Defense Social Media and Updates

15,000‑20,000 ISIS‑linked Detainees Now Free
SocialFeb 21, 2026

15,000‑20,000 ISIS‑linked Detainees Now Free

"U.S. Intelligence Says at Least 15,000 at Large After ISIS Detention Camp Collapses in Syria" @WSJ https://t.co/a96xFMH9Yd U.S. intelligence agencies have concluded that 15,000 to 20,000 people, including Islamic State affiliates are now at large in Syria, after an exodus from...

By John Spencer
Russia's Economy Surpasses Japan Amid Kuril Islands Dispute
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Russia's Economy Surpasses Japan Amid Kuril Islands Dispute

As Russia and Japan arm wrestle over the Kuril Islands, Russia’s economy outpaces Japan. https://t.co/Y7wv29WjpH

By Steve Hanke
Trump Officials Scramble to Fund $500B Defense Boost
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Trump Officials Scramble to Fund $500B Defense Boost

NEW with @JStein_WaPo: Trump administration officials are struggling to determine how to increase defense spending $500 billion in their forthcoming budget, after Pete Hegseth secured the increase despite internal criticism from Russ Vought and other officials.

By Dan Lamothe
Cold Weather Cripples Ukrainian Aerial Countermeasures and FPV Cables
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Cold Weather Cripples Ukrainian Aerial Countermeasures and FPV Cables

Weather still has a very significant effect. Ukrainian fighter aircraft , helicopters, and UAV interceptors were all less effective countering Shaheds over the winter because of the weather. The fiber optic cables on FPVs often fail because of the cold....

By Rob Lee
Russia Equips Molniya with Geran‑style Mesh Modems
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Russia Equips Molniya with Geran‑style Mesh Modems

According to Serhii Flash, Russia has installed mesh modems on Molniya similar to the ones used on Geran and Gerbera. https://t.co/0MrbFEDbvA https://t.co/NYuN8bvpH6

By Rob Lee
Ukrainian UAVs Evolve Fast—NATO Should Buy Now
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Ukrainian UAVs Evolve Fast—NATO Should Buy Now

I think this is an additional argument for purchasing Ukrainian FPVs and other UAVs. Ukrainian companies update their UAVs regularly to meet the changing requirements on the battlefield and Russian adaptations. Makes sense for NATO members to benefit from these...

By Rob Lee
EU's Orban and Fico Threaten Ukraine Aid, Risk Suspension
SocialFeb 21, 2026

EU's Orban and Fico Threaten Ukraine Aid, Risk Suspension

How many more years is this idiocy going to continue? Two collaborationist regimes in the center of Europe, during the largest continental war since WWII, are openly undermining the entire 500-million EU and the defense of the free world, all while...

By Illia Ponomarenko
FPV Drone Strikes Myanmar Plane, No Injuries Reported
SocialFeb 21, 2026

FPV Drone Strikes Myanmar Plane, No Injuries Reported

Myanmar last night... MNA ATR-72-600 got hit by FPV suicide drone(s) at Myitkyina Airport while boarding for Mandalay. Minor shrapnel damage reported, but crucially no passengers or crew hurt. KIA/PDF coalition named by authorities.

By Fahad Naim
US Sanctions Sudanese Commanders Amid Massive Humanitarian Crisis
SocialFeb 21, 2026

US Sanctions Sudanese Commanders Amid Massive Humanitarian Crisis

US Sanctions Sudanese Paramilitary Commanders For Atrocities In El-Fasher...The conflict has provoked the world’s worst ongoing humanitarian crisis with over 150,000 having been killed and more than 14 million displaced. https://t.co/b2rLtUN2Ob

By John Spencer
Drones, Phones, Satellites: Pervasive Civilian Surveillance Tactics
SocialFeb 21, 2026

Drones, Phones, Satellites: Pervasive Civilian Surveillance Tactics

Facts. They also flyer drones with speaker, track civilians by cell phone, satellite imagery, drones in real time on their digital systems and restrict operations, use advance call out tactics, and much more.

