Defense Social Media and Updates

Trump Threatens Iran, Oil Spikes Above $103 per Barrel
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Threatens Iran, Oil Spikes Above $103 per Barrel

SUMMARY OF PRESIDENT TRUMP'S ADDRESS TO THE NATION: 1. The Iran War will last another "two to three weeks" 2. The US will strike Iranian power plants if no deal is reached 3. Core strategic objectives are "close to completion" in Iran 4. The...

By Andrew W. Gilliland
China Sees US‑Israeli Clash on Iran as Strategic Boon
SocialApr 2, 2026

China Sees US‑Israeli Clash on Iran as Strategic Boon

China sees the US-Israeli war on Iran as a strategic gift. The great power, the US, is making enemies faster than you can shake a stick. Napoleon famously said, ‘Never interrupt your enemy when he's making a mistake.' https://t.co/tWhTBmSIBr

By Steve Hanke
Trump Warns Multiple U.S. Options to Cripple Adversary
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Warns Multiple U.S. Options to Cripple Adversary

As President Trump @POTUS said tonight @WhiteHouse The U.S. has many options to implement if it chooses. Of course continued destruction of all of the regime's ability to project power beyond its borders and hunting key leaders across political,...

By John Spencer
POTUS Threatens Massive Power Plant Strikes without Deal
SocialApr 2, 2026

POTUS Threatens Massive Power Plant Strikes without Deal

"We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next 2 to 3 weeks...In the meantime discussions are ongoing. Regime change was not our goal. We never said regime change. But regime change has occurred because of all their...

By John Spencer
Trump Claims Victory, Seeks Weeks More War, Blocks Hormuz
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Claims Victory, Seeks Weeks More War, Blocks Hormuz

President Trump declared victory against Iran but then asked for another 2-3 weeks to continue the war. And offered not path to re-open the Strait of Hormuz. "The countries of the world that […] receive oil through the Hormuz Strait...

By Javier Blas
Trump Vows to Bomb Iran Into Stone Age
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Vows to Bomb Iran Into Stone Age

Trump said he is going to bomb Iran for a few more weeks and bomb them into the Stone Age and target their power plants.

By S. Joseph Burns
Trump Attributes Gas Price Surge to Iranian Attacks
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Attributes Gas Price Surge to Iranian Attacks

TRUMP: "Many Americans have been concerned to see the recent rise in gasoline prices here at home. This short term increase has been entirely the result of the Iranian regime launching deranged terror attacks against commercial oil tankers and...

By Stephen Stapczynski
Trump Claims He's Correcting Past Errors, Destroying Iran
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Claims He's Correcting Past Errors, Destroying Iran

Recap so far: To paraphrase Trump: I am fixing other presidents mistakes, and we have annihilated Iran's military capabilities and we're going to finish the job.

By Nebraskan Gooner
Hegemons Can't Claim Burden Sharing While Rejecting Public Goods
SocialApr 2, 2026

Hegemons Can't Claim Burden Sharing While Rejecting Public Goods

Burden sharing is a more than reasonable expectation in alliances. But (1) "we're the hegemon," and (2) "over to you guys, because we don't do public goods" don't usually go together.

By Evan Feigenbaum
Trump Hints at Possible US Ground Troops in Iran
SocialApr 2, 2026

Trump Hints at Possible US Ground Troops in Iran

JUST IN: Conflicting reports indicate Trump plans to tell Americans that ground troops in Iran might be needed.

By David Gokhshtein
War Boosts Iran's Nuclear Weapon Prospects, Says Mearsheimer
SocialApr 2, 2026

War Boosts Iran's Nuclear Weapon Prospects, Says Mearsheimer

Distinguished UChicago Prof. John Mearsheimer on Pres. Trump and Netanyahu's FAILED war goals: “The chances that Iran will get a nuclear weapon have increased significantly as a result of this war.” https://t.co/ZvNgg6aqnl

By Steve Hanke
U.S. Deploys Diverse Assets to Counter Iranian Mines
SocialApr 2, 2026

U.S. Deploys Diverse Assets to Counter Iranian Mines

"The US has several options to counter Iranian mines. These are some key assets." @NavyTimes Bringing facts to speculation. https://t.co/WFfm9NCozY The U.S. military possesses several capabilities that it could wield to combat naval mine warfare in the Strait of Hormuz. Avenger-class minesweepers -...

By John Spencer
Wargames Predict US Ammo Shortage Within Two Weeks
SocialApr 1, 2026

Wargames Predict US Ammo Shortage Within Two Weeks

In simulated wargames to analyze how a conflict with China might play out, national-security experts said they found that the U.S. would run out of critical munitions in two weeks or less.

