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The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast

Epoch AI researchers discuss a data‑driven timeline for superintelligence, arguing that Anthropic could build the first gigawatt‑scale AI datacenter and that breakthroughs like solving the Riemann hypothesis may arrive within five years. They challenge the notion of "energy bottlenecks," framing higher power costs as a business issue, and predict that 10% of today’s jobs could disappear this decade while a 30% GDP growth scenario would reshape economies. Finally, they weigh whether the AI surge is a genuine race toward superintelligence or the next massive speculative bubble, grounding their views in quantitative forecasts.