Know What's Happening in Real Estate Investing
Know What's Happening in Real Estate Investing
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Every morning
Weekly
Tuesday recap
Mortgage rates dip to 6.22% as 30‑year fixed falls a quarter point
The national 30‑year fixed mortgage rate slipped to 6.22%, marking a quarter‑point decline since last weekend. The 15‑year fixed rate eased to 5.72% and refinance rates averaged 6.43% for a 30‑year loan. Industry forecasts diverge, with the Mortgage Bankers Association seeing rates near 6.30% through 2026.
Also developing:
Hudson Pacific Properties reported a transformative 2025, completing roughly $330 million of strategic asset sales and over $2 billion of capital transactions that doubled its liquidity to $934 million. The REIT reduced net debt by 22%, improved its debt‑to‑book ratio to 31.9%, and cut G&A expenses by 33%, while office occupancy rose to 76.3% and leasing activity hit a six‑year high. Studio occupancy and NOI also improved, and the company reinstated full‑year 2026 FFO guidance at $0.96‑$1.06 per share. Management highlighted continued asset sales, a robust leasing pipeline, and cost discipline as drivers of future growth.
MidCap Financial Investment Corp reported Q4 2025 GAAP net income of $54.3 million ($0.42 per share) and distributable earnings of $27.8 million ($0.27 per share). The REIT acquired $1.9 billion of loans and securities, expanding its Agency MBS portfolio by over 50% and...
NexPoint Residential Trust reported a Q4 2025 net loss of $10.3 million ($0.41 per share), an improvement from the $26.9 million loss a year earlier, while total revenue slipped to $62.1 million and NOI fell 4.7% to $37.1 million. The REIT repurchased 223,000 shares...
Adjustable‑rate mortgages (ARMs) have surged to about 21% of U.S. mortgage originations, the highest share in three years, even as rates fall. In high‑cost states such as California, ARMs account for over 31% of loans, driven by a widening affordability...
American Healthcare REIT reported normalized FFO of $1.61 per share and 4.8% same‑store NOI growth for 2025, beating guidance. The company leased 5.8 million square feet, improved tenant retention, and cut G&A expenses to $45 million. Debt‑to‑EBITDA fell to 5.4x after $900 million...
CubeSmart reported fourth‑quarter 2025 FFO of $0.65 per share, with same‑store revenue slipping 1% and occupancy easing to 89.9%. Move‑in rates rose 2.5% year‑over‑year, marking the first positive growth since Q1 2022, while churn held steady at 4‑5% monthly. The REIT...
Sun Communities reported FY 2025 core FFO of $6.68 per share, topping the high end of its guidance, and a Q4 core FFO of $1.40. The REIT lowered net debt to EBITDA to 3.4x, repaid over $3.3 billion of debt, and...
Good outline of the $VRE buyout. There’s probably a small chance of an overbid here. But, to be honest, probably close to zero, at a 5% implied cap rate. But we’ll see. Downside is only ~10% and the buyer isn’t walking, so...
The Urban Land Institute’s new report highlights sustainable mobility as a core driver of real‑estate value, showing how transit‑oriented development and mobility amenities can lift asset performance and resilience. Case studies such as Miami’s Underline illustrate how integrating bike lanes,...
Invitation Homes, the nation’s largest single-family rental REIT, reported its lowest market valuation since the COVID‑19 lockdowns. The decline follows a 30% year‑over‑year drop in its stock price, driven by rising interest rates and softer rental demand. The company disclosed...
U.S. mortgage rates have fallen to their lowest levels since September 2022, yet home sales remain stagnant. A roughly 50% imbalance between sellers and buyers underscores a deep‑seated market freeze. Inventory shortages and lingering affordability concerns continue to suppress demand...
The Federal Reserve is weighing a rule change that would stop banks from subtracting mortgage‑servicing‑rights (MSRs) from core capital, while keeping a 250% risk weight. Simultaneously, banking regulators propose easing the community‑bank leverage ratio from 9% to 8%, giving smaller...
