Staples Surge Ahead While Discretionary Set to Lag
Proctor & Gamble higher by another 2% today- Staples stocks like $PG continue to make upward progress, while Retail & Casinos underperforming within Discretionary @IBDinvestors @marketsurge https://t.co/XW54gpjWXm In tonights note, i discuss why Discretionary still could lag Staples for another two weeks before this ratio starts to rebound. For this week, Staples still likely to show further strength https://t.co/v0f4RME3on
Earn When Consensus Loses: +17bps Long/Short Gain
The Fam was flat in the Long Only and +17bps in the Long/Short Book today We like days like this. Save and make money when the consensus crowd is losing theirs https://t.co/QFJjbKycEg
Historic Shift: Growth to Value Gains Momentum
💫Historic Rotation From Growth-To-Value 💫The HALO Effect 💫THINGS OVER PAPER Continues 💫The Best Analyst You’ve Never Heard Of ;-) Open to all 😘 https://t.co/ktb2nCSe5S
Palantir Valuation Halves; Investors Weigh Buying Opportunity
The Palantir bubble popped. The company’s valuation has nearly been cut in half, leaving it at a significant discount compared to last year. Is it a buy?
Microsoft Chart Teaches Seasoned Traders Clear Sell Signals
$msft is a great lesson. U can probably look at the chart. If ur seasoned trader, U can see all the spots it gave u to sell, or reasons to stay out of the way. https://t.co/zAq6WwJhfi
Goldman: Stock Suffers Third‑largest Century‑wide Daily Drop
“.. the stock’s 3rd largest single day drawdown this century (2nd was covid, 1st was dot com bubble.)” - Goldman desk
AI Winners Will Be Infrastructure, Not Software
AI winners aren’t who you think. Dell’s margin shift changes the AI narrative. Infrastructure, not software, may drive the next leg of leadership. Most investors are looking the wrong way. Read this: https://t.co/nY4GbIKIfM @graniteshares @willrhind
Risk‑Off Wave Hits Financials, Sets Stage for NVDA
We started the week in full risk-off mode. $XLF broke support near 51, $MSFT continues to deteriorate, and $SPX is back testing 6800. Meanwhile gold surged and Bitcoin broke down. I walk through financials, defensive rotation, and key levels ahead of $NVDA. Watch...
Bullish Rotation Holds; Tech Trouble Offset by Commodities
Learnings and conclusions from this week’s charts: 1. Bullish rotation remains in play. 2. Tech stocks still look troubled. 3. AI spillovers are helping (already bullish) commodities. 4. Newspaper stocks present a case-study in disruption. 5. Commodity stocks (as a group) look good. Overall, the US...
AI Surge Makes Software Competition Easier, Threatening Companies
“I’m more bullish on AI than I’ve ever been. And that’s exactly why I’m bearish on most software companies. Not because their customers will leave, but because their next thirty competitors just got a lot easier to build.”
S&P 500 Tests 100‑Day Support, Weekly Bearish Outlook
$SPX - We had a bearish reversal after hitting the 20 day MA on Friday but found support at the 100 day MA for the 3rd time in February. Closing below the 100 day MA may turn the weekly trend...
Crowds Default to Obvious Blame for Market Downturns
Never underestimate the crowd's willingness to attribute a down market to the most obvious cause (whether accurate or not).
Buy Stablecoins, Not Mastercard, for This Narrative
If you want to sell Mastercard on that story, you should probably buy Stablecoin exposure (but markets don't get that)
CNBC Has Dismissed HOOD, APP, JPM, PLTR Positions
It's a good thing no one on CNBC is still long $HOOD $APP $JPM $PLTR etc.
Massive Late‑Day Nvidia $
Nvidia (NVDA) late day buyer over 20,000 March $205 calls $4.60 to $4.70 Sheesh, what are they going to say
Market Stays Strong Against Real News, Crumbles Over Fiction
“I have seen this market exhibit incredible resilience in the face of actual negative news. Now a literal work of fiction sends it into a tailspin.” https://t.co/pem9OMzVZ2
S&P Global Hits Lows; Cheap
S&P Global (SPGI) back to lows seeing 1000 April $370 puts buy $6.99 Likely a guy releasing a vibe-coded credit ratings system
HalftimeReport Missed IBM Surge, Lost $30
Go to @HalftimeReport archives on $IBM recommendations (-$30 and -12%) Last sale $228 1. January 21, 2026 $295 and January 29, 2026 $308 Malcolm 2. Slink continuous over last six months (multiple prices, all much higher than last sale) Not ad hominem. That...