By John Spencer
F‑16s Deploy Angry Kitten Pods for Enhanced EW Protection
SocialFeb 20, 2026

F‑16s Deploy Angry Kitten Pods for Enhanced EW Protection

F-16s Heading To Middle East Equipped With Angry Kitten Electronic Warfare Pods The Angry Kitten pods will give the fourth-generation fighters often tasked with the Wild Weasel missions much-needed extra protection. https://t.co/MR26YH0w6Z

By Tyler Rogoway
USS Gerald R. Ford Sails Into Mediterranean Amid Rising Tensions
SocialFeb 20, 2026

USS Gerald R. Ford Sails Into Mediterranean Amid Rising Tensions

Supercarrier USS Gerald R. Ford Has Crossed Into The Mediterranean The carrier's rush to the Middle East comes as the military build-up in the region appears to be approaching its crescendo. Latest: https://t.co/ZPLyQ1iOa3

By Tyler Rogoway
American Media Must Highlight Unresisted Dictatorship Collapse
SocialFeb 20, 2026

American Media Must Highlight Unresisted Dictatorship Collapse

I asked @derspiegel to share this important interview with Robert Kagan in English. Rafaela von Bredow made it happen. This is how American media should be talking: "We Are Watching a Country Fall Under Dictatorship Almost Without Resistance" https://t.co/Ctij7ummvc

By Jeff Jarvis
Iran's Warning Highlights Hormuz's Strategic Oil Choke Point
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Iran's Warning Highlights Hormuz's Strategic Oil Choke Point

My take on the closure of the Strait of Hormuz: “The Iranians recently shot a warning shot across the bow. They indicated that they can shut the straits down and cut the world off from 20% of its supply.” https://t.co/sbb1tuQO4T

By Steve Hanke
Define War Goals, Guard Hormuz From Iranian Threat
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Define War Goals, Guard Hormuz From Iranian Threat

Love @brett_mcgurk dropping Clausewitz on @CNN “No one starts a war—or rather, no one in his senses ought to do so—without first being clear in his mind what he intends to achieve by that war." I agree with Brett's analysis....

By John Spencer
Tekever's AR3 EVO: Small UAV, Massive Modular Power
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Tekever's AR3 EVO: Small UAV, Massive Modular Power

Small UAV - with big capabilities - how @Tekever is taking modular #drones to the next level with its AR3 EVO #avgeek #defence https://t.co/9hbPLZEY4l https://t.co/Or8fywIuXn

By Tim Robinson
All Satellite-Visible Jet Spots at Jordan Base Fully Occupied
SocialFeb 20, 2026

All Satellite-Visible Jet Spots at Jordan Base Fully Occupied

Every designated tactical jet parking space visible from satellite is taken at Muwaffaq Salti Air Base in Jordan. Base is packed and this doesn't include all the shades and shelters we can't see under.

By Tyler Rogoway
Nuclear Deterrence Alone Can't Stop Aggression without Conventional Strength
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Nuclear Deterrence Alone Can't Stop Aggression without Conventional Strength

This, by the way, is why I am skeptical that Ukrainian nuclear weapons would have deterred Putin. He thought Ukraine would collapse, not resist. Deterrence usually works, but it is not foolproof and it does not replace a credible conventional...

By Jeffrey Lewis
Starlink Loss Hampers Russian Tank Navigation and Assaults
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Starlink Loss Hampers Russian Tank Navigation and Assaults

There is another interesting consequence of the loss of Starlink. Russian tanks and armored vehicles are often equipped with Starlink and cameras that stream video back to command posts. Because it is usually the first assault for these drivers, they...