Build to Rent Deals: Avoid Underwriting Mistakes for Profit Follow @chasecalhoun.realestate for more on build-to-rent and real estate investing. #realestate #investmentproperty #buildtorent
President Trump argued that lower mortgage rates will simultaneously make homes cheaper for buyers and preserve homeowner wealth, a claim that has drawn sharp criticism from housing economists. Current 30‑year rates hover around 6%, far above the 2.65% level needed...
Private mortgage insurers collectively wrote 12% more new insurance in 2025, driven by a sharp rate‑cut‑induced surge in fourth‑quarter originations. While MGIC remained the top writer for the sixth straight quarter, the sector’s share continues to slip to the FHA...
Drugstores are shrinking fast, but their real estate is not becoming obsolete. Well-located former pharmacies are turning into some of the most versatile second-generation retail and healthcare sites in the market. ▫️Walgreens plans to close 1,200 stores (500 in 2025 alone). ▫️CVS...
Trade tool retailer ITS has signed an eight‑year lease for a 17,700 sq ft unit at Padrock’s Dagenham Logistics Hub, slated to open in April as London’s largest tool superstore. The hub comprises 14 industrial units ranging from 6,550 sq ft to 34,825 sq ft, all...
The nation's top mortgage lender (UWM) funded $163.4B in home loans during 2025. That was up ~17% from $139.4B in 2024. Interestingly, it was led by refis, which surged to $70.3B from $43.4B, while home purchase lending actually fell slightly YoY.
Stellar Energy, a data‑center cooling equipment maker, is planning a 1.1‑million‑square‑foot plant in Fort Worth’s AllianceTexas development, with a total investment of roughly $80 million. The project includes $34 million in property improvements and $45.5 million in equipment, and could break ground this...
Columbus Mayor Andrew Ginther unveiled a $500 million affordable‑housing bond framework dividing funds into four buckets: $150 million for new construction and preservation, $125 million for transitional shelters, homeowner upgrades and supportive housing, $175 million for land acquisition linked to transit‑oriented and mixed‑use development,...
Citigroup announced its Blueprint for Housing Opportunity, a five‑year plan committing more than $60 billion to increase affordable housing supply in the United States. The initiative targets the creation or preservation of at least 250,000 units and includes $50 million in philanthropic...
Kroger is constructing a 99,000‑square‑foot Marketplace anchored store with a fuel station at the Custer Frontier site in McKinney, Texas. The development will be part of a 170,000‑square‑foot mixed‑use complex that adds 54,000 sq ft of small‑shop and freestanding retail space plus...
Inflation Adjusted House Prices 2.2% Below 2022 Peak Price-to-rent index is 9.5% below 2022 peak https://calculatedrisk.substack.com/p/inflation-adjusted-house-prices-22-75d
The reason I draw these black lines in 1980's, 1990's, and 2000s It was common that we had rising sales, rising inventory, and rising prices together, a lot of people = rising inventory with pricing falling on this site (This...
The December Case‑Shiller report shows nominal house prices reaching fresh all‑time highs, while inflation‑adjusted (real) values sit slightly below their 2022 peak—2.2% for the national index and 2.4% for the composite 20. Despite the recent dip, real prices remain 10.3%...
What share of your metro area's apartment units were built since 2020? These numbers put into context the sheer size of this development boom. More than 4 of every 10 existing apartments in Huntsville AL were built just since 2020. More...
John Lewis Partnership announced it will abandon its build‑to‑rent (BTR) venture, which began in 2020 and includes four schemes in Reading, Bromley, Stratford and West Ealing. The decision stems from a “fundamental shift” in economic conditions – higher interest rates,...
Purchase application data update -5% week to week +12% year over year So far this year, even with a higher bar to work with, every week has had positive year-over-year growth The last 2 weeks, our weekly pending sales data have...
The history of homeprices going back over 80 years. It's rare for nominal home prices to fall; it's super rare to have a massive nominal housing price crash. Home prices are sticky unless you have massive supply and distress sales...
Rents in Miami have surged 53% since 2019, while San Francisco’s increase is only 13%. The analysis shows that the share of workers operating from home is the strongest predictor of these divergent trends. Metros with high work‑from‑home (WFH) adoption (above...
