Deeply disappointing to see that many of our top defense-related think tanks are now off-limits to our military’s officers. I would never have gotten to where I am as a China analyst without my time as a military fellow at @cnasdc, an explicitly bi-partisan organization.
Video shows F-15C Bazs taking off on a sortie for today's operation. It is armed with AIM-7 Sparrows, not uncommon for IAFs F-15A-Ds. Still, a bit odd for the general mission. It also does not have external tanks. Possibly on...
"The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of 🇺🇦 reaffirms the consistent position of our state: we support the Iranian people and their legitimate aspiration to live in security, freedom, and prosperity. The Iranian regime, which for decades has oppressed its own people,...
Frankly, I don’t see how the Ayatollah regime could be toppled, even through the most extensive and devastating bombing campaign, without boots on the ground and a full-scale occupation of a vast country of 90 million people. Especially after Trump allowed...
There are unconfirmed reports that major Iranian Navy/IRGC Navy bases on the Persian Gulf and Arabian Sea have been hit. This would make perfect sense to preempt a mining operation and/or attempted closure of the strait.
Strikes are occurring at sites throughout Iran. While these are likely targeting some time sensitive targets, many of these strikes would be used to prepare for aircraft operations over Iran. In other words, degrading and destroying what's left of Iran's...
Israel achieved air supremacy over Iran in about the first 10-24 hours of the 12 day war. Not a single aircraft or pilot lost. Thanks to Israel, not only was there a great amount of air defenses destroyed, but there...
“Old doctrine assumes maneuver is the default way to fight. Future doctrine should treat it as a rare, deliberate act that is planned, resourced, and protected.” https://t.co/U0K4HrDClf
In the 12-Day War, Israel conducted roughly 1,000 sorties and struck more than 900 targets in Iran. For comparison, during Operation Desert Storm, the U.S.-led coalition flew approximately 2,200 sorties in the first 24 hours and more than 116,000 sorties...
Iran Is Under Attack Israel has stuck Iran in what it is calling a "preemptive attack." Rolling coverage, updating in real time: https://t.co/giuwrpAOfR
Any strike campaign in the Middle East employing precision-guided munitions will be shaped by the United States’ and Israel’s interceptor stockpiles and magazine depth. As @AmosFox6 and I like to say, you may not be interested in attrition, but attrition...
Was Iran’s Ayatollah Khamenei, President, senior leaders targeted tonight? Where was Iran’s air defenses? Not recovered after the 12 day war?
Ok, so now the truth comes out. The USA needs AI for critical systems to protect America. Anthropic wanted the US Gov to call them and ask nicely for permission in case of an emergency. As I keep saying. AI is...
Reports of Chinese drones to Iran are plausible But talk of hypersonics is a leap. If true, I see little effect for the present Iran crisis Markets agree with Brent rolling into contango. This looks like calibrated support, not crisis-altering escalation https://t.co/x606IhOrev #Iran...
The potential U.S. conflict with Iran will create an interesting dilemma regarding weapons re-arming and supply chains. Rare earth elements will come under even greater scrutiny, especially given the already strained trade relationship with China.
Tonight, we reached an agreement with the Department of War to deploy our models in their classified network. In all of our interactions, the DoW displayed a deep respect for safety and a desire to partner to achieve the best possible...
Personal view: I admire @AnthropicAI sticking by their principles but disagree with the principle itself. Putin won’t fight fair so we should have autonomous AI weapons for sure.

the Secretary of War announced a supply chain risk designation against an American company… on X… before telling the company https://t.co/u4gAaIwX2L
Anthropic vs Pentagon. The report of what X is saying about it. New kind of analysis and curation thanks to AI. https://t.co/64izWKFVWC
Israel’s Fighter Force Stands To Be Far More Effective With Full USAF Tanker Support In A War With Iran https://t.co/wX9ErK4zHX
Very dangerous people that can never be allowed to get a nuclear weapon or missiles to target the United States or our allies.

85.5% moon tonight. Far from ideal. Prime window opens back half of March. Just another indicator not a showstopper. https://t.co/7gx76w2wrn
If anthropic doesn’t want to do military tech, you can be sure that OpenAI (or another foundational model), will bend over backwards to provide whatever the department of war wants. And the department of war/defense doesn’t need to accept any...
People don’t get it. AI is becoming critical infrastructure. It will power defense, finance, intelligence, everything. If a private company can decide how the U.S. government is allowed to use it, that’s not ethics. That’s corporate leverage over a sovereign nation.