By Rob Lee
El Paso Drone Shootdown Underscores Counter‑Drone Implementation Challenges
SocialFeb 20, 2026

El Paso Drone Shootdown Underscores Counter‑Drone Implementation Challenges

New from @BreakingDefense by @michaeldmarrow & @ValerieInsinna: The El Paso shootdown highlights the hard work ahead to safely implement new counter-drone authorities for DoD, DHS, & local agencies. https://t.co/d1WSmDnBAi

By Stacie Pettyjohn
Expert Questions Reports of China, Russia Arming Iran
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Expert Questions Reports of China, Russia Arming Iran

Geopolitics expert Alexander Mercouris on Chinese and Russian aid to Iran: “There are all kinds of rumors and reports ... that Iran is receiving important military aid from China and from Russia as it prepares for the conflict with the US.”...

By Steve Hanke
Trump's Surge Gives Iran Strike Capacity, but Costly
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Trump's Surge Gives Iran Strike Capacity, but Costly

Trump's military surge now has the real strike capacity and key enablers needed for weeks of strikes on Iran. I told @FT the scale of this buildup signals credible strike preparation. But sustaining it without action would be incredibly costly...

By Becca Wasser
Historic Uncertainty Spurs Opportunities in AI and Energy Stocks
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Historic Uncertainty Spurs Opportunities in AI and Energy Stocks

Thoughts? The World Uncertainty Index has surged to historic levels—exceeding Iraq War, COVID, and 9/11—and identify five stocks positioned to perform well under these geopolitical conditions: Palantir (AI battlefield intelligence), ExxonMobil and Cameco/CCJ (energy security), and NVIDIA (AI defense technology),...

By Tall Guy Tycoon
Wounded Soldiers Inflate Russian 2025 Force Numbers
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Wounded Soldiers Inflate Russian 2025 Force Numbers

In 2025 Russian forces did not contract, however it is also very unlikely that the overall force grew by 100k. This amount of personnel did not go to force expansion. The likely discrepancy stems from those seriously wounded still being...

By Michael Kofman
Tekever Integrates Ukraine Combat Lessons Into EVO Drone
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Tekever Integrates Ukraine Combat Lessons Into EVO Drone

How Anglo-Portuguese UAV firm @Tekever is incorporating battle lessons from Ukraine for its latest EVO #drone #avgeek https://t.co/9hbPLZEY4l https://t.co/c2NdkqOs7K

By Tim Robinson
Food & Ag Industry Braces for Rising Ransomware Threats
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Food & Ag Industry Braces for Rising Ransomware Threats

Food and ag sector weathers more ransomware attacks, braces for ‘strategic adaptation’ threats - Threat Beat https://t.co/Vt6H5NKPsU

By Chuck Brooks
Iran's Three Pressure Points: US Troops, Allies, Hormuz
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Iran's Three Pressure Points: US Troops, Allies, Hormuz

What could Iran target if tensions escalate? I joined @SheryAhnNews and @avrilhongTV on @BloombergTV to break down Trump’s Middle East buildup. I outlined 3 pressure points Tehran could hold at risk: US forces, regional partners, and the Strait of Hormuz....

By Becca Wasser
Ukraine's UAVs Destroy Russian Air Defenses and Infrastructure
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Ukraine's UAVs Destroy Russian Air Defenses and Infrastructure

Videos of FP-2 strikes by Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces and SBU Alpha on Tor-M1 and S-300VM air defense systems, command posts, warehouses, UAV launch points, and other targets. https://t.co/NYeDtpqsPM https://t.co/dpmHaDxrqK https://t.co/H2iQiNH8gF https://t.co/PO8F68r8Mn

By Rob Lee
Ukrainian Women Reveal Widespread Russian War Rape
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Ukrainian Women Reveal Widespread Russian War Rape

"Hundreds of Ukrainian women and girls have reported sexual violence by Russian troops during the nearly four years of full-scale war in Ukraine, according to Ukrainian authorities and aid groups. The actual number of victims, advocates say, is most likely...

By Rob Lee
Ukraine Poised to Earn Billions From Wartime Arms Exports
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Ukraine Poised to Earn Billions From Wartime Arms Exports

“Ukraine could export several billion dollars of military goods and services this year after authorising its first wartime foreign sales and is considering introducing a tax on those exports, a senior Ukrainian defence official said. Earlier this month, the state commission...