By Bryan Clagett
USAF Discusses Secret RAT55 Radar 737’s Artemis Role
SocialApr 1, 2026

USAF Discusses Secret RAT55 Radar 737’s Artemis Role

We got USAF to comment on RAT55!: Shadowy RAT55 Radar Test Bed 737 Has Begun “The Next Phase Of Its Career” Making a peculiar appearance supporting NASA's Artemis II launch is just the beginning of what comes next for the world's...

By Tyler Rogoway
Seek Diplomatic Alternatives to Avoid Iranian Ground Invasion
SocialApr 1, 2026

Seek Diplomatic Alternatives to Avoid Iranian Ground Invasion

There are still alternatives to boots on the ground in Iran, and a lot of people with influence are pushing to avoid that option. We can still win this and avoid major troop losses. Just need cooler and more rational heads...

By Ryan Selkis
Drones Reveal AI-Driven, Accelerating Defense Innovation Cycle
SocialApr 1, 2026

Drones Reveal AI-Driven, Accelerating Defense Innovation Cycle

As much attention is now being paid to Iran's drone capabilities, I still think it's lost on most market participants the broader implications of that capability. It's something I dissect in depth in my new report on "Defense Innovation" (https://t.co/rRtYxEUTE9)....

By Trevor Noren
Iran's Missile Barrage Timed with Passover, Contradict
SocialApr 1, 2026

Iran's Missile Barrage Timed with Passover, Contradict

Probably because Israel bombed Iran when Muslim families were gathering for Eid. Had you thought of that?

By Frances Coppola
US Proposes Runway Operation to Seize 1,000 Pounds Uranium
SocialApr 1, 2026

US Proposes Runway Operation to Seize 1,000 Pounds Uranium

“The U.S. military has given the president a plan to seize nearly 1,000 pounds of highly enriched uranium in Iran that would involve flying in excavation equipment and building a runway for cargo planes to take the radioactive material out”

By Kim Zetter
ICE Agents Deployed to Secure Bases Amid Iran Conflict
SocialApr 1, 2026

ICE Agents Deployed to Secure Bases Amid Iran Conflict

How did we get here? Top military commanders required increases to base security because of the Iran war. Marine officials sought outside help to bolster manpower. The help offered came in the form of ICE agents. But they're not doing immigration enforcement, defense officials...

By Dan Lamothe
Trump Announces U.S. Combat Operations Against Iran
SocialApr 1, 2026

Trump Announces U.S. Combat Operations Against Iran

Lol. Yes. Let's apply a little intellectual honesty and provide the full text of the speech where the reasons and objectives are stated earlier: President Donald J. Trump on the United States Military Major Combat Operations in Iran, February...

By John Spencer
Human Spies Still Essential in AI-Driven Intelligence
SocialApr 1, 2026

Human Spies Still Essential in AI-Driven Intelligence

Live and Let AI: Former CIA officer says human spies matter more in the LLM age https://t.co/QzxsPtCZJt https://t.co/FDie2bT4II

By Eric Vanderburg
Locked Drone Frequencies Risk Jamming, Undermine Effectiveness
SocialApr 1, 2026

Locked Drone Frequencies Risk Jamming, Undermine Effectiveness

This is a potentially significant issue with the adoption of cheap UAS. Some UAS provided by Western companies to Ukraine only worked on a specific frequency, and the companies did not allow Ukrainians to change it or make other modifications....

By Rob Lee
Iraqi Militia Demands Prisoner Swap for Journalist
SocialApr 1, 2026

Iraqi Militia Demands Prisoner Swap for Journalist

Iranian-aligned militia in Iraq is seeking the release of several detained militia members in exchange for freeing journalist Shelly Kittleson https://t.co/dlzG0ucgox

By Jeff Jarvis
Europe Readies Red Sea Force as Houthis Threaten Bab El-Mandeb
SocialApr 1, 2026

Europe Readies Red Sea Force as Houthis Threaten Bab El-Mandeb

European Red Sea Task Force Ready For Attacks Amid Fears Houthis Could Close Bab el-Mandeb Strait Concerns grow that the Iranian-backed rebels could close the waterway, drastically exacerbating the global oil crisis and opening a new front. https://t.co/aVVe6CgGk5

By Tyler Rogoway
Only 1% Worry About AI Vulnerability Apocalypse
SocialApr 1, 2026

Only 1% Worry About AI Vulnerability Apocalypse

So why nobody (well, maybe <1%) care about the coming AI-powered vulnerability apocalypse? (ref @unpromptedconf vs #RSAC discussions, cc @gadievron ) #question

By Dr. Anton Chuvakin
Experts Misjudge Iran War: Regime Change Remains Unlikely
SocialApr 1, 2026

Experts Misjudge Iran War: Regime Change Remains Unlikely

It is insane how every so called "expert," academic getting 5 minutes of fame, podcaster, or media personality starts their critique or prediction of the war in Iran with regime change. Too bad it is a house of cards built...