100ma Daily Supports SPX at 6823.85 After Pullbacks
The last few pullbacks the 100ma daily at the end of the day has held the $SPX currently at 6823.85
2026 Marks Second-Strongest Equal-Weight Outperformance Since 1990
2026 has so far seen the second strongest relative performance for equal weight versus cap weight since 1990 That timing didn’t suck. https://t.co/zuhbqozekK
NVDA's Six‑Month Stagnation May End With $12.60 Earnings Swing
$NVDA absolutely flat over the last six months. Can earnings this week finally move them out of this range? The option's market is projecting a (+/-) $12.60 move following the report (Based on 02/27 exp).
Apple Rallies $260.50
Still in as $aapl as it’s giving a great two day move. I just have less now. From $260.50 RDR buy Friday. to $269+ today
Signal Strength Stocks Deliver Triple‑Digit Gains, Overlooked
Why wouldn't someone be long our Signal Strength Stocks? 4 of the Top7 are riding triple digit % gains And they aren't the names CNBC-types are talking about all day long https://t.co/GEqj2zNrx1
S&P 500 Sheds $650B, Returns to Negative YTD
The rollercoaster ride continues… The S&P 500 has lost over $650 BILLION in market cap so far today, down 1.06%. The index is now negative YTD once again 🔻
SaaS Stocks Plummet: Warning About Catching Falling Knife
Feb 2nd I warned clients about catching the falling knife in SaaS. I wasn’t kidding. $IGV #MAG7 https://t.co/AGnysZ3ZHV
AI Panic Ignored as Markets Remain Near Peaks
It's kind of amazing there is so much worry about AI doom with the S&P 500 w/in 2% of all-time highs and the unemployment rate at 4.3% Have we ever had an enormous risk like this play out with everyone worried...
SFM Holds at $65 Amid Steady Growth and Store Expansion
$SFM - seems to have found support around 65.00. Revenue + earnings have been growing steadily for years. Hundreds of new stores opening across the U.S.
SPX Near 6,800: Downside Pressure Builds After 1% Drop
Here is the live look for SPX. Some covering here after the ~1% decline the fuel is there for downside spice, but the previous 10 attempts at this level bounced (bend)... <6,800 remains the place where its likely a break https://t.co/6N5sVTgJ0t
Market Rally Masks Weakening NYSE Breadth
The NYSE Advance-Decline line made new all-time highs on Friday. But the % of stocks on the NYSE above their 200-day moving average made lower highs. And today it's actually hitting new 6-week lows.
Freshpet Surges to New Highs Post‑earnings
Freshpet $FRPT ramps to new highs after earnings Another Signal Strength Stock brought to you buy Biolsi @Hedgeye_Staples https://t.co/VK3Ex0ZWns
AmEx Slides as Credit Card Leaders Trend Downward
$AXP Daily. Update. Aggressive follow-through lower for AmEx as it follows $MA $V to downside in major credit card space. Major top on cusp of confirming. https://t.co/JJcBjfmOsT
Doug Kass Expands Index Short Calls Amid S&P Rally
Adding to Index Short Calls @thestreetpro With S&P cash +5 handles I am adding to my Index short calls. By Doug Kass Feb 23, 2026 9:39 AM EST @dougkass @tomkeene @business
Core PCE Inflation Surges: Over Half Exceed 3%
There are 178 components to core PCE and 48% of them saw YoY inflation >3%. This was 42% a year ago. We continue to think inflation will run closer to 3% than 2% and we do have a little bit of...
QQQ May Hold $605 or Slip to Lower Range
$qqq channel intact. Will today be easy and hold $605ish. Or back to low end of the box and range https://t.co/6H9MUXu9Oo
IQMM's $17B Debut Driven by ProShares, Not Organic
Wild, the $17b that $IQMM took in on its first day of trading has it leading 1D, 1W and 1M flows instantly and is now 2nd in YTD. ProShares lined up all their funds and bought IQMM for each's cash...
