Three years after ChatGPT's debut, Atlantic Council experts caution that current AI, built on large language models, excels at pattern‑based tasks but lacks true predictive power for complex geopolitical outcomes. They highlight AI's probabilistic nature, limited ability to generate new information, and the risk of over‑reliance in policy making. Looking ahead, the panel foresees exponential growth constrained by compute and energy limits, rising distrust, and a push toward sovereign AI and world‑model systems. Short‑term trends include expanding context windows and increased government control of AI resources.
At Singapore Airshow 2026, Israeli defence firm Rafael unveiled two new Spike family effectors – the L‑Spike 1X, a section‑level ISR and loitering munition, and the L‑Spike 4X, a battalion‑scale loitering missile. CEO Yoav Turgeman stressed that customers now demand battle‑proven systems...
RAND researchers evaluated HQ STARCOM’s manpower, revealing pervasive staffing shortfalls across directorates and heavy reliance on civilians and contractors. The study identified fragmented roles, unclear functional‑mission links, and structural tension between STARCOM’s flat hierarchy and required command control. An optimization...

NATO members, led by Finland, warn that invoking Article 5 for Ukraine could erode the clause’s deterrent power. They argue that extending collective defense to a non‑member engaged in an active war would blur the threshold for future attacks, especially hybrid...

Hanwha Ocean has inked an MOU with eleven South Korean submarine builders to jointly pursue contracts in Saudi Arabia and the broader Middle East. The consortium will market the KSS‑III Batch‑II “Jang Yeongsil” submarine, emphasizing platform construction, combat systems, and long‑term...

Fincantieri’s submarine arm, WASS, landed a €200 million contract with Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Defence to supply MU90 lightweight torpedoes. The deal, announced at the 2026 World Defence Show in Riyadh, is the largest ever for WASS and the first direct...
U.S. and China dominate the AI ecosystem, employing 70% of the world’s top machine‑learning researchers, controlling 90% of computing power, and securing the majority of AI investment. This concentration creates an “AI divide” that could lock most other countries into...

Pakistan’s Navy issued a formal tender for two 10 kW shipborne laser weapon systems, with scalability to 30 kW, to be installed on surface combatants for counter‑UAS and swarm defence. The systems must integrate AI/ML to achieve sub‑100 ms sensor‑to‑effector latency, 360‑degree coverage...

The Defense Innovation Unit has issued a solicitation for a Containerized Autonomous Drone Delivery System (CADDS) that can store, launch, recover and service large numbers of unmanned aerial systems from a single container on land or sea. CADDS is designed...

Indonesia and Australia signed the Treaty on Common Security in Jakarta, committing both capitals to regular security consultations and coordinated responses to emerging threats. The pact builds on the 1996 Lombok Treaty and the 2024 Defence Cooperation Agreement, but stops...

The Pentagon announced that Air Force Staff Sgt. Andrew Wolfe and the late Army Spc. Sarah Beckstrom, both members of the West Virginia National Guard, will receive the Purple Heart for injuries sustained in a November ambush near the White...

Fort Hood, Texas, will host the Army’s inaugural campus‑style dining facility, the 42 Bistro, opening Feb. 18. Soldiers enrolled in the Essential Station Messing program receive a daily $39 ‘freedom dollars’ credit to purchase meals, while others pay out‑of‑pocket. The venue,...
On February 9, Atlantic Council senior director Matthew Kroenig appeared on the School of War podcast to discuss China’s rapidly expanding nuclear arsenal. He highlighted recent Chinese test activities and the pace at which Beijing is increasing warhead counts and delivery...

Staff Sgt. Billy Scafidel, an armory chief with the 7th Engineer Support Battalion, received the Navy and Marine Corps Medal for rescuing a fellow Marine from a submerged truck on Sept. 1, 2024, near Camp Pendleton. After hearing a splash, Scafidel...
The Trump administration’s 2025 trade strategy oscillated between aggressive, unpredictable tariff threats and a quieter push for long‑standing trade objectives. While high tariffs and threats destabilized markets, the administration began issuing exemptions and rolled back many threats, stabilizing tariff levels...

FedRAMP 20x seeks to modernize federal cloud compliance by replacing static checklists with continuous validation through Key Security Indicators (KSIs). The initiative promises faster, more flexible authorization for SaaS providers, but progress is hampered by funding cuts, staff shortages, and...