Is Europe's proposed 'Drone Wall' the aerial equivalent of the Maginot Line? Exclusive analysis in March 2026 AEROSPACE #drones #NATO #Ukraine https://t.co/cWQRnTWlQr https://t.co/diKSD4Xblb
This isn’t just an Anthropic problem anymore… it’s a Palantir problem, and theres no like-for-like replacement ready Claude powers their most sensitive classified work

Pakistani Defense Minister Khawaja Asif declared his country to be in “open war” with Afghanistan on Friday, following a series of cross-border strikes between the two neighbors. The reality is more muted. While the Pakistani military is currently conducting strikes against...
A small CPB drone was shot down by a LOCUST laser system, similiar to what was used in El Paso earlier this month. https://t.co/QyYmTED5Zq
As the DoD vs. Anthropic deadline looms, its unclear which DPA authorities may be used. But DPA has emerged as a favorite tool for the Trump admin -- from taking equity stakes to compelling an AI leader, with defense tech...
Drone That LOCUST Laser Shot Down On Border Was Small And Belonged To The Border Patrol The accidental shoot-down comes two weeks after a major airspace closure was prompted by the use of a laser weapon along the border. https://t.co/oIROt7ecXr

PM Viktor Orbán has deployed troops & police to protect Hungary’s critical energy infrastructure. Orbán cites an alleged "oil blockade" & "blackmail" from Ukraine. It’s as clear as the nose on your face that Hungary, a member of NATO, views Ukraine as...

sam altman says openai is working with the pentagon to find a classified-use model that keeps safety guardrails — a de-escalation pitch following anthropic’s standoff over battlefield applications.
Big thing I am seeing on X is super authoritative sounding accounts doing long threads, on defense tech etc, that use tons of jargon and acronyms so as to look like the account is 'in the know,' when really they...
We get asked a lot why we didn't add this item or that item to our update posts, the answer is usually because we couldn't confirm it or can't even get to a point where we can say it's potentially...
Tankers Vacate Al Udeid Air Base As U.S. Citizens Are Urged To Leave Israel Immediately With negotiations floundering and the USS Gerald R. Ford about to arrive off Israel, the window for a major air operation is now cracked open. Latest: https://t.co/83wzAr7L3Q
For comparison, here is the number of US operational satellites over time. (As of today, 9,814 of these are Starlink satellites.) US Operational Satellites https://t.co/9TBifWiomp
I see stories out today saying that China has 1,900 satellites. That's not true. Even if you include all Chinese satellites (commercial, military, civil), it only adds up to 1,187 operational satellites. In comparison, the US has 11,323 operational satellites....
“A thousand soldiers took down a city of 6 million. Not by magic. By cohesion, momentum, sustainment, and leaders who empowered initiative under fire." General (ret) David Perkins discussing the 2003 Battle of Baghdad on my @WarInstitute UWP podcast. https://t.co/Icc6ylRqaQ
Spot on analysis by @gen_jackkeane as always. Islamic Regime in Iran at the weakest point in 46 years, a joint U.S.-Israel military operations could set the conditions for a regime change.
Islamic Regime in Iran thinks they are negotiating with past U.S. administrations, not taking the military course of action seriously IMO.
Small B-52 Fleet Size Creates Challenges For Engine, Radar Upgrade Plans With just some B-52s equipped for the nuclear mission and all of them in high demand around the globe, finding time to install the upgrades is an issue. ...

There seems to have been a general attempt to restrict information about the whole 1st Multi-domain Task Force that operates Typhon and Dark Eagle. https://t.co/odFObLuaEz
Many thanks to @TheBaseLeg for highlighting @molkathcam & my new @CNASdc report on a Hellscape for Taiwan in @BreakingDefense https://t.co/qdUJFvpsrx
The farmers and the mercenaries: Rethinking the 'human layer' in security | CSO Online https://t.co/W4BglrjoFn

The Trump administration has accused China of conducting a small nuclear test in 2020. The claim is that a seismic event was detected in Western China around that time. A lot is going on here, so let's unpack it. Full Newsletter:...
Latest images of the An-225 at Hostomel.... the world’s largest plane has been a burned out wreck since the 2022 invasion. No restoration, just remains. Ukraine still talks about building a new one, but it’s not happening yet. The original is...
FYI, these are the horrible fatal wounds inflicted by Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine on the world’s greatest cargo aircraft, the Antonov An-225 Mriya. This is what we saw when we returned to the Hostomel airfield after the Russians were defeated...
Updated breaches are a bit messy when it comes to sending domain notifications. We only send ONE email per breach to domain subscribers, so you may get an alert for dump 1 but not for dump 2. It's probably worth...
100% agree @ShivAroor @AdityaRajKaul Israeli and Israeli-India systems were used to dominate the Pakistan Chinese proxy military during Operation Sindoor. Weapons such as IAI Harop kamikaze drone, Elbit SkyStriker loitering munition (India–Israel production), Rafael SPICE precision-guidance kits, IAI/Elbit Rampage air-to-surface missile,...
I gained a lot of respect for Dario for being principled on the issues of mass surveillance and autonomous killbots. Principled leaders are rare these days