CNBC Moderator Pushes Conflict‑ridded Versus Warner Trade
Another beaut from @JoeSquawk . @SquawkCNBC Only on Fin TV can a moderator who works for a company (in this case Versant Media Group $VSNT (parent of CNBC)) suggest a pairs trade of being long Versant and short Warner....
Waller Says March Rate Move Hinges on Feb Payroll
Fed governor Chris Waller conditions his support for a March cut (or hold) on the February payroll data due for release on March 6. “As things stand today, I rate these two possible outcomes as close to a coin flip.” https://t.co/8ompstwgY9 If...
Live on Fox Business: Market & Tariff Outlook
I'll be on @FoxBusiness this morning with @MariaBartiromo today at 7:10 am EST, talking markets, recent tariff developments & what's in store
Record Realized Volatility Gap: Stocks 25 Points Above Index
the realized vol spread of the average single stock vs index just broke to the highest level on record with avg stock realizing ~25 vol points over gs via @zerohedge https://t.co/KVW5ZluLpt
Stocks Soar; Economy Avoids Recession for Years
Stocks have had one of their best three year runs in history and the economy hasn't sniffed a recession. https://t.co/hBhFjc8em2
Broadest Market Rally yet Shatters “Seven‑stock” Myth
For years they said only seven stocks were outperforming. It wasn't true, but it is what we were told. Today? We are seeing the broadest rally in history. https://t.co/bt2fsADcXC
SPX Near Record High Amid Soaring Stock Volatility
As of Fri's close, the SPX sat just 0.99% below its Jan 28 all-time high (~6,978.6). Yet everyone's screaming "chaos & uncertainty"? Blue = mkt-cap wgted avg "VIX" of the 500 constituents (now 38) Orange = standard 30-day VIX (17.6) Green =...
Strategic Patience Required Amid Mixed Market Signals
Strategic Patience Is Needed 💫Let’s start with the good news… 💫Now, let’s get to the bad news… 💫Blood Red Moon 💫Strategic Patience Is Needed 💫So What’s The Trade? 💫Bounce Then Trounce https://t.co/lP47X6m5Jw
White House Persists with Unpopular Tariffs Despite Tax Backlash
What's fascinating is that tariffs are deeply unpopular --- as tax increases often are -- and the White House doubles, triples down on them.
Core PPI Spikes, Fed Sees Hotter Inflation, Oil Rallies
January PPI lands Friday. Core PPI already printed +0.7% MoM vs 0.2% expected — biggest monthly jump since July 2025. NY Fed puts underlying PCE trend at 2.83% by December, up from 2.55% in September. WTI crude +15.6% YTD. Rapidan...
Gamma Signals SPX Stability at 7,000, Upside Possible
Dealer gamma indicates stability through SPX 7,000, although expiration dynamics and a potential put skew unwind could trigger reflexive upside if that level is breached. Read our full weekly analysis: https://t.co/sk0ViuP0W7
AI Security Tool Triggers Sharp Drop in US Cyber Stocks
‼️US Cybersecurity stocks are getting CRUSHED by AI fears: CrowdStrike fell -8.0% on Friday, Cloudflare -8.1%, Okta -9.2%, and SailPoint -9.4% after Anthropic unveiled a new Claude AI security tool that scans codebases for vulnerabilities and suggests patches. The Cybersecurity ETF, $BUG,...
Low Put/Call Ratio Signals Hedging, Not Euphoria
“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning.
Low Put/Call Ratio Signals Selective Hedging, Not Euphoria
“Low put/call = euphoria” is an outdated shortcut. Equity put/call: 0.65 (Feb 20, 2026). VIX: 20.23 (Feb 19). That’s selective hedging, not carefree positioning. https://t.co/V7FSThxtRN
Core Capital Goods Surge, Signaling Cyclical Bull Market Return
For those who have missed the Raging Bull Market in Cyclicals Core Capital Goods = +0.567% M/M = +19bps acceleration to +5.9% Y/Y = 39-month RoC High https://t.co/hIsrs59WXP