Japan’s first female prime minister, Sanae Takaichi, called a snap election that delivered a historic super‑majority for the Liberal Democratic Party, winning 316 of 465 lower‑house seats. The result gives the LDP unprecedented legislative power to push Takaichi’s agenda without...
More than 100 Wisconsin Army National Guard signal soldiers gathered at Camp Douglas on Jan. 31, 2026 for a combined signal exercise hosted by the 32nd Infantry Brigade Combat Team S6. The two‑day drill emphasized complex communications, integrating trunked land‑mobile radios...

Over 110 U.S. and Italian soldiers completed a four‑day proficiency test at an Italian base, meeting German Armed Forces standards to earn the German Armed Forces Proficiency Badge. The event, overseen by Germany’s 10th Panzer Division, included ruck marches, weapons...

Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard has expanded her office’s involvement in election security, including participation in a recent FBI raid on a Georgia elections office and the seizure of voting machines in Puerto Rico that were found to have...
Adm. Daryl Caudle, the Navy’s 34th Chief of Naval Operations, unveiled the United States Navy Fighting Instructions, a comprehensive doctrine guiding organization, training, equipment, and combat in a contested global environment. The guidance introduces a "Hedge Strategy" that balances high‑end...

The CIA unveiled a new acquisition framework designed to accelerate the procurement of cutting‑edge technology from the private sector. The plan introduces a centralized vendor‑vetting system and a streamlined IT‑authorization process to shrink the gap between mission requirements and operational...

The U.S. military conducted a right‑of‑visit boarding of the Panama‑flagged tanker Aquila II in the Indian Ocean after tracking it from the Caribbean. The vessel, linked to sanctions on Venezuelan and illicit Russian oil, had been operating with its transponder off,...
Israel's Ministry of Defense signed a contract exceeding NIS 400 million ($130 million) with Elbit Systems to outfit 12 new CH‑53K “Pereh” helicopters with indigenous command‑and‑control, avionics, electronic‑warfare and DIRCM anti‑missile suites. The upgrades aim to improve flight operations in adverse environments and...
KNDS and TYTAN Technologies formalised an expanded partnership on 6 February 2026, signing a Memorandum of Understanding in the presence of Germany’s Federal Minister for Economic Affairs. The deal builds on the integration of TYTAN’s Interceptor‑S counter‑drone system into the Boxer RCT30...

The 369th Infantry Regiment, known as the Harlem Hellfighters, returned to New York in February 1919 after a distinguished World War I service under French command, where they fought longer and suffered more casualties than any other U.S. unit. Despite...
Leidos announced the integration of its UpHold Armor platform with RegScale’s Continuous Controls Monitoring solution to strengthen cybersecurity across the Department of Defense and other federal agencies. The joint offering will initially roll out to the U.S. Air Force, automating risk...
The Department of the Air Force’s Portfolio Acquisition Executive for Command, Control, Communications and Battle Management (C3BM) has created an integrated program office to lead the Joint Fires Network (JFN). The JFN will synchronize fire‑support capabilities across the services and...
Russia’s state‑owned Rostec introduced the BTR‑22 infantry fighting vehicle at the World Defense Show in Riyadh. Branded as a “Kalashnikov on wheels,” the IFV incorporates a V‑shaped hull and anti‑traumatic seating to boost crew survivability. Its internal layout reflects combat...
Atlantic Council vice‑president Matthew Kroenig appeared on the BBC on February 8 to discuss the United States’ intensifying pressure on the Cuban regime. He outlined a multi‑pronged strategy that includes expanded sanctions, diplomatic isolation, and support for civil‑society actors. Kroenig emphasized...

Raytheon announced on 2 February that it successfully completed a ballistic test of the U.S. Army’s Next Generation Short‑Range Interceptor (NGSRI) at its Tucson facility. The trial showed the missile could track a small drone and launch from a man‑portable launcher,...
On February 3, 2026 Abu Dhabi Shipbuilding (ADSB) launched the first Al‑Dorra‑class 62‑metre patrol vessel, AL NOUKHITHA, during its 30th‑anniversary ceremony. The launch marks the execution of a record‑breaking $2.45 billion contract, subcontracted by EDGE Group, to supply advanced missile boats to...
The Maryland National Guard joined NATO’s Crossed Swords 25 cyber‑defense exercise with Estonian partners at the CCDCOE in Tallinn, Oct. 27‑Nov. 7, 2025. The drill hosted 240 participants from roughly 45 countries and focused on strategic command, AI‑assisted tactical operations, multi‑domain integration, public‑private coordination,...

