Money Supply Surge Keeps Precious Metals Bull Market Early
The U.S. money supply has soared nearly 5x since 2000, pushing the cost of living significantly higher — yet most people still prefer dollars over gold & silver. That means the precious metals bull market is still very young,
Earnings Beats Keep 40‑Month Bull Market Alive
The earnings picture has continuedto provide support for this now 40-month old bull market. With Q4 earnings season soon wrapping up (with 425 companies having reported), 75% have beaten estimates by an average of 773 bps. The dollar estimate has...
Micro Microsoft RDR Pivot Offers Day‑Trade Opportunities
If u weren’t caught. There was a tiny tactical RDR in $msft for cash flow. $383.10 was the pivot. It might not have been more than a day trade. But some make a living finding those https://t.co/Ki0yu8TXyn
Broad Market Slump Pushes Dozens to 52‑week Lows
All these stocks hit new 52 WEEK LOWS at some point today Adobe $ADBE Palo Alto $PANW Trade Desk $TTD Novo Nordisk $NVO Autodesk $ADSK $ADP Accenture $ACN Dutch Bros $BROS Check Point $CHKP Cognizant $CTSH $EPAM Fair Isaac $FICO Flutter Entertainment $FLUT Infosys $INFY Blue Owl $OWL Paychex $APYX Planet Fitness $PLNT Atlassian $TEAM Toast $TOST Zillow $Z
Mag 7 Range Holds; Break Below Could Trigger 10% Drop
Whether this benign broadening will continue depends largely on whether the Mag 7 can hold on to its trading range. So far it has, but should support be taken out at the range lows I could easily see another 10%...
Equal‑Weighted S&P 500 Beats Mag 7 Amid Market Dip
The chart below shows that the equal-weighted S&P 500 has outperformed the Mag 7 by 12% over the past 3 months. The last time that happened was in the fall of 2024, and the time before was the spring of...
Bull Market Still Strong, Yet Flattening Into Picks‑and‑Shovels
Another week, another headline bombshell. Such has been the norm during the past year or so. But charts are charts, and there is a lot we can learn from them in order to optimize the signal-to-noise ratio. What do...
S&P 500's Tight Range Signals Imminent Breakout
Over the past four months, the S&P 500 has traded in less than a 7% range. This is about as tight as things usually get, meaning a bigger move is likely over the coming months. Will it be up or down? https://t.co/vzY9JAuphI
S&P 500 Holds Tight
SPX tight 3-month range of 4.3%.. and it's smack in the middle of it https://t.co/9KwEPpi3uu
AI Disruption Could Trigger $420 Bn Credit Default Wave
UBS’s Matt Mish lays out a scenario for credit involving “rapid, aggressive AI disruption.” US high yield, leveraged loan & private credit default rates could rise to 3–6%, 8–10%, & 14–15%, respectively: Mish. “Defaults could approach ~$420bn, w/losses of roughly...
Trump's AI Restrictions Could Trigger Massive Political Reshuffle
Just a thought...but tomorrow could feature some absolute wild reshuffling rotations if Trump even hints at limiting AI
Ritholtz Launches First Trend-Following ETF: A Watchlist Pick
Interesting… Ritholtz filing for first ETF. Trend following strategy. I like the Goaltending name/concept (a la Granny Shots another bball metaphor). Ben and Mike are the PMs. One to watch.
IRDM Dominates the Global LEO Satellite Market
$IRDM continuing off that strong base. These guys are the only global low earth orbit (LEO) satellite company. Big name in the space race.
NYSE and S&P 500 AD Lines Hit Record Highs
Both the NYSE Advance-Decline line and the S&P500 Advance-Decline line closed at their highest levels ever on Friday.
Weekly S&P 500 ChartStorm Recap Now Available
ICYMI: Weekly S&P500 ChartStorm blog post https://t.co/BjOhiFzufn Thanks + follow reco to chart sources @MarketCharts @AlphaPicks @TaviCosta @0xkyle__ @SamRo @SubuTrade @SnippetFinance @OptimizedPort @topdowncharts
Leveraged ETFs Fees Rising, Unaffected by Vanguard Effect
Leveraged ETFs: The Last Stronghold of the 1% Fee.. check out how the asset-weighted avg fee of 2x ETFs is actually going UP. Only category totally immune from Vanguard Effect, which explains the $1b in ann revenue and the torrent...
