2026
NewsFeb 9, 2026

Larry McMillan Stock Market Update Video 2/9/2026

On February 9, 2026, veteran options strategist Larry McMillan released a market‑update video reviewing the latest equity trends, inflation pressures, and Federal Reserve policy stance. He highlighted persistent volatility that keeps option premiums attractive and outlined sector rotation toward energy and technology stocks....

By Option Strategist (Larry McMillan) – Blog
Volatility Feedback Loop in the VIX Index and Its Derivatives
BlogFeb 7, 2026

Volatility Feedback Loop in the VIX Index and Its Derivatives

The episode delves into the dynamics between the VIX spot index, VIX futures, and the implied volatility of VIX options, highlighting a unidirectional causality chain where spot VIX leads futures, which in turn lead option volatility. High‑frequency analysis shows that...

By Harbourfront Quantitative
Consus Ag Consulting Afternoon Wrap Up
BlogFeb 6, 2026

Consus Ag Consulting Afternoon Wrap Up

The episode reviews the mixed early‑trade futures landscape, noting grain prices slipping while soybeans rose on expectations of sustained demand despite uncertain Chinese imports. It highlights Brazil's soybean dynamics—rising harvests but limited exports due to domestic crusher buying and a...

By Consus Consensus
The Long Volatility Premium: Short the Market, Get Paid?
BlogFeb 6, 2026

The Long Volatility Premium: Short the Market, Get Paid?

Patrick Kazley’s new paper argues that the apparent drag from buying put options is largely a hidden short‑beta exposure, not an inherent cost of long volatility. By neutralizing this beta, a pure long‑volatility factor delivers positive returns over time. The...

By Alpha Architect Research Blog