By Rob Lee
Navy Pursues New AWACS‑Killer Anti‑Radiation Missile
SocialFeb 20, 2026

Navy Pursues New AWACS‑Killer Anti‑Radiation Missile

Hunt For Anti-Radiation Missile That Can Down Enemy Radar Planes Kicked-Off By Navy The 'AWACS killer' Advanced Emission Suppression Missile will also be able to strike air defenses on land and sea. https://t.co/BNrywXdNe7

By Tyler Rogoway
Four AI Flaws Outpace Defenses, Exploited Rapidly
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Four AI Flaws Outpace Defenses, Exploited Rapidly

These 4 critical AI vulnerabilities are being exploited faster than defenders can respond | ZDNET https://t.co/e0SyjsSpBv

By Chuck Brooks
KC‑390 Boom Variant Offers Agile Air Force Tanker
SocialFeb 19, 2026

KC‑390 Boom Variant Offers Agile Air Force Tanker

Based on the news today of Northrop Grumman and Embraer teaming up for next generation tanker capabilities, this is a must read from four years ago: KC-390 With A Boom Could Be The Agile Tanker The Air Force Needs https://t.co/lrJn7Owfc3

By Tyler Rogoway
U.S. Iran Buildup: Air‑Sea Power, No Ground Invasion
SocialFeb 19, 2026

U.S. Iran Buildup: Air‑Sea Power, No Ground Invasion

U.S. military buildup against Iran differs from 2003 Iraq. I had a talk with @FoxNews on why. https://t.co/gE5P3qQ9of "The strategic objective in both cases is coercion, shaping an adversary’s decision calculus through visible military power. But while the scale of...

By John Spencer
Armenia Faces Nuclear Dilemma, U.S. Aid Could Break Deadlock
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Armenia Faces Nuclear Dilemma, U.S. Aid Could Break Deadlock

Armenia's power is supplied by what is widely considered the least safe nuclear reactor on the planet, and it has no money to replace it. With Russia occupied in Ukraine, the country is desperately searching for a solution. On one end,...

By Peter Zeihan
UK Blocks US Access to Bases, Hampering Iran Bombing Campaign
SocialFeb 19, 2026

UK Blocks US Access to Bases, Hampering Iran Bombing Campaign

U.K. Denying U.S. Use Of Key Bases Would Impact Bombers’ Role In Iran Air Campaign The U.K. is reportedly preventing the U.S. from using Diego Garcia and RAF Fairford to attack Iran. https://t.co/YUPo74NyHL

By Tyler Rogoway
US‑Israeli Strikes Will Hurt Iran, yet Conflict Persists
SocialFeb 19, 2026

US‑Israeli Strikes Will Hurt Iran, yet Conflict Persists

"They’ll definitely take terrible damage from combined U.S.-Israeli strikes. But that doesn’t mean it ends quickly, or clean — and they do have some ability to impose some costs in the other direction.” Our latest on the U.S. state of play...

By Dan Lamothe
US Must Test Agile Combat Employment Against Iranian Threat
SocialFeb 19, 2026

US Must Test Agile Combat Employment Against Iranian Threat

If this goes down with Iran, the USAF should put its Agile Combat Employment (ACE) playbook to the test. Having billions and billions in hard to replace fighter aircraft packed on ramps at a couple bases is not a recipe...

By Tyler Rogoway
Navy F-16Cs Set for Aggressor Paint Schemes
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Navy F-16Cs Set for Aggressor Paint Schemes

I would expect the Navy F-16Cs will finally be getting aggressor paint jobs now that they go through a tailored depot program. I have a feeling we will be impressed.