Macro Data Flaws, Bots Favor Bad News, Calendar Strategies
🔬 Research links: the problem with macro data, why bots love bad news, and how to use calendar-based strategies. https://t.co/gUmyuaWsPO chart: https://t.co/9NGWAEXTU1 https://t.co/QufnB6WSHu
QQQ Likely Stuck $600‑620 Amid Nasdaq Indecision
$QQQ Daily. Sideways for 5-6 months and now Nasdaq becoming even more indecisive short-term with pennant forming. $600-$620 rough range https://t.co/EP70gR3L5H
Memory Chip Prices Surge 50% in Two Weeks
Wow, a respondent to the Dallas Fed's Service Sector report said that the prices they're paying for memory chips have jumped 50% in the last two weeks https://t.co/RdULT0epp4
NVIDIA's Guidance Tomorrow Could Validate Six Months' Patience
🔴 NVIDIA EARNINGS EVE — Feb 24, 2026 $NVDA reports Q4 FY2026 tomorrow after close. The stock at ~$190 has been locked in a $170–$195 range for 6 months despite delivering record quarters every time. Tomorrow, one number changes everything —...
Boomers Command 45% Spending, 74% Wealth—Shaping Markets
Americans 55 & older now control: 45% of consumer spending 74% of the wealth What does this mean for the next generation, the housing market or the stock market? Some thoughts: https://t.co/tnQSK0khDB https://t.co/7BBPkFGnml
SPY Holds $
$spy morning glance as $680 range support helps again while we get a few RDR tactical buys in broken areas for cash flow https://t.co/avz7fuVMj0
Federal Deficit Swells to Historic 8% of GDP
US Federal Budget Deficit as a % of GDP... 1950s: -0.4% 1960s: -0.7% 1970s: -1.9% 1980s: -3.8% 1990s: -2.1% 2000s: -2.3% 2010s: -4.8% 2020s: -8.3% https://t.co/W7GwqCkcBx
Leverage Could Shift Infrastructure Leadership Amid Stable Rates
Infrastructure may be the most crowded “safe” trade in markets. Consensus says utilities lag in a growth cycle. Leverage flips that narrative. If rates stabilize, leadership may rotate where few are looking. Read: https://t.co/GYU4HseCXx
MSTR’s Upcoming SPX Addition Ignored by Pumpers
$MSTR the March SPX additions and subtractions are less than a month away and the announcement 10 or 17 days away. Why aren't any of the pumpers discussing the potential for addition? Have you given up?
Cannabis Refinancings Signal Imminent Rescheduling and Rally
The largest multi state cannabis companies have announced meaningful refinancings (with relatively good terms - interest rates and maturities) over the last two weeks - presaging, in our view, a much anticipated and favorable rescheduling decision by the Administration. The "refinancing...
SPAC IPO of $
I hadn't realized that $OWL came public via SPAC. It's now right back to its original price. Turns out it was all priced in. EMH undefeated https://t.co/Q6eyG9hYLM
Bitcoin ETF Flows up $55B, Still #5 Overall
Yes, altho if you look at flows since Jan 2024 it STILL ranks #5 overall (only superhuman Vgrd ETFs did more), even after all this destruction. All told bitcoin ETF flows are still net net +$55b altho you'll be hard-pressed...
AI Trade Rotates: Data and Distribution Lead Next Phase
The AI trade isn’t peaking. It’s rotating. Leadership is shifting from chips to control of data + distribution. Most will chase yesterday’s winners. The next phase is structural. Read before consensus catches up: https://t.co/PmCr4t3wZc @ckaiwu @Mela_Schaffer
Market Fueled by Doomers and Boomers, Says Nomura
Charlie McElligott at Nomura says that the market is being driven by 'Doomers and Boomers' https://t.co/PbuzHGo8VF
ETF Inflows Hit $304B, Doubling Record Pace
ETF inflows up to $304b YTD, which is DOUBLE the all-time record pace from last year. $VOO at $30b, also ahead of its record pace by 6b while Vanguard as whole is already at $100b, a $3b/day pace, and double...
AI Ghost Trade Signals Oversold Cybersecurity Stocks
Watching Anthropic preso and investors will start to recognize this is an AI Ghost Trade and software/cyber security stocks most oversold I have seen in my career.