By John Spencer
Malicious Axios Dependency Silently Compromises Projects
SocialApr 1, 2026

Malicious Axios Dependency Silently Compromises Projects

"They'll push a dependency to Axios so that anyone who used these packages or worked on projects that had these packages in them are compromised. Then they get one person on a call and make them run that... It's silent...

By Laura Shin
Two‑Thirds of Americans Demand Quick End to Iran War
SocialApr 1, 2026

Two‑Thirds of Americans Demand Quick End to Iran War

According to a new Ipsos poll, 66% of Americans say the US should end its involvement in the Iran conflict quickly. THE US PUBLIC IS TURNING ON TRUMP, THE WAR PRESIDENT. https://t.co/tRVyc22FJC

By Steve Hanke
EU Red Sea Task Force Poised to Counter Houthi Threat
SocialApr 1, 2026

EU Red Sea Task Force Poised to Counter Houthi Threat

Operation Aspides, the European Red Sea naval task force, tells me its prepared to respond in their defensive mandate should the Houthis launch a new wave of attacks on vessels. https://t.co/g4UvidO52w

By Howard Altman
Questioning LSMs' Suitability for Persian Gulf Operations
SocialApr 1, 2026

Questioning LSMs' Suitability for Persian Gulf Operations

Would this be a good time to once again raise the issue of operating small, slow, and poorly armed @USNavy LSMs for the @USMC in a non-permissive environment right now? I mean the Strait of Hormuz and Persian Gulf...

By Sal Mercogliano
Russia's Occupied Area Jumps 27% to 160 Km² in March
SocialApr 1, 2026

Russia's Occupied Area Jumps 27% to 160 Km² in March

.@Deepstate_UA assesses that Russia occupied 160 square kilometers in March, 27% more than in February. https://t.co/VUiCGoqDaQ https://t.co/DkINMRkzFO

By Rob Lee
Iran Sees Conflict as Chance to Expel US Influence
SocialApr 1, 2026

Iran Sees Conflict as Chance to Expel US Influence

Former British Diplomat Alastair Crooke on Iran's position in the war: "Iran is seeing these events... as an opportunity to change the whole geopolitics of West Asia. To invert it completely, to remove the US... and its whole infrastructure of finance...

By Steve Hanke
US May Push Tencent Gaming Divestiture Over Privacy Risks
SocialApr 1, 2026

US May Push Tencent Gaming Divestiture Over Privacy Risks

The FT reported earlier this month that the Trump administration is considering forcing Tencent to divest certain gaming assets over security concerns. The notion that gaming assets, particularly mobile gaming assets, could be useful in user-level profiling is not implausible; recall...

By Eric Seufert
Rubio Blocks Trump's NATO Exit Threat over Hormuz
SocialApr 1, 2026

Rubio Blocks Trump's NATO Exit Threat over Hormuz

Trump’s threat to exit #NATO as retaliation for the bloc’s failure to help reopen the Strait of Hormuz faces a MAJOR obstacle — one that comes from his very own Secretary of State, Marco Rubio. From @KateSullivanDC and me https://t.co/A3wZZ1pmDM

By Eric Martin
Trump Threatens Ukraine Aid to Force European Coalition on Hormuz
SocialApr 1, 2026

Trump Threatens Ukraine Aid to Force European Coalition on Hormuz

Donald Trump threatened to stop supplying weapons for Ukraine in order to pressure European allies to join a “coalition of the willing” to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, ⁦@lauramdubois⁩ ⁦@HenryJFoy⁩ ⁦@ak_mack⁩ and @GeorgeWParker report https://t.co/pto4HaBALr

By Max Seddon
IAEA, US Intel Say Iran Complied Before Trump Withdrew
SocialApr 1, 2026

IAEA, US Intel Say Iran Complied Before Trump Withdrew

None of this is true. The IAEA and the US intelligence community both assessed that Iran was complying with the JCPIOA when Trump walked away from the agreement.

By Jeffrey Lewis
2024 NDAA Credibility Questioned Amid Defunding Trends
SocialApr 1, 2026

2024 NDAA Credibility Questioned Amid Defunding Trends

The 2023 NDAA adding that the Navy prepare “for the peacetime promotion of the national security interests and prosperity of the United States,” Nobody took that seriously so why should anyone take the 2024 NDAA seriously? Trump can defund NATO obligations just...