In April 2025 President Trump issued an executive order authorizing U.S. companies to mine critical minerals in international waters, directly contravening the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS). The move aims to secure rare‑earth supplies amid...

Rafael Systems Global Sustainment has been awarded Phase 1 of the U.S. Army’s Indirect Fire Protection Capability Increment 2 (IFPC Inc 2) Second Interceptor program, positioning its Iron Dome‑derived technology as a core element of the Army’s layered air‑defense strategy. The program will integrate the...

WWII veteran John “Johnny Q” Quinesso celebrated his 100th birthday aboard the Battleship New Jersey in Camden, New Jersey. The ceremony honored his three‑year Pacific service and more than two decades as a volunteer guide at the museum, where he...

The article argues that modern missile‑defence systems, once seen as purely defensive, now embolden states to take greater offensive risks. It cites Ukraine’s 2022 invasion, Israel’s 2024‑25 conflicts, and U.S. plans for a "Golden Dome" as examples where perceived invulnerability...
Altona Rare Earths announced that the U.S. Trade & Development Agency will support its Monte Muambe project in Mozambique, prompting a 76% surge in the company's London‑listed shares. The backing aims to map technical and financial routes for extracting rare‑earth...

Estonia unveiled an accelerated defence modernization plan, shifting conscripts to a 12‑month service model with 4,100 recruits starting in 2027 and boosting pay by 30%. The navy will receive four new vessels and upgraded minehunters, while the Baltic Defence Line...
University of Notre Dame researchers demonstrated that a thin plasma‑actuator strip can slash skin‑friction drag on aircraft surfaces. Laboratory tests showed up to an 80% reduction in turbulent drag on flat plates and a 44% cut on a half‑meter airfoil,...

Berlin is weighing a switch from the Franco‑German Future Combat Air System (SCAF) to join the Global Combat Air Programme (GCAP), a move that would signal a major shift in European defence collaboration. German Chancellor Friedrich Merz reportedly raised the...
Max Bergmann argues that Europe can no longer rely on the United States for security, citing the Trump administration’s hostile stance toward NATO, reduced aid to Ukraine, and tariff wars. The piece warns that the transatlantic alliance is fraying and that...

The article argues that Britain must move from a whole‑of‑government to a whole‑of‑society defence model, redefining the citizen‑soldier for 21st‑century threats. It highlights the armed forces’ high public trust but notes a widening civil‑military gap, with only about 7% of...

The Singapore Airshow 2026 confirmed that drone‑centric forces are now the operational baseline across the Indo‑Pacific, highlighted by the RSAF’s rollout of Orbiter 4 and Hermes 900 UAVs. Indonesia abandoned the US F‑15EX program, opting for a mixed fleet anchored by 42...

President Donald Trump has turned to senior military officials to spearhead high‑stakes diplomatic talks on Iran’s nuclear program and the Russia‑Ukraine war. Admiral Brad Cooper, commander of U.S. Central Command, joined indirect Iran negotiations in Oman, while Army Secretary Dan...
Russia has intensified a winter bombing campaign that systematically strikes Ukraine’s power plants, transmission lines, and heating infrastructure, leaving millions without essential energy amid sub‑zero temperatures. Analysts label the strategy a modern "kholodomor," echoing the Soviet‑era famine, and argue it...

Russia has intensified a hybrid campaign against Poland, combining espionage, large‑scale cyber attacks, sabotage, and disinformation. Recent intelligence uncovered Russian spies inside the Ministry of National Defence and daily cyber assaults reaching up to 3,000 incidents. Moscow’s political elites have...

International organizations have deepened security engagement in Central and Eastern Europe through NATO enlargement, EU diplomatic and financial tools, and coordinated sanctions. NATO’s 1999‑2004 accession of nine states bolstered collective defence, while the EU’s Common Foreign and Security Policy drives...

The guided‑missile destroyer USS Arleigh Burke awarded its sailors the Armed Forces Service Medal for participation in ballistic‑missile‑defense operations in late 2024 and the June 2025 “12‑Day War” between Iran and Israel. Eligibility covers service from Aug 15‑Dec 16, 2024, and from June 12‑24, 2025,...

This week’s technology‑focused legislation spans biometric privacy, quantum workforce planning, robotics oversight, digital‑ID security, AI‑driven telecom protection, biosecurity safeguards, and defense‑technology hubs. A bipartisan bill would bar ICE and Customs from acquiring or using facial‑recognition systems and require deletion of...