Consumer Staples Outvalue Netflix on Forward P/E
Forward P/E Ratios... Colgate $CL: 23.4x Proctor & Gamble $PG: 22.5x Netflix $NFLX: 19.9x 🤔 https://t.co/3B4ig8yjTW
Technical Signals Warned: MSFT Decline and Mega‑cap Weakness
📺 $MSFT BIG LESSON & A BROADER MEGA CAP LOOK The recent decline in $MSFT was highly tradable and avoidable if you respected technical signals. It was a sequence of textbook warning signs: 1. The Double Top at $555–$553 2. The Unfilled Gap 3. Support →...
Buy News, Sell Rumors; Metals and Boomer Stocks Surge
If you missed my client post November 26: "Sell The Rumor of Consumer Cyclical Slowdown; Buy The News." Or December 12: "ROTATION & RECESSION INTO ALL TIME HIGHS" Or January 6th: "2025: METALS ARE THE NEW OIL 2026: BOOMER STOCKS ARE THE NEW INFLATIONARY ASSETS" HALO has...
US Savings Rate Hits 4.5% — Lowest Since 1959
The personal savings rate in the US averaged 4.5% in 2025. History since 1959... https://t.co/umS9AR2N61
SPX Unfazed by Software Slump, Dispersion Signals Warning
If you could plot "vibes" vs SPX price action, yesterday had to be an outlier Sure software and payments were down - but the SPX really didn't care Thats the dispersion that everyone has been talking about for weeks If SPX<6,800 then maybe...
Apple’s 2026 Lead Threatened by Priced‑In Expectations
Everyone assumes Apple’s lead is secure. But 2026 may test that narrative. Leadership isn’t about new products. It’s about what’s already priced in. Expectations are the real risk. Read closely: https://t.co/L377mvJehE @willrhind @graniteshares
Watching QQQ: Will Early Strength Hold Above $604.50?
$QQQ Now we watch to see if early strength holds or fades — key question is whether $604.50 now rejects price. https://t.co/2w0irZyLwP
S&P and NYSE Median Stocks Outpace Nasdaq Median
The median stock in the S&P500 Index is up 6.7% so far in 2026. The median stock on the NYSE (> $300M Market-cap) is up 6.3% YTD. Meanwhile, the median stock in the Nasdaq100 Index is up 1.3%, while the...
Core PCE Goods Over 2% Inflation Trending Upward
The number of core goods in the PCE basket with >2% inflation is clearly on the rise https://t.co/zfnw5c3Qnr
Process Stays Bearish on MSFT, AMZN, META, JPM, TSLA
Shorts The Process remains Bearish on these Bombs $MSFT $AMZN $META $JPM $TSLA That's where your risk should have been managed https://t.co/MykLEB8Umh
SPX Volatility Rises, Skew Hits Year‑to‑Date Highs
"We are already starting to see stress build in the derivatives market. $SPX fixed strike volatility has risen by roughly 1.5 vol points across the curve, while $SPX put call skew remains near its year-to-date highs" @t1alpha https://t.co/wXfaVxC4VW
High Yield Holds Steady While Financials Remain Short
While we're short the Financials $XLF , liquid High Yield $HYG hasn't signaled get out yet https://t.co/NhKXuZMmrb
Software Stocks Down a Third Since October
Software stocks have lost a third of their value since the end of October. https://t.co/gSO2zdCAMQ
Staying Short Financials XLF and XLY in Quad3
SECTORS: we remain short of the Financials $XLF and $XLY during a MONTHLY #Quad3 https://t.co/VUVE8GW3B6
S&P 500 Records Worst 17‑year Start, US Rank 69th
🔴This is one of the WORST starts for the S&P 500 to the year in HISTORY: S&P 500 is lagging the rest of the world equities by 8 percentage points, the worst start to a year in at least 17 years. The...
Citrini Predicts 38.2% Retrace by Mid‑2028
So the Citrini piece is looking for about a 38.2% retracement by mid 2028 after an October '26 peak. Fibonacci is everywhere. 👀 @JC_ParetsX https://t.co/Ppnb1uG5Xl
AI Fears Create Buying Opportunity for Strong Companies
Tech is getting hammered on AI worries, but is this really just another opportunity to buy solid companies when they are cheap? We think so. https://t.co/YjUXwZUJx9
Pending Home Sales Reach All-Time Low
The most worrying stat of the month: Pending Home Sales falls to lowest level lowest level ever recorded.