PLEASE NOTE THIS IS **METRO** There is NO example of any City keeping housing costs low without building in the suburbs and greenfield as well.
You can leave money in a deal and still win. It doesn't have to be "a perfect BRRRR" to be effective.
Lipton Rogers, on behalf of LaSalle, has submitted a revised plan for the 1 Silk Street office project at London’s Barbican Estate, trimming the western tower from 20 to 17 storeys after more than 1,000 objections. The redesign cuts total office space...
Looks like pending contracts this month will match or slightly surpass February 2025. Here is a visual as of a couple days ago. Basically, buyer demand has been pretty tame still. Very slightly better. https://t.co/9ckA6qPxJo
This can be laid at the feet of the suburbs not building: Long Island, West Chester, Connecticut, and North Jersey There is no market with stable CITY prices which has not see a TON of greenfield development.
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) plans to adopt VantageScore 4.0 alongside FICO’s 10T score as part of a mandated modernization effort. A Deep Future Analytics study projects that competitive use of VantageScore could cut mortgage credit‑score fees by more than...
Big banks retreated from mortgages after the 2008 housing crash—now this Fed governor wants them back After a decade+ of "migration" toward nonbanks, Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman says it's time to reconsider policy My latest for ResiClub: https://t.co/6IY86V9OTy
🏗️The places that built the most housing during the pandemic have the fewest bidding wars, and the places that neglected to build have the most. 🏘️ See percent of homes selling above list price by county. https://t.co/giPGgmFuBr
Atenor has obtained planning permission for a deep‑retrofit of its Fleet House office at 10 New Bridge Street in the City of London. The scheme will preserve roughly 73% of the 1960s‑era structure while adding a ninth floor and a...
#Austin poised for another moment. Rents there w/probably rise in coming months after falling last 10 qtrs as trove of empty apts starts to run dry. #realestate #CRE #multifamily #tech #mortgage #investmentsales https://t.co/meHbZSFqVN via @WSJ https://t.co/T2gRvG2Sc2
If you ever wondered why DC has so many apartments with windowless bedrooms … it’s the Height Act https://t.co/Axl6cvRgrf
The article outlines six essential numbers investors must calculate before purchasing a rental property: current market value, equity, after‑repair value (ARV), rent comparables, holding costs, and cash flow with cash‑on‑cash return. It explains how each metric is derived, from appraisals...
Mortgage demand to buy houses just plummeted to its lowest level in 10 months. The MBA mortgage purchase index is now at 150. 57% crash from pandemic peak. 40% drop from 2018-2019 levels. It's the biggest homebuyer strike ever. https://t.co/FVB0HYY4bc
What are home prices doing? It depends. Some thoughts today about interpreting price change. I think it's really important to think beyond the median sales price in 2026. I hope this helps. Any thoughts? https://t.co/KmyRaAIto8
Amazon has signed a lease for a 120,000 sq ft Grade‑A logistics unit at the Port of Cardiff, the first phase of Associated British Ports’ new business‑park development. The 24‑acre site was quickly adapted to meet Amazon’s specifications and is already operational....
For renters, a strong nudge to think about buying a home often comes from a big renewal increase. As the rental market crawls out of its recession, and mortgage rates start with a 5 not a 6, expect more renters...
For those asking about the gap in this chart today vs 2008 2008: 4,000,000 existing home sales 2008: 3.8 million active inventory Currently active inventory here is 1,220,000 roughly a 2.6 million gap Normal inventory levels are actually 2-2.5 million
#KaliChaudhuri looked at #LA's graffiti-scarred towers+saw potential. Poised to pay $470M for #OceanwidePlaza, storied for its #Chinese failure,+its 2 brethren. 'I'll try my very best to turn it around+make it a jewel' #realestate #multifamily #KPC https://t.co/CANYdyTniX
If you are just learning about the private real estate business, either as a prospective GP or LP, please read this short book. It’s a pretty balanced explanation of the game, including the incentives driving the different players. https://t.co/3pvXJikrV5
The biggest bottleneck in real estate is raising capital for your first deals. In my case, I raised $400k from eight friends after calling everyone I knew when I was 26. Others who’ve built real estate portfolios, how did you raise the...