By John Konrad
Ukrainian Drone Strikes Surge Tenfold, Funding Needed
SocialApr 1, 2026

Ukrainian Drone Strikes Surge Tenfold, Funding Needed

Ukrainian drone strike ability is surging. In March they launched nearly 10x the number of drone strikes as a year ago. Give them the funding they need and these numbers will surge further. Ukraine will win.

By Ramez Naam
Accusations of Weapon Sales and Moral Bankruptcy
SocialApr 1, 2026

Accusations of Weapon Sales and Moral Bankruptcy

Selling, selling weapons for European money, as he allegedly always wanted. Also, trying to once again to derail things for Ukraine for the sake of blackmail as your own war goes very wrong because of your own arrogance and incompetence...

By Illia Ponomarenko
From First Helicopter Raid to Routine Russian Strikes
SocialApr 1, 2026

From First Helicopter Raid to Routine Russian Strikes

Remember that epic raid by Ukrainian military helicopters striking the Russian oil depot in Belgorod on April 1st, 2022 -- exactly four years ago today? That was literally the first such high-profile strike by Ukraine and it made an absolutely thunderous...

By Illia Ponomarenko
Beijing’s 2002 Strategy Exploited US’s War on Terror
SocialApr 1, 2026

Beijing’s 2002 Strategy Exploited US’s War on Terror

Left: "Much of Beijing's current strategy toward the US was laid down in 2002, when the CCP concluded China faced an unprecedented 20-year 'period of strategic opportunity' [due to] the GWOT distracting US leaders." Right: Cover of this week's The Economist...

By Luke Gromen
JCPOA vs War: Opponents Push Early Conflict
SocialApr 1, 2026

JCPOA vs War: Opponents Push Early Conflict

Narrator: In fact, it was always a binary choice between the JCPOA and war. The people who opposed it were, in fact, warmongers who believed the sooner that war came, the better. https://t.co/Rbzw2uHkm7

By Jeffrey Lewis
US Defense Relies Heavily on Chinese Supply Chains
SocialApr 1, 2026

US Defense Relies Heavily on Chinese Supply Chains

The chart below is one of the most striking I came across researching my new report on "Defense Innovation" (https://t.co/rRtYxEUTE9). It illustrates the deep dependence of current US air-launched armament supply chains on China. In a world increasingly defined by...

By Trevor Noren
US‑Israel Pressure Sets Stage for Iran Regime Shift
SocialApr 1, 2026

US‑Israel Pressure Sets Stage for Iran Regime Shift

…the U.S. and Israel are doing what they set out to do, what they told us...the conditions are set, I think, for a fundamental change in the nature of the Iranian regime...the regime is fragmented @LTGHRMcMaster @FoxNews I 100%...

By John Spencer
UAE Calls for UN Chapter 7 Action on Hormuz Navigation
SocialApr 1, 2026

UAE Calls for UN Chapter 7 Action on Hormuz Navigation

In a letter to the UN Security Council, UAE is invoking Chapter 7 of the UN charter (commonly referred as 'use of force') seeking “immediate action” in order to “ensure the safe and secure navigation and navigational rights and freedoms...

By Javier Blas
Middle East Interceptor Dubbed “P1‑Sun” For Its Shape
SocialApr 1, 2026

Middle East Interceptor Dubbed “P1‑Sun” For Its Shape

Best part of these getting used in the middle east is the name “P1-Sun” is a joke about the shape of the interceptor... https://t.co/i5AGrieF4b

By Peter Todd
Scaling FPVs Demands Structure, Experience, Not Just Basics
SocialApr 1, 2026

Scaling FPVs Demands Structure, Experience, Not Just Basics

I agree there is to some extent an easy adoption fallacy. Getting FPVs to a basic level of proficiency may not be hard, but it takes dedicated force structure, experience in employment, org capacity, C2 adaptations, to scale and get...

By Michael Kofman
Government Outperforms Silicon Valley at Weapon Development
SocialApr 1, 2026

Government Outperforms Silicon Valley at Weapon Development

Turns out Silicon Valley and the private sector are shitty at making weapons. Who is good at it? The U.S. government. Yup, comrades, it's true. https://t.co/ucwVpK2XDK https://t.co/jQMRytQPjE

By Matt Stoller
Trump Threatens NATO Exit, Alleges Iran Seeks Ceasefire
SocialApr 1, 2026

Trump Threatens NATO Exit, Alleges Iran Seeks Ceasefire

Trump Threatens NATO Departure, Claims Iran Wants A Ceasefire Ahead Of National Address Iran has pushed back on Trump’s ceasefire claim as key allies distance themselves further from Epic Fury. https://t.co/agebGjMZ7X

By Tyler Rogoway