By Tyler Rogoway
China‑Iran Alliance Turns Regional Conflict Into Global Threat
SocialFeb 19, 2026

China‑Iran Alliance Turns Regional Conflict Into Global Threat

When great powers align, regional conflicts become global risks. China’s support of Iran is shifting the escalation ladder—and changing the strategic balance of the world. Understand what this means before it happens. Full analysis on website #Geopolitics #China #Iran #GlobalPower #Strategy

By David Murrin
ISF Multinational Deployment Begins, Hinges on Hamas Disarmament
SocialFeb 19, 2026

ISF Multinational Deployment Begins, Hinges on Hamas Disarmament

Lots of updates about Gaza from the Board of Peace. One clear and consistent message: everything rests on the full disarmament of Hamas. International Stabilization Force (ISF), commanded by U.S. Major General Jasper Jeffers, deputy command now Indonesia, ISF to...

By John Spencer
India Bypasses US, Secures 114 French Rafale Jets
SocialFeb 19, 2026

India Bypasses US, Secures 114 French Rafale Jets

India isn’t waiting on Washington. It just signed a deal for 114 Rafale jets from France. This is more evidence that India is pivoting away from Trump’s threats from the US. https://t.co/kHtF1xgjEs

By Steve Hanke
Massive U.S. Air Power Buildup Hits Middle East
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Massive U.S. Air Power Buildup Hits Middle East

This looks like one of the largest buildups of U.S. air power and precision strike capabilities in the Middle East in over 2 decades.

By Franz‑Stefan Gady
US Pushes NATO to Bar Ukraine, Indo‑Pacific Allies From Summit
SocialFeb 19, 2026

US Pushes NATO to Bar Ukraine, Indo‑Pacific Allies From Summit

"The U.S. is also pressing allies not to invite Ukraine and the alliance’s four official Indo-Pacific partners — Australia, New Zealand, Japan and South Korea — to the formal meetings at NATO’s July summit in Ankara, the four diplomats said. The...

By Illia Ponomarenko
Cuban MiG‑17’s Failed R‑13 Pylon Experiment Stymied
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Cuban MiG‑17’s Failed R‑13 Pylon Experiment Stymied

Interesting and rare shot of unique Cuban MiG-17 that was locally adapted with underwing pylons for two R-13 air-to-air missiles. Modification was unsuccessful: the missile was too long, so it interfered with the use of flaps. Also Soviets were unhappy.

By Thomas Newdick
Trump’s Middle East Buildup Raises Iran Strike Odds
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Trump’s Middle East Buildup Raises Iran Strike Odds

Chatted with @kaileyleinz and @JMathieuReports on @BloombergTV about Trump’s military buildup in the Middle East. My take: Strikes on Iran are increasingly likely based on the scale of airpower and types of equipment we’ve seen flow into the region. https://t.co/mueW9lox9q

By Becca Wasser
European Spies Say Russia Isn’t Seeking Peace, Talks Futile
SocialFeb 19, 2026

European Spies Say Russia Isn’t Seeking Peace, Talks Futile

“European intelligence chiefs are pessimistic about the chances of an agreement being reached this year to end Russia's war in Ukraine, despite Donald Trump's assertions that U.S.-brokered talks have brought the prospect of a deal ‘reasonably close’. The heads of five...

By Rob Lee
Russian Warship Joins Iran for Exercises Amid US Carrier Presence
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Russian Warship Joins Iran for Exercises Amid US Carrier Presence

"Russian Navy Arrives in Bandar Abbas for Iranian Exercises" https://t.co/hjA8OQ7oV1 The Russian Steregushchiy-class corvette Stoykiy (F545) has arrived in Bandar Abbas in advance of a naval exercise to be held jointly with the regular Iranian Navy at the end of this week. ...

By John Spencer
Russia Turns to Balloon Internet After Starlink Loss
SocialFeb 19, 2026

Russia Turns to Balloon Internet After Starlink Loss

Russia Eyes Balloon Communications System To Fill Massive Gap Left After Losing Starlink SpaceX has cut off Russia's access to Starlink and now Moscow is scrambling to find a replacement. https://t.co/YIhWYjTEhE

By Tyler Rogoway